Now let face it:

If all Igbo votes for Obi next year (includes all Igbo outsider south east), that is votes against PDP and Atiku.

If all Yoruba votes for Asiwaju next year and he won all the south west. That is another votes against Atiku and PDP.

If south south share their among the 3 candidates and Obi will have slight lead like 40% Asiwaju 25% and Atiku 30%

If all the regions in the north share their votes and Asiwaju and Atiku will lead here with Asiwaju with 45% of the total votes.

Then, who is your winner ? To determine who wins , the number of registered voters in all the regions will determine our winner but the supplementary election between Asiwaju and Atiku is possible.

N:B this is my personal opinion after studying the voting patterns of every regions and the recent happening in our our political space.

Remove Benue, Taraba, Kaduna, Abuja, Nasarawa, Adamawa, Bauchi, Plateau Niger if you looking at Northern states Obi will get less than 25%

Deprofessional:
Remove Benue, Taraba, Kaduna, Abuja, Nasarawa, Adamawa, Bauchi, Plateau Niger if you looking at Northern states Obi will get less than 25%

please why

Your analysis No make sense at all

aylagos:
Now let face it:

If all Igbo votes for Obi next year (includes all Igbo outsider south east), that is votes against PDP and Atiku.

If all Yoruba votes for Asiwaju next year and he won all the south west. That is another votes against Atiku and PDP.

If south south share their among the 3 candidates and Obi will have slight lead like 40% Asiwaju 25% and Atiku 30%

If all the regions in the north share their votes and Asiwaju and Atiku will lead here with Asiwaju with 45% of the total votes.

Then, who is your winner ? To determine who wins , the number of registered voters in all the regions will determine our winner but the supplementary election between Asiwaju and Atiku is possible.

N:B this is my personal opinion after studying the voting patterns of every regions and the recent happening in our our political space.

Very dumb analysis, typical of Agbado urchins. So, a walking dead man would get 25% in SS? Tinubu will also win North abi?

Mathematically, Obi has won already because he is winning SE 80%, SS 65%, NC 40%, SW 30%, NE 25% and NW 20%.

Tinubu can only win SW by 45%, NE 35%, NC 25%, NW 30%, SS 15% SE 5%.

The only threat Obi has is Atiku and we are praying that NW won't completely throw Tinubu under the bus because that would only increase Atiku's chances.

Know this now and Know peace!!!

EndsarsReloaded:


Very dumb analysis, typical of Agbado urchins. So, a walking dead man would get 25% in SS? Tinubu will also win North abi?

Mathematically, Obi has won already because he is winning SE 80%, SS 65%, NC 40%, SW 30%, NE 25% and NW 20%.

Tinubu can only win SW by 45%, NE 35%, NC 25%, NW 30%, SS 15% SE 5%.

The only threat Obi has is Atiku and we are praying that NW won't completely throw Tinubu under the bus because that would only increase Atiku's chances.

Know this now and Know peace!!!

you see why people call your likes fuu…..if you are not dump you won’t someone you don’t know is dumb. I’m sure your life is full of hate that’s why

iamwilliamsfx:
Your analysis No make sense at all

may be you should give us yours

iamwilliamsfx:
Your analysis No make sense at all

please let us see your sense

aylagos:
Now let face it:

If all Igbo votes for Obi next year (includes all Igbo outsider south east), that is votes against PDP and Atiku.

If all Yoruba votes for Asiwaju next year and he won all the south west. That is another votes against Atiku and PDP.

If south south share their among the 3 candidates and Obi will have slight lead like 40% Asiwaju 25% and Atiku 30%

If all the regions in the north share their votes and Asiwaju and Atiku will lead here with Asiwaju with 45% of the total votes.

Then, who is your winner ? To determine who wins , the number of registered voters in all the regions will determine our winner but the supplementary election between Asiwaju and Atiku is possible.

N:B this is my personal opinion after studying the voting patterns of every regions and the recent happening in our our political space.

Igbos would vote obi ,yorubas would vote tinubu but you don't expect Hausa Fulani to vote atiku?

Which kind talk be that

mrvitalis:

Igbos would vote obi ,yorubas would vote tinubu but you don't expect Hausa Fulani to vote atiku?

