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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? (1680 Views)
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Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 11:34am On Nov 20, 2022 |
I think he can.it is a given that obi will win se massively and ss narrowly.who wi come second? It will either be atiku with tinubu narrowly behind him or tinubu edges him out narrowly as things stands viz a viz the g 5 governors situation...let us take a state by state analysis.. Abia: ikpeazu is against atiku and therefore few people here will campaign or work for atiku except maybe Adolphus wabara in his small ukwa area.with ikpeazu going to the senate and facing abaribe,he has to be careful.on the other hand,ouk is seriously working for tinubu so as to brighten his senate presidency ambition.hons onyejeocha and ben Kali are not left behind.in 2019,half of buhari votes in abia came from abia north through efforts of ouk.apc has also made inroads in abia central(umuahia and ikwuano).on paper,tinubu might beat atiku here or they draw.. Anambra:no need.obi will win all the polling units.lp will clear the nass polls.if Lynda ikpeazu campaigns for atiku,she will lose.in aguata,hon umeoji might just garner some votes for tinubu with the help of ubah.hon okwudili too in orumba.the popular hon ibezi the ochiaga idemili will get some votes for tinubu and win reps seat for idemili against the useless hon chidoka...with this,tinubu will edge atiku...obi will get at least a million here. Enugu; ugwuanyi is against atiku.the senator representing Enugu south Dr nnamani is campaigning for tinubu.a lot of aides to ugwuanyi are working for tinubu.no one so far is campaigning for atiku except sen utazi who has been edged out by ugwuanyi.ekweremadu might be doing so from prison...on paper,tinubu may defeat atiku in Enugu but I'll still give it to atiku. IMO: uzodinma has strengthened apc in IMO,extended their influence to owerri zone.the only elections apc lost was the one for orlu constituency narrowly.hope 2nd term bid lies in tinubu victory so he will go all out for tinubu plus IMO pdp is factionalized between sen anyanwu and ihedioha the green snake.with votes from okigwe and orlu,tinubu should edge out atiku. Ebonyi: since umahi left pdp,it has not been the same.umahi will win ebonyi south heavily.presidency here has been conceded to obi with tinubu coming second.umahi has started clamping down on opponents with ebubeagu and other forces.umahi is heavy handed and forceful.no chance for atiku here. Rivers; wike has successfully quarantined atiku supporters.apart from hon dagogo who can deliver,no other atiku supporter is grassrooted.asari dokubo is heavily supporting tinubu and will deliver kalabari in case ojukaye relents.odum odi is expected to deliver abua odual while magnus Abe has no opponent in ogoni and rivers south east.atiku will finish with third class here. Delta:okowa will manage to deliver here for atiku with lp and apc not far behind.atiku will beat tinubu here except obi divides anioma votes and the ijaws decide to vote tinubu which is possible but remotely so. Akwa ibom: atiku will beat tinubu here comfortably. Bayelsa; buhari got 40% here in 2019 but with inroads from labour party,massive defections to apc and labour from pdp,squabbles from Dickson and diri camps and the popularity of david Lyon plus the lukewarm attitude of diri,tinubu might just edge out atiku here.seriake is the only one seriously campaigning for atiku.sen degi of apc,owns nembe,timipre holds brass while apc might just take ogbia.Lyon owns southern ijaw,yenagoa might go for obi whole Dickson will deliver sagbama and ekerenor to atiku...it is 50 50. Cross river: this is my state.labour is getting stronger each day and may just win narrowly.sen prof sandy of pdp is with wike and has avoided atiku,only imoke people are campaigning for atiku while apc is seriously campaigning for tinubu.tinubu should edge atiku here... Edo: the pdp here is divided between obaseki and orbih.obaseki is not fully with wike and his senatorial zone edo south esp in egor,oredo,ikpoba okha has been overrun by obidients.hon idahosa will give tinubu votes from ovia axis while apart from bauchi,oshiomhole will as usual deliver edo north.tinubu will surely best atiku here Cc mynd44 Lalasticlala Nplfmod Kyase Kahal Passungshot Ogidigbodigbo Aiel Penguin2 Vicdom Quotasystem Mymouth Bennycollins Ojiofor Guzel Chukel Chrixxx Seanfer |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by pinkPUSSY(f): 11:34am On Nov 20, 2022 |
Urchings and their idiotic analysis... Urchings that belive that Tinubu Will win PDP Oyo and Osun because Tinubu is Yoruba, but don't believe that Atiku will win northern APC states should never be taken serious.. I think you are testing waters in SS with this your useless threads... Next clown pls... 15 Likes 2 Shares
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Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Johnthejohn(m): 11:38am On Nov 20, 2022 |
Atiku and Tinubu should forget about South South and South East, someone has taken them. Know this and know peace . 9 Likes
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Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by StrongandMighty: 11:38am On Nov 20, 2022 |
Any urchin wey write nonsense wey dey him head finish him go call Mynd44 he'll move it to front page 10 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Naira20: 11:38am On Nov 20, 2022 |
Lol 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Paulheyman: 11:40am On Nov 20, 2022 |
Lol |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by TooMuchStuff: 11:40am On Nov 20, 2022 |
