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John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging - Politics - Nairaland

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John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by timbuktwo: 2:02am On Mar 24, 2011
According to a recent opinion pollin Nigeria, 38.1 percent of  respondents “strongly agree” and 34.9 percent “somewhat agree,” “that Goodluck Jonathan is doing a good job as president.” The poll even shows Jonathan with a one hundred percent positive approval rate in Akwa Ibom state, and an average positive performance rating of about ninety percent in the southern states. His lowest score was in Kano with 22.5 percent, but he had an overall approval rate in the North of sixty percent.

The poll, conducted by Ipsos, an international polling firm, was published in This Day, a Nigerian newspaper sympathetic to the Jonathan administration.

I am skeptical that this poll accurately measures Jonathan’s support. Indeed, an approval rating of one hundred percent anywhere stretches credulity. While opinion polls are not unknown in Nigeria, they are not common, either.

Shortly before the 2007 elections, a government cabinet minister came to see me with polling results that ostensibly showed overwhelming support for the governing People’s Democratic Party. In hindsight, the Obasanjo government’s sharing of poll results with the diplomatic community looks like it was part of an orchestrated campaign to try and give credibility to the electoral outcomes despite the massive PDP rigging of the elections. Friends of Nigeria must hope that polling data is not now being used in a similar way before the April 2011 elections.
http://blogs.cfr.org/campbell/2011/03/09/nigeria-election-polling/
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by ektbear: 2:17am On Mar 24, 2011
Interesting that such a prominent figure casts doubts on the polls. . . and reveals that this is part of the Obasanjo playbook (to hoodwink international organizations.)
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by EzeUche2(m): 4:30am On Mar 24, 2011
John Campbell has been predicting fire and brimstone for Nigeria nonstop.

He seems to be obsessed with Nigeria. Hoping that the country breaks up to prove his predictions correct.
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by timbuktwo: 6:27pm On Mar 24, 2011
^^

John Campbell knows more about this country than you ever will.
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by ektbear: 11:26pm On Mar 24, 2011
timbuk two:

^^

John Campbell knows more about this country than you ever will.
Preach. He knows more than most of us.
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by PhysicsMHD(m): 3:01am On Mar 25, 2011
EzeUche_:

John Campbell has been predicting fire and brimstone for Nigeria nonstop.

He seems to be obsessed with Nigeria. Hoping that the country breaks up to prove his predictions correct.


So you don't want his predictions to be correct? Surprising.

The guy might be an "obsessed" outsider, but he's genuinely sympathetic.
Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by 9ijaMan: 5:35am On Mar 25, 2011
EzeUche_:

John Campbell has been predicting fire and brimstone for Nigeria nonstop.

He seems to be obsessed with Nigeria. Hoping that the country breaks up to prove his predictions correct.

Typical of a GEJ supporter to be blind, deaf and dumb to the substance of the message but quick at resorting to personal attacks on the messenger.

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