*Ex-Lag gov's victory will lead to 24 years of Muslim Presidency.
*PDP flag bearer, extension of Fulani dominance
*LP candidate swims against established forces

Another dimension was introduced into the current presidential race over the weekend as some politicians examined the odds against the three major candidates, Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party, (PDP); Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress, (APC), and Peter Obi of the Labour Party, (LP).

For starters, though they argued that electing the APC candidate in 2023 would produce a remarkable economic turnaround in the country currently at the verge or recession, the election of Tinubu might mean a Muslim occupation of Aso Rock for 24 straight years. If he wins, he is expected to hand over to a northerner after his tenure, which may be a muslim again.

“Should President Muhammadu Buhari, after his eight years be succeeded by Tinubu, who would take a second term after his tenure, the North would thereafter field a Muslim/Northern candidate thereby giving the reins of power to another Muslim.

That is making it 24 straight years of Muslim leadership of the country. “I’m even disturbed now that the outgoing President is a Muslim, just like the chairman of the party, Abdu- lahi Adamu and they have added icing of the cake with both the presidential candidate of the APC and his running mate, Kashim Shettima as Muslims,” a senator, who chose not to be named said.

The politicians, who included a serving senator and a member of the National Working Committee of one of the parties, argued that the story would be a little better with Atiku Abubakar, also a Northern Fulani, who would get eight years or at least four years, if he goes for one term, but may hand over to a Christian Southerner.

On the candidacy of the Labour Party, (LP), Mr. Peter Obi, the politicians stated that though he did not possess the huge political antecedents, structures, wealth and pedigree of Atiku and Tinubu, his amorphous status and cult followership would spring surprises in 2023 elections.

“But Obi is a viable option too, being a Christian and his emergence will break both the Muslim dominance and the South-East question. Besides, his global exposure, education, mystery of the economy, relative and comparatively youthful age puts him across as a breath of fresh air, ” one of the sources said.

The NWC member mentioned earlier stated that while he would refrain from intelligent guesses, a straight 24-year of Muslims as president in Nigeria would shows “crass insensitivity to the diversity of the country, a diversity of colonialisation, which Nigeria is yet to overcome. It could mean the party is toying with the unity of the country.”

According to him, by the current action, the APC has refused to know Nigeria and has not shown any intention to know it. “Nigerians will express their resentment for the party’s action and its implication on our democracy and unity in the 2023 election. Nigerians will vote right and make a choice based on the odds.

“Ordinarily, APC’s choice based on political expediencies and the talk about competence would not have posed a problem, but the party’s insensitivity will fail it in the 2023 elections. Its immaturity, insensitivity and taking Nigerians for granted put the odds against them,” he said.

On the side of Obi, a member of the PDP, Asim Adams, recently said that the LP candidate is the biggest threat to the party, who, according to him, has an “amoebic form,”, who though not a politicians per se, but has become a movement in Nigeria that if the nation was not careful, might be a dark horse that will upturn and upstage the apple cart in the 2023 elections.

Asim, who compared Obi with Barack Obama, who was not given a chance prior to his emergence as US president in 2009, said: “Peter Obi has become a consciousness. A lot of people think, eat, sleep, walk Peter Obi. Something is coming up in 2023, which will define the political mantra and equation in Nigeria. It is going to be like a revolution.

“If the kind of erosion and consciousness, voltage and energy we see on the streets and social media are translated in to voting in 2023, I don’t think any of these old candidates will stand Peter Obi” he said.

https://www.newtelegraphng.com/2023-odds-against-atiku-tinubu-obi/

Even if religion and region are shoved aside, going by competence, financial frugality, investment, economic knowledge, selflessness, education, people friendliness, Peter Obi scores above other candidates.

But one thing is for sure, the battle is between Atiku and Obi. The woes of APC would play against the party and play in favour of PDP and LP. What exactly does Tinubu want to campaign with, the failures of Buhari?

