With the gang up of this men in APC Atiku,Tinubu,Kwankwaso and Buhari in 2015 against Jonathan,Buhari win the election with only 3 million more than that of Gej.Buhari and apc won in 21 states while goodluck won in 15 states,upon all the bloc votes from Kano,kaduna,katsina and other NE/NW states,Plus votes from south west due to Osinbanjo influence,APC and Buhari only manage to lead goodluck with 3 million votes.But in 2023,Atiku,Tinubu and kwankwaso will be competing against each other,and the major zones were the put there hopes are ne/nw and sw(muslims are found in this zones in large quantity)same zones Buhari win jonathan with 3 million votes,while Obi is relying on ss,se and north central states(gej stronghold in 2015)to win although apc won in Benue,kogi and also got some good percentage of votes from NC states.In 2023 those high votes gotten by apc only in 2015 in nc states will be shared between apc and pdp.What Obi needs is to maintain those states win by gej in 2015&also add more numbers(youths).

Stop this nonsense

Jonathan gave all the main positions to Igbos like the way Buhari gave the main positions to Northerners.

The Igbos only voted to keep their jobs.

Apc,pdp and nndp can share the remaining votes,after all Buhari with everybody on is side manage only 3 million votes,talkless now the are seperated,the can kill themselves.

Buhari led Atiku with only 4 Million votes in 2019


15 million and 11 million

Legendhero,helinues,leodeking,moh247,seunmg,votetinubu2023

Ebi2233:
Buhari led Atiku with only 4 Million votes in 2019


15 million and 11 million

Atiku and Buhari are fulanis,i am talking of muslim north vs christain south of 2015 and 2023 comparing what will happen using this scenerio.

Enyimbafc:
Apc,pdp and nndp can share the remaining votes,after all Buhari with everybody on is side manage only 3 million votes,talkless now the are seperated,the can kill themselves.

Eventually Kwankwaso will either side with Atiku or Tinubu.

Because with 3 aspirants hoping on a majority Muslim votes, that won't fly..
Muslims will eventually have to chose between Atiku or Tinubu, 2023 will be more Religious than tribal..

Ebi2233:
Stop this nonsense

Jonathan gave all the main positions to Igbos like the way Buhari gave the main positions to Northerners.

The Igbos only voted to keep their jobs.

Oga dont be a tribal Bigot !!

Ebi2233:
Stop this nonsense

Jonathan gave all the main positions to Igbos like the way Buhari gave the main positions to Northerners.

The Igbos only voted to keep their jobs.

Name one main position he gave to Igbos ?

BigSarah:


Eventually Kwankwaso will either side with Atiku or Tinubu.

Because with 3 aspirants hoping on a majority Muslim votes, that won't fly..
Muslims will eventually have to chose between Atiku or Tinubu, 2023 will be more Religious than tribal..

If eventually kwankwaso step down,atiku and tinubu will still share votes in majority muslim dominated areas.There is no way atiku will win Tinubu in south west,and tinubu too will not win all the states in NE/NW the will both reduce each other number of votes,each one of them will depend heavily on rigging to win.

Peter Obi been the major Christain is a big advantage

Ebi2233:
Buhari led Atiku with only 4 Million votes in 2019


15 million and 11 million

Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

Remember , PDP ruled for 16yrs, so you can’t deny such structure . And we still have notable politicians and governors in PDP supporting Jonathan . Plus power of incumbency.

Jonathan did not rule a sole campaign

BigSarah:


Eventually Kwankwaso will either side with Atiku or Tinubu.

Because with 3 aspirants hoping on a majority Muslim votes, that won't fly..
Muslims will eventually have to chose between Atiku or Tinubu, 2023 will be more Religious than tribal..

I don't see Kwankwaso stepping down

He wants to test his popularity

seunmsg:


Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

In all these you people's political "calculations", there is a critical constituency you guys keep forgeting(maybe it is intentional): the people that did not vote in 2015 and 2019 even tho they already had a PVC.

Those guys are in the majority. By far. Only about 30% voted in 2019 for example. What of the other 70% that did not vote? Why didnt they vote? Is the situation different enough currently ro make a lot of them change their mind to vote? Who will they vote?Which regions have the majority of these people? Etc etc.

