dynicks:
where art thou?

NaMe4:


Like seriously? Or is this sarcasm?

PaChukwudi44:

No it will not lead to southern unity.The SS/SE are not interested.The SW can unite on their own

festacman:
I disagree with this analysis.

The truth is that until recent dissolution of APC NWC, the governors who supported one of their own, Adams Oshiomole, got the shorter end of the stick in 2019 elections. Unfortunately, under Oshiomole their influence continued to wane from failure of their intervention in Ambode's case to that of Obaseki. It was obvious that APC secretariat tilted towards Tinubu, giving him undue advantage even before 2023 comes. Other interests fought back. The situation became so untidy with conflicting court rulings. Many blamed the president for aloofness and he acted decisively. Unfortunately Oshiomole being human, played himself into an ambush and down, he went with entire NWC.

Therefore, this recent dissolution of NWC has little to do with ascendancy of CPC bloc but, very much, with re-assertion of the fact that governors are the decisive factor in Nigerian party politics. Naturally, it will more difficult for Tinubu to enthrone his favourite as chairman again but he, sure, has a way of getting around.

A little of shock for you. I may be wrong but I do have a strong feeling that Asiwaju Tinubu was privy to Buhari's move to dissolve APC NWC yesterday and may have made inputs. Evidence: His statement the previous night calling on APC members "to rally round President Buhari". Second, his governors and loyalists attended. Third, there is no way some people would be contacted to be part of APC CTC without it leaking.

atobs4real:

Let's wait see the end of the political saga. I see a green light at the end of the tunnel.

emkz:


This is a well articulated submission. Only few pundits like you would read between the lines to glean that Tinubu understands the power game better than anyone else. After Buhari, the next politician with clout and a strong network in present-day Nigeria is Tinubu, not Atiku, not Wike, not Saraki. If people think Tinubu had no input in the ouster of the NWC, then they really don't understand the chemistry between Tinubu and Buhari.

Danfulani and Kperogii need to understand that the best way to edge Tinubu from Nigerian politics is to edge him out from southwest politics not from national politics. So long as Tinubu still controls southwest politics, he'd be a factor in determining Buhari's successor.

festacman:
I disagree with this analysis.

The truth is that until recent dissolution of APC NWC, the governors who supported one of their own, Adams Oshiomole, got the shorter end of the stick in 2019 elections. Unfortunately, under Oshiomole their influence continued to wane from failure of their intervention in Ambode's case to that of Obaseki. It was obvious that APC secretariat tilted towards Tinubu, giving him undue advantage even before 2023 comes. Other interests fought back. The situation became so untidy with conflicting court rulings. Many blamed the president for aloofness and he acted decisively. Unfortunately Oshiomole being human, played himself into an ambush and down, he went with entire NWC.

Therefore, this recent dissolution of NWC has little to do with ascendancy of CPC bloc but, very much, with re-assertion of the fact that governors are the decisive factor in Nigerian party politics. Naturally, it will more difficult for Tinubu to enthrone his favourite as chairman again but he, sure, has a way of getting around.

A little of shock for you. I may be wrong but I do have a strong feeling that Asiwaju Tinubu was privy to Buhari's move to dissolve APC NWC yesterday and may have made inputs. Evidence: His statement the previous night calling on APC members "to rally round President Buhari". Second, his governors and loyalists attended. Third, there is no way some people would be contacted to be part of APC CTC without it leaking.

bestdudes:


Please next time, narrow your narrative to Tinubu. Not the entire Yoruba nation support him. I am igbo and the way you were just talking like someone with leaking mouth is why Yorubas feel igbos hate them.

Tinubu is the problem and not the entire S.W. He deceived everybody. In 2023, when it becomes obvious that he has lost out, he will come for igbos and try to play the ethnic card.

festacman:


We give the North too much credit and invincibility. Pres. Buhari tried several and failed until he aligned with other parts of the country. So, no one or even two regions of this country will win power without at least a strong tripod. By the way, the impression that North is politically monolithic is just a myth. Politics is about personal aspirations and interests.

Personally, my take on 2023 is that power should rotate to South and if it doesn't, the South should pull out of the elections with the likely consequences unknown to nobody. There is always a deal-breaking point.

festacman:
I disagree with this analysis.

