As the electoral campaigns begin for the 2024 gubernatorial election in Ondo State, a state-wide opinion poll has shown that the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and incumbent governor, Lucky Aiyedatiwa, stands a better chance of retaining the seat on November 16, 2024.

The poll, which was conducted by Rankier All-Global Incorporation, a global ranking-focused consulting firm, places Aiyedatiwa ahead of other contenders with 72 per cent of survey respondents willing to support him.

The governor was followed by the People’s Democratic Party’s (PDP) candidate, Agboola Ajayi, who secured 12 per cent of the survey’s responses, while the Social Democratic Party’s (SDP) candidate, Bamidele Akingboye, received five per cent and the Labour Party’s (LP) candidate had three per cent.

The ranking firm used a sample size of 8,500 respondents and a margin of error of 2.5 per cent at a 92 per cent confidence interval. The survey sample represented the age and gender demographics across Ondo State’s 18 councils, as well as the neighbouring states of Kogi and Edo.


Rankier All-Global’s report noted that voter turnout in the 2024 gubernatorial election across the state could be significantly lower than in 2020 due to the perception that the election is a ‘walkover’ for the APC and the governor, who has overcome many challenges and emerged victorious.

The report also indicated the respondents’ belief that there are no serious opposition candidates to the incumbent and that many of the opposing political parties are in talks to later adopt the incumbent as their candidate.

It also showed that 67 per cent of the respondents also recognised the strategic and important position of Ondo State to the APC, particularly being the state with the highest number of votes for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu when the party lost in Lagos and Osun states in the general elections last year.

However, Ondo State’s Attorney-General and Commissioner for Justice, Dr Kayode Ajulo (SAN), while reacting to the report, said he won’t be moved by any speculation.


He expressed confidence in the leadership of the incumbent governor, saying: “Aiyedatiwa remains the best choice of the people.”

But a former PDP Southwest National Vice Chairman and stalwart in the state, Dr Eddy Olafeso, dismissed the opinion poll as inconsequential to an election that is about six months away.


He said that the ranking is unreliable because the body is unknown.

When contacted, Ondo State Chairman of the SDP, Segun Oyebolu, couldn’t react but the National Spokesman of the LP, Tanko Yinusa, said the opinion poll does not hold water because Nigerians are so disenchanted with the APC.

Also faulting the genuineness of the opinion poll, SDP National Secretary, Olu Agunloye, said the opinion was a mere propaganda of the ruling party to manipulate the results of the election ahead of time.

Agunloye wondered why any opinion poll at this time would give victory to either Aiyedatiwa or Ajayi, who both belong to the late Rotimi Akeredolu’s dynasty in Ondo politics but are now at a parallel platform.

He urged the electorate to discard the opinion poll result.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://guardian.ng/poll-favours-aiyedatiwa-to-win-guber-opposition-dismisses-survey/&ved=2ahUKEwigsKv59O-GAxVxU0EAHawDAFQQFnoECBAQAQ&usg=AOvVaw1P7l46-Hv1KUk-ZlKXvpvR


Mynd44
Nplfmod
Seun
Fergie001
Helinues

Serious politicians don't rely on online poll.

Ground work is the koko

helinues:
Serious politicians don't rely on online poll.

Ground work is the koko

ground work on how to grab it snatch it and run with it abi.

Joblessness is truly a disease.

Actually the incumbent is very likely to win.
But my concern is about his ability to perform. I'm afraid, Ondo State is about to enter another one-chance again.

Without Opinion Poll

Aiyedatiwa is at upper hand on the following factors.


1. Jegede withdrawal (Jegede is from ondo central)
2. Aiyedatiwa have just 1 term
3. the Central are rallying behind him because after this it returns to central
4. His deputy is from Ondo north
5. His major contender Agboola Ajayi is from Same Ondo south with him

helinues:
Serious politicians don't rely on online poll.

Ground work is the koko

I agree

richiemcgold:
Actually the incumbent is very likely to win.
But my concern is about his ability to perform. I'm afraid, Ondo State is about to enter another one-chance again.

