TheGodlessGod:
You're a big fool for saying obaseki will Edo South.

If obaseki win more than two LGA in Edo south call me bastard.

This election is already done

Sorry sir.its a worst case scenario.I know pastor will likely win edo south

garfield1:


But they allowed obaseki to give pdp 6 billion?

Any evidence? Or just beer palour gossiping?

garfield1:
Factors that influence elections in nigeria still remain the same.we shall look at them one by one.

Finance:this will play a key role on Saturday.the economy is bad,hunger is pervasive and die hard supporters will surely collect money to vote against their favourites.it is a given.vote buying will be rife and unfortunately apc will out muscle obaseki here.

Federal might:the federal might which include security agents and even inec will come into play.it is clear the security forces will tilt towards pastor.there are allegations that the inec rec is an ex apc member.even obaseki said he will win if federal might is not deployed.
Popularity: both parties are evenly matched.obaseki's popularity is mostly at Benin metropolis while pastor is more rooted at the rural areas.
Collation centre:this is the most important part of the election.most rigging takes place at the collation centre.even gej attested to this.whoever controls the collation process will win.unfortunately, oshiomhole usually dominates collation centres.him and pastor has far more loyal men at polling and collation centres compared to obaseki..

It must be noted that for a ruling part to lose elections,one of two things usually happen.either an overwhelming majority of the masses bote against them or majority of the political actors gang up against them or both.the losses of apc in Adamawa and bauchi was because majority of the politicians across party divide gangup against the incumbent while the loss of apc in oyo,pdp In kwara and gombe was because an overwhelming majority of voters voted against them making it impossible to rig.

Oredo LGA: pdp 30,000 apc 15,000

Egor LGA; pdp 25000. Apc 15000

Ikpoba okha; pdp 25,000 apc 20000

Orhiomnwon LGA;pdp 10,000 apc 20,000

Uhumnwonde lg; pdp 7000 apc 15000

Ovia north east LGA:pdp 9000 apc 12000

Ovia south west lga: pdp ,12000 apc 18000

Esan central: pdp 15000 apc 10000

Esan central:pdp 13000 apc 10,000

Esan south east;pdp 10,000 apc 9000

Esan west: pdp 11000 apc 10,000

Igueben: pdp 8000 apc 10,000

Etsako west: pdp 14,000 apc 16000

Etsako west; pdp 13000 apc 19000

Etsako central:pdp 15000 apc 21000

Owan east:pdp 5000 apc 15000

Owan west: pdp 9000 apc 14000

Akoko edo:pdp 15,000 apc 30,000



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Emmafantastic
Helinues
Favor
Unigrad
Flordflorez
Donphilohus
AWOL
Afroknight
Kyase
Caseless

close enough but apc cannot win any lga in Esan land.

So igueben is wrong

TheGodlessGod:
You're a big fool for saying obaseki will Edo South.

If obaseki win more than two LGA in Edo south call me bastard.

This election is already done

obaseki 3lga ize iyamu 4lga

Check again.

Pdp is strong in egor, oredo, Ikpoba okha.

They won rep there, Edo incumbent usually wins those areas as it's the closest to the city receiving more attention

FlordFlorez:
My stands/inputs.

1. You are very wrong in ur assertion that APC will outweigh PDP in spending/vote buying. We are talking about incumbent here. Do u know how much he spent to become PDP's flagbearer? Aside that, PDP has heavy money spenders and u & I knows that PDP has never and can never be broke. They need Edo in buildup to 2023!!

2. Though this is undisputed but not evenly trustworthy, at least not every time. Remember, this is not a general election. Everybody's eye, both locally and internationally are on this election (US of A made a statement about this days ago). Do I also need to remind u of some States where it didn't work out? Besides, he who have the people have majority. Edo people have rejected godfatherism and PDP are building on that! It will be very difficult to fully utilize the Federal might in Edo come on Saturday!!

