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Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes (8317 Views)

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Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:24pm On Jan 31, 2019
Forget all the Noise here. Here is a realistic permutation that shows Atiku is going to win the next election

Please refer to this page for the 2015 election details
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Nigerian_general_election

There are 3 major factors that would work for Atiku

1. He is a Northerner
2. The present state of Nigeria's economy
3. Insecurity around the nation.

The biggest swing would be from Zamfara state where there is an increase in insecurity and also APC has no governorship candidate there.

Zamara gave APC over 600k votes last time. And only about 100k to PDP.
This time around expect a swap in the result.


Buhari would win in the following states but expect him to lose some votes there.

Bauchi. 200k votes aprx

Jigawa 200k votes apprx

Kaduna 200k votes apprx

Kano 200k votes approx

Kebbi 100k votes approx

Kogi 50k votes approx

Kwara 100k votes approx

Niger 200k votes approx

Osun 100k votes approx

Ekiti 50k votes approx

Plateau 200k votes approx

Taraba 100k votes approx

People quickly forget that Jonathan was very unfortunate to have lost a lot of the strong PDP chiefs

Including Atiku himself
Saraki
Kwankwaso
Tambulwa
Mama Taraba
And a lot of others who were influential to the results Jonathan got in the states i mentioned above.

It is almost impossible now for Buhari to win. There is no need arguing.


Northerners would vote Atiku much more than they voted Jonathan.

It would make a lot of difference.

Buhari will win a lot of the Northern states. He would win them comfortably. But atiku would be able to snatch a few hundred thousand votes in the big blocks such as Kano and Kaduna unlike Jonathan.

The winning margin would be very slim but it is sure to be over 1.5million minimum

Also have you wondered who the 13million people who lost their jobs under buhari would vote? Even if the number is just 3million people that is all atiku needs.

Also consider that many of us who supported buhari now regret it. But there is no one regretting supporting atiku. Infact atiku as become more popular and accepted

Think about this.

30 Likes 5 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by sarrki(m): 6:25pm On Jan 31, 2019
Pdp maths that swallowed arms money

Pdp Arithmetic That swindle is 16billiond dollars

27 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by budaatum: 6:26pm On Jan 31, 2019
I hope you're very wrong!

1 Like

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by deomelo: 6:26pm On Jan 31, 2019
lol @ ipob village square mathematician






grin grin

21 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by amidel(m): 6:29pm On Jan 31, 2019
Atiku has won already gringrin

15 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by PointZerom: 6:29pm On Jan 31, 2019
sarrki:
Pdp maths that swallowed arms money
Pdp Arithmetic That swindle is 16billiond dollars

Shut up.

19 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by Mahsums: 6:29pm On Jan 31, 2019
I feel ur pain grin

6 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by sarrki(m): 6:31pm On Jan 31, 2019
PointZerom:



Shut up.


Uncle I know you are in cifia pain now

Last last you will be alright

14 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by sarrki(m): 6:33pm On Jan 31, 2019
deomelo:
lol @ ipob village square mathematician






grin grin

With Pmb Campaign in the east

I can boldly say that there is nothing like Igbos

They are yahoo yahoo boiz ranting on internet

13 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by cutesmilez(f): 6:34pm On Jan 31, 2019
Let me lecture some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

More lectures coming

17 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by PointZerom: 6:34pm On Jan 31, 2019
sarrki:

Uncle I know you are in cifia pain now
Last last you will be alright

10 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 6:37pm On Jan 31, 2019
I bet you SW will deliver more votes to Buhari than SS and SE combined...
So we should leave VP for SGF gringringringrin

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 6:40pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
Forget all the Noise here. Here is a realistic permutation that shows Atiku is going to win the next election

Please refer to this page for the 2015 election details
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Nigerian_general_election

There are 3 major factors that would work for Atiku

1. He is a Northerner
2. The present state of Nigeria's economy
3. Insecurity around the nation.

The biggest swing would be from Zamfara state where there is an increase in insecurity and also APC has no governorship candidate there.

