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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Investment / Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (11116119 Views)
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ayztech(f): 10:24pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
Dexterax: Even if the survival of the human race depended upon some kinda remote intercourse with this woman, I wouldn't give it a flying thought. I'd rather slit my wrists Dexterax dexterax Dexterax! Nor tear ur gall bladder with bile oo...why u dey do like earthworm on salt course over none issue?? Ewwwww on your first line quoted ...mutual feelings! Wrist slitting? Naaa, I love life! Abeg nor vex, you don win, you have the last word as usual; sleep easy 11 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dexterax(m): 10:27pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
ayztech: Madam, stay away from my business. 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ayztech(f): 10:30pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
myjoy08: Oga myjoy08 I hear you loud and clear sirrrrrr NB: Dexterax is OUR brother as usual 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ayztech(f): 10:35pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
Dexterax: Ok sire! (But methinks comments on NSEMPA na everybody bizness? ![]() Nor vex further sha; e don reach for one night. 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dexterax(m): 10:36pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
ayztech: 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dragonking: 10:50pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
Make una hold me oooo or else i go bite dexterax for here. ![]() @ayztech, sweety pls relax and have a nice rest biko.. 6 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dexterax(m): 10:52pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
@DragonKing... Abeg which brand you dey drink? Abi na red wine you want? ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Michael11stock(m): 11:00pm On Sep 03, 2014 |
Dexterax: ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Toluway: 4:19am On Sep 04, 2014 |
You dont repond to every little comment my friend, in the spirit of maturity. A man is a man is a man is a..... 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Ugoobuz: 8:27am On Sep 04, 2014 |
My Oga's what is the implication of share price rise on a coy that has all share capital available for trading on the floor and a coy that has just insignificant float to the public. thanks! |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Aks(m): 8:34am On Sep 04, 2014 |
http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/-okomu-oil-reaping-benefits-of-cutting-cost-/188157/ CSL maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on Okomu’s stock as well as a price target of N41.5 per share. 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nitrogen(m): 9:24am On Sep 04, 2014 |
Transcorp, buy buy buy, it will go up to like 8 naira soon. This time, quote me! 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dexterax(m): 9:30am On Sep 04, 2014 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nitrogen(m): 9:30am On Sep 04, 2014 |
Fidson, buy buy buy, am seeing it at 5 naira very soon. Don't quote me! |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dexterax(m): 9:35am On Sep 04, 2014 |
nitrogen: Fidson, buy buy buy, am seeing it at 5 naira very soon. U funny gaan! For Fidson, you qualify it as VERY then you end by saying "Don't quote me". Transcorp is not qualified as such and you want to be quoted? I hope all is well my oga? ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 10:01am On Sep 04, 2014 |
fidson was on my mind , i noticed it was.bouncing btw 3 naira and 3.30 which is 10 percent, iwas hoping it dropped to 3 naira but i was discouraged bt d limited vols it trades daily. how many weeks will it take to load appreciable units ? how long will it take to sell? i jump n pass dt one abeg. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nitrogen(m): 10:03am On Sep 04, 2014 |
Dexterax: Boss, naso we see am o, transcorp, I am very sure, Fidson, I am sure. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nitrogen(m): 10:04am On Sep 04, 2014 |
mercylicious: fidson was on my mind , i noticed it was.bouncing btw 3 naira and 3.30 which is 10 percent, iwas hoping it dropped to 3 naira but i was discouraged bt d limited vols it trades daily. how many weeks will it take to load appreciable units ? how long will it take to sell? i jump n pass dt one abeg. Madam, load any available, in weeks (2-3), you will be happy that you did. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 10:13am On Sep 04, 2014 |
nitrogen: Monkey nitrogen 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by phemmie06(m): 10:27am On Sep 04, 2014 |
www.knightofdelta.com/2014/09/navigating-nigerian-stock-exchange.html?m=1 The Nigerian Stock Exchange: Elections Loom The Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE Index) has been quite volatile in the first eight months of 2014. The first quarter was full of intrigues especially with the suspension of the erstwhile CBN Governor, Lamido Sanusi. The chart below shows the performance of the NSE Index over the past one year. The Index experienced a bullish run in the last quarter of 2013, then took a breather and resumed in the second quarter of 2014. However, it looks as if the market has started taking another breather. Now, the question on every stock investor's mind is this: what is the way forward? As we all know, nobody can accurately predict what the market will do tomorrow, but there are pointers, and other variables, that can tell us what to expect in the near future. The market doesn't always respond to these variables, but as investors, we need to device strategies to help us determine the way forward in optimizing our portfolios. So this is the time to insert a caveat: what I am going to write about is just my opinion, and the strategy I intend to deploy in managing my personal portfolio. Over the past one year, the NSE Index has gained 13.4%, largely because of the bull runs evidenced in the chart above; however, the market has actually lost 0.29% year to date. That is a brief review of the performance. So, how does this all stack up? Let's dig in a little