3. Popularity = 50:50, but APC are heavily being de-marketted! Talk of Oshom's video where he's ditching out vices exhibited by pastor (cultism, acid ish, etc.). What about gandollar's bribery video and many more. APC's image is really disfigured and they only rely on Federal might that will surely not work here.

4. Truly, this is the most important part of election in typical Nigerian setting. But l laugh so hard reading ur inputs about this. Which Oshom? The one his kinsmen has rejected? Even APC as a party has rejected him. He's only trying to use this election to get back at Obaseki. Get this into ur skull: oshom has been rejected by both APC & PDP = Edo people; he cannot approach any collation center by person or cronies.


This outcome of this election will surely shock u...

1 obaseki just applied for emergency loan meaning he is broke.obaseki major source of finance is from edo coffers meanwhile pastor has money plus oshiomhole,tinubu,all apc governors.pdp has money but they hardly contribute for their candidates during elections.in bayelsa and ekiti,pdp incumbents were outmuscled financially.

2 apc has never lost any staggered or separate elections except in bayelsa in 2015 and anambra.APC is at its best during isolated elections.no one cares about us threats.I know you will say it didn't work in rivers,akwa ibom or delta but don't forget apc has never won there unlike edo...

3 ) in 2016,oshiomhole narrowly demarketed pastor yet he won pastor narrowly through heavy rigging.all those videos and propaganda are stale and outdated.it moves nobody.infact,it is irritating.pdp demarketed buhari in 2015 yet you saw the result...

4) oshiomhole and pastor still remain the strongest politicians in edo whether you like it or not.if he is rejected,he would receive the saraki treatment.no one will defect from obaseki camp,instead oshiomhole people will be defecting.don't forget obaseki's councillor is in apc.even the state pdp chair was tempted to defect.infact,obaseki's relatives defected.can we say the same for oshio? Stop talking carelessly.stop supporting failures.obaseki is like ozo,pastor is Laycon.don't waste your time

SLAP44:


Any evidence? Or just beer palour gossiping?

Any evidence also for your spurious claims

Nadaken:
lose enough but apc cannot win any lga in Esan land.

So igueben is wrong

Apc has won igueben LGA on three occasions

Nadaken:
obaseki 3lga ize iyamu 4lga

Check again.

Pdp is strong in egor, oredo, Ikpoba okha.

They won rep there, Edo incumbent usually wins those areas as it's the closest to the city receiving more attention

Yes that is why I gave it to them.but this time it will be a narrow victory.most of obaseki's buzz are usually from here.unfortunately, he is weak at the rural areas

garfield1:


Any evidence also for your spurious claims

About the godfather angle? That one is very obvious, that was why the godfather panicked and wanted to change Obaseki when he saw that the taps are getting shut and they can no longer loot Edo like they are looting Lagos.

SLAP44:


About the godfather angle? That one is very obvious, that was why the godfather panicked and wanted to change Obaseki when he saw that the taps are getting shut and they can no longer loot Edo like they are looting Lagos.

Funny

SLAP44:


Your experience with rigged elections rather.

Which election is free and fair

FlordFlorez:
My stands/inputs.

1. You are very wrong in ur assertion that APC will outweigh PDP in spending/vote buying. We are talking about incumbent here. Do u know how much he spent to become PDP's flagbearer? Aside that, PDP has heavy money spenders and u & I knows that PDP has never and can never be broke. They need Edo in buildup to 2023!!

2. Though this is undisputed but not evenly trustworthy, at least not every time. Remember, this is not a general election. Everybody's eye, both locally and internationally are on this election (US of A made a statement about this days ago). Do I also need to remind u of some States where it didn't work out? Besides, he who have the people have majority. Edo people have rejected godfatherism and PDP are building on that! It will be very difficult to fully utilize the Federal might in Edo come on Saturday!!

3. Popularity = 50:50, but APC are heavily being de-marketted! Talk of Oshom's video where he's ditching out vices exhibited by pastor (cultism, acid ish, etc.). What about gandollar's bribery video and many more. APC's image is really disfigured and they only rely on Federal might that will surely not work here.