Zamara gave APC over 600k votes last time. And only about 100k to PDP.
This time around expect a swap in the result.


Buhari would win in the following states but expect him to lose some votes there.

Bauchi. 200k votes aprx

Jigawa 200k votes apprx

Kaduna 200k votes apprx

Kano 200k votes approx

Kebbi 100k votes approx

Kogi 50k votes approx

Kwara 100k votes approx

Niger 200k votes approx

Osun 100k votes approx

Ekiti 50k votes approx

Plateau 200k votes approx

Taraba 100k votes approx

People quickly forget that Jonathan was very unfortunate to have lost a lot of the strong PDP chiefs

Including Atiku himself
Saraki
Kwankwaso
Tambulwa
Mama Taraba
And a lot of others who were influential to the results Jonathan got in the states i mentioned above.

It is almost impossible now for Buhari to win. There is no need arguing.


Northerners would vote Atiku much more than they voted Jonathan.

It would make a lot of difference.

Buhari will win a lot of the Northern states. He would win them comfortably. But atiku would be able to snatch a few hundred thousand votes in the big blocks such as Kano and Kaduna unlike Jonathan.

The winning margin would be very slim but it is sure to be over 1.5million minimum

Also have you wondered who the 13million people who lost their jobs under buhari would vote? Even if the number is just 3million people that is all atiku needs.

Also consider that many of us who supported buhari now regret it. But there is no one regretting supporting atiku. Infact atiku as become more popular and accepted

Think about this.

Saraki that is facing ó Tò Géè movement in Kwara this election go shock una...

How many State governors follow Atiku up and down I tell you dey are trying to guide their state first because they are unsure of Atiku...

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:46pm On Jan 31, 2019
Funny some people say i am Ipob. I am yoruba from Osun state. Olorunda LGA to be precise. I was a firm supporter of buhari but this is just reality. Atiku as a notherner only need 2million extra votes from all the northern states and middle belt states that Jonathan lost to buhari. Buhari would still win there but all he needs is just to take some of votes and i am sure he would get those votes EASILY as many of those who betrayed Jonathan are now back to PDP and they can still get some few thousand votes which is all atiku needs here and there.

17 Likes 4 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:49pm On Jan 31, 2019
sarrki:


Uncle I know you are in cifia pain now

Last last you will be alright
dont worry you will calm down when it happens. Remember how u were confused during the osun election? Takes to apc last minute rigging. You became voiceless. This time you will know reality is different from fantasy

10 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:52pm On Jan 31, 2019
KunleyY19:
I bet you SW will deliver more votes to Buhari than SS and SE combined...

So we should leave VP for SGF
gringringringrin
most of us did not want Jonathan. Now we dont want buhari. You think osinbajo presidency matters to anyone? You guys say it online. Offline here in lagos that is even osinbajo's base i dont see anyone calculating the emergence of osinbajo as president. Even the trader moni thing is laughed at

11 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:54pm On Jan 31, 2019
cutesmilez:
Let me lecture some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

More lectures coming
exactly. Yet the apc apologists cannot counter this intelligently. We are giving them logical analysis but they are just making noise with no basis here

9 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by budaatum: 6:54pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
dont worry you will calm down when it happens. Remember how u were confused during the osun election? Takes to apc last minute rigging. You became voiceless. This time you will know reality is different from fantasy
When you lose, you will call it rigging. What do you call it when you win I wonder?

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by budaatum: 6:55pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
exactly. Yet the apc apologists cannot counter this intelligently. We are giving them logical analysis but they are just making noise with no basis here
You are giving an opinion, please!

2 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 6:58pm On Jan 31, 2019
budaatum:

When you lose, you will call it rigging. What do you call it when you win I wonder?
we all know apc lost osun state no need to be going round and round. That is my state.
Honestly i was surprised too. And if you cannot still see that atiku would take some few thousands more than jonathan did from the northern states then there is no need to stress myself talking to you. This is a fact!

