Prigozhin action no matter the underlying grievance or sense of injustice is ill thought out.
-The best case scenario for him is to disappear to some country that is friendly to Russia that can offer him adequate asylum
-The worst decision he can make is to persist in his self disillusioned state and go ahead with his affront.
The world needs Russia as a counterweight.
His force can just cause some discomfort and bad public optics, it’s however too small to fight the whole strength of Russia Armed forces. He has 25000 soldiers. Russia can call up on some 25million reservists.
*Russians overwhelming sentiments-presently and historically- is to their homeland through their leader.
*Russia has the world record of Nuclear weapons. It has modern delivery systems and also has a robust nuclear deterrent triad, hence the prospect of its defeat is close to impossible.
*a chaotic Russia is a big threat to the world.
*there are hardline Muslims nations in Russia that can get hold on dangerous weapons if Russia disintegrate.
*this Prigozhin adventure will quickly come to an end. Russia will have to clamp down on it more forcefully than even the way it has been going about in Ukraine.