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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (7056) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:21am On Jun 17, 2023
Geovanni412:


Chief,

The market is bullish but it is unsustainable

It is a market similar to the COVID pump that happened in cryptos, shitcoins and us stock markets.

JUMIA did a 14x during that period...it has since returned to it's price pre COVID.

Solution is to look for stocks that haven't pumped that meet your investment reqmts. (Some of these stocks include intbrew, npfmcrfbk, nb, flourmills, uacn, livestock feed, unilever)

A word is enough for the wise.

See image of jumia 👇

It's obvious you missed the very essence of the post you quoted.

Perhaps, it might help if you could read it again, but this time, read between the lines and try to relate it to the recent views of the recipient so you can infer what should be an appropriate revert or advice to them.
...would also be nice if you could take out some time to read through previous posts before given a feedback.

Thanks for the guide but we already hold many of those coys.
Most of the asset you mentioned were among the select names we recommended here in times past... at least 5 of those names (FLOUR MILLS, UACN, INTERBREW, LIVESTOCK FEEDS & UNILEVER), and over 80% of them did deliver btw 70--230% ROI/NPM.

My previous guidance and follow up recommendation on FLOUR MILLS was @ N14+ at the time I gave a brief on it in one of my article.
UACN was @ N4.5 to N5
UNILEVER was @ N10, INTERBREW @ </=N5 and most recently, LIVESTOCK FEEDS @ 92k.

I don't give recommendations when prices are high.
I give such guidance, oftentimes with fact-driven explicit analysis and/or highlight when prices are ridiculously low and there's a near 1 probability that RRM already trumps IV. (infinitesimal or near zero risk)
...something I sometimes describe as; when an assets potential reward derivative makes a mockery of the combination of price and inherent risk.
And because it usually involves very complex financial analysis and modelling, some buy-side analyst may not see it... because some of the Nos they crave for in the coys financial print would either be hidden or not there.

I don't give recommendations just for the sake of it!

As for your comparative view with Jumia; I think @ l bullbearmkt has given you a valid and near perfect response.

Regards

8 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:23am On Jun 17, 2023
Congratulations to all those who bought STERLING BANK @ N1.4+, LIVESTOCK @ 92k, REDSTAR EXPRESS @N2.3 and the select other coys we highlighted here.

STERLING already delivered over 135% ROI while LIVESTOCK FEEDS has returned near 85%.

Fortunately, it's still a bit early to align with the many other names we've also mentioned here.
I also highlighted the immense potential inherent in a certain sector... it will be explosive "when the time of reckoning comes"!

But no point repeating previous guide. ...so you may wish to surf through my past post should you require further guidance.

Selah

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmasoft(m): 11:39am On Jun 17, 2023
ololufemi:


I suggest that dividends not paid into the client's bank account should be credited into the client's stockbroking account balance through which he bought the shares, pending when the client is able to access these funds via his stockbroking house.

This suggestion is good but it will be difficult to implement because not all shares were bought on the floor of the NGX.
Some were bought during primary market activities.
Many that bought from the floor have no proper kyc documentation, not only that some of the firms have gone under so it will be difficult to trace.

I think the method they are trying to use now is good started about two years ago just that many registrars are not up to speed.

What SEC in particular is aiming at now is for proper kyc documentation for existing investors and at the point of entry through the stockbroking firm with details transmitted to CSCS and the registrars.

We hope this work. You know Nigerians both individuals and corporate Until one policy will come to shake them compliance is very low always.
I believe we get it right some day.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by eziokwunwoko(m): 12:14pm On Jun 17, 2023
Good afternoon Ms Onegentleguy. Please Sterling NG reach N4.50 under this present market conditions.
Appreciate your feedback.
Thanks
onegentleguy:
Congratulations to all those who bought STERLING BANK @ N1.4+, LIVESTOCK @ 92k, REDSTAR EXPRESS @N2.3 and the select other coys we highlighted here.

STERLING already delivered over 135% ROI while LIVESTOCK FEEDS has returned near 85%.

Fortunately, it's still a bit early to align with the many other names we've also mentioned here.
I also highlighted the immense potential inherent in a certain sector... it will be explosive "when the time of reckoning comes"!

