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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results (6943 Views)
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Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:02pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by senatordave1(m): 5:03pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chozzy: I have to attack my zone because its a rigging area.people were more anxious to vote buhari na,buhari was the major concern.between rivers that produce 2 million out of 2.4 million votes and kano that produce 2.1 million out of 4.5 million,who rigs more? 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by MrJanuzaj: 5:04pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
senatordave1: Bookmark this please. Dont forget to quote me after election. Atiku will not score more than 1.5 million votes in southeast. Please dont forget to quote me after election. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by MrJanuzaj: 5:05pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44: Na lie oga. Gubernatorial polls generates more votes. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by senatordave1(m): 5:06pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44:They now have even have the north even more on lockdoen now that they have federal might.in 2015,they did it with little resources.kwankwaso,tambuwal and lamido will try to resist but will be overwhelmed just like oshiimhole and amaechi was in 2015.apc also have the machinery to even resist pdp rigging down south and even overwhelmed them. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by senatordave1(m): 5:07pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
MrJanuzaj:With ipob boycott,am seeing less than 1 million but in full polls,i see 2.5 million. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:09pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
senatordave1: ![]() ![]() |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chinchum(m): 5:09pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
The voters turnout in SE &SS are somewhat overrated, it is going range from 35% -55%. These are two northern extraction candidates. PDP rigged the numbers in 2015 presidential in rivers, delta and even Akwaibom in 2015..... Don't forget that. The Op tried doing a dispassionate job, but his preference affected his analysis. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:11pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chinchum:So the numbers in kano and katsina was not rigged? You smoke kwale w**d? |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chinchum(m): 5:13pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44:voters turn out in KAno and katsina were all less than 60% of pvc collected in those states, when you compare delta, akwa ibom and rivers, it was over 80%.......... 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:17pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chinchum:You are a terrible liar!!!! A very terrible one.Voters turnout in rivers in 2015 was less than 60% |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by MrJanuzaj: 5:18pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
senatordave1: Even without the ipob boycott. Highest PDP will poll in the following states are: highest ooo. Anambra - 250k, Imo - 300k Enugu - 400k, Ebonyi -250k, Abia. 300k. Where is your 2.5 million comming from? Kano and Jigawa will wipe out the entire southeast for PMB. Sokoto, Katsina, Kaduna and Kebbi will do the magic on Southsouth. . Adamawa will neutralize Taraba. . Kogi, Kwara, Nassarawa and FCT will fall on Platueae and Benue. Bauchi, Zamfara, Bornu, Yobe, Niger and Gombe are on the standbye oo I have not yalked about southwest ooo 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chinchum(m): 5:27pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44: Statistics don't lie, in 2015, 2 million pvc's collected, and 1.6 million voters. in Rivers....... 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:30pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chinchum:Now tell us the PVCs collected in kano vs the votes casted |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chinchum(m): 5:33pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44: In Kano, 2015, 4.1 million pvc collected versus 2 million votes. roughly 50% of voters . The internet is there to help you 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by 9jaArea: 5:42pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chozzy: There will be voter apathy like it had always been in the east, few states will record above 70% turnout. 2 Likes |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by PaChukwudi44(m): 5:46pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chinchum:So once voters turnout is more thsn 50% then its rigged? Where did you get this logic from? |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by 9jaArea: 5:50pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Blackfriday: Lol I can't bet my life on anything Benue is not for PDP, don't allow the media reports about killings in Benue mislead you. It is going to be tough for the PDP there. PMB will also win Adamawa. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chozzy: 6:01pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
