MY PROJECTION FOR VOTERS TURN OUT DURING THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

This month election will witness voters Apathy. The signs are there already. Forget all the talks of new voters registration and willingness to vote. It is no different from other elections. In fact, in 2019 election, more people(15million people or more registered for PVC more than 2023 election(11.5million) and my projection for voters turn out for this year's election is, it is going to be just some few percentage higher than last year election.

There are many reasons why voters' turnout will be low in this year's election.

In north especially core north(north west and east) there is likely going to be low turn out compare to 2015 and 2019 elections. This is largely because there is no candidate the core north are so enthusiastic about like they have been with president Buhari for over two decades. While Kwankwanso is building his brand and prime to follow president Buhari lead as the beautiful bride of northern politics, he still has a long way to go. Meanwhile, Atiku might be the dark horse of northern politics, but the core Northerners have never hidden the fact that he is not their cup of tea. Couple with the fact that the pulse of the country favors a southern President, the north are not as enthusiastic to either stay in power like they were when they reclaimed the seat from Jonathan in 2015.

In south, there is likely going to be voter's Apathy in south east. It is even getting likely by the day with the threat of "no election" by secessionist group. While many may play down the threats, the voters' turn out in last year's Anambra election all but confirm the danger of seeing Apathy in a region notorious for their lack of interest in elections.

Meanwhile, there are chances that there will be huge voters' turnout in south west and south south. This may be because of the presence of southern candidates like Tinubu, Peter Obi and Okowa on the ballot. Again also due to the pulse of the country that favors southern presidency

While Peter obi was supposed to cash in on the block votes south east always delivers, the threat of no election by secessionists may likely shred the number of votes he may likely get in the region.

Last election saw less than 29millon total votes, 2015 election saw less than 27millon total votes, this year's election will likely see less than 31 million total votes. Which represents less than 30% of eligible voters on INEC portal.

May Nigeria Succeed.

Amen.

Lol. South east will have the highest turn out this election.
Southwest will have low turnout, especially amongst Tinubu supporters who believe he would win by rigging.

IPOB has already stated that they are not against the election.

Joevics:
Lol. South east will have the highest turn out this election.
Southwest will have low turnout, especially amongst Tinubu supporters who believe he would win by rigging.

IPOB has already stated that they are not against the election.

How can south west have the lowest turn out when it has its son in the ballot?

The south east is supposed to have highest turnout since the introduction of card reader, but IPOB and its factions have threatened election in the east.

While election will still hold in the east, the turn out will be low using Anambra state election as example.

ashacot:



How can south west have the lowest turn out when it has its son in the ballot?

The south east is supposed to have highest turnout since the introduction of card reader, but IPOB and its factions have threatened election in the east.

While election will still hold in the east, the turn out will be low using Anambra state election as example.

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