OkoroBufo:

Your lies and propaganda is dead on arrival. Bokoharam started under Ali Modu sheriff who was responsible for using them as political thugs and later abandoned them after the election. Shettima rehabilitated and renovated many homes and churches that came under bokoharam attacks. In continuation of his excellent works, he nominated Governor Zulum as his successor against some powerful political opposition in the state. Today, everyone is thankful to Shettima for the gift of Zulum.
Tinubu/Shettima is a moving train, if you put your ipob balls in the way, it would get crushed.

-Okoro bufo

Stop spreading your stupid lies. Name the church destroyed by Boko Haram that shettima renovated ?

OkoroBufo:

Your lies and propaganda is dead on arrival. Bokoharam started under Ali Modu sheriff who was responsible for using them as political thugs and later abandoned them after the election. Shettima rehabilitated and renovated many homes and churches that came under bokoharam attacks. In continuation of his excellent works, he nominated Governor Zulum as his successor against some powerful political opposition in the state. Today, everyone is thankful to Shettima for the gift of Zulum.
Tinubu/Shettima is a moving train, if you put your ipob balls in the way, it would get crushed.

-Okoro bufo

oya, go and collect your 4k,at the current state of the national u still want a dinosaur to lead us

OkoroBufo:

Your lies and propaganda is dead on arrival. Bokoharam started under Ali Modu sheriff who was responsible for using them as political thugs and later abandoned them after the election. Shettima rehabilitated and renovated many homes and churches that came under bokoharam attacks. In continuation of his excellent works, he nominated Governor Zulum as his successor against some powerful political opposition in the state. Today, everyone is thankful to Shettima for the gift of Zulum.
Tinubu/Shettima is a moving train, if you put your ipob balls in the way, it would get crushed.

-Okoro bufo

Are you a terrorist?
Both Sherrif and Shettima are Terrorists
NIGERIANS say no to Terrorists
Tinubu / Shettima Tickets are Ticket for Terrorism

[quote author=oikirodah post=114617668]Monday Topic: The implications of APC governors meeting with Nyesom Wike and matters arising.

Research Line: A simple breakdown of analysis of who is currently ahead in the 2023 presidential elections and the conflict of interest of every single power bloc.



Source iReporteronline.
https://ireporteronline.com.ng/blog/the-implications-of-apc-governors-meeting-with-wike-and-tinubus-sure-ticket-matters-arising-by-osigwe-omo-ikirodah/
hree APC governors, including Kayode Fayemi (Ekiti), Rotimi Akeredolu (Ondo), and Babajide Sanwo-Olu (Lagos), stormed Port Harcourt on Friday for an undisclosed meeting with Wike, sparking speculation that they may try to persuade him to join forces with the ruling party in the 2023 presidential election[/b]s.

[b]Prior to now, Mr Peter Obi, the Labour Party presidential candidate, was in Port Harcourt for a closed-door meeting with Wike. Former Kano State Governor Musa Kwankwanso also paid Wike a visit in Port Harcourt.

It is widely assumed that the Rivers State governor is bitterly disappointed that he was cheated out of the Vice Presidential slot by Atiku, who chose Okowa instead, this was despite the fact that a committee formed to select Atiku's running mate gave Wike the thumbs up.

Matters arising.

Politics, like any other endeavor in life, is all about interest, whether it is personal interest, regional interest, party interest, or religious interest; as long as there is an interest, everyone in politics is motivated.

The Rivers State governor's term is coming to an end, and he needs to do everything he can to stay in the spotlight. One of the appeals of the 2023 general elections is that many political heavyweights may retire from politics at a young age. One such example is Vice President Yemi Osinbajo.

Wike is not immune from this, and he has no choice but to defend his continued access to power or exit the stage in early retirement.
For ex-governors to be relevant, they must hold a national position, such as a senatorial or ministerial position.

There is no guarantee that any Ex-Governor can maintain his position of leadership in his state even if he produces his successor on his own; in most cases, the successors are the ones who would even retire them.

Consider Rotimi Amaechi as an example. What significance would he have had in Rivers State if he had not been a Federal Minister? By now Wike would have confined him to the hall of HISTORY in the State, like the likes of Odili , Omehia and co.

