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Why Is Ukraine Believed To Be Winning The War? - Nairaland / General - Nairaland

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Why Is Ukraine Believed To Be Winning The War? by Awesometouch1: 1:36pm On Oct 18, 2022
Ukraine doing incredibly well. Russia held ALL the military advantages at the start, yet 8 months on now, and Russia is losing territory. That is a catastrophic Russian failure. An astonishing feat of doing fantastic for Ukraine.

Russia had a massive advantage in military equipment at the start. Holding all the advantages, Russia should have captured the entire country in 5 days. Russia expected to win within 5 days, and Western analysts generally agreed, believing Russia would wrap up Ukraine within 1-2 weeks.

And frankly, this was a fair assessment, considering the chart below. Russia in red, Ukraine in yellow.


Yes, the West provided ATGMs and MANPADs to Ukraine, but that would only prove useful at all, if Ukraine could hold out longer than the projected 5 days for the war to finish. If tiny Ukraine couldn’t hold back the Russian juggernaut until Western supplies arrived in substantial numbers, those Western weapons would be meaningless.

Well, Ukraine did hold out, shattering Russia’s best troops at Hostomel and nearly wiping them out to the last man. That’s before substantial Western weapons arrived, and it only got worse from there.
Russia was forced out the Kyiv region.
Russia was forced out of the city of Kharkhiv.
Russia’s Black Sea flagship, Moskva, was sunk.
Russia was forced off Snake Island.
Russia lost 6,000 sq kilometers in two weeks in the Kharkhiv region.
Russia lost the vital supply hub of Izyum.
Russia lost over 100 supply dumps, weapons depots, and command posts from HIMARS strikes in the space of about a month.
Russia is losing ground steadily in the Kherson oblast, West of the Dnieper.
Tiny Ukraine holding out more than a month, battling a 10 times larger giant, is already a Ukrainian victory. Holding out for nearly 8 months and pushing Russian troops back, is an outrageous win for Ukraine, and this is still ongoing.
The list of Russia clusterf**ks is far longer than this.

The Russian flagship, Moskva, sinking. The technical term for this is, “Russia not doing well.”

This does not equal Russia doing well, it equals Ukraine doing extremely well. With Russia’s equipment advantage starting the war, Russia’s forces performing nominally, within expected parameters, to put it plainly “doing average” would have amounted to capturing Kyiv within 5 days. We are nearly 8 months into the war and Russia doesn’t have Kyiv. It is losing Luhansk, losing Kherson, and it already lost the Kharkhiv oblast. Only a delusional fool would call that, “Russia doing well.”

Re: Why Is Ukraine Believed To Be Winning The War? by midehi2(f): 1:37pm On Oct 18, 2022
It is well o

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Re: Why Is Ukraine Believed To Be Winning The War? by Belteshazzar1: 1:41pm On Oct 18, 2022
Ukraine's president is such a confident man that believes in the best....

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