The write up is flawed to an extent.

The permutations on the write up is largely based on events of weeks and months ago therefore it is partially outdated.

The dimensions you should be talking more about is
1) Religion. Only Peter Obi enjoys the monopoly of Christian votes

2) Mass defections. This dimension favours Atiku more with massive APC supporters decamping to PDP.

3) Insecurity and Poverty. Prices of goods and services have skyrocketed. Angry citizens that are highly affected wants to revolt with their PVC. This dimension of voters favour Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar. But Obi will get more of their votes because he talks more of turning Nigeria from CONSUMPTION nation to PRODUCTION Nation.

4) Vote Buying. This dimension will favour Tinubu and Atiku more by winning the votes of the hungry less concern or anyhow citizens.

5) Desenfranchisement. INEC officials could be bribed and compromised. What happens in the east during the last General elections where INEC Officials buried millions of voters card in a sock away. The entire people of that region were denied the chance to vote for their preferred candidate.






https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHYnVtM08go

As ironic as it sounds, Peter Obi is now the only presidential candidate with the largest national spread going into the 2023 elections.

Atiku has only the Northeast and some part of northwest.

Tinubu has only the Southwest (not guaranteed)

Kwankwaso has only the remainder of Northwest.

While Obi has the Southeast, the Southsouth and North Central/Middle Belt.

Those with brains are already seeing Peter Obi’s presidency.

KEVIND:



“If the kind of erosion and consciousness, voltage and energy we see on the streets and social media are translated in to voting in 2023, I don’t think any of these old candidates will stand Peter Obi” he said.

https://www.newtelegraphng.com/2023-odds-against-atiku-tinubu-obi/

SELF DECEPTION! OBI SUPPORTERS ON NAIRALAND ARE NOT UP TO 100 WITH A THOUSAND ALTERNATE MONIKERS. DON'T BE DECIEVED.

Nigerians want Peter Obi

You want Obi, I want Tinubu

Betanaija42moro:
Nigerians want Peter Obi

Well well well

Well, I had a dream that massive voters turned out to vote OBI. Then I saw a lot of armed men firing sparodically at the voters. Everyone fled and Atiku was declared winner.

Election violence is the only reason OBI will lose

Penguin2:
As ironic as it sounds, Peter Obi is now the only presidential candidate with the largest national spread going into the 2023 elections.

Atiku has only the Northeast and some part of northwest.

Tinubu has only the Southwest (not guaranteed)

Kwankwaso has only the remainder of Northwest.

While Obi has the Southeast, the Southsouth and North Central/Middle Belt.

Those with brains are already seeing Peter Obi’s presidency.

So Kogi, Kwara ,Abuja will all neglect Tinubu but vote for Obi ??

matrix199:
Even if religion and region are shoved aside, going by competence, financial frugality, investment, economic knowledge, selflessness, education, people friendliness, Peter Obi scores above other candidates.

But one thing is for sure, the battle is between Atiku and Obi. The woes of APC would play against the party and play in favour of PDP and LP. What exactly does Tinubu want to campaign with, the failures of Buhari?

Abi o

tolue42:


So Kogi, Kwara ,Abuja will all neglect Tinubu but vote for Obi ??

So in your hearts of heart, you sincerely believe that Tinubu will win Abuja? You didn’t even say Atiku.

Now, there are 6 states in the North Central plus Abuja which makes them 7.

If Peter wins in Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa and Abuja; plus some percentage of votes from Kogi and Kwara, isn’t that victory in the region?

Or do you think to do the contrary?

Penguin2:


So in your hearts of heart, you sincerely believe that Tinubu will win Abuja? You didn’t even say Atiku.

Now, there are 6 states in the North Central plus Abuja which makes them 7.

If Peter wins in Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa and Abuja; plus some percentage of votes from Kogi and Kwara, isn’t that victory in the region?

Or do you think to do the contrary?

We will remind you about this your post when Mazi Asiwaju becomes the president