deeper into the numbers. The Nigerian stock market has the largest share in the MSCI Frontier Markets Equity Index, at least until Saudi Arabia is added. Strangely, the NSE Index is cheaper than the MSCI FM Index. The NSE Index has a price to earnings ratio (PE) of 11.9x, but the MSCI FM Index has a PE of 13.9x. While the NSE Index has a price to book value (PBV) of 2.4x, the MSCI FM Index has a PBV of 2.8x. And lastly, the NSE Index has a return of equity (ROE) of 19.4%, while the MSCI FM Index has an ROE of 16.5%. On a relative basis, the Nigerian market is looking cheaper than the stock exchanges in other frontier markets. If the NSE Index is stripped off from the MSCI FM Index, the difference in valuation will actually become much wider because of the weight that Nigeria occupies in the Index. Now, I decided to take a closer look at other stock markets across Africa, and my findings were startling. Nigeria looks undervalued compared to the other markets across Africa. South Africa PE - 15.4x PBV - 2.2x ROE - 15.1% Kenya PE - 12.5x PBV - 2.5x ROE - 28.4x Ghana PE - 13.1x PBV - 1.3x ROE - 13.2x Dow Jones PE - 15.1x PBV - 2.5x ROE - 18.3% Apparently, the NSE Index is quite cheap at this time. But is this the right time to plunge into the market? I don't think so, because I believe the market is still going to become much cheaper than it currently is. Inflation currently stands at 8.2%, but the minimum yield on Nigerian Treasury investment is 10.2%. That is a minimum of 200 basis points real returns on fixed income investment. Why should investors plunge into the stock market when they can get to preserve the purchasing power of your funds at zero risk? Another reason why I believe the market will still become cheaper is the current volatility the NSE Index has displayed so far. The weekly standard deviation of the NSE Index over the past one year stands at 1.95%, while that of the FGN 2022 Bonds stand at 1.08%, which means that the stock market is still quite volatile and this volatility is likely going to drive it down a little further than current levels. Another major concern for the stock market is election fears. The presidential elections is less than six months away from now. A lot of politicians would be keeping liquid cash at the moment to fund elections, and this may make them to sell down assets to meet up with electioneering needs. With rising liquidity will come rising inflation, and in order to curb this inflation, the Central Bank may be forced to tighten liquidity by conducting more frequent open market operations (OMO auctions). Frequent OMO auctions may force interest rates to rise further from current levels, and thus increase the real returns on investment for fixed income. A lot of investors are also likely to stay by the sidelines until the elections are over, and this will lead to reduced appetite in the stock market over the next six months. The stock market is not likely to decline in a straight line; I expect a little bump towards the end of 2014 and early 2015, before it continues its downward trend until the elections are over. The outcome of the elections will also determine how soon the stock market would recover. If the incumbent government is returned, I expect the market to trade sideways for a few weeks that may last up to six months before a massive rebound. This sideways will be informed by the traditional noisemaking that will be made by the losing side(s). If, however, there is a change in government, the market is likely to experience an immediate decline as market participants take off to examine the policies of the new government, and the recovery may not happen for at least one year. The return of the incumbent will guarantee a continuity in policies and the market will react positively to this. The last question is the likely impact of terrorism in the North Eastern part of the country. I believe that this threat will be contained just before or immediately after the elections in February 2015, and the chances of a degeneration into an upheaval of the general economy is less than 0.05%. In summary, despite the cheapness of the Nigerian stock market, I am going to tactically remain underweight for the next six months. But this does not preclude me from cherry picking some very juicy opportunities as they emerge. 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 10:41am On Sep 04, 2014 |
nitrogen: I am tempted to load with this energy of a town crier that you are using. I have the Pharm coys on my mind for 3rd quarter. I mentioned this earlier some weeks back. We are expecting some announcement this quarter. You don see sign?? Abeg talk the talk. Just tell me, you don hia sontin? ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dragonking: 10:49am On Sep 04, 2014 |
Agbalowomeri: ![]() ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dragonking: 10:54am On Sep 04, 2014 |
Dexterax: This babe just left a bitter taste in my mouth. This is not Dexter. I shouldn't have even responded once! bros e don do na..try and relax |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by vgirl: 11:55am On Sep 04, 2014 |
i have been thinking if he is actaully a man or woman. He response to every thing the lady says. Na wah oooo. Dragonking: 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 12:04pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
vgirl: i have been thinking if he is actaully a man or woman. He response to every thing the lady says. Na wah oooo. Two fighting, who call u for the matter? 5 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 12:07pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
Agbalowomeri: ![]() ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dragonking: 12:12pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 12:12pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Elai147: 1:15pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nitrogen(m): 1:30pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by paulcube: 1:39pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
nitrogen: ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by paulcube: 1:41pm On Sep 04, 2014 |
paulcube: Any takers - FBN at 10, Oando at 15-18 range, UBA at 5-5.50.... Just these 3 for now... When? Dec - Jan... Never say never.. Just thinking loud 5 Likes |
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