Pls tell us the Northern state that will vote Tinubu ahead of Kwankwaso and Atiku? Check most of Tinubu's supporters: They are almost from one region and all Muslims

BigSarah:


I'm not comparing his popularity to buhari's, but using the word overrated for atiku's popularity, that's inaccurate.

Even buhari never got 70% votes in any northern state until 2015, which was only because of Northern agenda.

I don't see any candidate getting 70% votes in most northern states , would be 60:30:10 split in favor of atiku.

I used overrated for Atiku because of the Southern votes.

No region in Nigeria alone can produce the president. Not North, Not South.

Why I said Atiku is overrated is because in 2019, nearly half of his votes come from the South.

Within those half, most of his votes come from the SW + SS.

Now he is not sure of any region bloc in the South, not SE, not SS, and not SW.

What is his winning formulae?

Obi is winning next year Election, Se.un opinion doesn't matter.

Obi/Atiku/Kwankwaso is very popular in the North than Tinubu/Shettima "combined", I reside in the North, so I can attest to this.

naijapips04:


Tinubu will get substantial votes from SW. The battle ground zones are SE and maybe NC which Atiku has better leverage but which also Peter obi is spoiling. I somehow believe obi is working for Tinubu.

If Peter Obi collapse his structure for Atiku today, I am 100% sure they will defeat Tinubu fair and square.

But so far Peter Obi and Atiku go into that election as separate entities, for every one vote Peter Obi gets, it is -1 for Atiku and +1 for Tinubu.

That is why Reno Omokiri said Peter Obi is unknowingly indirectly working for Tinubu and that some people actually pushed him out of PDP to LP for that reason.

naijapips04:


Tinubu will get substantial votes from SW. The battle ground zones are SE and maybe NC which Atiku has better leverage but which also Peter obi is spoiling. I somehow believe obi is working for Tinubu.

Agbàdo urchin from Oshogbo. Continue your imaginary postulation.

LegendHero:


I used overrated for Atiku because of the Southern votes.

No region in Nigeria alone can produce the president. Not North, Not South.

Why I said Atiku is overrated is because in 2019, nearly half of his votes come from the South.

Within those half, most of his votes come from the SW + SS.

Now he is not sure of any region bloc in the South, not SE, not SS, and not SW.

What is his winning formulae?

SS and SE Will definitely vote Atiku, once campaign starts and Peter Obi can't find his footing, things will unravel...
I want to believe 50% of the votes gotten in the south in 2019 is currently on ground for atiku, he just needs to reclaim the lost 50%.

It's easier for atiku to get his southern votes back, than Tinubu to get buhari's northern votes...


I might be wrong tho

Liebermantic:

Agbàdo urchin from Oshogbo. Continue your imaginary postulation.

Mechie onu nshi gi. Ewu.

BigSarah:


SS and SE Will definitely vote Atiku, once campaign starts and Peter Obi can't find his footing, things will unravel...
I want to believe 50% of the votes gotten in the south in 2019 is currently on ground for atiku, he just needs to reclaim the lost 50%.

It's easier for atiku to get his southern votes back, than Tinubu to get buhari's northern votes...


I might be wrong tho

Well we wait for the campaigns and see how it goes.

For me it is easier for Tinubu to get some of Buhari Northern votes than for Atiku to reclaim his southern votes whether (SE or SW).

God spare us all till 2023, we will see how it unfolds.

Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria whether they like it or not. All his haters will be forcibly fed with agbado and cassava. It is what it is.

LegendHero:


If Peter Obi collapse his structure for Atiku today, I am 100% sure they will defeat Tinubu fair and square.

But so far Peter Obi and Atiku go into that election as separate entities, for every one vote Peter Obi gets, it is -1 for Atiku and +1 for Tinubu.

That is why Reno Omokiri said Peter Obi is unknowingly indirectly working for Tinubu and that some people actually pushed him out of PDP to LP for that reason.

Tinubu 60% SW, 30% NE, 20%NC. Atiku 70% NW 40%NC, 60%SS This is their path to victory. Just ignore SE.

naijapips04:


Tinubu 60% SW, 30% NE, 20%NC. Atiku 70% NW 40%NC, 60%SS This is their path to victory. Just ignore SE.

