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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (5611) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 12:01pm On Apr 27, 2020
meshpips:


Hi,

your friend bought Zenith at almost the lowest price for this year (though you said two weeks ago, that stock didn't trade that low two weeks ago but it did so about 4 weeks ago).

It seems to me that your friend knows what he is doing. I strongly recommend that you take your trading advisory service from him alone.

Don't you think coming into a faceless forum to seek such advice is risky?

Just do whatever your friend says for you to do and I think you will be just fine.

All the best sir!

I believe he is trying to confirm other recommendations his friend gave him.
You advised well, but you can further assist if he gives us the financial background of his friend, the friend might be buying from the advice of his friend's friend... angry angry angry (They say I shoukld stop smilling)
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Bomboclad: 12:03pm On Apr 27, 2020
Wisdom!
meshpips:


Hi,

your friend bought Zenith at almost the lowest price for this year (though you said two weeks ago, that stock didn't trade that low two weeks ago but it did so about 4 weeks ago).

It seems to me that your friend knows what he is doing. I strongly recommend that you take your trading advisory service from him alone.

Don't you think coming into a faceless forum to seek such advice is risky?

Just do whatever your friend says for you to do and I think you will be just fine.

All the best sir!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 12:03pm On Apr 27, 2020
meine:
Madam please i dont see negative energy o, I didnt crack a joke, i asked a money saving and serious question. Wetin con bring "writing long epistle" for inside the reply? Is it to deter those who can provide good analysis by tagging them as "writing long epistle"?
Bros, don't always take anything too serious in a faceless forum.
We don't only make money here, we joke as well, make person no come develop hbp. grin
There's a lot of uncertainty in the market now due to the situation of things in the country and the world as a whole.
The short/medium term risk takers in the market are even monitoring their investments so they can take action when there's the need to do so. Difficult to advice newbie on any stock now.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by thebargainhunte: 12:06pm On Apr 27, 2020
1kinggy:


But why? undecided

Ask prof o...na prof talk am. grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Bomboclad: 12:07pm On Apr 27, 2020
The honest truth!
Mcy56:

Bros, don't always take anything too serious in a faceless forum.
We don't only make money here, we joke as well, make person no come develop hbp. grin
There's a lot of uncertainty in the market now due to the situation of things in the country and the world as a whole.
The short/medium term risk takers in the market are even monitoring their investments so they can take action when there's the need to do so. Difficult to advice newbie on any stock now.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by meine: 12:13pm On Apr 27, 2020
Mcy56:

Bros, don't always take anything too serious in a faceless forum.
We don't only make money here, we joke as well, make person no come develop hbp. grin
Hmmm i understand you, the reason i answer him like that was because i saw him condemning one guys analysis few days ago on this page. Its not a good thing to do. I am a 45 year old man, i can sample conflicting opinion and take good decision. He mention UBA later, why he no go straight before if he really wanted to help?

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 12:15pm On Apr 27, 2020
Mcy56:

Bros, don't always take anything too serious in a faceless forum.
We don't only make money here, we joke as well, make person no come develop hbp. grin
There's a lot of uncertainty in the market now due to the situation of things in the country and the world as a whole.
The short/medium term risk takers in the market are even monitoring their investments so they can take action when there's the need to do so. Difficult to advice newbie on any stock now.

On Point!!!
This is a time for trading patience NOT stocks...... grin grin grin

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ablyguy(m): 12:17pm On Apr 27, 2020
I have been a silent investor for a while now and I currently tracking Guiness.

Anybody with idea on what a the fair bottom price for the stock is?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 12:27pm On Apr 27, 2020
ablyguy:
I have been a silent investor for a while now and I currently tracking Guiness.

Anybody with idea on what a the fair bottom price for the stock is?

