Hamzaaaaaaaa:
Ok

Kyase:
Garfield1
Was telling you yesterday

SW Consensus vs SS/SE/NE Consensus

garfield1:


But originally you said consensus won't work.that means one of tinubu/osibanjo vs amechi/akpabio vs lawan/bello vs nwajiuba/onu....

Tinubu already has lagos,kano,Osun,borno, which is about 1200 delegates.can you beat that

Kyase:

Whether by consensus or stepping down for another, they are all the same thing

By end of this week, we should know where the pendulum will swing to, but now let's wait.....
Even Tinubu isn't 100% sure of how it will be..

garfield1:


But originally you said consensus won't work.that means one of tinubu/osibanjo vs amechi/akpabio vs lawan/bello vs nwajiuba/onu....

Tinubu already has lagos,kano,Osun,borno, which is about 1200 delegates.can you beat that

Sammy07:


And partially Ondo/Ogun, i think he has Edo also

Fayemi has Ekiti, Tinubu Also partially has Oyo and Rivers

Amaechi also have Rivers and some Southern state. .as for Yemi, I'm not sure of him

garfield1:


He is.lawan only has yobe,IMO,kebbi and maybe jigawa

garfield1:


Amechi only has rivers,maybe bayelsa,parts of crs and plateau.tinubu has an unassailable lead

mrvitalis:

Lmao ...u guys make me laugh

The only man who determines the next APC candidate is Buhari simple no body can dare him ,he owns the party structure 100%

Where he points 90% would go ....so just wait n see the direction he would go to before you start to do calculations

You think brono ,Kano , delegates would vote against Buhari directives ?

1 year is too much of a long time to be on the bad books of the president when u are corrupt

Kyase:


You can underate every other person but don't do that to these three aspirants, Amaechi, lawan and osibanjo, among them all the most dangerous is Amaechi..

garfield1:


He is.lawan only has yobe,IMO,kebbi and maybe jigawa

mrvitalis:

Lmao ...

1 year is too much of a long time to be on the bad books of the president when u are corrupt

garfield1:


Dont forget tinubu has been planning these all his life.amechi cannot even control things in rivers,in yobe,lawwan is under buni and geidam while tinubu made osibanjo.except buhari backs them,no way

Kyase:

I'm not in anyway belittling BAT, not at all, in fact after consideration I want a southern Muslim to emerge, so that we can have a northern Christian as VP, some nonsense need to stop.....

But what im saying is, tinubu shouldn't underate any of his opponents

garfield1:


Agree with you that is why he is not resting his oars.he was instrumental to lawan's emergence as SP. He is now in delta state...

But my problem is which christian can he peir with among dogara,babachir,boss mustapha,lalong,akume etc.... He may go with a Muslim like lawan,zulum,ganduje

Kyase:

He won't try the Muslim, Muslim ticket...
I see Dogara or Boss Mustapha its between those two.... But most likely Boss, he need someone from Buhari inner cycle to gain his support....

garfield1:


Boss is not really from buhari circle oh.he was part of acn in Adamawa and cousin to babachir. They are all tinubu people

garfield1:


Boss is not really from buhari circle oh.he was part of acn in Adamawa and cousin to babachir. They are all tinubu people

Kyase:


I'm aware of that, but not anymore, Boss is a Buharist and he's part of the cabal

garfield1:


His loyalty is originally to tinubu

garfield1:


Dont forget tinubu has been planning these all his life.amechi cannot even control things in rivers,in yobe,lawwan is under buni and geidam while tinubu made osibanjo.except buhari backs them,no way

Kyase:
Garfield1
Was telling you yesterday

SW Consensus vs SS/SE/NE Consensus

fyneguy:


There can't be SE/SS/NE consensus in APC. The interest groups in these zones are too heterogenous. Their SECs are loyal to different groups. No single leader can make them reach a compromise.

For instance, in the SS, Edo is controlled by the ACN caucus. Delta is divided - ACN and nPDP. Akpabio - Akwa Ibom...Ayade and ACN- Cross River. Rivers won't join them, unless Amaechi steps down for the NE-consensus.

In the NE, ACN controls Borno, Adamawa, Bauchi, and Taraba. Gombe is divided. Only Yobe will go with the consensus.

SE is not clear yet. Kalu does not control Abia. Uzodinma might pull Imo into the consensus. Umahi may also deliver Ebonyi for it. Enugu, Anambra are up for grabs.

Kyase:


Nice analyses, but I think there will be a general consensus in APC, Buhari is fully in charge of APC now

Yamiriflathead:

Until that happens let's deal with what's on ground. There's no consensus candidate for now and that's what matters