So he has only two options: ride and sink with the PDP if they fail to win the presidency, or align with the APC and secure political relevance in the next dispensation , as Godswill Akpabio and Rotimi Amaechi did in the previous electoral dispensation. When it comes to the 2023 presidential elections, Wike is a monster of a resource; ignore him at your own peril.

Here are some signs why it seems obvious that Wike may align with Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu for the sake of the coming presidential elections.

The fact that all three of these governors are from the South West makes it abundantly clear that the purpose of their trip is to court Wike, who happens to be the beautiful bride of the moment in supporting Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu's presidential ambition.

Now, Wike made certain that the visit was widely publicized, as attested to by Kayode Fayemi, who was seen asking Wike why there were so many cameras from the moment they stepped out of the vehicle that brought in the Governors. Keep in mind that when the August visitors arrived, Ayodele Fayose was present.

Which means Wike prepared well for the meeting and invited his trusted ally from the South West, Ayo Fayose to be a witness , the former Ekiti State Governor has since declared his support for the APC presidential candidate saying power must come back to the South. Wike was overheard saying Tinubu's signature cap is currently trending.

Then there was the viral video that surfaced after the PDP convention, just as Atiku was about to choose his running mate, in which Wike was seen threatening to leave the PDP for the APC; that video was a premeditated attempt to muscle things up in the PDP, just as Tinubu's Emi Lokan's outburst video changed the game in the APC prior to the party primaries.

The video clearly showed that it was recorded by multiple sources, so it could never have been a leaked video because it was officially recorded.

Even if the video was as old as they claimed, you have to wonder why it suddenly surfaced online when no one had ever seen it before.

Ordinarily Wike is smart and one hell of a dogged politician, he may have factored in his own calculations on how the presidential election may swing.

Breakdown of analysis on who is leading the online registration and how voters may likely vote.

North-Central (Also called the middle belt)with its member states being; Benue(200,400), Kogi(344496), Kwara(364,716), Nassarawa(201,842), Niger(113,295), Plateau(375,691), and Abuja(269,985)

North-East with its member states being; Adamawa(157,142), Bauchi(251,182), Borno(501,314), Gombe(248,021), Taraba(262,258), and Yobe(91,350)

North-West with its member states being; Jigawa(235,524), Kaduna(574,811), Kano(369,651), Katsina(119,209), Kebbi(81,133), Sokoto(265,633), and Zamfara(359,651)

South-East with its member states being; Abia(107,953), Anambra(159,741), Ebonyi(274,389), Enugu(73,165), and Imo(70,759)

South-South with its member state being; Akwa Ibom(144,014), Bayelsa(550,207), Cross River(107,085), Rivers(388,740), Edo(330,903), and Delta(641,174)

South-west with its member states being; Ekiti(168,478), Lagos(640,774), Ogun(319,487), Ondo(175,388), Osun(708,968), and Oyo(240,911)

All figures are as at 7am Monday 27th June 2022.

One misleading fact that some Nigerians have alluded to is that the massive voter registration turnout is the result of a new political party or structure. The figures above show that the major political gladiators are not sleeping and are doing everything they can to gather votes.

A case in point was the last APC special convention that saw Tinubu emerge as the Party's flagbearer, during the two days event held in Abuja, the streets of Abuja practically looked like any state in the South West, with people from the South West everywhere you turned.

However, careful investigations show that Tinubu may not be solely responsible for this incredible turnout of visitors into Abuja, as so many numerous groups mobilized their members across the states to turn up in solidarity with Tinubu . All of these movements are more strenuous than obtaining the PVC.

My point here, which should be taken as a HOME STUDY, is that every politician who wants to win an election understands that it is the voters who decide, and the INEC is improving every day to the delight of the people. The current battle is a scramble for PVC by these political rivals.

Let us take a breakdown of the voters registration and see who is likely ahead.

North-Central the APC controls Kogi, Kwara, Nassarawa, Niger, Plateau while Abuja prior now seems to be PDP inclined , then Benue happens to be PDP.

Wherever a political party controls the state, a sizable chunk of votes will be delivered for the party and this is why, commissioners, special advisers, House of Assembly members, and so on will serve in their interests. Take the last presidential elections in Imo State as an example.