But no point repeating previous guide. ...so you may wish to surf through my past post should you require further guidance.

Selah
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 1:21pm On Jun 17, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
I know we have a lot of traders on NSEMPA who don't consider the fundamentals and the business behind the stock


If you have Unity Bank, you need to have a rethink. The bank had negative shareholders fund of over N100 billion about 2 years ago

The bank enjoyed certain privileges in the past, I am not sure if the new Sheriff in town and the new CBN governor will continue with this subsidy.


My opinion though

What you said is true, and that's why it's share price is below N5. However, remember that strange things happen during the bull and bear. Even the best stocks also go down during the bear.

As it is now, UNITYBNK may hit N2 or N3, before the new sheriff settles down to look into somethings.

We make money from this type of stock and invest the money in your type of stocks.

Cheers

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojesymsym: 1:31pm On Jun 17, 2023
The yield on Zenith Bank from your graph seems to have been on a decline since 2015, does that mean the price of the share has been rising because I know the dividends has been on ascendancy for a while?
Geovanni412:


The charts only show changes in share price and not dividend being paid out

If you want to compare dividends being paid out, you can check out this two website and search for the relevant companies:
https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnsa/zenith/dividends
https://simplywall.st/stocks/ng/food-beverage-tobacco/ngse-intbrew/international-breweries-shares/management

I think you'll find all you need as a fundamental analyst in the websites or on tradingview.com.

Both are free to use.

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 1:55pm On Jun 17, 2023
Frangel:
Unity Bank!
I have noticed the recent rally and interest in the price of Unity Bank. 'Newbies', please stay away o. Leave the stock for the 'smart' ones o. They can handle any outcome better. Reminds me of Skye Bank and my loss there (even though Skye was healthier than Unity).

Unity Bank is and has always been around because of other considerations - political, etc. It could not even meet the minimum N25billion capitalisation after the banking consolidation exercise that year. Now, it has been on NEGATIVE 'capital' for some years.
What do you think will happen to the bank if investors show interest in the bank
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 2:07pm On Jun 17, 2023
Geovanni412:


The bank is a political entity

It all depends on IBB's relationship with TInubu

IBB's daughter is a member of the board.

If she's there, then we are going to N3 very soon

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 2:10pm On Jun 17, 2023
veecovee:


If she's there, then we are going to N3 very soon

You wey no sabi TA
No go carry missionary money play kalokalo

10 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 2:24pm On Jun 17, 2023
Agbalowomeri:


You wey no sabi TA
No go carry missionary money play kalokalo



Holy spirit will guide him

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmasoft(m): 2:33pm On Jun 17, 2023
veecovee:


If she's there, then we are going to N3 very soon

Hmm! There is much diversity in unity o.
Thread carefully.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:01pm On Jun 17, 2023
What do you guys think about Glaxo smithkline?

The enterprise value is negative whihc is a rarity in the investment world.

The share price is roughly N7.5 (market cap: N9bn)

Cash in company's coffers: N22bn which comes to N18 per share.

That's far more cash than the market cap.

The company has a tradition of paying special dividends.

Looks like a good upside potential

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Bizibi(m): 3:25pm On Jun 17, 2023
Frangel:
Unity Bank!
I have noticed the recent rally and interest in the price of Unity Bank. 'Newbies', please stay away o. Leave the stock for the 'smart' ones o. They can handle any outcome better. Reminds me of Skye Bank and my loss there (even though Skye was healthier than Unity).

Unity Bank is and has always been around because of other considerations - political, etc. It could not even meet the minimum N25billion capitalisation after the banking consolidation exercise that year. Now, it has been on NEGATIVE 'capital' for some years.
never liked that bank ....the bank app na wahala!! I am still surprise they are still breathing.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Ginalex(f): 4:18pm On Jun 17, 2023
onegentleguy:
Congratulations to all those who bought STERLING BANK @ N1.4+, LIVESTOCK @ 92k, REDSTAR EXPRESS @N2.3 and the select other coys we highlighted here.

STERLING already delivered over 135% ROI while LIVESTOCK FEEDS has returned near 85%.

