I think NEMA's flood prediction is part of the transformation agenda of Mr President. If it had happened, there wouldn't be a BREATH OF FRESH AIR. Don't ask me how because I don't know!

This is a good question which NEMA should address else people won't take them seriously anymore.

The statement credited to NEMA is called prediction because it's enshrouded in probability. In all probable event there is always the chance that it may not happen which is what we are experiencing/have experienced.

I personally believe the farcical prediction is enough for someone to lose his job. You guys need to understand the level of distortion this prediction caused in riverine communities that experienced last year's traumatic floods. Accomplished farmers refused to plough their land for fear of losing their crops as they did last year with most resorting to cultivating only basic quick maturing crops, needless to say lots of households bore the brunt of a baseless prediction. I know of at least one large scale plantain farming family that makes close to a 100k in weekly harvests and suffered the devastation of last years floods but had to sit out this farming season due to those warnings, they are now neck deep in debt!
I've seen data collected from an ongoing nationwide research on rice cultivation and of interest was the lack of cultivation of the crop in certain local goverments in Delta, Bayelsa and Rivers state that hitherto had an appreciable number of rice farmers, I'd thought those areas were not covered due to accessibility but was told farmers there had to shelve their planting plans due to the flood warnings - we are talking of entire local governments in at least thrre states here! You can extrapolate on the combined effects of the warning on entire farming communities along the coast of the Niger and Benue that had no choice but to sit out the farming season.
The question remain: on what basis were this warnings issued? Did these guys have the capacity to issue warnings a year ahead ( the warnings were issued before the rains started!). Last years flood was the worse in living memory, I remember an old man while recounting the story said he'd marked on the wall of his fathers the extent of the greatest flood he'd witnessed that occured during the civil war (1967) as at when he was speaking, his entire house was already under water! To put it in context, NIMET's warning said this years floods would be greater than last years! Now do you understand the level of apprehension these people were needlessly put into especially as state and local government authorities had to drum this into their ears believing they were preparing them for the inevitable?
I believe NIMET should be made to answer some very serious questions here. What went wrong? Who goofed? Who's the alrmist that doesnt deserve tax payers money? The DG ought to talke some responsibilty and apologise for distorting peoples lives bigtime.

Bereal247: The statement credited to NEMA is called prediction because it's enshrouded in probability. In all probable event there is always the chance that it may not happen which is what we are experiencing/have experienced.

My dear you have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. The level of scaremongering adopted by NEMA would be leading to serious litigation in advanced climes. People were given the impression of a Clear and Present Danger!

It is very possible to be in a situation where you see a serious wind blowing towards you and you are so certain the wind will reach you and destroy you(dat is your prediction), then all off a sudden the wind changes direction and everyhing with you becomes absolutely normal, no more live treatning situation(that is reality)!

NEMA prediction for SW:

In the South West geo-political zone, the prediction revealed that Saki and Ibadan in Oyo State; Ondo and Akure in Ondo State, Ijebu Ode in Ogun State are expected to experience excessive rainfall.

Did it happen?

https://www.nairaland.com/1450926/24-hours-nonstop-rainfall-ondo

https://www.nairaland.com/1450894/torrential-rain-paralyses-activities-ibadan

wesley80: My dear you have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. The level of scaremongering adopted by NEMA would be leading to serious litigation in advanced climes. People were given the impression of a Clear and Present Danger!

There was no scare mongering. NEMA stated the fact. Sometimes, we don't give our local efforts enough credit.
I was in Ondo at the time, and at least 6 families around me were displaced. There was heavy flooding all over the place. Snakes found their way into people's homes. The danger was indeed clear and present. So much so, private property owners began digging/ clearing their drainages, the State Govt began dredging the rivers around residential areas and kind neighbors provided temporary shelter for those displaced.

Ok

passion007:
There was no scare mongering. NEMA stated the fact. Sometimes, we don't give our local efforts enough credit.
I was in Ondo at the time, and at least 6 families around me were displaced. There was heavy flooding all over the place. Snakes found their way into people's homes. The danger was indeed clear and present. So much so, private property owners began digging/ clearing their drainages, the State Govt began dredging the rivers around residential areas and kind neighbors provided temporary shelter for those displaced.

Does Ondo state have communities with coastal boundaries along River Niger and Benue? Did Ondo state suffer from the devastating floods of 2012? If your answer is no then we are talking about different things.

wesley80: Does Ondo state have communities with coastal boundaries along River Niger and Benue? Did Ondo state suffer from the devastating floods of 2012? If your answer is no then we are talking about different things.

