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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election (1403 Views)
Doyin Okupe: Why Peter Obi Dumped PDP, Withdrew From Presidential Race / Zoning Vs Winning The Election: South-South Cannot Win Presidency - Tambuwal / PDP Cannot Win 2023 Presidential With Uche Secondus As The Party Chairman (2) (3) (4)
Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by axponline: 3:08pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
The electoral law says a candidate must score at least 25% of the vote in at least 24[ out of 36 states. Peter Obi is likely to get 25% in only 17 states. My analysis. Please add yours if you disagree. States where he cannot get 25% oyo niger bauchi borno ondo ekiti yobe gombe kwara jigawa ogun kaduna osun kano sokoto katsina zamfara kebbi kogi Total 19 States where he can get 25% and above rivers imo edo adamawa nasarawa akwa ibom abia anambra enugu bayelsa lagos benue plateau cross river taraba delta ebonyi Total 17 Grand Total 36 He is 7 states short. How can he make it up. It will be a huge task. 2 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by PureMe01: 3:10pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Rerun is instant win for Obi 2 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by dustmalik(m): 3:18pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
PureMe01:It will never go to re-run. The two major candidates will attain the necessary spread. Obi will not 7 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Plus10(m): 3:18pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Where is FCT in your analysis?Anyway, Obi will get 25% in all SW states Kaduna and Kogi. 6 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Plus10(m): 3:22pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Apart from geographical spread,the winner must also secure the highest numbers of vote.Both conditions must be fulfilled. 2 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by axponline: 3:24pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Ok. lets add FCT and give it to Obi. He is still 6 states short. I don't agree with the poster who said he can get 25% in all SW states. He is only known in mainly the SW state capitals. Take Oyo state for instance, outside of Ibadan, where can he get any votes. I think only Lagos is in play for him in the SW. 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by 9jii(m): 3:25pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Forget any analysis Just having a common sense will tell you Obi will not win. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by axponline: 3:26pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Plus10: Yes oh. And by not scoring well in the high population states like Kano & Katsina, it becomes very difficult to see how he can get the highest number of votes. When I see posts that say Peter Obi will win hands down, I scratch my head and wonder how it will happen. 4 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by MadamExcellency: 3:27pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
E don do? We don hear. The next thing is that one of the partisan Moderators will send this nonsense to frontage 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by PureMe01: 3:28pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
dustmalik: INEC chairman,I hear you 7 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by axponline: 3:29pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
MadamExcellency: Sorry, no vex. I don shut up. 1 Like |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by philcz(m): 3:29pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
It’s not far again, let’s wait and see |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Plus10(m): 3:32pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
dustmalik:This is not geographical spread only, INEC consider the candidate with the highest number of votes, and the candidate with geographical spread.These are the two candidates that are qualify for a rerun. |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by after4: 3:33pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
"From he has no structure" now "he can win 17 remaining 7" You go dey alright las las 9 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by nameo: 3:34pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline: Northern votes, esp NW and NE will be shared heavily by at least 3 candidates. The net effect will not be significant for any candidate. Moreover, lets see how some of these states will manufacture the "usual" high figures when BVAS is used this time around (no incidence forms etc). February is next month 2 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by axponline: 3:35pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
after4: I did not say he can win 17. I said he can get 25% or more in 17 states. 3 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Obaofaba: 3:36pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline: Very fair with your analysis. He can't even get the highest number of votes cast talk more of the spread. He knows and we know too that he won't win. Jagaban is coming 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Obaofaba: 3:37pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
nameo: Manufacture figure you say? Go and check the total number of votes in osun state and kindly compare it to the last state election. That's your reply. 1 Like |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Nightwolf1: 3:40pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Obaofaba: You mean the cocaine addict is coming, he isn't done licking a microphone yet. 6 Likes 1 Share
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Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Plus10(m): 3:40pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline:Unlike 2015 and 2019 elections,the 3ks states will be shared by apc,pdp,nnpp and partly LP.Don't expect any block votes from those states. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by BlazinGlory40: 3:43pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline: If he won’t win, why you Dey open thread to discuss the topic? 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by 9jii(m): 3:47pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
after4:Ol0do who said he's wining 17 states? Go back and read what the op said 3 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by sreamsense: 4:32pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
You are fair with your analysis, but obi can't get 25% in Lagos. Do you know what 25% means? PDP will even do better than LP because existing structure of PDP. Many Igbos who will stay in Lagos to cast vote will vote for Tinubu especially those that have benefitted directly and indirectly through APC elected Igbo leaders. Many Igbos will travel back to their villages to vote and majority of those igbos that remain will actually vote for Tinubu. Many Igbo leaders under APC or benefited from Tinubu are already working on that underground as it used to be on every election year in Lagos. Obi can't win Taraba either. It is just noise to say obi will win Benue, with all the support obi is getting from Benue, he can only get 25%, he can't win it because APC candidate in that state is well loved. Wait for Tinubu to do his own campaign in Benue if you will not be laughing at that of obi. Outside south east, obi can't win; PDP will either win or APC, obi can only get 25% in strong places you put as win for obi outside south east 2 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Meagainstthem: 4:33pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Plus10: Your brain dey leak,nah your father go vote for Pandora criminal in Ogun state 2 Likes |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Meagainstthem: 4:35pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline: Can he even get 25% of Abeokuta South local government vote,note that Abeokuta South doesn't have any Village at all. 1 Like |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Rapuru14: 4:39pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Indeed many are mad, only few are roaming! But Nairaland hosts many of them Mark this: "NOTHING WILL STOP OBI FROM WINNING; MASSIVELY 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by techWriter3: 6:11pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
"From he been no edifice" now "he can win 17 remaining 7"You go dey alright las las So, Check my profile if you need help with your dissertation, assignment, statement of purpose, thesis, or personal statement. |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Workch: 6:15pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
axponline:no candidate can get 25% in 24% state. Everyone is waiting for rerun 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Workch: 6:16pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
dustmalik:are you drunk? How? List the states where Tinubu and Atiku can get 25% realistically 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by richidinho(m): 6:43pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
He will get 25% in Kaduna Oyo Gombe Ogun Ekiti Bauchi FcT 2 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by technicallyrich(m): 6:51pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Reverse the question,can the kriminal theifnybu get 25 percent in 34 state.first he won't get even 10 percent in all ss/se state. |
Re: Analysis.. Why Peter Obi Cannot Win The Election by Ruggedniggaone: 7:26pm On Jan 04, 2023 |
Rapuru14:you just display the symptoms of madness with this nonsense |
Onitsha Agog As Mama Woto-woto, Jennifer Eliogu, Kcee, Peter Obi Shake Onitsha A / After The Election Peter Obi Will Go Back To Selling Beers And Condom-ffk / The Tears Of The Obidients. Reality Sets In
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