If the 2015 elections were held today, and President Goodluck Jonathan was on the ballot as a candidate of the ruling Peoples Democratic Party, the result will be the most humiliating defeat of the All Progressives Congress in the South-East zone. Very few people in Igboland will vote for the APC. The South-East is the highest support base of Jonathan and his party and I will tell you why.It is not because Jonathan has performed creditably in the zone. If you speak with many of the political leaders in the zone privately, they will express their disgust for the President’s unresponsive leadership style. However, despite the initial promise shown by the APC, it has simply refused to carry Ndigbo along. This attitude might have been borne out of the initial permutations about 2015 within the party.Conventional wisdom will proposethat if the APC manages to win themajority votes in most of the states in the North and South-West, it may not need to bother somuch about the South-South and the South-East, yet, the party can hope of defeating the President. However, the surprise from the last Ekiti election has changed everything. With a considerable incursion into the expected APC votes in the South-West, and the uncertainties in the North arising from insecurity, the permutation needs to be adjusted for the APC to defeat the incumbent President. The fate of the 7,577,212 votes of Ndigbo may become the game-changer. Many people take it for granted that these votes will go to Jonathan. Why?The APC does not seem perturbedhow it is perceived in other regions apart from the North. For those who are on the ground in Igboland, the party is still being perceived rightly or wrongly as a Northern party. Many conservative Igbo voters are very reluctant to join such a party. Although some individuals within the party such as Governor RochasOkorocha of Imo State and Senator Chris Ngige are popular, such popularity has yet to be transferred to the party.The second point is that many people still feel that the APC has links with the Boko Haram insurgents causing mayhem in theNorth. This may just be mere perception that cannot be substantiated, yet, it has eaten deeply into the fabric of our society. For some reasons that are beyond the scope of this writer, many of the victims of the Boko Haram attacks have been Christians and their worship centres. And many Igbo, who are mainly Christians, are domicilled in the North while a majority of the abducted girls from Chibok are Christians. The prevailing narrative in the South-East therefore is that Ndigbo and Christians are being targeted by the insurgents. Though it could bepropaganda, the ruling Peoples Democratic Party has continuouslypointed accusing fingers at the APC. Anyone who thinks that such crucial perception issues will not affect the pattern of voting in 2015 is only being naïve.Interestingly, the APC as a party has done nothing except occasional denials to challenge some of these perceptions. Even among many Yoruba in the South-West, the prevailing narrative about the religious portrayal of the APC could affect the direction of their support especially in the Presidential election. That is why the whole idea of a Muslim-Muslim ticket will be an error. Now, as a person, I really do not care about the religion of any political leader. It matters less to me. However, as a student of pragmatic politics, I know it matters much for many Nigerians especially with the continuous bombings and killings linked to the extremist Muslims.Now back to Ndigbo and the do-nothing approach of the APC, there are two incidents that have portrayed the party as insensitive to the South-East which, obviously, would affect its electoral fortunes. The first is the massacre of 14 Ndigbo traders who were attending Adazi town hall meeting in Mubi, Adamawa State some years back.The second is the forced surreptitious “deportation” of some people of Igbo extraction to Onitsha Bridge. Since the Adazi incident, many of the widows have been forced to flee into theirhome state. There were media reports how those women were finding it difficult to find their feetbecause of the manner of their exit from Mubi. Many waited to hear that one of the APC leaders paid a solidarity visit to Adazi to commiserate with the widows let alone arranging any form of support to them even if for the sake of politics. For the deportation incident, after a widespread condemnation of the action by many patriots, Governor Babatunde Fashola was forced to offer a half-hearted apology.On a final note, Maj. Gen. Muhammadu Buhari (retd.) and some prominent leaders of the APC have been portrayed in the media as religious zealots. Even if Buhari is not one, there are many people who will find that difficult to believe among the South-East electorate. That singular perception may potentially cause problems for the party in the forthcoming elections.There is a consensus among the Nigerian public that the ruling PDP has not performed. The people seem prepared to vote theparty out in the next elections. However, it is not automatic. Many Nigerians have waited endlessly for the APC that it could be relied upon to deliver a real change to the people. That has not happened. If it does not happen soon through a reach-out strategy that challenges some of these perceptions, then the hope of displacing the PDP may continue to be wishful thinking.However, if Nigeria is to fulfil its developmental potential, it is timeto play politics beyond those narrow fixations and peddling of untested preconceived ideas but ignoring Ndigbo could become a risky adventure that may lead to perilous outcomes. The addiction of the APC leadership for control should give way to a clear road map of how to govern Nigeria differently.The party could still be the vehiclefor change only if its leaders will urgently evolve an inclusive strategy and a clear policy departure from business-as-usual pattern of the PDP. They should wake up from their slumber or forget the Presidency in 2015.



http://www.punchng.com/opinion/why-ndigbo-may-not-vote-apc-in-2015-elections/

Politicians just love your votes for their pockets. They dont love you.

