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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Religion / Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd (10941 Views)
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Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 9:43am On Feb 08, 2021 |
What is the probability given 1. Infinite sets of 30 Alphabets, symbols and punctuation Characters 2. A means of throwing/juggling them 3. Infinite amount of time to repeat the above that 1. Intelligence can result By intellegence I mean Logic acting on data and producing results consistent with the logic. Or 2. A meaningful book can result Some professors are of the opinion that given enough time, without any seed of intellegence behind it, a computer can write a love letter or a chemistry textbook! And I agree with them! 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by LordReed(m): 11:09am On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: Your point being? |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by NairalandSARS: 12:10pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:Smh. If each letter has same probability of occurring, then each permutation of letters will have the probability of occurring, regardless of whether the arrangements are meaningful or meaningless to an intelligent observer. Say we have the letters, D,L,O,C. If each of the letters have a 1/4 chance of randomly been typed, then the permutations COLD, DOLC, CLOD, CCCC, DDDD, LLLL, DLOC etc all have the same probability of occurring after 4 letters are typed. i.e a (1/4)⁴ probability. Regardless of the fact that onlt COLD has a meaning to you... 2 Likes |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Ihedinobi3: 12:29pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: I'm afraid I don't understand. What would be the means if there is no intelligence behind the whole thing? 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 12:40pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Ihedinobi3:Let's just imagine that the juggling is possible. Wouldn't it produce a meaningful paragraph of English, French or Dutch language? 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Kobojunkie: 12:58pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Ihedinobi3: Note the given in this case shadeyinka:so of course it is quite possible |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 1:26pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
NairalandSARS:I think the challenge can be made simpler. Let's garther ALL the alphabets, punctuation marks and symbols used in the make of a large book: say 869,000 characters. If we are to throw them on large papers infinite numbers of time: could an intelligent paragraph or a short story compile itself? 2 Likes |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 1:31pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
LordReed:That all who agree with me should state why they do! |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 2:40pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Kobojunkie:Do we have a scientific basis for this conclusion? Has it been ever experimentally verified? |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Ihedinobi3: 3:58pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: The problem is in the imagining. What would we be imagining? When you "throw" a bunch of characters onto a blank canvas, you activated a mechanism that has complex variables interacting with each other in obscure but completely reasonable patterns. As such, you already have intelligence operating on those characters. There is no true randomness there. When a computer writes a love letter or a chemistry textbook, it can't do it without being told what to do and how to do it. There is absolutely no computer that works without programming. Programming is the provision of logic to the computer in order for it to operate. Likewise, there is absolutely no random process that exists. Every outcome that exists required a logical process to bring it into existence. This is precisely why evolution has no scientific or logical leg to stand on. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 5:05pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Ihedinobi3:I am pulling their legs. I just illustrated how those who think the universe is just one huge lucky jackpot of converging coincidences of accidents which just happened to produce laws, order, universe, stars, planets, and above all living beings. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by LordReed(m): 5:23pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Ihedinobi3: LMAO! I am laughing because you just described evolution in a nutshell. Bwahahahaha! |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by LordReed(m): 5:24pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: So you strawmaned something then shot it to pieces, congratulations! LoL. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by LordReed(m): 5:27pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: Ah well good luck with your strawman. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 6:46pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
LordReed:I think your fallacy is very clear to you now! |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 6:47pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
LordReed:Of course, his my brother: I didn't want to waste his time. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Ihedinobi3: 6:51pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: Oh. LOL! I thought it was odd that you were agreeing with such a thought. Well done. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Ihedinobi3: 6:51pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
LordReed: I promise you I don't understand your comment. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 6:53pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
Ihedinobi3:Their folly is actually apparent to them. But when a person's Intellect has been chained by satan: even with eyes, they wouldn't see! |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 6:55pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:As in, if I ragrnae lstetr yb ggljuing eyht lwoud eamn thimgsone ot oyu in English, French or Dutch language? I wonder. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 6:58pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
budaatum:What you've written sounds Congolese! But I am sure it is meaningless LOL!! Happy new year long time. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 6:59pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: No, since no intelligence nor rules would have been involved in their arrangement. But if you disagree, just randomly arrange the few letters you used in your's quoted above and tell what meaning what you come up with would have. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 7:01pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
LordReed:I think they think evolution is some random arrangement, lol. 2 Likes |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 7:05pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:It's not congolese but gibberish, albeit an arrangement of letters in meaningful English words. It is what you described too, but is not a description of evolution which Ihe is tying it to and claiming is illogical. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 7:08pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
budaatum:It will be a tall order first to decode the language of instruction for it would take an intellegence to understand what was created Secondly, you will have to decode the purpose and the intent of the random characters for a purposeless array of characters would be meaningless. Is it possible to have a message without a background intent? Thirdly, you need to know the rules on which such communication is based on without which order and coherence will be absent. Of course, you'll have to decode the message. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 7:10pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
budaatum:The description wouldn't be evolution except you start the story from the point of the big bang/inflation. Then the real statistics will be glaring |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 7:12pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka: You would have noted all the above by the first responses your thread received. LordReed: Ihedinobi3: And to be honest, I still do not get your point. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 7:14pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:It is Ihe who tied it to evolution to which you seemed to agree. I think you are just talking randomly and I do not know what you mean. 1 Like |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 7:16pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
budaatum:Simple! Can order come out of chaos? Can entropy reduce without an external input of a constraining force? Can intellegence (life) result from random collection of subatomic particles? That is the point being made! |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by Kobojunkie: 7:19pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:You can write a small test program to find out, maybe starting with a finite set. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by shadeyinka(m): 7:20pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
budaatum:Evolution is a late description where life has already been formed only that it increased in complexity through survival of the fittest. The situation of evolution is like having instead of basic characters, you are given whole words and phrases to juggle about. |
Re: Waging A Bet Against An Impossible Statistical Odd by budaatum: 7:22pm On Feb 08, 2021 |
shadeyinka:The answer is yes. It was observed to be so and was described in Genesis 1 and in most creation myths, and it is observant in actuality as evolution. 1 Like |
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