Lol, you go fear statistics.

princdebola201:
atiku is overated. If not for Tambuwal that collapsed his structure for him, wike would have defeated him.
He lost his polling unit and manage to scrape 40k winning margin in adamawa while buhari had over 900k margin in kastina. Even Tinubu that wasnt on ballot won Lagos without over 120k votes.

This one thinks it's beans to win a core north state against Buhari lmao

seunmsg:
Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria whether they like it or not. All his haters will be forcibly fed with agbado and cassava. It is what it is.

Ọmọ baba Emile O'Corn!

This Seun is foolish! Atiku is not Popular in the North but Tinubu is?

Obi is taking it. The only obstruction is what Kwakwanso will be up to.

Liebermantic:
Pls tell us the Northern state that will vote Tinubu ahead of Kwankwaso and Atiku? Check most of Tinubu's supporters: They are almost from one region and all Muslims

You are very correct about this observation. Emotions have blindfolded the objectivity in them.

Dear Sis

I'm a northerner, Atiku is overrated in the north.. at best, he can only pull 50-55%.. you are being deceived to think just because his a northerner we shall vote him!

He lacks the "amana(trust)" factor.. APC has a very strong structure in the north, the likes of shettima, zulum, el-rufai, wammako,etc are ppl with millions of followers

APC senators, HOA, Chairman all badly need presidential election to go their way for their political survival.. hence, they do everything in their power to deliver Tinubu

I don't expect u to believe this, but I hope u bookmark this

BigSarah:


Atiku popularity in the North is not overrated, Tinubu popularity in the North is overrated.

Peter Obi's popularity is non-existent (only in cities with Christian population)...

Rozross:
Even a blind and mad man knows this.

I pity u....

BeanmanX:
I pity u....

Come and join the winning team before its too late

You are very accurate! As a northerner I know this as a fact

Tinubu has already divided NE by picking shettima.. yobe, gombe and borno are automatically won by 70% by this singular act, these 3 states will make up for the difference in Adamawa,bauchi and taraba(slightly won by Atiku)

In NC... I'm 100% certain Kogi, kwarra and niger

APC senators, govs, HOA, Chairman LG won't toy with their political future knowing not delivering the presidency to APC will be catastrophic to their throne.. these have millions of voters under them

LegendHero:


Atiku is overrated.

People are just being deluded because most of Atiku votes in 2019 come from SW + SS because the PDP got more votes in the SW than they got even in the SE. Those votes are non-existent now as PDP is now more weaker in the South than they were in 2019.

In the North Central, no candidate APC/PDP can lay claim to the majority votes, the votes will cancel each other. So the effect will be negligible.

Even in the North, Atiku cannot boast currently that he will win any region with overwhelming votes judging at APC structures and the fact that Atiku is not as popular as Buhari.

If Peter Obi and Atiku continue to contest on separate tickets, Asiwaju will win that election in 2023. Sensible people will know this.

LegendHero:


Bro Tinubu will win the SW with nothing less than 75-80% of the votes.

That 75% is the lowest amount he can get. The indices are already appearing, go into the heart of Yorubaland and take stock.

Aside Lagos where Peter Obi/Atiku will get some votes (which will be divided between them both), Peter obi wont see 30k votes in any SW states up to Kwara.

30-50k votes mean you count 50,000 heads that will go and thumbprint for him in Ekiti for example. I wish him best of luck if he thinks he can get that.

But I’m sure Atiku will perform better in the SW than Obi because there are PDP structure that will want to go to Abuja and they will want to mobilize for him but they will be too few to make much impact.

When you are giving analysis....you should always do that with sense. Yoruba Christians which I'm part of will not vote Tinubu....stop deceiving yourself... We are going to vote base on religion and competency....

Nyamuri:
You are very accurate! As a northerner I know this as a fact

Tinubu has already divided NE by picking shettima.. yobe, gombe and borno are automatically won by 70% by this singular act, these 3 states will make up for the difference in Adamawa,bauchi and taraba(slightly won by Atiku)

In NC... I'm 100% certain Kogi, kwarra and niger

APC senators, govs, HOA, Chairman LG won't toy with their political future knowing not delivering the presidency to APC will be catastrophic to their throne.. these have millions of voters under them

You are 100% correct. You even analyzed it more better.