Atiku Abubakar, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Presidential Candidate, won the 2019 presidential election with 334,923 votes out of a total of 542,777 votes cast in the state, while Buhari received 140, 463 votes. Now, go look at how Buhari fared in other South-East states during that election, and you will agree with my assertion. This is the structure that some people are reluctant to discuss.

So, while the PDP also has a stronghold, we can say that the APC give and take would deliver an excellent performance in this zone. The Labour Party would undoubtedly receive some votes in this area, especially in Plateau.

North East: The PDP controls Adamawa, Bauchi, and Taraba in the North-East, while the APC controls Gombe, Yobe, and Borno.

With the confirmation of former Borno State Governor as Buhari's running mate yesterday, this would be a battleground for the APC and the PDP. Kashim Shettima is from Borno, which recently registered 501,314 new voters, more than double the figure for Atiku's Adamawa, which registered 157,142 new voters.

The frontrunners in the North East would be the PDP and the APC.

North-West; Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina , and Zamfara are all APC enclaves with only Sokoto under the grip of PDP.

Now the interesting thing about this zone is that Kwankwanso comes from the zone.
The NNPP candidate will make his strongest showing in Kano, competing with Ganduje. Kaduna leads this zone in terms of new voter turnout, and the last time we checked, Kaduna was a state that performed admirably in the eyes of Kaduna electorates.

South-East ; PDP controls Abia, APGA controls Anambra, the APC controls Ebonyi, the PDP controls Enugu, and the APC controls Imo.

This is where the Labour Party candidate, Peter Obi, has the most support, but also the least in both new voter registration and old voter registration. Whether you like it or not, if you follow the political trend, the APC will take some votes from the states of Imo and Ebonyi, leaving the PDP and LP to dominate this zone.

The South East case is sadly pitiful; they have the lowest voter turnout and still unknown gunmen, and IPOB will not let them be.
Consider Borno State, the home of Boko Haram, which registered 501,314 new voters, while the highest the South East could get at the end of June was a mere 274,389 from Ebonyi State (this is now an APC state).

What is the reason the average Borno person would leave Kashim Shettima to vote in Peter Obi when the South East can not even register enough votes for him, charity must begin at home.

Allow me to state unequivocally that the South East should take my advice and go get their PVC as soon as possible. It's a shame that in an online registration where the Labour Party dominates the Social Media space and yet they can't compete with states with high illiteracy rates.

From the kick of the election in September issues like the Muslim-Muslim ticket, brotherhood voting , religious bigotry and ethic issues would surface and dominate the electoral process. It is all part of the propaganda.

So what this means is that the South East should do more to increase voter turnout because the more you politicize the APC's Muslim-Muslim ticket, the more support they gain from the North, so you in the South East that is saying no to a Muslim-Muslim how many voters do you have to offer ?

Those with ears should pay close attention and take this as a warning: every adversity contains the seeds of an equal advantage. And this is something we must keep in mind.

South-South; Delta, Akwa Ibom, Edo, Bayelsa, and Rivers are under the control of the PDP, while Cross River is under the control of the APC.

This is a strong PDP enclave, but with Cross Rivers and Ayade under the APC, the APC will have some votes there, like it or not.

Delta State will continue to rely on their son, Okowa, with Peter Obi putting in a strong performance.
If you look at the Delta State new voter registration process, you will agree with me that Warri NO DEY CARRY LAST. Okowa would deliver for the PDP, while Omo-Agege, the APC's governorship candidate, would have a significant impact. Peter Obi would also get a lot of votes in this district.

Rivers State is the beautiful pride, and with Wike attracting all the suitors, he would take a sizable number of votes with him if he defected to the APC. Don't forget that the Rivers people feel betrayed by Delta State over the PDP vice presidential slot; it would just be brute political strategizing and payback time.

Edo seems to be very Obidient with Obaseki making his way to the Labour Party, while Bayelsa with its huge online registration would tend to stick with the PDP.

South-west : Is the home of APC and Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu , only Oyo State is controlled by the PDP and from the numerous awesome reception that Makinde offers Tinubu then we should not expect the South West to leave their son. "Emi Lokan", The South West believes that it is their turn to hold the presidency, and they would do anything to not miss out on the chance.