OObi Zones Keep off |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 11:43am On Nov 20, 2022 |
TooMuchStuff: We know.we are just fighting for 2nd place |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by DeFamiliar1: 11:46am On Nov 20, 2022 |
When you come 2nd or 3rd you did not defeat. So none of them will defeat the other. |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 11:56am On Nov 20, 2022 |
DeFamiliar1: It is very crucial in presidential 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by ladipo007: 12:01pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
You have forgotten that VP candidate is from ss.infact don't be surprise that obi and atiku will share the vote in ss and se.Do you think southerners will vote a Muslim Muslim ticket? 2 Likes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:04pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Atiku will come second in both. Okowa is from SS and Igbo at the same time 2 Likes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 12:06pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
slivertongue: Okowa influence ends in delta 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 12:07pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
ladipo007: Do you think ss will vote for another fulani after buhari? Most pdp members here are against atiku |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:09pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 12:10pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
slivertongue: Yes who are with obi.he will struggle in delta nott |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:11pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1: The question should be, do you think the SS will vote a ticket that has no diversity? 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:12pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1: They will give okowa a second option 2 Likes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 12:13pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
slivertongue: They will mostly go for obi.tinubu will out muscle atiku in gathering the remaining votes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:17pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1: They won't vote same Faith. Buhari's performance in 2015 I'll be better. The North is not Uhuru for both obi and Tinubu regardless of what you think or the governors tell you. Atiku is seeing the handwriting on the wall, he is consolidating in the North because a runoff is possible. With BVAS you can't rely on ballot stuffing. 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by alanto: 12:22pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Only God knows |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 12:28pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
slivertongue: They dont vote in ss.they allocate votes.dont rely on the card reader.it is rigging galore 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Penguin2: 12:29pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1: Obi will not win SS narrowly, he will win SE and SS massively by a landslide. I care less who comes second because whoever it is might be doing so with about less than 15%. 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by ScamHunter: 12:30pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Tinibu won't even win SW talk less SE. 2 Likes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Kyase(m): 12:41pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
pinkPUSSY: Una go dey show una olodolism up and down Before Buhari, NE and NW don’t always in unit and NC is always spilt, all these Millennials for Nairaland sef |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by slivertongue: 12:54pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1: We are voting using BVAS. Rigging will disappoint riggers. If it is rigging then APC won't see 5% in the SE and SS. The party is a calamity and nobody will rig for the worst party to govern NIGERIA. 2 Likes |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 1:04pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
slivertongue: They saw 5% in 2019 fergie |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 1:05pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Penguin2: Continue the self deception 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Bastardlyrich: 1:11pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
I'm 100 percent sure obi will win se and 90 percent sure he will win ss. Moreover the second runner up is atiku,I have seen several people from SS/se saying they will vote atiku. But I have never seen anyone except yoru bad fake Muslimns slavves that are in ss/se that said they will vote thiefnybu because of tribaslism,hate and wickeddnes in their heart. 1 Like |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 1:22pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Bastardlyrich: That is how it was in 2019 until buhari got votes in se/ss.dont be deceived.on election day,atiku will be bottom |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by Bastardlyrich: 1:24pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
garfield1:Ok conclusion of a yoru bad fakee Muslimns slavves. Please what's the meaning of a town hall meeting different from balluuu daluuu ka za lluuu falllu ga can say luuu. Or is Tinubu mad now |
Re: Can Tinubu Defeat Atiku In Se/ss? by garfield1: 1:28pm On Nov 20, 2022 |
Bastardlyrich: You will get the meaning once tinubu is declared winner kid |
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