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Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu - Politics (4) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by FabioPeter: 10:31am On Jun 29, 2017
30 years [(bbl)/(bbl/year)] is based on current depletion rate and reserve. Interestingly, more oil is discovered deep offshore and recently Lagos, our reserve is increasing and our production quota is constant, we hardly even meet it no thanks for unrest in the Niger Delta.
Another important factor is the cost per barrel which determines the economic viability of exploration and production. Its misleading to put a date on the the depletion of oil, there are too many variables.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by tomakint: 10:38am On Jun 29, 2017
As much as I know that oil is an exhaustible non renewable natural resources I don't buy into this "30 Years Hoax" I have been hearing about this 30 years thing for more than 15 years back. No one can predict when oil will be exhausted in a particular location. It can even be in the next 10 years or 100 hundred years.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by BanevsJoker(m): 10:41am On Jun 29, 2017
ibkgab001:
Sarrki n Buhari n NwaAimakpe


Have something in common grin
I disagree. NwaAimakpe is way ahead of those excuses for humanity you mentioned. He seems lowkey intelligent, like a poor man's Yuzedo.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by ICEMAN(m): 11:09am On Jun 29, 2017
sarrki:
Mazi and his criminal bandits will remove SS from his map if he sees this

Something also tells me the free loading cow fxxxing ,pedophile expert and professional dandaudu abokis will also have less concern about the South if they see this as well.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by stevebond007(m): 11:23am On Jun 29, 2017
lagdmark:

We've had that before since 1990 still oil still dey .
Cars using hybrid are getting cheaper
Oil rich countries are already looking for alt aside Oil

Stone age didn't end because of lack of stone.

1 Like

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by Nobody: 11:28am On Jun 29, 2017
lol
there is no need to estimate as to when the crude oil will dry up, bcause b4 den, Biafra must have secceded,
so maybe d leprous hausa /fulani will diversify by selling there cows, and exporting hired assassins /boko haram members to conflint ridden areas so dat dey can generate renue for thier own country...while the afonjas will forever be d 2nd class citizens or what we call proselytes(slaves)

1 Like

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by victorvezx(m): 11:34am On Jun 29, 2017
Lol, it will increase within some years. Saudi Arabia has the world largest crude oil reserve. Their own was 170 billion in 1980, but it has increased to 266 billion in 2017, that may happen to Nigeria. Crude oil is a natural resource, u can't predict nature
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by Nobody: 11:41am On Jun 29, 2017
Basically means Nigeria will be poor in 30 years time.

That's it! I no go born Nigerian pikin. can't let my child suffer the misfortune of being Nigerian.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by kinzation(m): 11:44am On Jun 29, 2017
make the thing dry abeg ojere...and let's see if we could focus on other things...at least there won't be any crude oil cash theft
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jossy26: 1:52pm On Jun 29, 2017
Dry when we have over a billion barrels waiting to be drilled @owowo offshore akwaibom
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by pentlumpro(f): 2:50pm On Jun 29, 2017
Good
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by harriet412(f): 3:26pm On Jun 29, 2017
I don't understand, why can't we diversify. Must it be oil, gaaaaaas... whareveer happened to other resources??
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jpphilips(m): 3:45pm On Jun 29, 2017
olujastro:
Too many visionless and senseless have been ruling Nigeria at both Presidential and Ministerial levels since Independence. Only Kachikwu is trying to make a difference, though the work is MASSIVE.
In Nigeria if gas flaring isn't part of a production platform design, the platform is not complete. We just waste all our gas and wantonly pollute the environment. While the DPR Offshore personnel (taking instructions from their Ogas at the office) who are supposed to monitor flaring levels and ensure the Oil companies pay heavy fines for flaring collude with the companies to manipulate the flare figures and fines. Corruption runs deep in all of una blood.
Whereas in Norway you dare not flare a single cubic metre of gas. Flaring is totally forbidden and your company will go down. All the sales gas goes straight to Europe. They've even gone ahead to implement carbon capture from other emission sources and they cut taxes for companies who do so.

Honestly the problems to be solved in Nigeria are so many that if I'm invited to be president right now, I no collect. Maybe 20yrs time will be a good time. Hopefully, by then there'll be less tribalism and religiosity from town criers who always carry microscope to cry foul in every single action of govt.