Atiku is not a Northern project like Buhari was in 2015. Those are two different periods.

APC governors/senators in the North will have more to lose with Atiku winning than the 2015 situation. That’s what people are not understanding when they just make statement like Atiku will inherit Buhari votes.

princdebola201:
atiku is overated. If not for Tambuwal that collapsed his structure for him, wike would have defeated him.
He lost his polling unit and manage to scrape 40k winning margin in adamawa while buhari had over 900k margin in kastina. Even Tinubu that wasnt on ballot won Lagos without over 120k votes.

No thanks to agberos who destroyed pooling units that he was losing

naijapips04:


Tinubu will get substantial votes from SW. The battle ground zones are SE and maybe NC which Atiku has better leverage but which also Peter obi is spoiling. I somehow believe obi is working for Tinubu.

You guys are funny. Tinubu will sweep south West while south East will be a battle ground?? Some south western states have organized march for obi. How many have organized in south east even If they are hired??

Rozross:
Come and join the winning team before its too late

I will never join your losing team....

Obagreatdatoye:

When you are giving analysis....you should always do that with sense. Yoruba Christians which I'm part of will not vote Tinubu....stop deceiving yourself... We are going to vote base on religion and competency....

Yoruba Christian lol.

Solsix:

You guys are funny. Tinubu will sweep south West while south East will be a battle ground?? Some south western states have organized march for obi. How many have organized in south east even If they are hired??

Oga it's not by organising march

naijapips04:


Oga it's not by organising march

Ok

Nyamuri:
Dear Sis

I'm a northerner, Atiku is overrated in the north.. at best, he can only pull 50-55%.. you are being deceived to think just because his a northerner we shall vote him!

He lacks the "amana(trust)" factor.. APC has a very strong structure in the north, the likes of shettima, zulum, el-rufai, wammako,etc are ppl with millions of followers

APC senators, HOA, Chairman all badly need presidential election to go their way for their political survival.. hence, they do everything in their power to deliver Tinubu

I don't expect u to believe this, but I hope u bookmark this

I don't believe that if the north won't support atiku, they'd have allowed him clinch PDP ticket, when there are other popular Northerners vying.

The northern PDP caucus rooted for Atiku, and made a tambuwal step down..

I'm not a Northerner, but I reside in the North..
So my statement is based on political analysis and real-time feelers.

All the people you quoted all worked with atiku in 2015, "currently " saying Tinubu will get more northern votes than atiku, that's sometime I don't see, but there is still time for Tinubu to improve his chances...

BigSarah:


SS and SE Will definitely vote Atiku, once campaign starts and Peter Obi can't find his footing, things will unravel...
I want to believe 50% of the votes gotten in the south in 2019 is currently on ground for atiku, he just needs to reclaim the lost 50%.

It's easier for atiku to get his southern votes back, than Tinubu to get buhari's northern votes...


I might be wrong tho

You are one of the few reasonable Igbos I know, swears. I go like meet you one day. You and adadike

BigSarah:


I don't believe that if the north won't support atiku, they'd have allowed him clinch PDP ticket, when there are other popular Northerners vying.

The northern PDP caucus rooted for Atiku, and made a tambuwal step down..

I'm not a Northerner, but I reside in the North..
So my statement is based on political analysis and real-time feelers.

All the people you quoted all worked with atiku in 2015, "currently " saying Tinubu will get more northern votes than atiku, that's sometime I don't see, but there is still time for Tinubu to improve his chances...

Seems you don't have a preference again, I thought you were all out for PO?

Even in Adamawa state, he will barely survive.. APC gubernatorial candidate, Mrs Binani is very famous and popular

LegendHero:


You are 100% correct. You even analyzed it more better.

Atiku is not a Northern project like Buhari was in 2015. Those are two different periods.

APC governors/senators in the North will have more to lose with Atiku winning than the 2015 situation. That’s what people are not understanding when they just make statement like Atiku will inherit Buhari votes.