True, aiyedatiwa is so lacklustre

engineerboat:
Without Opinion Poll

Aiyedatiwa is at upper hand on the following factors.


1. Jegede withdrawal (Jegede is from ondo central)
2. Aiyedatiwa have just 1 term
3. the Central are rallying behind him because after this it returns to central
4. His deputy is from Ondo north
5. His major contender Agboola Ajayi is from Same Ondo south with him

1) jegede being in the race makes it easier aiyedatiwa as south will massively vote him plus north but now south will divide and Ajayi might take central.
2) Aiyedatiwa deputy is a placeholder,he will make his final choice from central,likely Fasoranti son
3) the south are aggrieved that aiyedatiwa doing only one term will shortchange them and will prefer voting Ajayi who has 8 years.
4) his deputy from Owo isn't grassrooted
5) hmmm

senatordave1:


1) jegede being in the race makes it easier aiyedatiwa as south will massively vote him plus north but now south will divide and Ajayi might take central.
2) Aiyedatiwa deputy is a placeholder,he will make his final choice from central,likely Fasoranti son
3) the south are aggrieved that aiyedatiwa doing only one term will shortchange them and will prefer voting Ajayi who has 8 years.
4) his deputy from Owo isn't grassrooted
5) hmmm

You are far from reality

Check Your fact Very well.

1. Aiyedatiwa will take the South, Ajay cannot take Central reality on.ground is what I've told you already
2. Is it Aselami You're saying is a placeholder You are truly far from reality, Like I told You It is reality on ground that cemented Adelami choice
3. Saying Adelami is not a grassroot man, Is not correct and that shows You don't know anything about Him
4. The South have No option The Zone is a divided Camp already Aiyedatiwa is having upper Hand also


check your facts correctly

senatordave1:


True, aiyedatiwa is so lacklustre

How is he lackluster

engineerboat:


How is he lackluster

His performance is not encouraging,I stand to be corrected

engineerboat:



You are far from reality

Check Your fact Very well.

1. Aiyedatiwa will take the South, Ajay cannot take Central reality on.ground is what I've told you already
2. Is it Aselami You're saying is a placeholder You are truly far from reality, Like I told You It is reality on ground that cemented Adelami choice
3. Saying Adelami is not a grassroot man, Is not correct and that shows You don't know anything about Him
4. The South have No option The Zone is a divided Camp already Aiyedatiwa is having upper Hand also


check your facts correctly

1) Aiyedatiwa might take the south because olusola oke is now with him though many will still vote ajayi.ajayi is more grounded than him.
2) the plan was for Aiyedatiwa to pick deputy from Akure specifically Fasoranti son.he was confused hence he picked a temporary running mate first.perhsps he has changed his mind

3 and 4) jegede can deliver akure while mimiko delivers ondo axis with FGB ajayi running mate bringing Idanre/ifedore axis.

I would like to see your unbiased and objective analysis on Edo

senatordave1:


His performance is not encouraging,I stand to be corrected

What He's doing is to Attend to area of weakness of Akeredolu and its working for Him

I doubt Ondo people like this man..

He might win tho because of Apc structure..

engineerboat:


What He's doing is to Attend to area of weakness of Akeredolu and its working for Him

He is only paying salaries

senatordave1:


He is only paying salaries

he's completing all legitimate projects of Aketi

making some developmental move

remember he was swear in December 27

5 month

engineerboat:


he's completing all legitimate projects of Aketi

making some developmental move

remember he was swear in December 27

5 month

What's your prediction for Edo

senatordave1:


What's your prediction for Edo

Edo election is A 2-horse race with Ighodalo having an edge going by facts on ground

engineerboat:



Edo election is A 2-horse race with Ighodalo having an edge going by facts on ground

mumu

engineerboat:



Edo election is A 2-horse race with Ighodalo having an edge going by facts on ground

Ok.why dont you see it as a 3 horse race with Lp?
What edge is he having? What are those facts on the ground?