I think people like you are part of the problem when you choose a convenient narrative that suite your objective.
Before you can stop flaring, you must make the infrastructural investments that will utilize your associated gas, Nigeria is at that level now, we have very minimal flare facilities, we have done several gas conversions and gas to power projects to utilize these gases against flaring it.

What Norway did differently like you mentioned was that companies investing in those gas conversion infrastructure got some tax rebate from the Govt that move attracted more investors that sped up their process, even at that, Norway will not completely eliminate flaring till 2030.
We have equally explored that option with several processes but the so called tax rebate was not enough to attract the required investments that could push up our time table because of Insecurity. Nigeria's Niger delta is high risk hence very few risk takers take the plunge unlike Norway.

The issue of flaring fines became counter productive not like it was eliminated by corruption, though there are still some corrupt tendencies esp where the last administration smuggled in flaring permit for a fee in the PIB. Basically, the flaring fine fell because our NNPC holds majority stake in the JV while the foreign and local partners are the operators, so the bulk of the fine goes back to the NNPC in a case of the government finning itself.

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jpphilips(m): 3:49pm On Jun 29, 2017
FabioPeter:
30 years [(bbl)/(bbl/year)] is based on current depletion rate and reserve. Interestingly, more oil is discovered deep offshore and recently Lagos, our reserve is increasing and our production quota is constant, we hardly even meet it no thanks for unrest in the Niger Delta.
Another important factor is the cost per barrel which determines the economic viability of exploration and production. Its misleading to put a date on the the depletion of oil, there are too many variables.

The problem right now is that low crude price has slowed down exploratory operations, if you don't explore for new positions, you may run out of what you have already, Nigeria has always maintained the cycle but currently, I doubt if it is still sustainable with the current change in dynamics.

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by Obiwiz(m): 3:58pm On Jun 29, 2017
sarrki:
Mazi and his criminal bandits will remove SS from his map if he sees this
You're too obsessed about issues bordering on petroleum or secession. Why?
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jpphilips(m): 3:58pm On Jun 29, 2017
stevebond007:

Cars using hybrid are getting cheaper
Oil rich countries are already looking for alt aside Oil

Stone age didn't end because of lack of stone.

Fossil fuel will remain competitive world over at least in the next 100yrs for several reasons, Coal is still much around grin grin, secondly, the so called alternatives in their manufacturing chain still have a way of reporting to fossil, most alternatives are still at research stage while their production cost is unrealistic, If technology doesn't advance to producing a battery with 30 days single charge run, then the so called alternative will never be competitive alternatives.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by stevebond007(m): 4:03pm On Jun 29, 2017
jpphilips:


Fossil fuel will remain competitive world over at least in the next 100yrs for several reasons, Coal is still much around grin grin, secondly, the so called alternatives in their manufacturing chain still have a way of reporting to fossil, most alternatives are still at research stage while their production cost is unrealistic, If technology doesn't advance to producing a battery with 30 days single charge run, then the so called alternative will never be competitive alternatives.
What is the coal doing now?
Except to make barbeque

Educate me further sir
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jpphilips(m): 4:29pm On Jun 29, 2017
stevebond007:

What is the coal doing now?
Except to make barbeque

Educate me further sir

Coal generate massive amount of electricity for China, Canada and india, Google is there for a reason right?
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by stevebond007(m): 4:32pm On Jun 29, 2017
jpphilips:


Coal generate massive amount of electricity for China, Canada and india, Google is there for a reason right?
I said educate me
Thanks
No need to be sarcastic
And I bet the coal is just for mere use its not the main source of the generation bulk

My point it pays to look beyond fossil fuels
#greenenergy
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by Blue3k(m): 5:03pm On Jun 29, 2017
stevebond007:

I said educate me
Thanks
No need to be sarcastic
And I bet the coal is just for mere use its not the main source of the generation bulk

My point it pays to look beyond fossil fuels
#greenenergy

Lol stop betting start researching. Yes we should look into renewables. The federal government plan get coal to be 30% of energy mix. Also the federal government is encouraging renewable mini grids.

