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Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes - Politics - Nairaland

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Tinubu Projected To Win APC Presidential Primaries - The Cable / Buhari beats Atiku in Lagos with over 130,000 votes / BREAKING: APC Candidate Leading Saraki With Over 20,000 Votes In Two Of 4 Lgas (2) (3) (4)

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Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 11:51am On Feb 25, 2019
Attesting to the statements made by journalists on the TVC few days ago.....i currently believe it is now mathematically impossible for buhari to win.....from the results released thus far and the projections......here is an unbiased view.....i used the differences or margins between the two major contenders to arrive at this conclusion......as follows

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by alfaman3: 11:53am On Feb 25, 2019
ol boy, rigging pass any projection you can make.

6 Likes

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by bedspread: 11:55am On Feb 25, 2019
No Matter the Riggings Buhari will not be Returned

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 11:56am On Feb 25, 2019
KANO PMB .....+0.7M

SOKOTO PMB....+0.2M

KEBBI PMB....+0.2M

ZAMFARA PMB....+0.2M

KATSINA PMB....+0.8M

JIGAWA PMB...+0.4M

YOBE PMB....+0.4M

BORNO PMB....+0.2M

BAUCHI PMB....+0.2M

GOMBE PMB....+0.2M

NIGER PMB....< +0.1M

KWARA PMB +0.1M

EKITI PMB +0.1M

OSUN PMB +0.01M

OGUN PMB.. +0.1M
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:01pm On Feb 25, 2019
ABUJA AA +0.1M

PLATEAU AA +0.2M

TARABA AA +0.2M

ONDO AA < +0.1M

OYO AA +0.1M

BENUE AA +0.1M

EDO AA +0.1M

DELTA AA +0.3M

RIVERS AA +0.3M

BAYELSA AA +0.3M

AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M

CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M

IMO AA +0.2M

ENUGU AA +0.5M

ANAMBRA AA +0.4M

EBONYI AA +0.4M

ABIA AA +0.1M

KOGI AA +0.1M
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:04pm On Feb 25, 2019
THESE MARGINS ARE FLUCTUATING IN REAL TIME, THEREFORE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ATIKU AND PMB MIGHT BE LESS THAN 300,000 VOTES

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by allthingsgood: 12:05pm On Feb 25, 2019
yeye de smell sad
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:08pm On Feb 25, 2019
Where is Lagos and Adamawaa in your analysis ?
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:09pm On Feb 25, 2019
I DONT HAVE COMPLETE RESULTS FOR LAGOS,THUS HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO CALL IT FOR EITHER SIDE....BUT IT IS LEANING PMB BUT BY HOW MANY VOTES?

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:
I DONT HAVE COMPLETE RESULTS FOR LAGOS,THUS HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO CALL IT FOR EITHER SIDE....BUT IT IS LEANING PMB BUT BY HOW MANY VOTES?

Adamawa too close too call...so I did not include

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019
Adamawa?
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by baliyubla: 12:11pm On Feb 25, 2019
NE PMB + 1.2 million
NW PMB + 2.1 million

SE AA + 1.8 million
SS AA + 1.6 million

SW PMB + 200k
NC AA + 400k

That’s were your 300k margin will come from op. The NC and FCT won the elections for AA.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by akoaki(m): 12:13pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:
Attesting to the statements made by journalists on the TVC few days ago.....i currently believe it is now mathematically impossible for buhari to win.....from the results released thus far and the projections......here is an unbiased view.....i used the differences or margins between the two major contenders to arrive at this conclusion......as follows
Daymare. Not nightmare.
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:15pm On Feb 25, 2019
Well it is will be close ...Lagos might be the decider
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:16pm On Feb 25, 2019
If AA wins...it will be due to this facors

Lower voter turnout in PMB strongholds

The Kwankwaso Factor in Kano.....in aiding to reduce the margins

The Tambuwal Factor in Sokoto

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by duality(m): 12:23pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:
Attesting to the statements made by journalists on the TVC few days ago.....i currently believe it is now mathematically impossible for buhari to win.....from the results released thus far and the projections......here is an unbiased view.....i used the differences or margins between the two major contenders to arrive at this conclusion......as follows

How does the margin play out.
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:24pm On Feb 25, 2019
In Adamawa AA is leading with less than 20,000 votes......I just need the final margin in Lagos to make the final projection.......leaning majorly towards AA now

If the difference is less than 100,000 votes, I suspect INEC might declare it inconclusive

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by capitalzero: 12:28pm On Feb 25, 2019
rerun is likely and if there is rerun,Atiku will win
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:28pm On Feb 25, 2019
mumu post grin when Kaduna is giving Pmb a margin of over 500k, Lagos over 200k, katsina over 1m, Bornu over 500k, etc.
Lol, Ebonyi n Enugu projections grin
Buhari is winning with a landslide cheesy

4 Likes

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:36pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:
mumu post grin when Kaduna is giving Pmb a margin of over 500k, Lagos over 200k, katsina over 1m, Bornu over 500k, etc.
Lol, Ebonyi n Enugu projections grin
Buhari is winning with a landslide cheesy

the actual result for katsina shows 800,000 votes margin....and i reflected that
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by crispyJ: 12:37pm On Feb 25, 2019
bedspread:
No Matter the Riggings Buhari will not be Returned

as in god of aso rock ?? undecided undecided
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:38pm On Feb 25, 2019
But u forgot Kaduna...
andico34:


the actual result for katsina shows 800,000 votes margin....and i reflected that
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:38pm On Feb 25, 2019
sorry a mistake in katsina.....current margin is now 500,000 votes not 800,000 which pushes Atiku s margin to now over 500,000 votes to win the election

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019
Kaduna is +0.2M for PMB

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:


the actual result for katsina shows 800,000 votes margin....and i reflected that
maybe you haven't gotten the full results.
Meanwhile how about Kaduna grin

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 12:40pm On Feb 25, 2019
so include it...
andico34:
Kaduna is +0.2M for PMB
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:45pm On Feb 25, 2019
INEC is now announcing results....so far projections are good
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:50pm On Feb 25, 2019
baliyubla:
NE PMB + 1.2 million
NW PMB + 2.4 million

SE AA + 1.8 million
SS AA + 1.6 million

SW PMB + 200k
NC AA + 700k

That’s were your 300k margin will come from op. The NC and FCT won the elections for AA.


correct
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:50pm On Feb 25, 2019
mark my word only Yobe and Bornu will take care of the entire SE cool

3 Likes

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:52pm On Feb 25, 2019
voter turnout is much lower than 2015 numbers......so a winner with about 300k votes will be declared conclusive
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:52pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:
INEC is now announcing results....so far projections are good
please read this https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/316030-atiku-takes-ebonyi.html
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:53pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:
mark my word only Yobe and Bornu will take care of the entire SE cool

the actual INEC numbers for Borno and Yobe is what I reflected....you can verify

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