The Jagaban is the only candidate for president who has a certain region fully behind him, whereas the five other geopolitical regions would be fiercely contested by all other candidates. This is where Tinubu has secured himself a guaranteed ticket.

Buhari received 15, 191, 847 votes in the 2019 presidential elections, while Atiku received 11, 262, 978 votes, a difference of approximately 4 million votes. As things currently stand, Tinubu, as the leader of the ruling party, would garner a sizable number of votes from across the zones.

If you are in doubt of these analysis here is a breakdown of the new registered voters by region.

South South: 2,162,123...North Central: 1,870,425...South West...2,254,006
North East. :1,511,267...North West.:2,005,144...South East: 685, 007

Now the South West is leading in the voters registration with 2,162,123 and the South East is walking like a snail behind with 685, 007.

My name na Osigwe Omo-Ikirodah and na me be the principal/chairman of Bush Radio Academy.

Source iReporteronline.
https://ireporteronline.com.ng/blog/the-implications-of-apc-governors-meeting-with-wike-and-tinubus-sure-ticket-matters-arising-by-osigwe-omo-ikirodah/
(Quote) (Report) 3 Likes (Like) (Sh


D E A D O N A R R I V A L

ItsTutsi:
Wow! This article is very professional and unbiased! It has been a while when last I read a well articulated assertion like this.. Kudos!

I have also learn some few stuffs I didn't know before

For example, I kept wondering why borno will have a higher voter registration than SE state where awareness is high, but from this article, its now easy to understand

APC/Tinubu will do everything within their power underground to make masses in Kaduna, kano, borno, osun etc to register knowing that's where bulk of their votes will come from.. While the SE APC politicians will play spoiler by not motivating SE masses eg Imo.. Can u see why Ebonyi with least population in SE but are ahead in registration

The Wike factor makes sense too, I don't blame him! Politics is all about calculation not emotions

The north doesn't make noise on social media, they just lay low and observe.. That's why when results are trooping out, Emeka will be wailing rigging!

Don't come here and sprew rubbish.. just vote for ur old men.. let's vote our young guyz... Shikina!

Tinubu urchins analysis.

Fools believe that Tinubu has the entire SW behind him, a region that is not known for bloc votes but SE, a region known for its historic bloc votes will not stand fully behind Obi.

What they also forgot to mention is that in 2019, Tinubu, Osinbanjo and all Yoruba heavyweights won SW for Buhari with 260k votes while Peter Obi won Anambra for Atiku with 491k.

They also forgot to mention that Anambra has been cancelling SW votes since 2011.

Another thing they failed to mention is that online registration is useless unless completed in-person at INEC office.

Borno recorded over 500,000 voters but 180,000 completed the in-person registration.


They claim SW, has the highest registered voters in the South but failed to mention that many Igbos registered in SW

I can't agree less. Very detailed analysis without sentiment.
Person no go see road if you allow emotion run you.

Eddygourdo:
The dunce doesn't realise that the registrations in many parts of the nation outside South East represents South easterners and other minority groups. These groups never used to vote in those regions due to tinubu thugs and their own disinterest in Nigeria politics.

2023 will be a different year. We have all been through hell and people want to exercise their rights and voices. Those numbers in regions outside the south east will now be out in full and then you will see who is who.

At least we know for a fact that numbers in the south east and south south are not adulterated with other tribes. E go shock them.

I am OBIDATTI

The writer is just fooling himself

Most of the new registrants even outside south east are for the Obi movement

I reside in Abuja and also registered newly, everybody at the center where I registered are all Obidients

I'm forever Obidient

I am from the south eastern region and I am voting in a south south state and many of my people have already transferred their polling units to the their states of residence. So, you only think that the only votes Igbos can get are those from south east states, then you are not being truthful to your self...
Funny enough, you guys said Igbos have abondoned their states to your statese, so isn't obvious that those numbers you are talking about include Igbos?

yomi961:
nobody read that jargon up there because it's from Another APC blogger that has sold his soul for crumbs.

