Hydroxide:
I have never benefited anything from this government. Even NPower I no see collect but I thank God for grace and hustle if not na rags person for they wear for street.

but you said you make your first milion under this government

Duru009:
This is the MOST realistic PREDICTION I have seen so far......


Bitter truth !!

the most realistic is, apc will rig and win

sweetgala:


Yet Jonathan won Buhari in some of those same states previously.

He go shock you

Jonathan didn't win Buhari in core north.
That's northwest and northeast

Those guys have herd mentality

buhariguy:
but you said you make your first milion under this government

and so? Na hustling give me my money Oga. I don't have any connection with government or whatsoever. Cryptocurrency when men take they chop, this useless Govt even ban am. Abeg make I no talk too much God pass Buhari and APC.

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

Trash analysis, may be you just came back from the moon.
If the elections are not rigged there’s no stopping Peter obi…..
The ss n se are no go area to any other party, Peter obi will clear all the states with almost a 100% record
He will also win Lagos, Benue, nassarawa, plateau, Taraba and Abuja.
He will do very well in kogi, kaduna, Gombe, Bauchi, ogun, oyo osun and ondo states….
The igbos n christians in Kano, Borno, Adamawa n ekiti will help him get some reasonable votes from those states …
Ass for the remaining north, Atiku Tinubu n kwankwaso will help Peter obi divide the so-called all important northern votes….
Peter obi already has a vision
He is definitely the next president of Nigeria

garfield1:


In kalabari,nothing like convincing.it is ratata

Hmmm. So you're banking on violence to win elections.
So much for APC.

FatherOfJesus:
The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there.

Have you ever heard of the Yoruba man called MKO Abiola? In the 1993 presidential elections, he had a landslide victory in the whole of the Northern region against his Fulani opponent called Alhaji Tofa.

Svoboda:


Structure isnt about crowds, its about people with a level of influence in their various spheres. These spheres are not idenrical and vary in level of spread.

You cant dismiss a party like the pdp or the apc easily because they've built loyalty over the years because of power and money.

A typical eg is the redeemed church. A church like chosen can't outfox redeemed in population, spread and wealth, because of obvious reasons

This is exactly what lp lacks.

You are confusing yourself... First of all you said "structure is not about crowd, and that it is about people with a level of influence".

I need to understand the word INFLUENCE (to cause someone to change a behavior, belief, or opinion) or does it have another meaning. Now the same set of people that the so called PDP and APC thought they can have influence upon are the same set of people that are still supporting LABOUR PARTY so what is the essence?. My friend the situation of this Nigeria Election is about crowd and not some set of people coming out to say if it wasn't me so so person would not have won an election.

Svoboda:


Structure isnt about crowds, its about people with a level of influence in their various spheres. These spheres are not idenrical and vary in level of spread.

You cant dismiss a party like the pdp or the apc easily because they've built loyalty over the years because of power and money.

A typical eg is the redeemed church. A church like chosen can't outfox redeemed in population, spread and wealth, because of obvious reasons

This is exactly what lp lacks.

Bro I will like to ask you a question, let's take Lagos state as a case study, Sanwo Olu is part of the political structure we are talking about right? Do you think people in Lagos are willing to listen to Sanwo Olu again of course the answer is NO

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

The truth is APC has more northern Gov than PDP


Shettima and co is a big factor in the north

The north Govornors will work for Tinubu if not they will loose their seats.


Major part of north understand power needs to shift to south to keep Nigeria has 1


Wike is fighting Atiku PDP because they reneged on shifting power to South


All APC politicians in the north will work to win except if they won't to loose with TINUBU

TINUBU will win more than 50% in the north

Slimm01:
Have you ever heard of the Yoruba man called MKO Abiola? In the 1993 presidential elections, he had a landslide victory in the whole of the Northern region against his Fulani opponent called Alhaji Tofa.

Tinubu is not Abiola.
Tofa is not Atiku

No one has beaten a popular core northerner on his turf since we started democracy in 1999.
Tinubu is not as strong as Atiku

olatuns2017:



The truth is APC has more northern Gov than PDP


Shettima and co is a big factor in the north

The north Govornors will work for Tinubu if not they will loose their seats.


Major part of north understand power needs to shift to south to keep Nigeria has 1


Wike is fighting Atiku PDP because they reneged on shifting power to South


All APC politicians in the north will work to win except if they won't to loose with TINUBU

TINUBU will win more than 50% in the north

by now for Buhari in North, we were hearing sai baba. Everything is cold for Tinubu because northerners will vote their person irrespective.

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

It’s now a different ball game cos someone like me and many others who has never voted for any candidate before is coming out in mass, I hope u gat what that means sir.

Workch:
Tinubu is not Abiola.
Tofa is not Atiku

No one has beaten a popular core northerner on his turf since we started democracy in 1999.
Tinubu is not as strong as Atiku

Lol. Same school of thought during the 1993 elections, that Abiola can never defeat Tofa in the north. But lo and behold. Don't worry, it's a matter of few months to come...it shall come to pass and las las, everyone go dey alright.

highchief1:
na so e be na.if pdp and lp can eat into Lagos that is bats base e come be delta.it’s going to be dicey elections.But I think OBIDIENTs are making noise.i don’t see Peter obi winning.but if he remains consistent after 2023 he may.But the problem with Nigerian politicians is inconsistency.