The truth is that until recent dissolution of APC NWC, the governors who supported one of their own, Adams Oshiomole, got the shorter end of the stick in 2019 elections. Unfortunately, under Oshiomole their influence continued to wane from failure of their intervention in Ambode's case to that of Obaseki. It was obvious that APC secretariat tilted towards Tinubu, giving him undue advantage even before 2023 comes. Other interests fought back. The situation became so untidy with conflicting court rulings. Many blamed the president for aloofness and he acted decisively. Unfortunately Oshiomole being human, played himself into an ambush and down, he went with entire NWC.

Therefore, this recent dissolution of NWC has little to do with ascendancy of CPC bloc but, very much, with re-assertion of the fact that governors are the decisive factor in Nigerian party politics. Naturally, it will more difficult for Tinubu to enthrone his favourite as chairman again but he, sure, has a way of getting around.

A little of shock for you. I may be wrong but I do have a strong feeling that Asiwaju Tinubu was privy to Buhari's move to dissolve APC NWC yesterday and may have made inputs. Evidence: His statement the previous night calling on APC members "to rally round President Buhari". Second, his governors and loyalists attended. Third, there is no way some people would be contacted to be part of APC CTC without it leaking.

Blackking98:

Unfortunately SW alone can't give him presidency.
And the north can simply leave him and re align with the SE and SS.
So as you see his only hope is to make peace with CPC and see if he can scheme through but without the president's backing in the Nigerian political sphere he'll be fighting the greatest political battle of his career

BlackfireX:
Tinubu will move the senate to impeach and remove buhari, then osinbajo will take over , then by 2023 tinubu will become the president... It is a win win for SW and jagaban of African politics.

emkz:


Have you seen anywhere Tinubu remotely showed interest in the Presidency? The man's negotiating power is his hold on the Southwest.

But quite frankly bros, with the quality of leadership Tinubu provided in Lagos and the quality of his men, won't you want him to run Nigeria? Let's remove sentiments and appreciate quality. Do you remember when Osinbajo ran this country? Didn't you feel different? We need these kind of people to run things.

Ogonimilitant:
Nothing is coming of Tinnubu
He is politically dead.
No1 mugu.
modern-day afonja

BlackfireX:
Tinubu will move the senate to impeach and remove buhari, then osinbajo will take over , then by 2023 tinubu will become the president... It is a win win for SW and jagaban of African politics.

Killdemboth:

Even if they follow him to his "nobody" political party, who are they gonna form alliance with? SE and SS are fully PDP, North is CPC and PDP. Only SW will romance their ACN alone and now become politically irrelevant for life.

chloedogie:


Let me give you some history lines about Tinubu. I wasn't told, I witnessed it as a cousin to Oyinlola former governor of osun state, I had few privileges to some happenings not rumors.

1. When AD party cleared all southwest states in 1999, Obasanjo wasn't happy because the north single-highhandedly voted him in and his own kinsmen betrayed him(in OBJ's voice). But why would you blame the Yorubas when the two major candidates back then were OBJ(PDP) and Olu Falae(AD)?

2. Fast forward to 2002 in build up to 2003 elections, OBJ started touring all south west states. Remember in 1999, the governorship elections were first done then followed by presidential. Then during OBJ's tour, he made a very devilish and smart move on the south west AD leaders saying he won't interfere in the governorship elections, he just want them to vote for him as the president, then they can have their states to AD party. But being a smart one, Tinubu never let his guard off. Even the elderly ones like baba Akande fell for it. He even slept in some AD governors' lodges, did town hall meetings with some of them that was aired on radio, drinking palm wine with some making live jest etc. How did Tinubu know OBJ was up to something?

Answer: When Oyinlola started his political campaign, he was initially running for the senate then suddenly changed and he was given the governorship ticket overnight when he was just few weeks away from the senate. Tinubu sensed something considering Oyinlola had a military ties with OBJ.

3. Few days to the elections since gubernatorial and presidential will be done same day, OBJ then he came live on TV radio etc and visited some South west states and started shouting in Yoruba, ''te ba ti ri Umbrella, e te ka sibe bayii''. Meaning on the ballot papers, when you see the Umbrella logo, put your thumb like this. That was like 2 days or 5 days maximum to the elections. Now, chaos started in the AD camp, they have fallen for his trick. They started re-strategizing, because most of them campaigned for PDP for the presidential election except for Tinubu. Too late for them.