Are you saying only coastal towns and cities were affected by the 2012 flood?
Because it's on record inland cities were similarly affected. Ibadan, for instance.

I'm not talking about your flooded streets and drainages I'm talking about covered houses and completely submerged local government areas. Do we sound like we are talkin about the same thing?

wesley80: I'm not talking about your flooded streets and drainages I'm talking about covered houses and completely submerged local government areas. Do we sound like we are talkin about the same thing?

The topic is about NEMA's flood prediction in genreal, both inland and costal.
Narrow it down to strictly coastal flooding, and I would not have commented as I don't reside in a coastal area.

Yes.. It is A Prediction.....

Not all Prediction Come to Life

precautional measures were taken unlike last year when the rains took us by suprise

simple. The predictions were carried away by flood.

THANK GOD, YOU SAID ITS A PREDICTION, YOUR QUESTION IS ALREADY ANSWERED.

ITS A PREDICTION.

No, it actually was a warning.

What I think NEMA did was to give a sort of pre-emptive warning so nobody blames them for not being able to predict floods. Could be a trick to disguise incompetency, you know better a false alarm than a surprise flood.

NIMET should sit up and take their mandate seriously to ensure that their predictions are accurate, otherwise they will lose their credibility and no one will ever believe them. I can bet you, if by 2014 they come up with predictions of heavy rains and flooding, people may not likely take them serious. Peradventure, the rains come heavily with serious flooding and without adequate preparation like in the past, your guess will be as right as mine. God helping us!!!!!. A country with no direction.

Them be God

Flooding happened in the northern part of the country o!

wesley80: I personally believe the farcical prediction is enough for someone to lose his job. You guys need to understand the level of distortion this prediction caused in riverine communities that experienced last year's traumatic floods. Accomplished farmers refused to plough their land for fear of losing their crops as they did last year with most resorting to cultivating only basic quick maturing crops, needless to say lots of households bore the brunt of a baseless prediction. I know of at least one large scale plantain farming family that makes close to a 100k in weekly harvests and suffered the devastation of last years floods but had to sit out this farming season due to those warnings, they are now neck deep in debt!
I've seen data collected from an ongoing nationwide research on rice cultivation and of interest was the lack of cultivation of the crop in certain local goverments in Delta, Bayelsa and Rivers state that hitherto had an appreciable number of rice farmers, I'd thought those areas were not covered due to accessibility but was told farmers there had to shelve their planting plans due to the flood warnings - we are talking of entire local governments in at least thrre states here! You can extrapolate on the combined effects of the warning on entire farming communities along the coast of the Niger and Benue that had no choice but to sit out the farming season.
The question remain: on what basis were this warnings issued? Did these guys have the capacity to issue warnings a year ahead ( the warnings were issued before the rains started!). Last years flood was the worse in living memory, I remember an old man while recounting the story said he'd marked on the wall of his fathers the extent of the greatest flood he'd witnessed that occured during the civil war (1967) as at when he was speaking, his entire house was already under water! To put it in context, NIMET's warning said this years floods would be greater than last years! Now do you understand the level of apprehension these people were needlessly put into especially as state and local government authorities had to drum this into their ears believing they were preparing them for the inevitable?
I believe NIMET should be made to answer some very serious questions here. What went wrong? Who goofed? Who's the alrmist that doesnt deserve tax payers money? The DG ought to talke some responsibilty and apologise for distorting peoples lives bigtime.

you have said it all

Man propose God dispose. If u support me click like.

Prediction can be likened to probability which may come to past or not. We need to appreciate the information because that has really waken us up and prepare us for the eventuality.

Still in the pipeline

Who & what is NNEMA....abeg no b Niger we dey

btw can Sm1 sow #20,000.....as a SEED in2 my AccounT....

GOD loves a Cheerful Giver!!

Can a people who dont even have common weather stations all over the country make accurate predictions? They only rely on foreign satelites which will only give regional data.

We need weather stations on every telecommunication mast in nigeria to get accurate weather data for predictions.

I and some of my naija guys in conjunction with oyibo from holland have started somethings small already. It will only take federal govt commitment to help complete the initiative.

check the links below

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qlrtAe3w7kw
http://tahmo.info/sensor-design-competition
and our facebook page
TAHMO Initiative