Fortunately, it's still a bit early to align with the many other names we've also mentioned here.
I also highlighted the immense potential inherent in a certain sector... it will be explosive "when the time of reckoning comes"!

But no point repeating previous guide. ...so you may wish to surf through my past post should you require further guidance.

Selah
thank you so much OGG. I picked up some when you mentioned them

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by YoungBuffet: 4:38pm On Jun 17, 2023
Geovanni412:


Chief,

The market is bullish but it is unsustainable

It is a market similar to the COVID pump that happened in cryptos, shitcoins and us stock markets.

JUMIA did a 14x during that period...it has since returned to it's price pre COVID.

Solution is to look for stocks that haven't pumped that meet your investment reqmts. (Some of these stocks include intbrew, npfmcrfbk, nb, flourmills, uacn, livestock feed, unilever)

A word is enough for the wise.

See image of jumia 👇

Bro. Those stocks u mentioned won't have special pumping if they were not pumped when others were pumped, anyone who bought in anticipation that they would have a special rally might be wrong. However, the next wash and rinse if they have interest in them they will pump them but to me they will take those pumped back to their original level then another round of pump will occur. Those that can sustain the buying and 1month 10% everyday thing are not in yet na the local Mart guys doing the things knowing fully well that alot of people we want to rush to the market to take the advantage of the new administration's policies so they have been washing and now they have to rinse
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Frangel: 4:48pm On Jun 17, 2023
I can actually trade on Unity Bank shares but will not hold overnight. E get why. My advice was primarily to 'newbies'.

Good we agree it could be 'extremely dangerous' to hold Unity Bank shares. 100% loss is possible anyday CBN decides to do the needful.


Geovanni412:


Unity bank is for hit and run

Someone looking for a quick 20-40% profit in days

In 13 days for the month to end, it is very likely unity bank will achieve that.

AFTER THE MONTH ENDS, it is[b] extremely dangerous[/b] to hold onto or buy Unity bank .50-50 chance it pumps like ftn cocoa or crashes like penny stocks like abc transport. Whichever one happens, will happen with speed.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by YoungBuffet: 4:49pm On Jun 17, 2023
Agbalowomeri:


Ahh why are you against pump and dump? How we for make money? Just understand the game and play it

Guy am not against pumping and dumping cos that is the real game but at a point we should not advice our followers to near the market. A friend call me from outside the country and he was seeing stocks rising and behold may be he was tempted to buy at those higher prices I told him not to near the market that it will fall. In his very eyes zenith hit 35 and same day lost N1.7 how will he feels if I had told him buy at any price the stock is going to 50 and based on my advice he bought at 35 then weeks later the stock is selling for 25? Another one asked me if she should sell her zenith I told her to follow her mind since she thinks zenith will get to the moon as she's not ready to take my advice. The thing is, if anyone can't join the party at the starting of the party may be u now want to join in the middle or towards the end then smart guys will dump on him that is my point.

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 4:53pm On Jun 17, 2023
Bizibi:
never liked that bank ....the bank app na wahala!! I am still surprise they are still breathing.



It is on life support, it is costing tax payers money.


I won't be surprised if they remove the life support machine or shareholders will have to recapitalise the bank. A stronger bank might acquire it
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 5:07pm On Jun 17, 2023
Agbalowomeri:


You wey no sabi TA
No go carry missionary money play kalokalo
After every mad bull or bear, comes TA application. UNITYBNK is still mad. I bought at .64k and will be through with it soon, maybe at N2 or N3 depending how the upward momentum goes.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ustanley82: 5:26pm On Jun 17, 2023
Pls House which registrars Is taking care of Julius Berger PLC I submitted to GTL but am seeing Union again
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ustanley82: 5:30pm On Jun 17, 2023
Pls Julius Berger Registrars I submitted my e dividend mandate form to GTL , and I ave also seen Greenwich and Union
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Frangel: 5:43pm On Jun 17, 2023
If you mean new investors, at least N250billion would be injected to meet the minimum capital requirement to have a banking licence.

