As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

Nice analysis OP

garfield1.... Mr Permutations and Political Calculator

what sayest thou ?

Clean analysis

I don't loose sleep over Tinubu.

Masturbationn is valid!

Reality has a way of humbling humans!


Asiwaju victory will send many to coma

Why not wait till Feb 25?

Face your candidate and leave Tinubu alone

Piiggiiddioot amaka

CoronaVirusRelo:
Masturbationn is valid!

Reality has a way of humbling humans!


Asiwaju victory will send many to coma

I can't wait for February 25

A lot of Pandora supporters will not vote for him, they will vote Atiku because they know Obi can not win

Parachoko:
I can't wait for February 25

Sincerely! Can’t wait for Asiwaju to be declared winner.


I will eat 🐖 on that day, believing I am feeding on my enemies

I Sha know who will come 3rd

You mean am?

Workch:
As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

If tinubu gets 80% of sw,25% of the north is ok.but as it stands,he will get 35% of the north and 60% of sw while staying close to atiku in se ss.he will have 25% in at least 17 northern states. He will beat atiku in nc and if atiku wins the north,it won't exceed 500k

Think9ja:
I Sha know who will come 3rd

Akagum! 😂😂😂😂

Tinubu was greedy,he thinks he can win by picking a northern Muslim... He would've librated to be a Christian at redeemed church before running for the seat
If the northern region don't vote obi,they will vote atiku or kwankwaso

Look like you copied my hidden analysis 😆

As long as Atiku and Obi remain on the ballot, Tinubu can't win even with 80% of yoruba votes.
It simple..

Useless analysis.

You see idiot

CoronaVirusRelo:
Masturbationn is valid!

Reality has a way of humbling humans!


Asiwaju victory will send many to coma

Actually, Asiwaju defeat will send urchins to coma

we have been telling people that political arithmetic does not favor tinubu at all especially with the emergence of peter obi . if obi wasn't in the race then maybe tinubu could win.

Tinubu ti lule piii piii

Workch:
As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

The inec chairman has just spoken

Workch:
As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

Tinubu would win borno, zamfara, yobe, kwara,kogi, Niger.
And get more than 25 percent votes in Kano, kaduna, kebbi,jigawa, Gombe ,kastina ,nassarrawa, plateau and benue.

What I'm sure of; Tinubu will get more than 50% in the NW & NE
65% in the NC
65% in SW
30% in SS
10% in SE
IF TINUBU DOESN'T WIN THIS ELECTION THEN GOD DOES NOT EXIST.

smokinloud:
What I'm sure of; Tinubu will get more than 50% in the NW & NE
65% in the NC
65% in SW
30% in SS
10% in SE
IF TINUBU DOESN'T WIN THIS ELECTION THEN GOD DOES NOT EXIST.

Na the loud wey you take the worry you but please replace GOD with Allah in your comment.

Workch:
As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

The only way any of the two old rogues can win is if one of them steps down for the other. Otherwise, they both will lose! The presence of Kwankwaso in the race even makes it worse for them.

I saw urchins and BATstards masturbating on Borno rally and I laughed. Same Borno will be split into 3 parts just like most other NW and NE states.

God bless Peter Obi, the incoming president of Nigeria!

In this political setting,Atiku wins it.
The calmest of all the candidates.
25th is coming

Apophenia24k:


Na the loud wey you take the worry you but please replace GOD with Allah in your comment.

Alaye, I'm a Yoruba Christian. I only know Jesus and He's personally told me Tinubu is our next president not even once but twice.
That's just a moniker name I don't do drugs

senatordave1:


If tinubu gets 80% of sw,25% of the north is ok.but as it stands,he will get 35% of the north and 60% of sw while staying close to atiku in se ss.he will have 25% in at least 17 northern states. He will beat atiku in nc and if atiku wins the north,it won't exceed 500k

How will Tifnubu stay close to atiku in SE SS? Even Atiku can't make such bold claims as things stand. I know you're Garfield1 and your analysis are always jaundiced but there should be a limit to self deceit.

Tifnubu cannot win this election as far as Atiku and Kwakwanso are in this race. He's not buhari and this is not a 2 horse race. Y'all should even be grateful Obi is running because if he weren't, it would have been a landslide for Atiku. Keep deceiving yourselves Sha... It's just 6 days away.

smokinloud:

Alaye, I'm a Yoruba Christian. I only know Jesus and He's personally told me Tinubu is our next president not even once but twice.
That's just a moniker name I don't do drugs

Which Jesus ?
Shey Gabriel Jesus of Arsenal?
Una the ment?
Jesus told you that a man who spit on entire population of Christian is going to win?
Okay

Workch:
As long as Atiku is there to win NW and NE, Tinubu cannot win.
Even if Tinubu gets 80% votes in southwest, if Atiku gets anything above 50% more of what Tinubu gets in NW and NE ( for example in NW, Tinubu cannot afford Atiku to get 1.6m votes, while he gets 1m, he needs to be close 2nd) and Kwankwaso manages to get 60% of whatever Tinubu gets in NW, Tinubu is gone.

SS and SE if virtually impenetrable for Tinubu. Nothing for him, the best he can do is to get just 25% in one ot two states there.

For Tinubu to win, he needs to secure 25% in all 19 northern states.
Or secure 25% in 17 of them and manage to snatch 2 from SS and SE.

This is extremely difficult, knowing fully well that Tinubu will perform woefully in Christian dominated states of Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and even plateau.

hope u know d 3 other aspirants were in pdp 4 years ago?