I even wonder how such a thing be news

Hmmn

OkoroBufo:

Your lies and propaganda is dead on arrival. Bokoharam started under Ali Modu sheriff who was responsible for using them as political thugs and later abandoned them after the election. Shettima rehabilitated and renovated many homes and churches that came under bokoharam attacks. In continuation of his excellent works, he nominated Governor Zulum as his successor against some powerful political opposition in the state. Today, everyone is thankful to Shettima for the gift of Zulum.
Tinubu/Shettima is a moving train, if you put your ipob balls in the way, it would get crushed.

-Okoro bufo

Tinubu is a Chief Strategist and Chief shocker. He presented Muslim running mate, they start crying. They know that Christian running mate is a suicide, but they were pushing for it so that he can fail. Even, Atiku is very sad that Tinubu discovered their plans.

Beer parlor analysis. I stopped ready when the crappy analysis said Wike threatened to leave pdp in an interview. Wike was only making references to Umahi whp didn't five cognitive reasons for leaving the PDP and the narrative was taken right from the middle of the interview, not the beginning by Tinubu urchins.

Ttalk:
This is a very detailed and comprehensive analysis from an unbiased writer. Nairaland emotional analyst especially the Obidient novice can learn a hard truth and swallow the bitter pill that 2023 has since been won and lost and they are not in the equation.

The fact remains that Obi at 60 is putting up his last show in the political scene and would be no where to be found after 8year of SW and another 8year of the north. By the time there would ever be any opportunity for contest, Obi would be 86years old

It's painful but that is the hard truth

your math is off. Obi would be Atiku's age mate after the 16 years

yomi961:
nobody read that jargon up there because it's from Another APC blogger that has sold his soul for crumbs.

nobody cares about your propaganda as well

Eddygourdo:
The dunce doesn't realise that the registrations in many parts of the nation outside South East represents South easterners and other minority groups. These groups never used to vote in those regions due to tinubu thugs and their own disinterest in Nigeria politics.

2023 will be a different year. We have all been through hell and people want to exercise their rights and voices. Those numbers in regions outside the south east will now be out in full and then you will see who is who.

At least we know for a fact that numbers in the south east and south south are not adulterated with other tribes. E go shock them.

I am OBIDATTI

This particular comment has no sense in it.. So tinubu get thugs for all the States except se? And them no dey let se vote? Use sense small, na free na. So the registration according to you also represents se and minority. So the owner of the regions no get voters? Na only se register for there.. I just tire for una matter.

Same old stories yet no difference in results

Lazyreporta:


This particular comment has no sense in it.. So tinubu get thugs for all the States except se? And them no dey let se vote? Use sense small, na free na. So the registration according to you also represents se and minority. So the owner of the regions no get voters? Na only se register for there.. I just tire for una matter.

Same old stories yet no difference in results

use sense use sense and yet you didn't use your senses to read what I wrote. Oga no sense shift

Eddygourdo:
The dunce doesn't realise that the registrations in many parts of the nation outside South East represents South easterners and other minority groups. These groups never used to vote in those regions due to tinubu thugs and their own disinterest in Nigeria politics.

2023 will be a different year. We have all been through hell and people want to exercise their rights and voices. Those numbers in regions outside the south east will now be out in full and then you will see who is who.

At least we know for a fact that numbers in the south east and south south are not adulterated with other tribes. E go shock them.

I am OBIDATTI

Anybody supporting Atiku or Tinubu must have collected bribe/money ..

Every new voters registration across the nation is outrightly by people who have dcided to be obedient ...

Like you do guyz even think before you talk ... only peter obi supporter are genuine & credible even devil as disciples for free


Obedient are becoming tew much of a Joke

kayperry:




Anybody supporting Atiku or Tinubu must have collected bribe/money ..

Every new voters registration across the nation is outrightly by people who have dcided to be obedient ...

Like you do guyz even think before you talk ... only peter obi supporter are genuine & credible even devil as disciples for free


Obedient are becoming tew much of a Joke

The guy na mumu.. I tell am to use sense he still dey talk rubbish.. Him no no say him no get sense

kayperry:




Anybody supporting Atiku or Tinubu must have collected bribe/money ..

Every new voters registration across the nation is outrightly by people who have dcided to be obedient ...