I am of the firm opinion that except something very significant happens, next years elections will be very competitive and very unpredictable. The candidates and parties that will win has a lot of working to do. And that the CHARACTER and MESSAGE of the candidates may be crucial in this aspect.

Enough said

seunmsg:


Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

Remember Tinubu is not Buhari and remember 2023 election will be christains vs muslims,we also have millions of christains in north,so ur 7million from se,ss is baseless.

seunmsg:


Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

Oga stop dreaming.Nothing concern aboki with APC.Even the SW will not have voted for APC if Amechi had won the ticket.Stop deceiving yourself.

Tinubu has the least realistic path to the presidency amongst the top 3 candidates

SarkinYarki:


Name one main position he gave to Igbos ?

The shameless liar has disappeared

Kwankwaso is already relegated.. His 5mins of fame to Aso Rock expired when he refused to take the VP slot given to him by Labour Party.
If he wants to remain relevant politically, he's gonna attach himself to one of the 3 big boys and that he will only do in 2023 not now.

BigSarah:


Eventually Kwankwaso will either side with Atiku or Tinubu.

Because with 3 aspirants hoping on a majority Muslim votes, that won't fly..
Muslims will eventually have to chose between Atiku or Tinubu, 2023 will be more Religious than tribal..

Please list the positions Jonathan gave to Igbos and those Buhari gave to Northerners, I want to compare something.

Ebi2233:
Stop this nonsense

Jonathan gave all the main positions to Igbos like the way Buhari gave the main positions to Northerners.

The Igbos only voted to keep their jobs.

seunmsg:


Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

E be like say sallah meat dey hungry you abi? Please remove Buhari's vote from this allocation you have done. Then redistribute it accordingly and let's see.

Truly, there's gonna be vote distribution sparsely. Alliance may not work this time. Every aspirant wants to score a television goal.

PaChukwudi44:

The shameless liar has disappeared

They always use "Igbos "for their lies

Ebi2233:
Stop this nonsense

Jonathan gave all the main positions to Igbos like the way Buhari gave the main positions to Northerners.

The Igbos only voted to keep their jobs.

Name the positions Igbos had under Jonathan abeg let's see ....daziani is from bayelsa ooh so don't disgrace yourself

Yorubas that held all the positions meant for south under Buhari you didn't see that one ooh

Enyimbafc:
If eventually kwankwaso step down,atiku and tinubu will still share votes in majority muslim dominated areas.There is no way atiku will win Tinubu in south west,and tinubu too will not win all the states in NE/NW the will both reduce each other number of votes,each one of them will depend heavily on rigging to win.

Kwankwaso would step down ? Then all those who decamped to NNPP would now do what ?

Kwankwaso is too arrogant to be vice ...but not too arrogant to step down for nothing ?

seunmsg:


Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.

If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.

So we are left with this possible outcome :

Tinubu - 11million votes
Atiku. - 8 million votes
Obi - 7million votes
Kwakwanso- 2million votes

At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.

APC votes and buhari's votes are totally different that's what you don't know ...max tinubu can get is 45% of traditional Buhari votes
Kwankwaso is the next after Buhari so he would get 40% atiku gets the rest

Hoelujohn:

E be like say sallah meat dey hungry you abi? Please remove Buhari's vote from this allocation you have done. Then redistribute it accordingly and let's see.

Why not do your own allocation and let’s see.

I haven't know Kwankwaso stepping havewnHe wants to test his popularity

Enyimbafc:
If eventually kwankwaso step down,atiku and tinubu will still share votes in majority muslim dominated areas.There is no way atiku will win Tinubu in south west,and tinubu too will not win all the states in NE/NW the will both reduce each other number of votes,each one of them will depend heavily on rigging to win.

You can never rig election again in this country starting from 2023.... You can only do vote buying .. Now the question is, how Many millions people u go bribe for this country ?

pinkPUSSY:


You can never rig election again in this country starting from 2023.... You can only do vote buying .. Now the question is, how Many millions people u go bribe for this country ?

But do you really believe that the new electoral law will prevent rigging,don't you think the will manipulate the BIVAS electronic devices to there own favour.

Enyimbafc:
But do you really believe that the new electoral law will prevent rigging,don't you think the will manipulate the BIVAS electronic devices to there own favour.

If they manipulative it at their own end it would be null and void at the other end

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Peter Obi been the major Christain is a big advantage

You are right