Mcy56, kindly help.
Now afraid to answer monikers configured using U,Y & G ....Yours get Y......... grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 12:35pm On Apr 27, 2020
meine:
Hmmm i understand you, the reason i answer him like that was because i saw him condemning one guys analysis few days ago on this page. Its not a good thing to do. I am a 45 year old man, i can sample conflicting opinion and take good decision. He mention UBA later, why he no go straight before if he really wanted to help?
Sir, don't always judge a book by its cover.
Some actions are coincidence sometimes. Not enough to draw a conclusion.
While UBA is good, me I would also mention JBerger for dividend and possible price appreciation at price btw 23.50/24. If you can get below this fine.
There are other good stocks too, let me leave it for my ogas on top to mention. grin
Remember due diligence applies sir.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ebuka1997: 12:36pm On Apr 27, 2020
Mcy56:

Africa Prudential Registrar PLS TAKE NOTE! grin

.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by meine: 12:38pm On Apr 27, 2020
Mcy56:

While UBA is good, me I would also mention JBerger for dividend and possible price appreciation at price btw 23.50/24. If you can get below this fine.
There are other good stocks too, let me leave it for my ogas on top to mention. grin
Remember due diligence applies sir.
Thanks is Julius berger liquid if somebody want to sell anytime.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 12:40pm On Apr 27, 2020
DeRuggedProf:
Mcy56, kindly help.
Now afraid to answer monikers configured using U,Y & G ....Yours get Y......... grin grin grin
Prof why do you want to change the baton nah? shocked LOL @ mine get "Y". grin
Ablyguy, pls direct your kwesion to the Oracle, Oga RabbiDoracle himself have reply to your enquiry. grin
He mentioned Guinness few days ago, seems it's bottoming out now.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ebuka1997: 12:40pm On Apr 27, 2020
olusiji1:
If I could teach you how to make money with your smartphone in this LOCKDOWN would be interested? TYPE YES or follow the link below
https:///Kr9uK05lRQSLhOhM5IGgPF

This is the wrong forum, people here already know how to make money cheesy grin

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 12:41pm On Apr 27, 2020
aremso:



Do u invest in Alcohol making companies ?

Sir, I sent a mail to you few days ago
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 12:43pm On Apr 27, 2020
meine:
Thanks is Julius berger liquid if somebody want to sell anytime.
I think that's where the issue lies, not that liquid if you're looking at accumulating in millions and for short term.
JBerger investors here can advice you better.
If you're looking at liquidity, then the best stocks to buy are banking stocks.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ablyguy(m): 12:49pm On Apr 27, 2020
DeRuggedProf:


Mcy56, kindly help.
Now afraid to answer monikers configured using U,Y & G ....Yours get Y......... grin grin grin

I am innocent of any crime you think I committed sir.

Just assist a young chap trying to making investment decisions.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 12:50pm On Apr 27, 2020
BEST ARTICLE OF THE DAY.

PREPARE FOR A DECADE OF LOW STOCK MARKET RETURNS
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-valuations-elevated-low-returns-morning-brief-100032494.html

Who knows what the near future holds for the stock market? Certainly, no one could’ve predicted this year’s market crash, which was triggered by a pandemic no one saw coming. And few could’ve seen the market surge from its March lows.

It’s because of this unpredictability of the short term that investors are better advised to think long term.
Unfortunately, some of Wall Street’s top forecasters warn that stocks at current prices amid the gloomy economic backdrop are likely to deliver lackluster average returns for years.

“For reasons that will take time for historians to assess, equities did not immediately plunge to a level proportional to the historic collapse in the economy,” Citi Private Bank’s Steve Wieting wrote on Friday.

Specifically, they blame where stock prices are now relative to earnings.

“Valuations indicate 10-yr annualized returns of 4-5%,” Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian wrote on April 16. The S&P 500 today is trading at similar levels as when she published her forecast.

“Whereas valuations are poor near-term market timing signals, valuation is almost all that matters for the long-term,” she added. “Based on regressions, today's valuations suggest S&P 500 annualized 10-yr price returns of 4%-5%. This is lower than average returns in prior decades and roughly half of the 8% annualized price return we've enjoyed since post-WWII (1947). But valuation metrics are mostly elevated relative to history, suggesting an inferior entry point vs prior years.”

Subramanian noted that this is in line with a recent San Francisco Fed study of 15 pandemics going back to the Black Death, which found economic effects tend to persist for years accompanied by below-average asset returns.

Wieting came to a similar conclusion after reviewing the cyclically-adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) ratio, a measure which was popularized by Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller and is credited for predicting the dot-com bubble.

He notes that unlike the global financial crisis of 2008, the coronavirus pandemic isn’t offering a particularly attractive valuation proposition.

The long-term outlook for stock market returns doesn't look great. (Citi Private Bank)
The long-term outlook for stock market returns doesn't look great. (Citi Private Bank)
“Fast acting policymakers with the experience of 2008/2009 and the exogenous, largely temporary nature of the virus shock have helped,“ Wieting said. “Also, the severe weakness and double-digit returns that followed the Global Financial Crisis — with so many investors never comfortably taking equity risk — left money on the sidelines, looking for a dip to buy.”