8 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 7:02pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
most of us did not want Jonathan. Now we dont want buhari. You think osinbajo presidency matters to anyone? You guys say it online. Offline here in lagos that is even osinbajo's base i dont see anyone calculating the emergence of osinbajo as president. Even the trader moni thing is laughed at

I am not talking about Osinbajo been the president... Ki Lo Kan Mi...

All I am saying is Yoruba's have a lot to lose if Atiku Becomes the president... That Neglect we faced during Jonathan time is small...

Na Pankere dem go use beat us because he knows the SW are not aligning with him...
Even The Oba's , Imagine PDP holds no State In SW...

I dey tell you make we follow Buhari jejely because Iya yen Ma po gan ni ooo...
We would become Whipping Boys of His Govt just like IPOB's...
Little wonder why we would get SGF position from him...
gringringringrin

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 7:06pm On Jan 31, 2019
KunleyY19:


I am not talking about Osinbajo been the president... Ki Lo Kan Mi...

All I am saying is Yoruba's have a lot to lose if Atiku Becomes the president... That Neglect we faced during Jonathan time is small...

Na Pankere dem go use beat us because he knows the SW are not aligning with him...
Even The Oba's , Imagine PDP holds no State In SW...

I dey tell you make we follow Buhari jejely because Iya yen Ma po gan ni ooo...
We would become Whipping Boys of His Govt just like IPOB's...
Little wonder why we would get SGF position from him...
gringringringrin
and how does that concern any yoruba man? What i know as a FACT is many of us supported buhari and no longer support him. I am yet to see anyone that supported pdp last election that is now supporting apc. I have not seen anyone here in sw like that. Except those politicians that are at the top. But talking about the common man on the street. Buhari has lost a lot of those who believed in him

11 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by Nobody: 7:09pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
exactly. Yet the apc apologists cannot counter this intelligently. We are giving them logical analysis but they are just making noise with no basis here

That is not a logical analysis. Its talk from the bottom of several beer bottles.

Even your so called mathematical jargon is a load of crap.

You wsh to liken 2015 to 2019 despite them being 4 years apart with a lot of positive water passing under the Buhari bridge and getting him a fanatical support from all over Nigeria now and not just in the north.

Since you are being mad, let's all be mad together.

Atiku will lose this election with nothing less than 5 million votes.

Case closed

6 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by Okoroawusa: 7:10pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
Forget all the Noise here. Here is a realistic permutation that shows Atiku is going to win the next election

Please refer to this page for the 2015 election details
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Nigerian_general_election

There are 3 major factors that would work for Atiku

1. He is a Northerner
2. The present state of Nigeria's economy
3. Insecurity around the nation.

The biggest swing would be from Zamfara state where there is an increase in insecurity and also APC has no governorship candidate there.

Zamara gave APC over 600k votes last time. And only about 100k to PDP.
This time around expect a swap in the result.


Buhari would win in the following states but expect him to lose some votes there.

Bauchi. 200k votes aprx

Jigawa 200k votes apprx

Kaduna 200k votes apprx

Kano 200k votes approx

Kebbi 100k votes approx

Kogi 50k votes approx

Kwara 100k votes approx

Niger 200k votes approx

Osun 100k votes approx

Ekiti 50k votes approx

Plateau 200k votes approx

Taraba 100k votes approx

People quickly forget that Jonathan was very unfortunate to have lost a lot of the strong PDP chiefs

Including Atiku himself
Saraki
Kwankwaso
Tambulwa
Mama Taraba
And a lot of others who were influential to the results Jonathan got in the states i mentioned above.

It is almost impossible now for Buhari to win. There is no need arguing.


Northerners would vote Atiku much more than they voted Jonathan.

It would make a lot of difference.

Buhari will win a lot of the Northern states. He would win them comfortably. But atiku would be able to snatch a few hundred thousand votes in the big blocks such as Kano and Kaduna unlike Jonathan.

The winning margin would be very slim but it is sure to be over 1.5million minimum

Also have you wondered who the 13million people who lost their jobs under buhari would vote? Even if the number is just 3million people that is all atiku needs.