4. Truly, this is the most important part of election in typical Nigerian setting. But l laugh so hard reading ur inputs about this. Which Oshom? The one his kinsmen has rejected? Even APC as a party has rejected him. He's only trying to use this election to get back at Obaseki. Get this into ur skull: oshom has been rejected by both APC & PDP = Edo people; he cannot approach any collation center by person or cronies.


This outcome of this election will surely shock u...

1. Pdp may as incumbent can match apc money but that is about vote buying for electorates, the people who count, spearhead, and police these votes can't not be bought by pdp.

(2). A one off election is even the deadliest as everything can be concentrated, forget the observers threat, it still happened in kogi etc.

(3). The people only make noise, they can't even stay when there is two fighting in a voting center, you really underestimate what an external force can do in a supposed 50/50 election as you put it

garfield1:


Funny

Funny but true.

SLAP44:


Funny but true.

Obaseki is going

garfield1:


Which election is free and fair

The ones conducted by PDP.

garfield1:


Obaseki is going

To the government house

SLAP44:


The ones conducted by PDP.

While the ones conducted by apc is not free and fair? Funny.the worst election ever was in2007

garfield1:


While the ones conducted by apc is not free and fair? Funny.the worst election ever was in2007

You forgot 2019?

SLAP44:


To the government house

Mr chukwudi,we have had this argument severally.you and your party always end up losing.don't you get tired? Even your oga saraki lost.rest boy

garfield1:


Mr chukwudi,we have had this argument severally.you and your party always end up losing.don't you get tired? Even your oga saraki lost.rest boy

Rigged out you mean? APC cannot win anything, that's why they depend on rigging only.

Yes Edo fund should not be funneled to Bourdillion instead it should be laundered to France tru Obaseki’s appointed commissioners. That is how dead your medulla is.

SLAP44:


The average Edo man is educated and intelligent, not a b people you can continue to enslave as you like. Edo state resources shouldn't be funneled to Bourdillion road.

SAY NO TO GODFATHERISM IN EDO.

SLAP44:


You forgot 2019?

Was still remains 2007

SLAP44:


Rigged out you mean? APC cannot win anything, that's why they depend on rigging only.

Obaseki will be removed

pricklewane:
Yes Edo fund should not be funneled to Bourdillion instead it should be laundered to France tru Obaseki’s appointed commissioners. That is how dead your medulla is.

Sadly, APC supporters cannot debate without throwing insults. Did you get any home training at all?

garfield1:


Apc has won igueben LGA on three occasions

That was when oshomole was incumbent and forced himself to crack one Esan lga (though not mainland Esan) to massage his ego.

This time he can only crack into Edo north because they naturally love him there as a son.

Then parts of Edo South

SLAP44:


Sadly, APC supporters cannot debate without throwing insults. Did you get any home training at all?

I didn't invite you were because I knew youwong contribute anything meaningful.run along son

Nadaken:
That was when oshomole was incumbent and forced himself to crack one Esan lga (though not mainland Esan) to massage his ego.

This time he can only crack into Edo north because they naturally love him there as a son.

Then parts of Edo South

Buhari won igueben sir.oshiomhole won 4 esan lgas including anenih's lga

garfield1:


Buhari won igueben sir

I tell you as it is apc cannot win any lga in Edo Central on Saturday.

We know how the game goes, i can't argue on the others you have listed

helinues:
If Apc can said so much rubbish about Ize Iyamu in 2016 election

If PDP can make so many false allegations about Obaseki in 2016 election

Then, Only a shameless person will support any of them in this election.

Politicians can only fool themselves, not me

well said

Nadaken:
I tell you as it is apc cannot win any lga in Edo Central on Saturday.

We know how the game goes, i can't argue on the others you have listed

It is true.normally apc may not win any LGA in edo central but they usually lose there by a tight margin.but even a child knows that since buhari won igueben,there is no way pastor won't win there

garfield1:


I didn't invite you were because I knew youwong contribute anything meaningful.run along son

no need for iv,, this is. an open forum

slivertongue:


well said

Neutrality fits you better