“With neither fear nor greed vanquished for now, we believe U.S. large cap stock investors can look forward to more middling returns,” Wieting added.

At least Wieting and Subramanian see returns. The managers at GMO see annual real returns over the next seven years averaging -1.5% for large cap U.S. stocks.

Elsewhere in valuations, the ratio of the U.S. stock market capitalization to U.S. GDP — Warren Buffett once called it “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment“ — is also elevated.

That said, history doesn’t always repeat. And for what it’s worth, Robert Shiller raised doubts about the CAPE ratio and Warren Buffett warned against considering market cap-to-GDP in a vacuum. And everyone will further tell you that low interest rates justify higher equity valuations. It’s a lot to think about.

By Sam Ro, managing editor. Follow him at @SamRo
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ablyguy(m): 12:51pm On Apr 27, 2020
Mcy56:

Prof why do you want to change the baton nah? shocked LOL @ mine get "Y". grin
Ablyguy, pls direct your kwesion to the Oracle, Oga RabbiDoracle himself have reply to your enquiry. grin
He mentioned Guinness few days ago, seems it's bottoming out now.

Thanks.

cc RabbiDoracle, kindly assist
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by rebekah2011(m): 12:52pm On Apr 27, 2020
Madam, what happen? I am waiting for UCAP's 50kobo dividend to land tomorrow.
Mcy56:

I dont think United Capital Registrar exist again.
Guess it merged with Africa Prudential.
Even UCap uses Africa Prudential.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 12:56pm On Apr 27, 2020
rebekah2011:
Madam, what happen? I am waiting for UCAP's 50kobo dividend to land tomorrow.
Sir, tomorrow is for the proxy AGM. 29th is payment date.

NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the 2020 Annual General Meeting of United Capital Plc, earlier postponed due to the COVID-19 Pandemic, will now hold on Tuesday, April 28, 2020, at the Afriland Towers, 97/105 Broad Street, Lagos, at 11.00 a.m. to transact the following businesses:

6. DIVIDEND
If the dividend recommended by the Directors is approved by the shareholders at the AGM, dividend will be paid by Wednesday April 29 2020. Given the previous notice to the shareholders and the investing public by the Company on the closing period for the purpose of dividend payment, dividend approved at the AGM will be paid to the shareholders whose names appear in the Company’s Register of Members at the close of business on March 6, 2020.

**edited
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 1:02pm On Apr 27, 2020
ablyguy:
I am innocent of any crime you think I committed sir.
Just assist a young chap trying to making investment decisions.
Lol. Prof jokes a lot. Just catch your fun and pick salient points from the jokes. grin
Guiness: Bids 3.4M; offers 316k as at now.
The buyers are increasing, close to the bottom now and may likely reverse...............going by Oga Oracle's prediction if I'm right. grin
Pls note: Do your due diligence. Mr. Market has a mind of its own. tongue
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 1:05pm On Apr 27, 2020
Buyers don't want to buy high, sellers don't want to sell low. That's the summary of the market so far.

Volume has been low compared to other days.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by 1kinggy(m): 1:10pm On Apr 27, 2020
PharmAlfred:
Buyers don't want to buy high, sellers don't want to sell low. That's the summary of the market so far.

Volume has been low compared to other days.

Broke men don't trade.

People (who are still likely to earn salary) are waiting for cash to settle into their accounts. After which they can decide what inject into the market appropriately.

The next couple of days should see some improved trade volume.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by rebekah2011(m): 1:10pm On Apr 27, 2020
Ok. Thanks.
Mcy56:

Sir, tomorrow is for the proxy AGM. 29th is payment date.

NOTICE

**edited

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 1:10pm On Apr 27, 2020
PharmAlfred:
Buyers don't want to buy high, sellers don't want to sell low. That's the summary of the market so far.
Volume has been low compared to other days.
You're right. Bidders bidding lower. Sellers not willing to sell low. grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 1:14pm On Apr 27, 2020
ablyguy:


Thanks.

cc RabbiDoracle, kindly assist

Strong buy if you are holding for long term and you are not veecovee grin cheesy

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by 9jatriot(m): 1:15pm On Apr 27, 2020
Where do you guys get this bid and offer info, I non de see am for morgan o, abi I am not looking at the right place?