@MrJanuzaj and @Senatordave1 Less we forget, below are registered voters in each state. I read your posts throwing millions around in different states for Buhari REGISTERED VOTERS 1 Abia 1,932,892 2 Adamawa 1,973,083 3 Akwa Ibom 2,119,727 4 Anambra 2,447,996 5 Bauchi 2,462,843 6 Bayelsa 923,182 7 Benue 2,480,131 8 Borno 2,315,956 9 Cross River 1,527,289 10 Delta 2,845,274 11 Ebonyi 1,459,933 12 Edo 2,210,534 13 Ekiti 909,967 14 Enugu 1,944,016 15 FCT 1,344,856 16 Gombe 1,394,393 17 Imo 2,272,293 18 Jigawa 2,111,106 19 Kaduna 3,932,492 20 Kano 5,457,747 21 Katsina 3,230,230 22 Kebbi 1,806,231 23 Kogi 1,646,350 24 Kwara 1,406,457 25 Lagos 6,570,291 26 Nasarawa 1,617,786 27 Niger 2,390,035 28 Ogun 2,375,003 29 Ondo 1,822,346 30 Osun 1,680,498 31 Oyo 2,934,107 32 Plateau 2,480,455 33 Rivers 3,215,273 34 Sokoto 1,903,166 35 Taraba 1,777,105 36 Yobe 1,365,913 37 Zamfara 1,717,128 Total 84,004,084 NEW VOTERS 15,170,608 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by senatordave1(m): 6:02pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
PaChukwudi44:Buhari will trash atiku same way city is doing to Chelsea. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by san316(m): 6:03pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Guy your analysis is flawed. You didn't take into consideration voter turnout which is usually very low in the SE. PMB will get more votes in the NE than they did in 2015. Atiku cannot win Adamawa, never!!! The margins he may get will come from the SE but their votes are very negligible. Elections is not by rally crowd or the noise ppl make online, it's about structures. Look at all the states and tell me how many political strong men Atiku has to stand for him to guarantee victory. PMB has sitting governors, senators and other influential grassroot people in almost all the states. In Kano, kwankwaso is struggling against six strong men who have defeated him before (Shekarau) Atiku has only sule Lamido in Jigawa, who does he have in Adamawa, Katsina, Borno, To be etc 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by Brightwale(m): 6:13pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
But osun state is not with buhari i swear |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chozzy: 6:44pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
san316: It's expected that turn out in South East will be better now that they have their own man Peter Obi on the ballot. You're right with your other observations 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by san316(m): 6:49pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chozzy: Never underestimate the role of Nnamdi Kanu in affecting the turnout in the SE. Just as we have foolish illiterates toking their lives for politicians in the north, that's how we hv them in the east too. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chozzy: 7:38pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
san316: That guy is a spoiler for Atiku/Obi 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by Poanan: 7:48pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chozzy: I am a babe. I said this cos with the way APC is going, I do not see APC losing. The election will be like a football match with the coach saying "if you miss the ball don't miss the leg" 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by Poanan: 7:52pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
san316: So what you saying is that the elections will be rigged? Is that what you are trying to say? Cos I wonder where this statement "politically strong men to stand for him" is coming from. |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by KunleyY19(m): 8:12pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
chozzy: Bro if it's remains this way then the result will be inconclusive the difference is 300k and for sure no of voided votes will surely be more than the difference... so a re run is on cards... This post is not analytical enough voter turnout wasn't factored in... A criteria that would bring down the east nos...The Votes of other parties too wasn't factored in... 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by san316(m): 8:52pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Poanan: Election is about mobilization. Using available resources to get people to go out and vote for your preferred candidate. The governors have have thousands of people under their direct influence, they have the resources to sway voters. Remember, PMB was able to win in 2015 because almost the entire northern, south western states became APC states with governors, senators and HOR members decamping. How many governors does Atiku have? 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by chozzy: 9:21pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Poanan: Aww, OK sis. Don't mind GEJ jare ... a very weak being. Got power in his hands but failed to use it. See how these APC people are so brutal, taking down everything that appears to stand on their way. 1 Like |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by rusher14: 9:39pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Guzel: He almost suggests the number of voters in Rivers = Lagos. ![]() |
Re: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by yemi15(m): 11:47pm On Feb 10, 2019 |
Brightwale: And we should not be. We are not called Omoluabi for nothing. 1 Like |
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