Also consider that many of us who supported buhari now regret it. But there is no one regretting supporting atiku. Infact atiku as become more popular and accepted

Think about this.
So this is the mathematics?



To deport you dey hungry me.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by Nobody: 7:11pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
and how does that concern any yoruba man? What i know as a FACT is many of us supported buhari and no longer support him. I am yet to see anyone that supported pdp last election that is now supporting apc. I have not seen anyone here in sw like that. Except those politicians that are at the top. But talking about the common man on the street. Buhari has lost a lot of those who believed in him

I can show you hundreds of thousands who have long dumped PDP for APC and who were once PDP supporters including campaign DGs of PDP.

By the way the Campaign DG of PDP in gombe, state Bello Tinka just defected to APC today

cheesy cheesy

The mission is 4+4 and the goal is to kill PDP finally

5 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 7:13pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
most of us did not want Jonathan. Now we dont want buhari. You think osinbajo presidency matters to anyone? You guys say it online. Offline here in lagos that is even osinbajo's base i dont see anyone calculating the emergence of osinbajo as president. Even the trader moni thing is laughed at

Wait First You see that ongoing Oshodi Airport Expressway na where dem go start to dey finish us...
Lagos Shagamu too ...

When YAYI and Remi requested for 3% of The VAT because we contribute more to it you see how it was dumped out by Saraki ...
They asked the floor to grant Lagos special status it was dumped out again...

Saraki and Atiku will want to revenge against TINUBU just like OBJ did in 2005

That's just the tip of the iceberg
E better make we follow baba jeje..

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by Valleys(m): 7:15pm On Jan 31, 2019
@KunleyY19 pls between the current VP and SGF who is more powerful considering that osinbajo is just a "mere commissioner"?

5 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 7:16pm On Jan 31, 2019
KunleyY19:


Wait First You see that ongoing Oshodi Airport Expressway na where dem go start to dey finish us...
Lagos Shagamu too ...

When YAYI and Remi requested for 3% o[img][/img]f The VAT because we contribute more to it you see how it was dumped out by Saraki ...
They asked the floor to grant Lagos special status it was dumped out again...

Saraki and Atiku will want to revenge against TINUBU just like OBJ did in 2005

That's just the tip of the iceberg
E better make we follow baba jeje..
so you are saying we are slaves right? Blackmail wont work. Buhari is going to lose. Read the writing on the wall.

4 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by HardMirror(m): 7:16pm On Jan 31, 2019
Valleys:
@KunleyY19 pls between the current VP and SGF who is more powerful considering that osinbajo is just a "mere commissioner"?
more like an errand boy

4 Likes

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by BuhariAdvocate: 7:17pm On Jan 31, 2019
My problem with PDP supporters I know your hope is high right now .but when buhari declare winner many will go insane.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 7:17pm On Jan 31, 2019
HardMirror:
and how does that concern any yoruba man? What i know as a FACT is many of us supported buhari and no longer support him. I am yet to see anyone that supported pdp last election that is now supporting apc. I have not seen anyone here in sw like that. Except those politicians that are at the top. But talking about the common man on the street. Buhari has lost a lot of those who believed in him

Baba It matters to any full blooded Yoruba man...

Little Wonder why IBO's want to die on top Atiku matter because they Know OBI been the VP will give them the chance to earn a bragging right in Nigerian Politics because they are the most politically handicapped region in Nigeria...

I dey tell you What Lie's in front of Yoruba's is punishment esp Lagos remember OBJ did it...

5 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Mathematics Shows Atiku Would Win Buhari By At Least 1.5million Votes by KunleyY19(m): 7:20pm On Jan 31, 2019
Valleys:
@KunleyY19 pls between the current VP and SGF who is more powerful considering that osinbajo is just a "mere commissioner"?

So you are comparing Boss Mustapha with Osinbajo ...
Haba Mana...
Who knows the BOSS...

2 Likes

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