Which kind talk be that

northern is the only region where they don’t vote according to their tribe but political party. Check when PMB contested against southerners he lost all the election even lost northern states, except 2015, the same Atiku lost against Jonathan in the north in 2011.

aylagos:
northern is the only region where they don’t vote according to their tribe but political party. Check when PMB contested against southerners he lost all the election even lost northern states, except 2015, the same Atiku lost against Jonathan in the north in 2011.

Buhari lost northern states ? Which country are u talking about ? North vote political parties ? Well what ever rocks your boat

Jonathan lost almost all core northern states even Kaduna he lost

mrvitalis:

Buhari lost northern states ? Which country are u talking about ? North vote political parties ? Well what ever rocks your boat

Jonathan lost almost all core northern states even Kaduna he lost

Jonathan won Borno, kebbi, Nasarawa, Plateau, Kogi, Taraba, won 46% in Kaduna in 2011, won 34% in sokoto. So what are you saying

Jonathan Lost in Kastina and Kano slightly lost out in Sokoto and Kaduna

aylagos:
Jonathan won Borno, kebbi, Nasarawa, Plateau, Kogi, Taraba, won 46% in Kaduna in 2011, won 34% in sokoto. So what are you saying

Lol Jonathan won brono ? No body I repeat no body has won Buhari in brono

Atiku has better chance than all the other candidates

Lanshile:
Atiku has better chance than all the other candidates

Yes, only if south-south and south-east refuse to turn up for Obi. Whoever gets the bloc vote of those regions would win the election, or at the very least qualify for a run-off.

Obi is likely to get south-south, south-east, middle-belt, a state or two from south-west, and something significant from Christians up north.

frugal:

Yes, only if south-south and south-east refuse to turn up for Obi.

Let's just hope south-south and south-east massively turn out to vote cos that will be the game changer cos the battle is between atiku and Peter obi cos tinubu who suppose to be a force is having issues base on what the party he represent has done and also the age and agility factor

Lanshile:

Let's just hope south-south and south-east massively turn out to vote cos that will be the game changer cos the battle is between atiku and Peter obi cos tinubu who suppose to be a force is having issues base on what the party he represent has done and also the age and agility factor

The North where he's counting on will most likely disappoint him. The entire south doesn't like him other than his party men.

frugal:


The North where he's counting on will most likely disappoint him. The entire south doesn't like him other than his party men.

Yeah u got it all right here
They never fail to disappoint when it comes to their own
He would have won the south west base on tribalism but he chose to go with a muslim-muslim ticket
After thinking deep about the presidential election I realised the election setting isn't design to favour tinubu
As it mean he settled for muslim-christain ticket the north won't endorse him and he won't get their vote cos they mostly vote in line of religion taking aside his age,his party,his health, and how he brought buhari
Now that he has settled for muslim-muslim ticket it has further reduced his chance of winning in southwest cos in Nigeria religion is a great weapon.
It is now a battle of religion and him having a candidature in peter obi that most christains,igbos and youth support then atiku in which northerners and Muslims also support I still find it difficult how tinubu will change the narrative and mindset of people to vote for him cos aside from Lagos I doubt he may win I don't think he can win the south west

All SW can vote Tinubu but all Northerners can not vote Atiku and Kwankwaso?

mrvitalis:

Lol Jonathan won brono ? No body I repeat no body has won Buhari in brono

most of you don’t know anything…..google is your friend now

aylagos:
most of you don’t know anything…..google is your friend now

Oga that's a typo ..they switched CPC votes for PDP ...go to INEC portal and see

iamwilliamsfx:
Your analysis No make sense at all

oya bring your own and let see for better discussions .

My analysis before general election

iamwilliamsfx:
Your analysis No make sense at all

remember my analysis

adekolaelect:
oya bring your own and let see for better discussions .

they only make mouth online all what I said in my post here come to past…….they refuse to learn.

EndsarsReloaded:


Very dumb analysis, typical of Agbado urchins. So, a walking dead man would get 25% in SS? Tinubu will also win North abi?

Mathematically, Obi has won already because he is winning SE 80%, SS 65%, NC 40%, SW 30%, NE 25% and NW 20%.

Tinubu can only win SW by 45%, NE 35%, NC 25%, NW 30%, SS 15% SE 5%.

The only threat Obi has is Atiku and we are praying that NW won't completely throw Tinubu under the bus because that would only increase Atiku's chances.

Know this now and Know peace!!!

Kamfullusa

Them dey learn?