Without any form of a sceptical hypothesis, maybe as one whose concern is to help others think more or simply because I view public issues as my pursuit. Yes, it sounds emotional but truly it’s a fact. Should there haven’t been a pandemic this year some handy adjustment and a conceivable attempt to a reformation of the health sector may not actually happen and most agreeably the public comprehensive data-driven report from the National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) might also not happen or known to people? To statisticians in Nigeria, it is one of the best steps by the government of Nigeria towards the health reform. Not only to us but to all whose interest is to see an attempting reform health sector springing up even in the peak of a world pandemic like coronavirus crisis. For the past seven months, the NCDC’s level of professionalism has been applauding. Although, the government’s effort in reducing the impact of the pandemic crisis by implementing some of the needed preventive measures has also been commending. Mostly, by the implementation of the citizen-engaging approach with real-time and up to date information about the pandemic and its preventions. A welcome development indeed.
What we should know
The mortality rate before the pandemic crisis and during the peak period of the pandemic and the possible post period of the pandemic should be a concern now. Making some sense from the mortality data of Nigeria before the pandemic period will be a nice data wrangling. Since there is a possibility of post-out-break of the deadly virus just like in some other countries of the world. Hence, a call to follow the prevention guideline as specified by NCDC should be necessary. Although, a study has shown that at least the death rate caused by malaria, diarrhoea and HIV/AIDS which are primarily the most causes of death in Nigeria contributing more than 27% of the total death per annual.
In 2018, the total predicted deaths were 2,327.19 thousand with an estimated population of more 195 million also in 2019, predicted deaths were 2,341.78 thousand with an estimated population of over 200 million. According to the United Nations demographic report, the population of Nigeria may be approaching more than 206 million by the end of the third quarter of the year 2020 with predicted deaths at the same period as 1,159.1 thousand. However, from the NCDC’s covid-19-related death report after 201 days (seven months) was less than 1,200 deaths. Now, given the ratio in the expected death after seven months were the deadly covid-19 virus was at its peak according to the NCDC’s death report. We could deduce that...https://statartinsights.com/mortality-data-what-ncdcs-covid-19-related-death-report-could-be-telling-nigerians/