Episode 3. Who will prevail in a war between Nigeria and French West Africa.

Pictorial Dramatization : https://defensenigeria.blog/2017/08/08/episode-3-who-will-prevail-in-a-war-between-nigeria-and-french-west-africa/

To a fortunate many Nigerians not living in the North East , Nigeria’sdecade long war agsinst Boko Haram is an an abstraction and the suffering it brings, though easy to understand, is hard to truly imagine. A cross nationalconflict of any sort will bring the reality if war right at our doors step.The only way to deter aggression is by having a strong enough military. It’s one of the reasons why identifying and analysing possible conflict scenarios are so essential. They bring these concept into binding focus and deny us the luxury of looking away.

In this pictorial dramatization we examine the man responsible reforming the Nigerian armed forces, the anti corruption crackdown , its modernization efforts and its current capacity to defend against external aggression.

The propensity for conflict within the Lake Chad basin lies within four African States. Nigeria, Niger, Cameroon and Chad.


The Lake Chad basin shares similarities with the situation in the South China Sea. When multiple countries are competing for scarce natural resources, and where ambiguity which country controls or have legitimate claims over the resources, the friction between vying States may escalate into violent conflict. Of the four States vying for control, three of them are all Francophone economic and military allies. If violent conflict ensues (and it might), it will be a war between Nigeria on one hand and Chad, Niger and Cameroon on the other hand. One of them have a Defence treaty with France. This might invariably draw France into the conflict because of its treaty obligations.


The distance between Maiduguri and N’djamena is 126 kilometres. The flight time for an F-7N fighter on full afterburners is roughly 16 minutes depending on the weather. Likewise a Chadian Mi-29 can cover that distance in the same time frame. The advantage goes to who strike first.

Air Capabilities of Belingerates.

NIGERIA

No other country in West/Central Africa can match Nigeria when it comes to military spending and projection of power. Baring the consequence, should war between the contesting States becomes inevitable beyond any reasonable doubt, the temptation of Nigeria to carry out preemptive strikes against Chadian military bases before the arrival of the French will be hard to resist.

Should Abuja decide to carry out military strike against Chad, even a limited one, the impact will be devastating to N’djamena. When considering military action however, its important to acknowledge the variables and the presence of French and American reconnaissance bases in Chad and Cameroon that may complicate Nigeria’s ability to strike preemptively.

It is important to consider outside factors, but in this case we are basing our assumptions on a scenario in which Nigeria conducts a limited, stealthy attack using a number of specialised platforms. In a surprise attack scenario, the primary tools for the task would be its fleet of F-7N fighters firing the Chinese made PLC-9 missiles and its new JF-17 fighter bombers. The Nigerian Air Force acquire 12 JF-17 fighters in 2016 but with an initial delivery of just three.

In addition to bombs dropped by NAF planes, Nigeria can rely on its fleet of five CH-3 Rainbow attack drones to flty in on the heels of Nigerian jets and strike the same targets. For this mission The NAF can surreptitiously have its ATR-42 surveillance plane and King Air 350i radar planes off the edge of Chadian airspace. Together these aircrafts can act as spotters for Nigerian Strike planes by scanning the area for threats and vectoring them towards lightly defended targets.

CHAD

The Chadians have a couple of SA-7 SAM systems..

To be continued.


For clarity, Pictorial Dramatization : https://defensenigeria.blog/2017/08/08/episode-3-who-will-prevail-in-a-war-between-nigeria-and-french-west-africa/

I believe military is trying.

Read about the Toyota War...and then add France as a Force Multiplier.

Then factor in the number of fronts Nigeria will be faced to fight in.

Not forgetting that no country in West Africa will be willing to fight a conventional war with Nigeria.

#BeerPalorAnalysis

Clearly your population is flawed. Yes the Chadians were successful inrouting the Libyans in the desert with pickup trucks, you forgot to add what happened next, the bombardment of Chadian towns with such ferocity it provoked the French to intervene. The Lake Chad scenarios is vastly different. Last time they did, the outcome speaks for itself, the French were less inclined to act, even when Buhari's troops were 2 miles from N'djamena. You've been watching too much ISIS movies. An all out conventional war over resources with clearly defined targets and objective is vastly different Mr Ivy League analysis.

SSBN:
Clearly your population is flawed. Yes the Chadians were successful inrouting the Libyans in the desert with pickup trucks, you forgot to add what happened next, the bombardment of Chadian towns with such ferocity it provoked the French to intervene. The Lake Chad scenarios is vastly different. Last time they did, the outcome speaks for itself, the French were less inclined to act, even when Buhari's troops were 2 miles from N'djamena. You've been watching too much ISIS movies. An all out conventional war over resources with clearly defined targets and objective is vastly different Mr Ivy League analysis.

I don't understand the last part, anyways to allow a more objective non-biased analysis you need to look at our fight against BHT them remember the nation's you'd mentioned have air capabilities as well you do.

Last time was 30 odd years ago, times and tactics may have changed except you have access to intel which states otherwise.

French-west-africa will humilate Nigeria especially now that the Yorubas and the Igbos are fast becoming "endangered tribes" in the hands of Saharan Tuaregs Arabs, entering Nigeria from Niger, Chad, Bukina Faso and Cameroon, as Fulani Herdsmen and being sponsored by France.
The immediate Solution in the first instance, is to grant FULL HOME LAND SECURITY AND AUTONOMY to Nigerian 36 States to enable each State justifiably control its boundaries.

BroZuma:


Read about the Toyota War...and then add France as a Force Multiplier.

Then factor in the number of fronts Nigeria will be faced to fight in.

Not forgetting that no country in West Africa will be willing to fight a conventional war with Nigeria.

#BeerPalorAnalysis

U r damn right!
Even at d moment n b4 now NO COUNTRY can send her troops to Nigeria for peace keeping wen Boko haram was at it peak back den . When UN asked, dey all African countries tucked der tails.
I remember those good old days wen sirra Leonians have this slogan NIGERIA ADVANTÉ GUINEA BOMBERDIA. Wen we had defense pact with Liberia and sirre leon.

BroZuma:


Read about the Toyota War...and then add France as a Force Multiplier.

Then factor in the number of fronts Nigeria will be faced to fight in.

Not forgetting that no country in West Africa will be willing to fight a conventional war with Nigeria.

#BeerPalorAnalysis

B4 I forget even d west will think twice b4 coming number is on our side. And before china during d reign of Abacha we were the best in infantry but now we don leave dat stage to d Chinese