Dreal1247: Politicians just love your votes for their pockets. They dont love you.

Out of point / topic.

Dont forget Buhari's supporters killing igbos, Fashola deporting and over taxing igbos, Nyako calling for a genocide against igbos, Amaechi calling Imo State "ordinary igbo..i mean ordinary imo state" and their links to bigotted murders like Sanusi Lamido Sanusi who killed Gideon Akalua. Lets not forget their witch hunt against each and every single igbo person in GEJ's government. Barth Nnaji, General Ihejirika, Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, Stella Oduah, Allison Madueke. Rochas Okorocha's blatant attempts to cause disunity among igbos Ngige's attempts to import thugs from Osun to cause violence in Anambra. Their mallamic states currently trying to deny Igbos a 6th state at the National Conference. I can name these evils all day!

PhockPhockMan: Out of point / topic.

.
Read through the post b4 condemning. I read it hence that comment.

rubbish like we don't know that even if Jesus represent APC, loads of Igbo's won't still vote APC. abeg let the emotion keep driving y'all lots and keep burning bridges nationwide cos that what y'all do best.

even on this forum, it is always igbos vs other tribes.

igbos diss ijaws as lazy
yorubas dirty
Hausa unintelligent
middle belters slaves.

na only them correct, you have to just look and laugh at the inferiority complex of these folks.

Ikengawo: Dont forget Buhari's supporters killing igbos, Fashola deporting and over taxing igbos, Nyako calling for a genocide against igbos, Amaechi calling Imo State "ordinary igbo..i mean ordinary imo state" and their links to bigotted murders like Sanusi Lamido Sanusi who killed Gideon Akalua. Lets not forget their witch hunt against each and every single igbo person in GEJ's government. Barth Nnaji, General Ihejirika, Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, Stella Oduah, Allison Madueke. Rochas Okorocha's blatant attempts to cause disunity among igbos Ngige's attempts to import thugs from Osun to cause violence in Anambra. Their mallamic states currently trying to deny Igbos a 6th state at the National Conference. I can name these evils all day!

APC, the Islamic party that want to islamise Igboland through the force of their military wing, boko haram. A party that has succeeded in bankrupting Imo State. A party that has shown the hatred for igbos time and time again as exemplified by their recent convention. A party which is a congregation of enemy of Ndigbo. Whoever feel that igbos cheated them by not joining Apc should show example by joining APGA.

TO HELL WITH APC.

anago18: even on this forum, it is always igbos vs other tribes.

igbos diss ijaws as lazy
yorubas dirty
Hausa unintelligent
middle belters slaves.

na only them correct, you have to just look and laugh at the inferiority complex of these folks.

A beg who called ijaws fishermen and ogogoro drinkers?

ChrisOD:

A beg who called ijaws fishermen and ogogoro drinkers?

everyone do.

OK

ChrisOD:

A beg who called ijaws fishermen and ogogoro drinkers?

Don't mind them, at a time, gutter language like, Ijaw ogogoro drinkers, clueless fisherman, ogogoro drinking president etc became daily anthem for personality like Bola Ahmed Tinubu " BAT ". So unfortunate.

And next in the news: Why the sun may not raise in the east tomorrow morning..........!

What a sandy permutation!!!
You see, in politics, you musn't win everything, but something little from a non-stronghold of the APC like the south-east. Remember that, any state in the SE Buhari lost to gej in 2011 election, he(buhari) got the needed 25% from there. This is what we need to build upon in the forthcoming election.
If the writer of this article thinks the outcome of ekiti gov election is gonna have any effect on the 2015 presidential election, then, he must be 'woken' up from his sleep using pestle. The people of ekiti people voted ayo fayose, and not PDP. Read that?!
Yoruba people don't vote for party, religion, tribe etc like other nigerians do. They vote for development, personality and idealogy; the greatest sense any sane voter could have anywhre in the world. This is why they're going to give pdp the run for their money in 2015. Watchout for the made in southwest humiliation gej is gonna get in 2015 from the yorubas.

APC has done little to convince the Igbos that they will be protected when they gain power. Until they do that, the should forget about igbo support and vote.

Ikengawo: Dont forget Buhari's supporters killing igbos, Fashola deporting and over taxing igbos, Nyako calling for a genocide against igbos, Amaechi calling Imo State "ordinary igbo..i mean ordinary imo state" and their links to bigotted murders like Sanusi Lamido Sanusi who killed Gideon Akalua. Lets not forget their witch hunt against each and every single igbo person in GEJ's government. Barth Nnaji, General Ihejirika, Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, Stella Oduah, Allison Madueke. Rochas Okorocha's blatant attempts to cause disunity among igbos Ngige's attempts to import thugs from Osun to cause violence in Anambra. Their mallamic states currently trying to deny Igbos a 6th state at the National Conference. I can name these evils all day!

this post is typical of ibo people; they cry even when they're not beaten. Must u guys always form the victims? Are u all comedians in ur place?

