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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes (7718 Views)
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Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 11:51am On Feb 25, 2019 |
Attesting to the statements made by journalists on the TVC few days ago.....i currently believe it is now mathematically impossible for buhari to win.....from the results released thus far and the projections......here is an unbiased view.....i used the differences or margins between the two major contenders to arrive at this conclusion......as follows 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by alfaman3: 11:53am On Feb 25, 2019 |
ol boy, rigging pass any projection you can make. 6 Likes |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by bedspread: 11:55am On Feb 25, 2019 |
No Matter the Riggings Buhari will not be Returned 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 11:56am On Feb 25, 2019 |
KANO PMB .....+0.7M SOKOTO PMB....+0.2M KEBBI PMB....+0.2M ZAMFARA PMB....+0.2M KATSINA PMB....+0.8M JIGAWA PMB...+0.4M YOBE PMB....+0.4M BORNO PMB....+0.2M BAUCHI PMB....+0.2M GOMBE PMB....+0.2M NIGER PMB....< +0.1M KWARA PMB +0.1M EKITI PMB +0.1M OSUN PMB +0.01M OGUN PMB.. +0.1M |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:01pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
ABUJA AA +0.1M PLATEAU AA +0.2M TARABA AA +0.2M ONDO AA < +0.1M OYO AA +0.1M BENUE AA +0.1M EDO AA +0.1M DELTA AA +0.3M RIVERS AA +0.3M BAYELSA AA +0.3M AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M IMO AA +0.2M ENUGU AA +0.5M ANAMBRA AA +0.4M EBONYI AA +0.4M ABIA AA +0.1M KOGI AA +0.1M |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:04pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
THESE MARGINS ARE FLUCTUATING IN REAL TIME, THEREFORE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ATIKU AND PMB MIGHT BE LESS THAN 300,000 VOTES 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by allthingsgood: 12:05pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
yeye de smell |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:08pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Where is Lagos and Adamawaa in your analysis ? |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:09pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
I DONT HAVE COMPLETE RESULTS FOR LAGOS,THUS HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO CALL IT FOR EITHER SIDE....BUT IT IS LEANING PMB BUT BY HOW MANY VOTES? 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34: Adamawa too close too call...so I did not include 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Adamawa? |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by baliyubla: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
NE PMB + 1.2 million NW PMB + 2.1 million SE AA + 1.8 million SS AA + 1.6 million SW PMB + 200k NC AA + 400k That’s were your 300k margin will come from op. The NC and FCT won the elections for AA. 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by akoaki(m): 12:13pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34:Daymare. Not nightmare. |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:15pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Well it is will be close ...Lagos might be the decider |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:16pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
If AA wins...it will be due to this facors Lower voter turnout in PMB strongholds The Kwankwaso Factor in Kano.....in aiding to reduce the margins The Tambuwal Factor in Sokoto 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by duality(m): 12:23pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34: How does the margin play out. |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:24pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
In Adamawa AA is leading with less than 20,000 votes......I just need the final margin in Lagos to make the final projection.......leaning majorly towards AA now If the difference is less than 100,000 votes, I suspect INEC might declare it inconclusive 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by capitalzero: 12:28pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
rerun is likely and if there is rerun,Atiku will win |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:28pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
mumu post when Kaduna is giving Pmb a margin of over 500k, Lagos over 200k, katsina over 1m, Bornu over 500k, etc. Lol, Ebonyi n Enugu projections Buhari is winning with a landslide 4 Likes |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:36pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: the actual result for katsina shows 800,000 votes margin....and i reflected that |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by crispyJ: 12:37pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
bedspread: as in god of aso rock ?? |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:38pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
But u forgot Kaduna... andico34: |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:38pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
sorry a mistake in katsina.....current margin is now 500,000 votes not 800,000 which pushes Atiku s margin to now over 500,000 votes to win the election 1 Like 2 Shares |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Kaduna is +0.2M for PMB 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34:maybe you haven't gotten the full results. Meanwhile how about Kaduna 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
so include it... andico34: |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:45pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
INEC is now announcing results....so far projections are good |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:50pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
baliyubla: correct |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:50pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
mark my word only Yobe and Bornu will take care of the entire SE 3 Likes |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:52pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
voter turnout is much lower than 2015 numbers......so a winner with about 300k votes will be declared conclusive |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:52pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34:please read this https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/316030-atiku-takes-ebonyi.html |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:53pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: the actual INEC numbers for Borno and Yobe is what I reflected....you can verify 3 Likes 2 Shares |
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