4. Cut long story short, he swept 5 states and through thuggery, fight, agidi, and political strong-head, Tinubu held on to Lagos.

5. Now, he started licking his wounds and a rebuild initiated. Beginning of his fight with OBJ.

6. His first major comeback was in Osun, using the then chambers of Osinbanjo to take Oyinlola to court using some forensic proofs that has never been done before on the African soil to challenge the candidacy of Oyinlola. 3 years and 8 months into his second term in office as the governor, Oyinlola was booted out. Then, he started penetrating, Oyo, Ogun, Ekiti, and Ondo.

7. He built his empire and you can pick up the rest of the story/history with the colony of APC in 2014/2015 towards the hijacking of the presidency from Jonathan which you can never say he wasn't the sole brain behind it, or one of the best brains behind it.

Conclusion: That you are defeated in life(if he is actually defeated by your permutations and surface analysis) is not the real deal, the main thing is how did you handle the defeat? Did you sit defeated or you picked yourself up like a fallen horse and start sprinting again? Tinubu is not one of the chest beating politicians, he knows his onions from his suya that is why you hardly see him talking.

Sunnyja:
They can form alliance with KOWA

AkuOlisa:
[color=#006600][/color]

The question here is will pride and selfishness allow the south unit politically ?

Asgard13:
Yoruba people are fighting for political survival... before they go political extinct in Nigeria politics

They’ve lost already before the fight began...

Tinubu and Yoruba loud mouth killed Yoruba .... don’t outshine your master...

When slaves start seeing themselves as masters .. then theres a problem..

In the north... there’s a political saying “ north can’t be slave to Yoruba”
I keep mentioning it on nairaland... but Yoruba will abuse ...
Who be Tinubu?
When Yoruba start to make noise for Nigeria ... to extend of seeing themselves as lord of Fulani? And having a power base in politics?

The new generation of Yoruba that don’t understand Nigeria politics crashed Yoruba political ship... and the ship is subbing gently till it finally sink..

Told them Fulani is in charge, in government, and in power... where are the yorubas in government... Yoruba no see wetin men see..

Legendhero was busy talking about working the relationship between Hausa and Yoruba

Told helinues.. Hausa hate Yoruba more than Yoruba hate igbo.. that one problem na igbos..

Fulani is in government, in power and incharge ..
Yoruba propaganda don’t scare them.. any attempt by Yoruba to play smart ... will sink that ship.

Nigeria politics...

dynicks:
where art thou?

JAMO84:
According to this miserable writer, the CPC block are plotting to oust the ACN which was the real brain behind the fortune they are enjoying now.

Assuming this useless article is even right, will Bola Tinubu continue to keep the ACN block in APC? Will Yoruba not feel betrayed and vote against the north in 2023? Will such betrayal not lead to southern unity which is the last thing the north want to see?





I AM DONE TALKING

Ogonimilitant:
Nothing is coming of Tinubu
He is politically dead.
No1 mugu.
modern-day Afonja

festacman:


We give the North too much credit and invincibility. Pres. Buhari tried several and failed until he aligned with other parts of the country. So, no one or even two regions of this country will win power without at least a strong tripod. By the way, the impression that North is politically monolithic is just a myth. Politics is about personal aspirations and interests.

Personally, my take on 2023 is that /power should rotate to South/b and if it doesn't, the South should pull out of the elections with the likely consequences unknown to nobody. There is always a deal-breaking point.

sapientia:
Can APC survive till 2023?

I dont even know the analysis to believe again

Nigerians mumu sha

I wonder how many think Tinubu is their problem

Who among those fighting Tinubu is different?

I dont understand Asiwaju game plan but i have no issues with him

Let our governors start performing first

Its their failure that have always made Nigerians to be obsessed with Presidential Elections

And after their woeful failures as governors, we still even consider them an option.

My prayer is that APC and PDP will scatter beyond repair and whatever faction that will spring out of them will scatter into thousands pieces too

atobs4real:

Let's wait see the end of the political saga. I see a green light at the end of the tunnel.

festacman:


It will be open to SS, SW and SE. My preference will be based candidates when they emerge from parties.

Ogonimilitant:
See consolation. He is free to do that in Yoruba land. He cant try his local politics in the centre