If you mean investors buying existing shares on NGX, the price could go up or down and they earn profits or losses, life goes on. Also, the CBN could take over the bank for persistently having negative shareholders fund, failing to meet the required minimum capital for a bank in Nigeria; shareholders lose their investments.


veecovee:

What do you think will happen to the bank if investors show interest in the bank
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Geovanni412(m): 6:07pm On Jun 17, 2023
YoungBuffet:


Bro. Those stocks u mentioned won't have special pumping if they were not pumped when others were pumped, anyone who bought in anticipation that they would have a special rally might be wrong. However, the next wash and rinse if they have interest in them they will pump them but to me they will take those pumped back to their original level then another round of pump will occur. Those that can sustain the buying and 1month 10% everyday thing are not in yet na the local Mart guys doing the things knowing fully well that alot of people we want to rush to the market to take the advantage of the new administration's policies so they have been washing and now they have to rinse

I don't expect them to have special pumping

The market cap of most of the stocks that haven't moved are in billions making them a bit trickier to manipulate

They will probably move because they are severely underpriced..down by more than 70-90 percent from peak. Either that or like you said, they'll stagnate for a while.

Anyway, what do you think in particular about
University press plc and livestock feeds plc as short term holds (1-2 years)?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ustanley82: 6:11pm On Jun 17, 2023
Pls which registrars handles Julius Berger plc
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sophy17(m): 6:24pm On Jun 17, 2023
ustanley82:
Pls which registrars handles Julius Berger plc


GTL Registrars

Email - info@gtlregistrars.com

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by RichEstate(m): 6:34pm On Jun 17, 2023
OBAGADAFFI:


Cardinal has their own mobile app.

Yoocha is secondary platform

Is Yoocha safe for trading foreign stocks? I currently use it. Please advise me.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 7:03pm On Jun 17, 2023
Just returning from an ethnocentric ban by a headless, wicked, heartless Nairaland moderator in charge of politics section where I'm a PRO-BATIST.
The sentiment in favour of 🤝 UNITYBNK is being dictated by the common aphorism in stock trading and investing "If the preferable stock with good fundamental is not available, then the available becomes the preferable"
True to this, Nigeria listed companies follow this trend in >75% of cases. A rise in share price of GTCO vs Zenith, chase, rival and drag each other.
ACCESS vs UBA
Fidelity vs FCMB
PZ vs Unilever vs Cadbury
Bua cement vs Wapco
Conoil vs MRS, dragging ETERNA along coz of news on deregulation.
Mansard vs NEM vs CUSTODIAN
Aiico vs Wapic vs other insurance comp.
Guiness vs NB ...in those days, make NB the preferable at index price of N43.9 compared with the former at N77.7, and dz also hold a strong sentiment for International Breweries coz they compete in the same open market and would imminently drag INTBREW in the foreseeable weeks.
Wema vs Sterling are now pair, and the 2 institutions are expected to chase and catch up with each other in the foreseeable future.

Unity vs JAIZBANK....The former is now chasing the latter. Buying unity is purely a sentimental analysis.
People buying UNITYBNK are not doing so coz they believe in sudden turn around of this financial service provider, despite the recent improvement in the company financial reports, rather, the viral news of Tinubull is drawing people near and far to the market.
New entrants tend not to understand TA and FA before investing, while traders that are well positioned (I meant those that bought at sub N0.50k in 2022(October to December) myself inclusive are now using the TINUBULL to cash out and reinvest in dividend paying, and fundamentally sound stocks. This trend will continue until the ongoing and volatile TINUBULL attain an equilibrium.
"Equilibrium is the state in which market supply and demand balance each other, and as a result prices become stable. Generally, an over-supply of goods or services causes prices to go down, which results in higher demand—while an under-supply or shortage causes prices to go up resulting in less demand."
Same investors sentiment is promoting International Breweries, many analysts (both local and international recommend buy) one can follow this if you consider INTBREW as a growth stock that should be in your retirement (pension) portfolio.
At equilibrium, the Euphoria of TINUBULL effect on the capital market and Naira floating would have settled down, and the volatile nature of the Market continues.
Otherwise, investing in UNITYBNK with deficit shareholders fund is a personal choice. There is no pointer that this bank will pay any dividend in the next 4 years except a new investor/s buy the bank and delist it outrightly like the defunct Diamond Bank, then minority shareholders stand to benefit.
Investor sentiments and herds mentality can drive a dead stock to life during a bear or bull.
In sentimental analysis, good news and bad news exert their effects on the market.
Shares outstanding, cash inflows, current liabilities, income, operating deficit or surplus, cash balance , cost of income, share holders fund, PE value and fair value estimate are relegated to secondary indices when sentiment prevails at it's peak. Investors just react to the news, the herds follow.
People should have noticed the sudden activities in Tantalizer, DEAPCAP, and TIP that have been dormant for months.
Only investment naive individuals will venture into these dead stocks.
Still, it is their choice. Perhaps, they are ready to wait for years for the companies to turn around.

