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the Cincinnati Masters final between Federer and Djokovic should give us a good idea of whether or not the oddsmakers are right.

Of course, Federer also said prior to the Australian Open that a 36-year-old shouldn’t be favored to win, and then he went ahead and did it anyway. Now with the final Grand Slam of the year, the US Open, fast approaching on Aug. 27, Federer looks in good shape.

But both he and Djokovic have had their setbacks of late.

Djokovic’s struggles have been going on for awhile now, with sporadic play seeming to get into his head more than most top players, though the back half of this season has been better than the first. At the Western and Southern Open in Cincinnati, Djokovic has beaten some good players en route to the final, but he’s also needed three sets in all but one of his matches (his opener vs. Steve Johnson).