US election 2020-Nationally, Joe Biden is clearly ahead of US President Donald Trump in polls. But Trump has recently caught up in a number of key states. An overview of the status in the “Swing States” – and what is important there.473display

The Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has been ahead of incumbent Donald Trump in national polls for months. According to the poll aggregator of FiveThirtyEight , a political statistics portal specially geared to elections, Biden’s lead is currently nine percentage points: 52 percent of Americans nationwide are in favor of Biden, 43 percent for Trump – the incumbent president has in the last Weeks but easily caught up.

The nationwide result is initially irrelevant on election day, November 3rd. Only the results in the states are relevant. Trump’s victory in 2016 came about because he won states like Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania or Michigan, even though challenger Hillary Clinton got more votes nationwide than he did. Trump is currently still lagging behind in the “swing states” – but recently he has at least managed to take the lead in Ohio and catch up in Florida, Pennsylvania and Arizona.

According to the current status (see below), Biden already has 238 electors from the states almost certainly – too much of the lead to be caught up there. Conversely, Trump has so far had 117 electors . You need 270 to win the election . And so it can already be stated: Should Trump not win Texas or Florida, the election would be as good as lost for him. But if he manages to win most of the “swing states”, the world will see a second Trump term.

Biden has already won the election for Cenk Uygur . In 2016, Uygur was one of the few political analysts who warned for a long time that Trump had a good chance of winning the election. This time, the founder of the progressive political network The Young Turks is certain that Trump has no more chance of victory. Biden leads too clearly in such important states as Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which Trump needed in 2016 for his election victory. In addition, Trump has lost too much support in various other states, says Uygur. His prognosis : Biden will win significantly with 335: 203 – also because even Catholics and pensioners are now in the majority of surveys in favor of Biden.

WELT evaluated the current and most recent polls of all states immediately before election day and took a separate look at the “swing states”. In 40 states (including the capital Washington DC, which sends its own electors in elections) the lead of a candidate is already double-digit.

According to the current status,

Donald Trump’s victory can hardly be taken in the following states (the respective electors in brackets): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (, Louisiana (, Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Dakota (3) , Tennessee (11), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3).

Joe Biden’s lead can hardly be caught in these states: California (55), Colorado (9), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine ( 4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (16 – Trump won here in 2016 ), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York ( 29), Oregon (7), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), Washington (12).


FULL DETAILS: TRUMP VS JOE BIDEN STATES WHERE THEY'RE WINNING