APC will lose like CPC as usual

caseless: What a sandy permutation!!!
You see, in politics, you musn't win everything, but something little from a non-stronghold of the APC like the south-east. Remember that, any state in the SE Buhari lost to gej in 2011 election, he(buhari) got the needed 25% from there. This is what we need to build upon in the forthcoming election.
If the writer of this article thinks the outcome of ekiti gov election is gonna have any effect on the 2015 presidential election, then, he must be 'woken' up from his sleep using pestle. The people of ekiti people voted ayo fayose, and not PDP. Read that?!
Yoruba people don't vote for party, religion, tribe etc like other nigerians do. They vote for development, personality and idealogy; the greatest sense any sane voter could have anywhre in the world. This is why they're going to give pdp the run for their money in 2015. Watchout for the made in southwest humiliation gej is gonna get in 2015 from the yorubas.

Long story. We read similar long epistle before Ondo, Anambra and recently Ekiti State governorship elections. We all saw the outcome.

caseless: What a sandy permutation!!!
You see, in politics, you musn't win everything, but something little from a non-stronghold of the APC like the south-east. Remember that, any state in the SE Buhari lost to gej in 2011 election, he(buhari) got the needed 25% from there. This is what we need to build upon in the forthcoming election.
If the writer of this article thinks the outcome of ekiti gov election is gonna have any effect on the 2015 presidential election, then, he must be 'woken' up from his sleep using pestle. The people of ekiti people voted ayo fayose, and not PDP. Read that?!
Yoruba people don't vote for party, religion, tribe etc like other nigerians do. They vote for development, personality and idealogy; the greatest sense any sane voter could have anywhre in the world. This is why they're going to give pdp the run for their money in 2015. Watchout for the made in southwest humiliation gej is gonna get in 2015 from the yorubas.

Thumbs up Bro.

These nitwits seem to forget something: In voting, you vote for the personality , NOT the party.

Fayemi lost Ekiti elections because of one thing: His maltreatment of the general populace. !. By what iv heard about the man's administration so far, he's the best Governor Ekiti has yet produced going by what he has achieved in the state. But you dont get to win people's support when you step on their toes & punish them all in the name of development.

To cut short, we Yorubas vote personality, but these morons seem to think GEJ winning Ekiti= GEJ winning SW in 2015. Maybe if most of them after leaving their eroded & hopeless regions to Lagos will try go round SW & find out how badly we want Jonaadaft out come 2015.

Well what do you expect from ungrateful low-lifers who have come to live in your home? Nothing sensible for sure.

Just Ignore this Pests joo.

StBlack1:

Thumbs up Bro.

These nitwits seem to forget something: In voting, you vote for the personality , NOT the party.

Fayemi lost Ekiti elections because of one thing: His maltreatment of the general populace. !. By what iv heard about the man's administration so far, he's the best Governor Ekiti has yet produced going by what he has achieved in the state. But you dont get to win people's support when you step on their toes & punish them all in the name of development.

To cut short, we Yorubas vote personality, but these morons seem to think GEJ winning Ekiti= GEJ winning SW in 2015. Maybe if most of them after leaving their eroded & hopeless regions to Lagos will try go round SW & find out how badly we want Jonaadaft out come 2015.

Well what do you expect from ungrateful low-lifers who have come to live in your home? Nothing sensible for sure.

Just Ignore this Pests joo.

so yorubas will vote for the Buhari (terrorist) personality

quid:
so yorubas will vote for the Buhari (terrorist) personality

Is Michael Jackson still White?

StBlack1:
Is Michael Jackson still White?

It depends, Obama is a half-caste

quid:
It depends, Obama is a half-caste

Well if you think so, you may as well ask Obama that & tell me the response you ll be fed.

StBlack1:

Well if you think so, you may as well ask Obama that & tell me the response you ll be fed.

Affirmative: Yorubas will vote Buhari, and terrorism by extension

quid:
Affirmative: Yorubas will vote Buhari, and terrorism by extension

Its Igbos that call Buhari a terrorist.

So its no surprise. Since all you do is no less than inconsequential to us.

StBlack1:
Its Igbos that call Buhari a terrorist.

And coneheads vote for murdering muslim (brotherhood) Buhari

StBlack1:
So its no surprise. Since all you do is no less than inconsequential to us.

That is why APC will lose woefully.

Igbos only support the party in power. When APC wins come and see them decamping! We are not ready for leadership. Traders everywhere.

dinachi: Igbos only support the party in power. When APC wins come and see them decamping! We are not ready for leadership. Traders everywhere.

and yorubas support murderers LOOKING FOR POWER

quid:
And coneheads vote for murdering muslim (brotherhood) Buhari

That is why APC will lose woefully.

There's nothing Igbos say thats of any logical bearing.

We own Lagos
We will win SW
APC will lose SW......blablabla

They are nothing but mere nuisances & nonentities crying & wailing needlessly every now & then in Nigeria. SOOO, they dont dissapponit with their usual blaberrings. !