China’s energy mix continues to evolve. While coal remains the dominant fuel, accounting for 64% of China’s energy consumption, this was the lowest share on record and down from recent highs of 74% in the mid-2000s.

Source: China’s energy mix continues to evolve. While coal remains the dominant fuel, accounting for 64% of China’s energy consumption, this was the lowest share on record and down from recent highs of 74% in the mid-2000s.

1 Like

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by stevebond007(m): 5:15pm On Jun 29, 2017
Blue3k:


Lol stop betting start researching. Yes we should look into renewables. The federal government plan get coal to be 30% of energy mix. Also the federal government is encouraging renewable mini grids.

I understand but green energy surpass all these non renewables
Wind, Solar, Hydro ,
Tickle my fancy than fossil fuels
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by PreyingMantis(m): 5:21pm On Jun 29, 2017
sarrki:
Mazi and his criminal bandits will remove SS from his map if he sees this
Mazi is already aware that oil has an expiry date. On the other hand, this revelation means that give or take Nigeria cannot last more than 30 years from now.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by Dedetwo(m): 5:22pm On Jun 29, 2017
30 years is too far, I want it dry up tomorrow.
Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by olujastro: 5:42pm On Jun 29, 2017
jpphilips:



I think people like you are part of the problem when you choose a convenient narrative that suite your objective.
Before you can stop flaring, you must make the infrastructural investments that will utilize your associated gas, Nigeria is at that level now, we have very minimal flare facilities, we have done several gas conversions and gas to power projects to utilize these gases against flaring it.

What Norway did differently like you mentioned was that companies investing in those gas conversion infrastructure got some tax rebate from the Govt that move attracted more investors that sped up their process, even at that, Norway will not completely eliminate flaring till 2030.
We have equally explored that option with several processes but the so called tax rebate was not enough to attract the required investments that could push up our time table because of Insecurity. Nigeria's Niger delta is high risk hence very few risk takers take the plunge unlike Norway.

The issue of flaring fines became counter productive not like it was eliminated by corruption, though there are still some corrupt tendencies esp where the last administration smuggled in flaring permit for a fee in the PIB. Basically, the flaring fine fell because our NNPC holds majority stake in the JV while the foreign and local partners are the operators, so the bulk of the fine goes back to the NNPC in a case of the government finning itself.
Really? Nigeria is at that level? I always say things the way they are, no time for window dressing.
I hope you know enough of what you say. All the fields that have been developed in the last ten years, tell me which one that doesn't flare gas anyhow apart from Agbami FPSO? Erha flares, Usan flares, even Akpo that's more of a gas field with subsea pipelines to Bonny still flares. Escravos fields still flare despite EGTL.

I see where you got this..."even that Norway will not completely eliminate flaring till 2030“....the first news item on Google. Unfortunately, you didn't read down to the see they're talking about eliminating gas flaring globally. For your information, Norway flares nothing.
I speak from experience both in Nigeria and Norway. That's the difference between us I believe.

1 Like

Re: Nigeria's Oil Reserve To Dry Up In 30 Years ― Ibe Kachikwu by jpphilips(m): 9:46am On Jun 30, 2017
[quote author=olujastro post=57961083]

Really? Nigeria is at that level? I always say things the way they are, no time for window dressing.
I hope you know enough of what you say. All the fields that have been developed in the last ten years, tell me which one that doesn't flare gas anyhow apart from Agbami FPSO? Erha flares, Usan flares, even Akpo that's more of a gas field with subsea pipelines to Bonny still flares. Escravos fields still flare despite EGTL.


Young man, stop mentioning names you hear during morning Briefing, face the facts, Norway did not make their flares disappear with magic, they made investments that utilized those gases, is Nigeria doing same? absolutely!! if you are close to the industry, you will notice that the EGTL, AGG, NOPL, KCTL, projects etc serve one purpose alone, to redistribute flared gases. I agree we are not moving at the pace of Norway and I explained it's because we have security issues undermining foreign investments.

When you saw the EGTL and Escravos was still flaring, why didn't you ask the right question? I asked and I was told the EGTL had a fire incident that devastated some of its components so till it is fixed, they have no choice.
NB: Comparing the nigerian oil industry with Norway is silly!!

1 Like

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