MiaBeer:


Absolutely.Obi is a loser. He is a serial loser. He can never be our president. Obi is a liar and thief Stay away from transformer hugging and run away from snipers

duro4chang:
Absolutely. Tinubu is a loser and a thug. He is a serial loser. He can never be our president. I don’t know why I’m supporting him. Maybe because I’m brainwashed. I’m shocked

MiaBeer:
Obi is a serial loser. He will be defeated. We 0bidiots will regret.

Workch:
Tinubu cannot win any region expect southwest, that's the truth.
The permutations suggested that Tinubu might even lose some northern states to kwankwaso and some northcentral states to Obi.

You must be a dreamer if you think that Atiku will lose NW and NE to Tinubu

duro4chang:
I am afraid Tinubu will lose and Obi will win. Which kind wahala be this. He will defeat Tinubu and there’s nothing urchins like me can do about it. I know I will regret supporting BAT. I will regret.

adekolaelect:
Yes in reality, not your Ethnicity Imaginations. Stake holders influence victory in election time then Tinubu has more stake holders in North than Atiku as at today.

Workch:
I am so sure he cannot win unless someone shows the the possibility of him flawlessly defeating Atiku and Kwankwaso in northwest and northeast.

I am also not sure how he wants to defeat Peter Obi in southsouth and southeast. It's very difficult for Tinubu to win this election. I don't know where his supporters get hope. Tinubu is a Southwest fantasy.

I don't see how he can win if he doesn't win here.

FarahAideed:
Let's be realistic , he is currently the front runner thanks to G5 and all the Obidients

MikeofAfrica:


How many stakeholders did Buhari have in the north in 2011 under CPC?

Why didn't the PDP stakeholders in Kaduna, Kastina, Jigawa, Sokoto, Gombe and Bauchi deliver their States to PDP and Jonathan?

famouscargo4u:


I said he would get much votes over there compared to what others wi;l get from Tinubu stronghold

garfield1:


Because it was the turn of the north not south

MikeofAfrica:


In 2011, the northern stakeholders agreed to support Jonathan for one term ( 2011-2015). There refusal to support Buhari made him to leave ANPP and form CPC.

However, the stakeholders could not convince the northern electorates to vote Jonathan over Buhari.

Remember the PDP northern stakeholders in core northern states like Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, Jigawa and Bauchi could not also convince their people to vote OBJ over Buhari in 2003.

duro4chang:
Tinubu is the next president of this country.

Workch:
So Tinubu will beat Atiku on his turf. I am screenshooting this so I can make fun of you in February

I can put all my fortune that Tinubu will not get 50% of what Atiku will get in NW and NE. Your guy is a southwest fantasy and you all are deluded to think he will beat Atiku there

garfield1:


True but gej won heavily in the north central and got 40% in ne/nw.he almost won kaduna.in 2003,obj also won north central and got 40% overall in the north.he won buhari in kaduna.so you see,the north right now is divided like in 2003/2011.tinubu just needs to match gej/obj results

MikeofAfrica:


Since 1999, for a person to win the presidential election, he has to win either the NW/ NE block votes or the SE/SS block votes.

Obasanjo and Jonathan won the SE/SS block votes in 2003 and 2011. Buhari won the NW/NE block votes in 2015 and 2019.

Since Tinubu cannot win SE/ SS, he must win NW/NE or at least one of the two regions( NW or NE) while dominating SW.

If Atiku wins NW/NE and stops Obi from dominating the SS, he will win the election comfortably.

00FFT00:


Na lie

MikeofAfrica:


Your Statistics are right. However the reason OBJ and Jonathan won in 2003 and 2011 is the block votes that they got in SE/SS. Both of them had over 90% of the votes in the two regions. Moreover, they had the power of imcumbency which helped them to win the NC and penetrate the NW/ NE.

Atiku would have also defeat Buhari in 2019 if he had been able to get 40% in NE/NW.

However in the case of Tinubu,his main opponent in NW/NE, Atiku, is also more popular than him in SE/SS. The SW which is Tinubu's stronghold cannot deliver the kind of block votes that SE/SS delivered to OBJ and Jonathan in 2003 and 2011.

Hence for Tinubu to win, he has to stop Atiku from winning either NW or NE and also hope that Obi stops Atiku from winning SS.

walefresh3:
olodo , if tinubu can get 40% in the whole north that's a good results for him.... In Nigeria, election is won by law and majority...

25% in 24 states of the federation is the most important Target.. not majority vote...

That's why obi need structures to do dis...

U can't win an election by majority votes alone.. u must meet with the requirements.. which is s 25 % in 24 states of the federation....

garfield1:


Tinubu doesnt need to win the north to win.how many times will I drum this to you

Workch:
he needs to because he's nonexistent in SS and SE

Mandate2023:



u r dumb......I never said tinubu will win in the north, he will surely win nothing less than 4 states in the NE and NW combined with a close margin in others he will lose, 40% to 35% is all he needs in d north and that was what I said, he will top the NC and SW.....only needed 25% person in 4 out of d 11 states in SE and SS.....imo, ebonyi, calabar being APC state will deliver the 25% and lastly wike combined with magnus abe will get 25% of rivers for him........that's all that is needed

garfield1:


Anap noi polls shows tinubu winning atiku in se/ss

Workch:
the ANAP poll conducted at your house in osogbo abi

garfield1:


Anap noi polls shows tinubu winning atiku in se/ss

MikeofAfrica:


How many stakeholders did Buhari have in the north in 2011 under CPC?

Why didn't the PDP stakeholders in Kaduna, Kastina, Jigawa, Sokoto, Gombe and Bauchi deliver their States to PDP and Jonathan?

garfield1:


https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.thecable.ng/obi-leads-tinubu-atiku-kwankwaso-in-new-anap-poll/amp&ved=2ahUKEwi2o9zci6T8AhVPgv0HHYQEDlEQFnoECCwQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0np2Q_S-ozqqfdyY3k9_WU


Kid,this is it.take time to read and study it carefully so that you dont repeat classes again

Workch:
Urchins lie a lot, they also lie to themselves

Workch:
I am so sure he cannot win unless someone shows the the possibility of him flawlessly defeating Atiku and Kwankwaso in northwest and northeast.

I am also not sure how he wants to defeat Peter Obi in southsouth and southeast. It's very difficult for Tinubu to win this election. I don't know where his supporters get hope. Tinubu is a Southwest fantasy.

I don't see how he can win if he doesn't win here.