To those that commented my post on Total Energies. I wanted to reply earlier, but was banned coz I stand on PBAT mandate.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/totalenergies-announces-ntokon-oil-gas-discovery-off-nigeria-2023-06-13/

I only shared the good news for Nigerians, never to convince NGX listed Total Energies downstream equity holders. I know fully well that Total energy exploration & production, and Conoil producing are not listed on NSE....pls take note.
I'm a value investor with sound investment objective of growing my portfolio.
I outperformed all the members of FMAN and their overhyped portfolios(funds manager association of Nigeria). No fund manager beats my portfolio. I do not need to beat my chest coz I know that Jehovah has been so kind to me.
My portfolio is a thing of joy 2me, I can't explain how I defeated Nigeria inflation and Buhari 8 years of relative stagnancy in the capital market . I knew the economy was heading for a doom if the Naira was not floated, hence the last 4 years of Buhari administration offered me buying opportunity in fundamentally sound dividend paying companies.
On paper, We have all lost money 💰 if you divide your portfolio by N465 to a dollar b4 floating and by N680 after floating. however, this is paper loss. Million Naira is still difficult for hard working Nigerians.
The TINUBULL run alone added over N22M profit to my portfolio in 2 weeks as at the last business day of theweek. It is childlish sharing such screenshot. Some will feel intimidated.
One of the op even mentioned that I crawl from the bush. lol
Well, I have been following this thread as a guest since 2015.
I hope to share my experience on how I grew my inflation beating portfolio on an external thread one of this days, albeit as an anonymous.
The essence is not to take such experience to the grave, often mentioned that the richest place in Africa is the graveyard.
Compatriots should share true investment story on this platform in order to encourage others.
Kudos to all compatriots (both new and old)
Stockbull....pls come back
Feelamong....come back
Chibuking......come back
Agbalowomeri....be more active
Pa-emmanuel...be more active
RabbiDoracle...be more active
Yarinya.....come back
Onegentleman ..due respect
Peterichy, The Octopus...be more active.
Dipoolowoo...I miss the investment news link you usually share. Nowadays, I have to visit business post without observing your presence. Hope you haven't JAPA?
https://businesspost.ng/category/general/?amp=1#
So many compatriots that I can't remember their monikers. I extend greeting to you all.
You may not see my post often on this thread, but will share ideas that can benefit new investors once in a while if I don't get banned 😉 by the wicked Nairaland moderators.

IGBA YI A TU WA LARA OOOO.

19 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Wapgod(m): 7:12pm On Jun 17, 2023
..
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ustanley82: 7:29pm On Jun 17, 2023
sophy17:



GTL Registrars

Email - info@gtlregistrars.com
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ustanley82: 7:31pm On Jun 17, 2023
Thanks

GTL Registrars

Email - info@gtlregistrars.com[/quote]

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 8:53pm On Jun 17, 2023
Frangel:
If you mean new investors, at least N250billion would be injected to meet the minimum capital requirement to have a banking licence.

If you mean investors buying existing shares on NGX, the price could go up or down and they earn profits or losses, life goes on. Also, the CBN could take over the bank for persistently having negative shareholders fund, failing to meet the required minimum capital for a bank in Nigeria; shareholders lose their investments.


Why do you think their license has not been withdrawn, or are you trying to say that the bank is working without a license?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by YoungBuffet: 9:33pm On Jun 17, 2023
megawealth01:

What if FO leaves suddenly?

Yes it will disappear suddenly, since that is what you want and what u want to hear.

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