The major beneficiary of the "obidient" movement will be expected to perform well in the coming elections in the below selected states, possibly hitting half a million votes along the way.

With a lot of support from the nation's youths, the Christian community, and those disgruntled with the achievements of the PDP and APC at federal level, the former PDP member will be looking to spring a surprise in the coming general elections.

The former governor is expected inherit most of his supporters from the PDP, especially in the southern parts of the country.

Let's take a look at his strongholds:


1.) ANAMBRA STATE: This will be the most convincing 500,000 plus state for Peter Obi and among all the presidential candidates. No other candidate will be expected to have such a clean run in their backyard as voters bias recorded from 2019 may leave the rest of the parties with a combined votes less than 15% of total votes cast.

2.) DELTA STATE?: This would have been a strong projection but for the influence of Sen. Ifeanyi Okowa who would be replacing Peter Obi as Vice to Atiku Abubakar. Nevertheless, Delta State remains an obidient state but a large number of Okowa's supporters will need to be snatched in the Agbor/Asaba axis for this to be a reality, alongside a high voter turnout on election day. If things don't go as projected, all three major parties may hit the 25% mark with a narrow win for the Labour party.

3.) KADUNA STATE: Many analysts are projecting Peter Obi to garner most of his votes here from southern Kaduna whose people are mostly Christians. It remains to be seen how much of the core PDP base will be swinging over with PO to the LP and they are expected to be a few hundred thousand. We will have to watch and see if the PDP has done their homework to reduce the effect of this exodus of voters.

4.) LAGOS STATE: The presidential candidate of the Labour party, looks set to enjoy the cultural and religious diversity of the state in securing more votes for his ambition. although Lagos state remains a core APC state, voting has never seen convincing winners in recent years of the presidential elections as margins has been relatively close. A large turnout of voters will improve Peter Obi's chances of achieving the above benchmark. A strong projection despite weak chances of winning the state.

5.) PLATEAU STATE: It remains to be seen if a majority of the PDP supporters that voted Atiku/Obi in 2019 will be queuing up behind Peter Obi in the election slated for Saturday the 25th of February 2023. It remains a weak projection but still a very plausible one.

6.) RIVERS STATE: With a high voter turnout expected, the LP would have been rest assured of hitting the half a million mark, but for the antics of the seating governor who is rumored to be throwing his weight behind the presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Nevertheless, the labour party is still expected to come off with a victory here overall. The PDP may be disgraced in Rivers State and fall short of an important 25% of votes if Governor Wike goes ahead to support a member of the opposition against his party.


CAVEAT: This is not a declaration that the above-named candidate(s) will win the forth coming general elections.

Cc: Seun, mynd44, nlfpmod

Definitely

Na so.. the youths will surprise all those corrupt politicians.

habsydiamond:
Na so.. the youths will surprise all those corrupt politicians.

Well.... Many youths will be voting but then we need to also account for sentiments and rigging factors.

sonofthunder:


Well.... Many youths will be voting but then we need to also account for sentiments and rigging factors.

that's why we must stick around after voting... every youth is an observer in his or her polling unit. No going home until all votes are counted and declared

Cc: Seun lalasticlala Nlfpmod Mynd44 OAM4J


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