TrueLEADER:
The Shock that Awaits APC is so huge, they'll be buried under it.

IBBG:
From the various permutation, postulations and extrapolation based on the results of 2015 polls, and based on how the Atiku presidential aspiration has gained momentum over the years especially aided by clinching the PDP presidential primaries, coupled with the dwindling fortunes of the incumbent president and the wide spread grass root structures of the PDP in all corners of the nation. What Atiku atleast requires to clinch 2019 polls is by winning atleast 3 states in the North East, 4 states in the Middle belt, 1 state in the North west, atleast 2 states in the South west, and 11 states in the South east and South south. 3+1+4+2+11 = 21.
36 states minus 21 = 15
From my observation based on how things presently are, Atiku may likely pull this off. Which means the prediction of tabloids such as Economist of an Atiku likely winning the 2019 polls is credible enough and should not be dimissed as wishful thinking.
Buhari undoing will be the South east and South south, because his defeat there will be landslide. Even in buhari's stronghold which is the North west atiku will get substantial vote due to north vs north, muslim vs muslim factor, and the both of them are heavy weight in the north. But the same can not be said of the South east and South south which happens to be Atiku's strong hold. As the president has not really done enough to carry that region along. His body language, his rhetorics and actions has shown his disregard for the region and the region will cost him 2019, because he will not be able to pull the same level of result from there as atiku will pull from his strong hold.
From all indication, the North east will be split between both candidates, buhari will win North west and South west, but will lose out in Middle belt, South east and South south.
He laid his political bed, so he should be prepared by whatsoever is the outcome.

bender79:
Its not only winning states but winning in key battle areas which in my opinion is not SE and SS. Atiku needs to win SW states convincingly, I'm even afraid that he may not even win NE votes.

IBBG:
from this analysis you will agree that Atiku biggest strength is SE and SS. That 11 states on his side. Atleast 4 states from middle belt. That is 15 states already. He doesn't really need to win south west convincingly all he needs is to win atleast 2 states from the SW, 1 state from the NW and atleast 3 states from the NE. He has 11 states in his stronghold which is SE, SS. While Buhari has 7 which is the NW. so any other state he wins gives him more advantage. He has made more inroad into Buhari's stronghold, than Buhari has made into his strong hold. E.g SW and NC. and he is from NE that has never produced a civilian president. From the way it is going, atiku may likely win.

bender79:
Its not only winning states but winning in key battle areas which in my opinion is not SE and SS. Atiku needs to win SW states convincingly, I'm even afraid that he may not even win NE and NW votes. The only region that Atiku is sure of winning is SE whereas buhari in my opinion will win NW and NE state votes convincingly. Middle belt is very tricky apart from Benue and plateau I don't think Atiku will pull so much weight in the other states. As it stands I'm calling this election for buhari not because he truly deserves but because our populace is dominated by illiterates

bender79:
I give SE 100% to Atiku however what is theirvoter strength compared to other regions? Like I said Atiku is likely to loose NW and NE votes and you and I know the numbers those areas command. NW will be divided but I give it to buhari because of Niger, Kwara Nassarawa and Kogi (Gov Bello will rig Kogi) . The Sw governors will do a lot of dirty jobs in that region and considering the ethnic sentiments between Obi and Osinbajo, rural Yoruba's will likely vote Osinbajo. SS is another tricky region because by estimation APC has made some in roads compared to 2015 elections. So im not expecting high number difference for PDP. I think Buhari got this

respect80:

Did you just said @bolded will rig Kogi elections?
I implore you to wake up from ur slumber because GYB lacks what it takes to win an election in Kogi...
BTW, Niger, Kwara, Nasarawa and Kogi are now NW regions??

bender79:
He won a recent election or am I mistaken here!?

Almaiga:
Trash.
Buhari will floor Atiku in the 2019 Presidential election.

Sai Jubril.

IBBG:
from this analysis you will agree that Atiku biggest strength is SE and SS. That 11 states on his side. Atleast 4 states from middle belt. That is 15 states already. He doesn't really need to win south west convincingly all he needs is to win atleast 2 states from the SW, 1 state from the NW and atleast 3 states from the NE. He has 11 states in his stronghold which is SE, SS. While Buhari has 7 which is the NW. so any other state he wins gives him more advantage. He has made more inroad into Buhari's stronghold, than Buhari has made into his strong hold. E.g SW and NC. and he is from NE that has never produced a civilian president. From the way it is going, atiku may likely win.

PEDRO117:
And which 2 states do u think he can win in south west??

bender79:
Its not only winning states but winning in key battle areas which in my opinion is not SE and SS. Atiku needs to win SW states convincingly, I'm even afraid that he may not even win NE and NW votes. The only region that Atiku is sure of winning is SE whereas buhari in my opinion will win NW and NE state votes convincingly. Middle belt is very tricky apart from Benue and plateau I don't think Atiku will pull so much weight in the other states. As it stands I'm calling this election for buhari not because he truly deserves but because our populace is dominated by illiterates

ChimaAdeoye:
Buhari will simply rig 2019 elections and ask army to shoot protesters.

See what Happened in Ekiti and Osun where he simply deployed troops shooting sporadically and INEC simply announced the results written by Buhari and other APC members. 2019 Presidential election will only be credible if PDP tracks and uses electronic means to show areas where Police and army are being used to rig and stuff ballot boxes.

Nobody should be under any illusion that Buhari intends to conduct a free and fair election nor is he prepared to accept the result when he loses.

bender79:
Its not only winning states but winning in key battle areas which in my opinion is not SE and SS. Atiku needs to win SW states convincingly, I'm even afraid that he may not even win NE and NW votes. The only region that Atiku is sure of winning is SE whereas buhari in my opinion will win NW and NE state votes convincingly. Middle belt is very tricky apart from Benue and plateau I don't think Atiku will pull so much weight in the other states. As it stands I'm calling this election for buhari not because he truly deserves but because our populace is dominated by illiterates

raumdeuter:


Atiku wins the entire SE
I am not sure Atiku will win Edo. Why will Edo people vote Atiku, Also consider that the APC is in govt there

Atiku will lose all SW states. Lose all NW states and win Adamawa and Taraba

In the NC Atiku wins Benue, Plateau possibly Kwara, Buhari wins Nasarawa, Niger and Kogi

mrvitalis:
As it stands now... South south is 45(apc) to atiku 55

Even the south east he won't get up-to 80% of votes in most states

raumdeuter:


Atiku wins the entire SE
I am not sure Atiku will win Edo. Why will Edo people vote Atiku, Also consider that the APC is in govt there

Atiku will lose all SW states. Lose all NW states and win Adamawa and Taraba

In the NC Atiku wins Benue, Plateau possibly Kwara, Buhari wins Nasarawa, Niger and Kogi

buhariguy:
don't be deceived by online rant of the jobless aggressive lazy idiotic pigs of Bia-fra,
Thief atiku can not win one state in SE and SS,
Only Benue, thief atiku suppose to win, buhari will still win with 50%+1vote.