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The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by segello: 12:32pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
In Mark Twain’s words “History doesnt repeat itself, but it does rhyme”. The Chinese stock market is crashing, and again one can say the Chinese have failed to learn from history. The main Shanghai composite index has lost 30% of its value in the past 3 weeks and the even more speculative index ChiNext Index has lost 42% of its value in 21 days. The turmoil is now spreading to other Asian markets and global commodities market. What caused the crash? The Chinese government, over the past one year encouraged lots of Chinese to invest in the stock market and this increased the number of retail investors to over 90 million people. Millions of ‘speculators’ poured borrowed cash into shares, which inflated prices to unsustainable levels. When prices began to dip, these ‘speculators’ were forced to sell shares to pay back the borrowed funds and cover their losses. This vicious circle of selling has created a panic and has caused stock prices to crash further. It should be noted that the companies whose shares were rising weren’t actually getting any better due to their fundamentals – the prices were actually rising simple because there was an increase in demand for shares and people were bidding prices up. Deadly Margin Loans Strike Again Most of the retail investors who put money into stocks weren’t using their own cash, but using their money to borrow way more money than they had to invest. Swiss Bank Credit Suisse estimated that the figure for borrowed funds invested in the stock market reached between 4.4 trillion yuan ($708.3billion) before the bubble, and this amount is about 9% of the exchange’s entire worth. This fall in the stock exchange looks like it will continue, and efforts by the Chinese government to stem the losses have failed. Should Nigeria be worried? Yes, I will explain in 2 ways: 1.Brent Crude oil prices fell below $49 a barrel after the global economic outlook darkened. The world’s biggest energy consumer, china, faces a significant downward pressure on its economy, and china is expected to report growth slowing to 7.2% from a year ago. Oil prices have dropped by more than half since June as output (supply) around the world soared while demand growth slowed.If the Chinese stock market continues with its free fall, demand for oil will most likely reduce further crashing the price of oil which will be unbearable for a country like Nigeria. 2.Stock markets do not operate in a vacuum. If the Chinese stock market keeps crashing, confidence in the Chinese economy will shrink and this will see the portfolio of investors shrink, and people will start selling their stocks or over-inflated houses. The Chinese will resort to selling Gold, and if gold prices fall significantly (say by 15%), there is a chance panic will come to India as well because the government of India are holding onto a lot of Gold. The spillover from the Chinese markets will affect the Indian market and possibly slow down their economy also. It is worth noting that India is now the 3rd highest importer of oil in the world and Nigeria’s No 1 buyer. This will reduce the demand for Nigeria crude further worsening the situation of a mono-product economy like Nigeria. Hopefully, the Nigerian Government goes beyond tightening its purse to aggressively pursuing other sources of generating revenue beyond ‘oyel’. more on http://nairametrics.com/the-chinese-stock-market-is-crashing-why-nigeria-should-worry/ |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by INTROVERT(f): 12:33pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
This might be interesting.... but don't create panic |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Emekamex(m): 12:35pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
Nigeria's government are never pro-active; we will continue to suffer from the fluctuations in the global market, if we continue this way. |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Nobody: 12:42pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
BUHARI won't understand that! |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Nobody: 12:45pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
While the stock market crash hasn't been good news for China's economy, it hardly means the economy's finished. One reason being the Chinese government is determined to make sure the slump won't get any worse. Remember, this is still an economy that can be controlled by Beijing and they have an awful lot of financial firepower if they need it, And since stocks only make up a small fraction of Chinese households' wealth, the crisis is pretty much still confined to the stock market in China with no real spillover to the broader Chinese economy. Don't come here just copying and pasting what you yourself don't understand. Even the chinese government is not panicking. Jeez read about it before coming here to copy and paste 1 Like |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Bollove: 12:45pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
Hope it won't degenerate into this level..... We have PMB and he is monitoring the development !! |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Nobody: 12:51pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
Even the IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard told CNN's Richard Quest on Thursday that what was happening in China was a "sideshow." No need to blow everything out of proportion in the name of posting something. 2 Likes |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by kendo101: 1:22pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
Anything below Nigeria's current economy level na 6ft journey be that for Naija! |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by 2sex(m): 2:24pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
ibotjaycob:well said. I have been following this crash after someone mentioned it on a blog I was few weeks ago. But I haven't really read indepthly. Like you rightly said, China has other options to make up for the deficiences of the stock arm of their economy. |
Re: The Chinese Stock Market Is Crashing, Why Nigeria Should Worry by Jdesilentkiller(m): 2:42pm On Jul 10, 2015 |
You may be rich with all the industrial might BUT USA will forever be the wiser, cunning and the evil step brother scheming with your step mother to keep you in check whenever you beging to think independently. |
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