The stars aligned perfectly for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu in Benue, just like in many places all over the country.

It's a shocker for the baby analysts, debut voters, and those clouded with emotions why Tinubu and APC (but not Peter Obi) clinched Benue state. It's is not for me and other smart political followers and analysts. It's easy to know LP won't win.

1. The Samuel Ortom Factor: Ortom was the most useless governor in the country heading to the election. His people were waiting for him at the poll; so anything and anyone associated with him was in their crossfire. You don't need every endorsement - Peter Obi failed to understand this. In a desperate attempt for validation and endorsement, he got caught in Ortom's trap and became collateral damage while the people of Benue were bagging Ortom politically. How could he (Obi) - despite all he claimed he stood for - associate with a failure like Samuel Ortom? Mind you, Orji Uzor Kalu also warned Obi and his Obidients that Ortom was using their wave for his senatorial ambition.



2. The Fulani Factor: Over his 8-year tenure as governor, Ortom did well instilling the hate of the Fulanis in the heart of his people during the Fulani herdsmen crisis. It's a no brainier that the Benue will reject Atiku - a Fulani man - at the polls.

3. The Alia Factor: Rev. Fr. Hyacinth Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in Benue today. Asiwaju benefited from his movement greatly.

4. The Tinubu Factor: It's easy to predict that a Tinubu presidency would be far better than Buhari's, simply judging by his track records. It was easy for him to get the vote of those who frowned on his muslim-muslim ticket but have rejected Obi and Atiku. More so, Tinubu being a Yoruba man and Shettima a Kanuri man helped. The Yorubas have a special appeal in the North Central and the Kanuris are not Fulanis.

5. PDP Senators and Structure: The nail in the coffin for Obi's success in Benue was when other PDP candidates disagreed with Ortom on his choice to adopt Obi and pulled the party structure. Votes that should have gone Obi's way from Benue PDP structure didn't flow through. Even if a quarter of PDP structure had aligned with Ortom, Obi would have gotten more than 2,000 votes to overtake Tinubu and bag the state victory.

More...

Jones4190 reminded me two other factors I didn't add. How could I forget

6. The George Akume Factor: It's no news that Akume, the former Governor of Benue and a current minister in the Buhari's administration, is a formidable foe of Ortom. As an APC member and one of the finest, top 2 politicians in Benue, Akume worked in favor of Tinubu. The forces against Ortom was too much for a man. Atiku and Ayu were against him; Akume was against him; His party members at state level were against him; The civil servants were against him. Who advised Obi to accept Ortom's endorsement?

7. The Ayu Factor: After falling out and without the backing of his party chairman and kinsman, Ortom was all alone in Benue. While Ayu was out to destroy Ortom as a G5 member and Ortom having made a pact to stop the success of Atiku, Asiwaju came into Benue without resistance to pick the crown from the ground. The only person who could/should have stopped him was Obi but the LP man was imprisoned in the orphanage camp of the man every forces in Benue had rejected and waging war against.

CC: seun, mynd44, nlpfmod

😀

Hopium:
The stars aligned perfectly for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu in Benue, just like in many places all over the country.

It's a shocker for the baby analysts, debut voters, and those clouded with emotions why Tinubu and APC (but not Peter Obi) clinched Benue state. It's is not for me and other smart political followers and analysts. It's easy to know LP won't win.

1. Ortom was the most useless governor in the country heading to the election. His people were waiting for him at the poll; so anything and anyone associated with him was in their crossfire. You don't need every endorsement - Peter Obi fails to understand this. In a desperate attempt for validation and endorsement, he got caught in Ortom's trap and became collateral damage while the people of Benue were bagging Ortom politically. How could he (Obi) - despite of all he claimed he stood for - associate with a failure like Samuel Ortom? Mind you, Orji Uzor Kalu also warned Obi and his Obidients that Ortom was using their wave for his senatorial ambition.



2. The Fulani Factor: Over his 8-year tenure as governor, Ortom did well instilling the hate of the Fulanis in the heart of his people during the Fulani herdsmen crisis. It's a no brainier that the Benue will reject Atiku - a Fulani man - at the polls.

3. The Alia Factor: Rev. Fr. Hyacinth Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in Benue today. Asiwaju benefited from his movement greatly.

4. The Tinubu Factor: It's easy to predict that a Tinubu presidency would be far better than Buhari's, simply judging by his track records. It was easy for him to get the vote of those who frowned on his muslim-muslim ticket but have rejected Obi and Atiku. More so, Tinubu being a Yoruba man and Shettima a Kanuri man helped. The Yorubas have a special appeal in the North Central and the Kanuris are not Fulanis.

5. PDP Senators and Structure: The nail in the coffin for Obi's success in Benue was when other PDP candidates disagreed with Ortom on his choice to adopt Obi and pulled the party structre. Votes that should have gone Obi's way from Benue PDP structure didn't flow through. Even if half of PDP structure had aligned with Ortom, Obi would have gotten more than 2,000 votes to overtake Tinubu and bag the state victory.

mynd44

if dis is d true qualms dat Benue ppl actually want a muslim muslim ticket, wahala no dey na.

Atleast we get to keep our sympathies to ourselves whenever we hear of their constant herders/farmers clash.

ee better like dat abeg!
Op thank u 4 d analysis joor!

We move!

you didn't tal of Akume factors and the fight between ortom and Ayu factor

Jones4190:
you didn't tal of Akume factors and the fight between ortom and Ayu factor

Yeah! True. I will try and add this.

Obi obi obi obi obi obi obi

When I told Peter Obi and his Obidient's urchins that Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria and the best choice of the Nigeria populace, they thought i was joking.

Now all roads leads to the chosen one by the people. Bola Ahmed Tinubu Congratulations on your mandate

No rigging from Peter Obi and his Obidient's urchins can change the will of the people.

Once again, thank you to all my fellow youths for making this happen. Now our future is secured in the hands of Tinubu

Fr Alia to the world

MichaelSokoto:
if dis is d true qualms dat Benue ppl actually want a muslim muslim ticket, wahala no dey na.

Atleast we get to keep our sympathies to ourselves whenever we hear of their constant herders/farmers clash.

ee better like dat abeg!
Op thank u 4 d analysis joor!

We move!

You igbos were playing the religion card against a man whose wife is a pastor and some of his kids a Christian, that's the most stupid thing to do,obi come turn pope over nite,at least he would have free time to be visiting Shiloh

6) Massive rigging.

richeeyo:

You igbos were playing the religion card against a man whose wife is a pastor and some of his kids a Christian, that's the most stupid thing to do,obi come turn pope over nite,at least he would have free time to be visiting Shiloh

ur own opinion!

am not Igbo nor 4rm d east by d way.

apache22b:
When I told Peter Obi and his Obidient's urchins that Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria and the best choice of the Nigeria populace, they thought i was joking.

Now all roads leads to the chosen one by the people. Bola Ahmed Tinubu Congratulations on your mandate

No rigging from Peter Obi and his Obidient's urchins can change the will of the people.

Once again, thank you to all my fellow youths for making this happen. Now our future is secured in the hands of Tinubu

Don't say that he is the best choice. People that voted against him when combined is more than people that voted for him despite that the election was rigged in his favour.

I still see some on Twitter still asking how on earth did Asiwaju won Benue state. seun, mynd44, nlpfmod, people need to learn.