Mcy56:

Lol. Prof jokes a lot. Just catch your fun and pick salient points from the jokes. grin
Guiness: Bids 3.4M; offers 316k as at now.
The buyers are increasing, close to the bottom now and may likely reverse...............going by Oga Oracle's prediction if I'm right. grin
Pls note: Do your due diligence. Mr. Market has a mind of its own. tongue
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 1:15pm On Apr 27, 2020
PharmAlfred:
Buyers don't want to buy high, sellers don't want to sell low. That's the summary of the market so far.

Volume has been low compared to other days.

Look well and you will see where it is headed to.

Shaking off weak hands through frustrating trades. grin grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 1:18pm On Apr 27, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
Strong buy if you are holding for long term and you are not veecovee grin cheesy
Chai!!! grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ebuka1997: 1:19pm On Apr 27, 2020
Godlylifeoneart:
BEST ARTICLE OF THE DAY.

PREPARE FOR A DECADE OF LOW STOCK MARKET RETURNS
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-valuations-elevated-low-returns-morning-brief-100032494.html

Who knows what the near future holds for the stock market? Certainly, no one could’ve predicted this year’s market crash, which was triggered by a pandemic no one saw coming. And few could’ve seen the market surge from its March lows.

It’s because of this unpredictability of the short term that investors are better advised to think long term.
Unfortunately, some of Wall Street’s top forecasters warn that stocks at current prices amid the gloomy economic backdrop are likely to deliver lackluster average returns for years.

“For reasons that will take time for historians to assess, equities did not immediately plunge to a level proportional to the historic collapse in the economy,” Citi Private Bank’s Steve Wieting wrote on Friday.

Specifically, they blame where stock prices are now relative to earnings.

“Valuations indicate 10-yr annualized returns of 4-5%,” Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian wrote on April 16. The S&P 500 today is trading at similar levels as when she published her forecast.

“Whereas valuations are poor near-term market timing signals, valuation is almost all that matters for the long-term,” she added. “Based on regressions, today's valuations suggest S&P 500 annualized 10-yr price returns of 4%-5%. This is lower than average returns in prior decades and roughly half of the 8% annualized price return we've enjoyed since post-WWII (1947). But valuation metrics are mostly elevated relative to history, suggesting an inferior entry point vs prior years.”

Subramanian noted that this is in line with a recent San Francisco Fed study of 15 pandemics going back to the Black Death, which found economic effects tend to persist for years accompanied by below-average asset returns.

Wieting came to a similar conclusion after reviewing the cyclically-adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) ratio, a measure which was popularized by Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller and is credited for predicting the dot-com bubble.

He notes that unlike the global financial crisis of 2008, the coronavirus pandemic isn’t offering a particularly attractive valuation proposition.

The long-term outlook for stock market returns doesn't look great. (Citi Private Bank)
The long-term outlook for stock market returns doesn't look great. (Citi Private Bank)
“Fast acting policymakers with the experience of 2008/2009 and the exogenous, largely temporary nature of the virus shock have helped,“ Wieting said. “Also, the severe weakness and double-digit returns that followed the Global Financial Crisis — with so many investors never comfortably taking equity risk — left money on the sidelines, looking for a dip to buy.”

“With neither fear nor greed vanquished for now, we believe U.S. large cap stock investors can look forward to more middling returns,” Wieting added.

At least Wieting and Subramanian see returns. The managers at GMO see annual real returns over the next seven years averaging -1.5% for large cap U.S. stocks.

Elsewhere in valuations, the ratio of the U.S. stock market capitalization to U.S. GDP — Warren Buffett once called it “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment“ — is also elevated.

That said, history doesn’t always repeat. And for what it’s worth, Robert Shiller raised doubts about the CAPE ratio and Warren Buffett warned against considering market cap-to-GDP in a vacuum. And everyone will further tell you that low interest rates justify higher equity valuations. It’s a lot to think about.

By Sam Ro, managing editor. Follow him at @SamRo

The same analysts that would start making notes telling clients to buy buy when stocks start rising

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 1:24pm On Apr 27, 2020
RabbiDoracle:


Look well and you will see where it is headed to.

Shaking off weak hands through frustrating trades. grin grin


Mostly likely. If it moves, it is likely going to bang.

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