Like you do guyz even think before you talk ... only peter obi supporter are genuine & credible even devil as disciples for free


Obedient are becoming tew much of a Joke

yes sir. You collected bribe, else what else can explain the level of stupidity to support deadwoods. And also yes, Peter drove the high registrations and majority of them are obidient. Cool down election ko far.

The wailing will be loud and enjoyable.

Eddygourdo:
use sense use sense and yet you didn't use your senses to read what I wrote. Oga no sense shift

Explain werin you write..

Cos I read, thank another person quoted you on the same thing i said..

Lazyreporta:


Explain werin you write..

Cos I read, thank another person quoted you on the same thing i said..

read it again very very well and compare your points raised with my submissions. When and if you can do that will I explain myself.

No wonder you don't understand Peter obi when he talks sha

Eddygourdo:
yes sir. You collected bribe, else what else can explain the level of stupidity to support deadwoods. And also yes, Peter drove the high registrations and majority of them are obidient. Cool down election ko far.

The wailing will be loud and enjoyable.

Na this kind mindset I dey reply too?

Bye

basseeafricana:

Tinubu is a Chief Strategist and Chief shocker. He presented Muslim running mate, they start crying. They know that Christian running mate is a suicide, but they were pushing for it so that he can fail. Even, Atiku is very sad that Tinubu discovered their plans.

Why will something that resonate fairness & unite nigeria be deemed as suicide mission...

same reason why the north will never never accept a xtain xtain ticket is also why South should never bow to islamization of Nigeria by some selfish old fools.
Even the 1993 muslim muslim they are counting on, never saw the light of day no one could have tell the outcome [b]just maybe [/b]iswap, boko haram & bandits would have started since 1993, abacha had to annull it God knows why

Why must everything we do in Nigeria everly favour the north even at the deriment of other ... can north ever accept xtain xtain all in the name of competence.
If nigeria must progress we need to stop taking dictations from the north and impose a system that encompasses fairness, what does the system say not what does not want, North don't own Nigeria and if they believe they own Nigeria maybe its time Nigeria divides one region can contine to dictate and pull the nation backward hian

This paid Tinubu writer thinks that bayelsa, akwa-ibom will vote for a Fulani man named Atiku baffles me..it is about individual not party this time.majority of the new voters registration in northern states are registrations of non northerners.
There are more easterners outside the east ready to get PVC than in d east,the unprecedented frenzy for new voters registrations are the OBidient youths.

Ttalk:


Then you must be living in Biafraland, not in Nigeria where everyone is pissed off of you people loud-mouthed and unprovoked Bragado without rational thought.

In North Central, we have more Yoruba than Igbo and they all would vote Tinubu regardless of the religion they practice. Stop making it as if Igbo dominate any region apart from SE. It is a lie peddled by fools and accepted by the ignorant

I disagree with u.
That is where I am currently staying.

There are more igbos in the North Central than Yorubas.

...and the APC mod here keeps pushing this oikirodah 's drivels to the front page.
So, in this paid low-budget media spin-doctor's little mind, Wike will market an all-Muslim ticket to Rivers and South-South people?

With all due respect, your analysis is very weak. It shows you are not in touch with the streets and the realities on ground. You have an analysis that can work in 2019 election but can't work in 2023 election. You are used to Nigerian system of election rigging. You forgot the the New Electoral Act which has buried rigging and you forgot that the real power belongs to the people. You forgot that in 2023 Nigerians would vote persons not parties, you forgot that no sane person in SS or SE would vote Atiku or Tinubu when Obi is on the ballot, you forgot that majority of Yoruba muslems are displeased with Tinubu APC, you forgot that NC is Obi completely. Sir, go into the streets nationwide and see for yourself. Current PVC registration, SE is ahead of NE, with 1.5m new registration and would likely turn up 500k new voters per South East State.

oikirodah:
Monday Topic: The implications of APC governors meeting with Nyesom Wike and matters arising.

Research Line: A simple breakdown of analysis of who is currently ahead in the 2023 presidential elections and the conflict of interest of every single power bloc.



Source iReporteronline.
https://ireporteronline.com.ng/blog/the-implications-of-apc-governors-meeting-with-wike-and-tinubus-sure-ticket-matters-arising-by-osigwe-omo-ikirodah/