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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa (40162 Views)
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Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by bjdon: 9:35am On Mar 30, 2015 |
Whitehorse: Good analysis @Whitehorse, but do bear in my mind as I mentioned in an above post, the battle line is now in the NE, if Buhari wins Adamawa/Taraba in addition to the expected wins in Yobe and Borno, I see no way back for GEJ, however if GEJ wins those 2 states and keeps the margin of defeat in Borno and Yobe above 30% and (the big IF) is able to secure 30% in target NW states like Sokoto and Kaduna then the big cooking pot from SS/SE might just do the trick. You are 100% correct, the margins are key in this election |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 9:39am On Mar 30, 2015 |
Ahuitzotl:I saw some results from the se and the winning margin in a pu was pdp 1200 apc 10, according to reports akpabio has delivered his state with 98% winning margin ,these are the kind of figures that can win elections and not south west apc results of 55% to 45% . Gej dollars I must say did the job it was meant to do in the south west very well. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by cut007: 9:43am On Mar 30, 2015 |
sorry! Its obvious you fell for their propaganda!! They go on gallivanting on social/ print media to create the impression of huge popularity when they lack structures in the actual sense!! Welcome to reality baby!!!!Tobbiemi: |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 9:45am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan and tomakint you are invited to join this wonderful discussion. Thanks |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Whitehorse: 9:48am On Mar 30, 2015 |
bjdon: Hmm, 30% win in NW states might be a bit difficult for PGEJ. When is INEC expected to start releasing results officially? |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 9:50am On Mar 30, 2015 |
cut007:they insulted and abused me yesterday but I kept telling them ,wait for inec final results. Elections results aren't declared on nairaland of facebook it is only inec that has the power to declare an election result. And the main reason is ,none of apc supporters had banked on gej winning any state in the north and they had thought it will be 100% winning for buhari in the north. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by cut007: 9:50am On Mar 30, 2015 |
the only true generals I know are the ones that attained such positions under GEJ! not the ones that got there through aboki connection even when they were very very very unqualified and incompetent as revealed by the exposure of bubariMisogynist2014: 1 Like |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 9:51am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onatisi: Morning Congrats on winning Nassarawa. The results are coming in steady, have you seen the results from Abia? |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 9:53am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:no I haven't . Can u share it with us pls? |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 10:04am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onatisi: As expected APC is not doing well BUT Apga is eating PDP numbers. Ikwuano Umuahia federal constituency results PDP 29,052 APGA 27,681 APC 4,267 PPA 1,316 LP 104 |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by sinkhole: 10:05am On Mar 30, 2015 |
I bet there might be crisis in Nasarawa if PDP is officially declared winner by INEC! I am currently indoor and will be extra vigilant if I go out. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 10:06am On Mar 30, 2015 |
sinkhole: They just did APC: 236,838, PDP: 273,460 1 Like |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:07am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:does apga have a presidential candidate ? 1 Like |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by sinkhole: 10:08am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:Are u INEC or a personal assistant to Jega? |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:09am On Mar 30, 2015 |
sinkhole:u get heart ooo, wettin u dey do for dat side at this period ![]() ![]() |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 10:10am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onatisi: Apologies just figured, regardless, 100% for PDP in SS and se cannot close the gap. Am sure u have seen Jigawa results. Sokoto been released now and it is really heart breaking stuff for PDP. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 10:11am On Mar 30, 2015 |
sinkhole: Learn to be civil. INEC returning officer just announced it. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Majlaw(m): 10:11am On Mar 30, 2015 |
SenseiX:biggest lies ever. Am presently at the Abacha youth center lafia and we ar now moving to college of Agric for the collation. 1 Like |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:13am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:bros ,you still don't get the game . This discussion seemed matured and informative that was why I invited you here to view ppl analysis about both parties chances . |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ogazi007(m): 10:16am On Mar 30, 2015 |
PDP are consoling themselves...Lol |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Nobody: 10:19am On Mar 30, 2015 |
kay1one: You better go and read. Your WAEC exams have commenced o. This is the fourth time you're resitting. I won't forgive you if you have to resit for it again o. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:19am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ogazi007:contribute sensibly and intelligently. Read through this thread,every contributor here is contributing intelligently please do so likewise. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by incrediblestev: 10:22am On Mar 30, 2015 |
I have always argued that the SW has never been a deciding region as erroneously depicted in the media. After 2011 election results from the SW, it was obvious to many analyst that the SW votes did not give the kind of margins the could decide victory for any candidate. The only advantage here is the constitutional 25% requirement. I find it funny when ignorant analysts make comments like "the battleground is going to be the SW", it has never been and even the recent elections have shown that the marginal difference coming from the region can in no way decide votes for either Buhari or Jonathan as they can easily be cancelled out by marginal differences in other regions. The difference between Jonathan and Buhari is their ability to command bloc votes from an entire region. Jonathan will always Eclipse Buhari in his ability to score over 90% votes from his own stronghold, a feat Buhari can not command in his own stronghold. The NC and marginal differences actually is going to determine the winner of this election not southwest that has always been balkanized and neutralized. Anyway, INEC has the final say. 1 Like |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by tomakint: 10:23am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onatisi:Thanks for the invitation, I will squeeze time out of my tight schedules to contribute.......believe me, I am missing out lately. 2 Likes |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Aseneshii: 10:26am On Mar 30, 2015 |
What makes you feel the one that becomes General under Jonathan are more qualified? Just like the northerners GEJ promote his kinsman Minima to the rank of General even when ihejirika was doing a good job. cut007: |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by sinkhole: 10:27am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:OK, I just saw it on PM news too, but the difference is 36,622, Jigawa can take care of that difference comfortably! Its probably due to some christian "boko harams" who beleive GMB will islamize them, coupled with the Fulani problems (same thing for Plateau). Sai Baba all the way! |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:27am On Mar 30, 2015 |
Apc has won jigawa with a margin of 600,000 votes . Let the figures keep coming . |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by ChinemeOkpan: 10:31am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onatisi: I have had a quick read and I still disagree with you. I think you underestimate Buhari's victory in the NE and NW. Jigawa is out and PDP has a deficit of almost 700,000 votes from just 1 state. I am currently monitoring results from Akwa Ibom and Abia, things would become clearer in the next hour. P.S. Lagos PDP has demanded the cancellation of elections in the state. Results were suddenly suspended last night. ![]() |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:36am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:bros ,this is politics,some places u will win with a landslide and in some places marginally while u will lose in some places ,at the end of the day it is the total number of votes that will determine. What reasons did lagos pdp give for the polls cancellation call? |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by onatisi(m): 10:39am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ChinemeOkpan:don't mind that yeye man ![]() |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Zane2point4(m): 10:39am On Mar 30, 2015 |
All this reminds me back den in FUTO were I graduated, there was this my friend I normally beat hands down in every course we wrote, I normally dont have F in my results but he does, I normally have B or at worse D but dis dude always have F and always re-wrote and made it up with an A in some results of which I dont even know where he got it from, do u know at the end his cgpa was higher than mine?so pls what determines the outcome of result is the winning margin. |
Re: Jonathan Leads In Nasarawa by Whitehorse: 10:39am On Mar 30, 2015 |
That Jigawa win is a massive one for Buhari. Things are getting more interesting. |
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