The winner of the April 9 presidential election may be determined by the outcome of the National Assembly elections holding a week earlier, going by the current calculations and dynamics ahead of the 2011 general election.

Meanwhile, the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), which lost so many members of the National Assembly to opposition parties after the primaries, is locked in a tug-of-war with the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) over the party’s decision to cancel some of its primaries and hold fresh ones.

Going by the realignments in the polity and the fall-outs of the recently held primaries, THISDAY projects that the PDP stands a grave risk of losing a significant number of parliamentary seats – and this may have a bandwagon effect on the pattern of voting in the presidential race which follows immediately.

The growing popularity of Gen. Muhammadu Buhari’s Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) in the North-west as well as the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) in the South-west may provide a difficult test for the PDP, with many of its seats up for grabs in the Senate.

Although the PDP currently controls 83 out of the 109 Senate seats – giving it absolute majority – THISDAY projects that a vast majority of the seats have become unsafe in the light of recent developments, including the possibility of an alliance by CPC, ACN and All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP).

It is projected that 37 seats are safe for the ruling party while at least 33 seats will be in play, majority of which are currently held by the PDP. CPC is projected to win 18 seats outright, ACN 9, ANPP 6, with APGA and Labour Party winning three each.

With 33 seats up for grabs, PDP stands the risk of losing its majority, a situation that may make the presidential race difficult for President Goodluck Jonathan.

There has been a notable movement of PDP senators to other parties after losing the nomination of their party at the primary elections held earlier this month.

Read More: http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/pdp-s-grip-on-senate-under-threat/85377/

This is Good News!

A Senate not controlled by PDP = Senate for the People = Development!

rebranded:

Going by the realignments in the polity and the fall-outs of the recently held primaries, THISDAY projects that the PDP stands a grave risk of losing a significant number of parliamentary seats – and this may have a bandwagon effect on the pattern of voting in the presidential race which follows immediately.

The growing popularity of Gen. Muhammadu Buhari’s Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) in the North-west as well as the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) in the South-west may provide a difficult test for the PDP, with many of its seats up for grabs in the Senate.

Although the PDP currently controls 83 out of the 109 Senate seats – giving it absolute majority – THISDAY projects that a vast majority of the seats have become unsafe in the light of recent developments, including the possibility of an alliance by CPC, ACN and All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP).

^^^^ Good point!

With PDP focus on the Presidency only , ACN can have control of the Senate AND the Presidency

It is Possible, Ribadu 2011 - Vote Wisely!

Can anyone enlighten us on the highlights of the new electoral laws- if it has been signed and adopted and in what ways things will be different from the past?

E.g are we still going to be hearing abt court cases 3 and half years after an election? This is important b/c people will willingly cheat and use state resources to subvert the law when taken to court. Sorry for the digression. Electoral laws.

Good News -


an end in sight for kleptocracy -

PDP days are numbered!