I don't know who would win the election but LP has an extremely strong chance of winning Lagos with the way things currently stand.. pdp is unlikely to get the required 25% here. Atiku is not even on the discourse

SIRTee15:


GEJ lost only one state in SW and swept the whole of north central except Niger state. Your analysis is wrong.
Obi needs similar strong performance if he's to win next yr.

Obi is luckier given the fact that it's a 3 horse race and realistically speaking no candidate can give such margins next year

[quote author=djseanjohn77 post=117262548][/quote]

Igbos are tribalistic yes but have never been when it comes to election or specifically voting. They effing voted for Obasanjo from Abeokuta ahead of their almighty ojukwu even in his native Anambra state. Any Yoruba person supporting Tinubu because of tribal affinity is only wasting his tribalism... It's very obvious that shetima is using him to power....

Klinee:
why una dey mumu too much, why Atiku no fit buy vote for core Northern states where he is scoring less than 15% where Buhari cleared it with almost 90% in the last election?
Mumu ! PDP does not have structure in the core northern states so who is going to campaign for Atiku there?
Most core northerners are illiterate and only vote on who they were asked to vote for.
Most northerners don't like Atiku so don't assume they will suddenly vote for him.
The contest is between Obi and Tinubu, I put Tinubu because of APC structure.
Atiku is not in the game at all!

In your thinking Buhari defeated Atiku in 2019 because of APC structure?
You've tried .

As for the name you call me, it's obvious you are bereft of home training.
One gives what he has.
Continue that way and see how far you would go, child.

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

Actually, not just a yoruba man, anyone from the south cannot win in
the core north when one of their own (Atiku) is on the ballot. It
can never happen.

It really would've been great if only one consensus candidate emerged
from the south for the presidency.

Sonyboom765:
I love reading analysis of lunatics especially of those of Igbo descendants

Your father is a lunatic, that's why your prostitute mother never showed you Who he is till date. Stupid primitive yellow Bar!

Sonyboom765:
MKO is not a Nigerian na Biafran

Shut up your gutters!

This is not 1993! This is 2022 you skull mining ritualist!

After Abiola won, which people prevented him from being president?.

ribbit:
it wasn't actually

End SARS was a generally accepted protest supported by all well meaning Nigerians including myself until ipob elements hijacked it and turned it to a weapon against Lagos and by extension, the Yorubas.

But as bonafide Yoruba man, not a bastard who doesn't know road to his house, we shall never allow such to happen again.

It was Ipob that sacked your oba?

LoL

You are still naive.

Keep waiting for it to happen again.

It will still catch you unawares.

You will still come here to boast.

Albeit empty boast.

garfield1:


A lot of northerners dislike atiku.some support kwankwaso.they are not united Like 2015

And for that your criminal ancestor will beat Atiku in SE and SS? LoL

Sonyboom765:
The Northern APC governors senator rep n delegates who each n every one of them is more important than your Igbo father disagree totally when they voted power should go to the south. Why should we now take the word of a nobody n a fool like you seriously.

Your case is the worst type of idiocy. And you take so much pride in it.

Sonyboom765:
If Peter Obi get 50K votes in any SW n NC states plus Kaduna n Kano I owe you 50,000 naira in cash

Look at this thing. Why not lay down your life.

Sonyboom765:
The 1993 election was not help in Nigeria, it was held in Rwanda ba. Can Obi get 5% from any of the NW NC NE that you are hoping he gets 49%. Mr go sidown inside gutter abeg.

Arindin. I pity the animals you share space it for not poisoning you Aswear.

highchief1:
he will help him sir.what’s popularity?is Peter obis vp popular?popular ppl don’t win elections bro.The game is deep u may not understand.

You can only rig where you are liked. Stop pretending not to understand the poster.

Sonyboom765:
PDP will win every state in the SS.
Obi will be lucky if he can win any state aside Anambra in the East.

Provided there's nothing for the criminal ancestor, no problem.

Sonyboom765:
So power of incumbency as dissapperred now that it is Tinubu's turn.

You are also half literate? Buhahaha hahaha

Buckeyemedia1:
Yeah with Federal Government magic, Bola Ahmed Tinubu & APC will win, no honor amongst thieves, Peter Obi should have just remained in pdp to help wrestle power from Apc.

This his Labor party illusion is only to the benefit of Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Same magic didn't save Jonathan.
Please don't bother responding, ever!

Buckeyemedia1:
What a naive way of thinking, quite obvious you are not into politics, if not you would have been aware that all politics is personal interest.

They would support a stranger that puts food on the table, than a kinsman that starves them.

As long as the generals are alive, Obasanjo, Babaginda, Abdulsalem, Gusau, Abubakar Atiku can never be President of The Federal Republic of Nigeria.

And you speak with so much certainty because you are one of the Generals.

Don't respond please.

Geesaintagape:
Ur analysis make sense not all the flock call Obidient.
I' don't believe in Nigeria but u are factual

Why are you fixated on Obi? Was he the only candidate mentioned in the Op personal opinion or is Peter Obi the reason your country is not progressing?