Hopium:


Maybe 20%. PDP is dead in Kwara.

LP no go see 5%. I'm anticipating 70%+ for Asiwaju.

you must be living in a fool pa radise keep hailing your tinubu as we celebrate obi.

Parachoko:





The joke is on you

why are you showing him when people de come de venue?

wwwkaycom:
Oshio will win Edo North for Jagaban with a wide margin. Atiku and Obidient will destroy themselves trying to outsmart each other in Edo central and Edo South while Jagaban will gather the little little votes remaining. Mark my words, Jagaban will win Edo State even though narrowly.

who be this one? Which jaga? Go and rest jor. He will not come second in Edo.

oyin44:
Apc has finally fought for the masses


Nigerians will love tinubu more and more


Atiku and obi ......both wicked brothers (witches)

which Nigerians, go to hell evil people, you and your tinubu will be trash, Mark this.

garfield1:
Tinubu will get 60% here.atiku and his boy can share the crumbs

you are a learner in kogi politics

Asgard13:
PDP will fvck Wike till he decamp himself😂

Bloody noise maker

PDP is harming itself not wike.

AllTheWayUp:
Today is World anti Party day.
Wike thinks he is stubborn.
Ayu led PDP is waiting for Wike to announce Tinubu as his candidate., then Sekibbo Faction in PDP will support and offer it's structures to Rotimi Amaechi led Rivers APC..
Battle line is drawn in Rivers State
If Wike likes he should endorse Tinubu
Peter Obi will come first in Rivers State
Atiku will come second
No Rivers citizens will listen to Wike and vote Tinubu
Quote me anywhere

misplace priority, fight wike and lose election, who is the loser ... Foolish party. After Fulani rule in buhari and another Fulani want to take over... Atiku will never be president of this nation.

Godoverevery:
As far one bares a yoruba name he/she is a first class resident in lagos and any other South west state.

Whether he/she is from owo in ondo, remo in ogun state, ede In osun state or anywhere in the south west and bares a yoruba name the person is free to claim Lagos if him/her want to.

It always funny when people says tinubu is
from irabiji and not Lagos especially my brothers from the south east .....tinubu is a yoruba man and you can never see a yoruba person saying that rubbish you people cry about all the time.

Only a yoruba man can be a governor in lagos state and he can come from anywhere in the south west....we don't care once he is yoruba.

It gross ignorance when you people try to always push the narrative of tinubu should go back to iragiji BS cause I don't understand what the complain for.

Have we the yorubas ever complained about where he comes from ??

Why are igbos so much interested in what goes on in the south west than your states.

Some of you don't even know who are running in your state but day and nights you so engrossed in what happens in south west.

You people are already crying about osun state tribunal out come.....how does that concern you igbos.

Pls face your region and leave the south west alone...it becoming irritating how you people don't even talk about your leaders but everytime it all about what going on in yoruba land.

The hausa and other tribes don't do that thing but only you igbos.

It is gross stupidity when a non yoruba says tinubu is from iragiji and not lagos cause any yoruba man can walk into any local government in lagos and get a state origin certificate but a igbo or hausa man can't do that....so that wailing about tinubu iragiji hogwash needs to stop.

Once again yorubas from any south west state are first class resident in lagos and are free to become a lagosian if they want but no other tribe can do that.

why are tinubu supporters love to lie like this? Oya called me an igbo man.

duro4chang:
No amount of mudsling and character assassination can stop the victory of Bola Ahmed Tinubu

for your dreams, some of you don't know what is playing out for tinubu. He will lose easily.

Corrinthians:
I pity Igbos. 💔💔

Goodnight Nigerians.😊😊

anything like this picture is a pay campaign and I bet you tinubu will not smell also rock.

PassingShot:
"If wishes were horses, beggars would ride". Also, it is often said that the worst form of deceit is self deceit. In about 32 days from today, reality will dawn on supporters of paper-weight politicians and they will realize that social media presence or noise does not take anyone to Aso Rock.

Even if you disagree with my political views, the fact that I have done this to near perfection in two previous presidential elections (2015 https://www.nairaland.com/2059493/2015-presidential-election-more-objective and 2019 https://www.nairaland.com/4957446/2019-presidential-election-prediction-analysis) deserves some respect. So, I will expect you to reign in your emotions while responding to this thread.

For this year's presidential election slated for February 25th, I have taken the time to diligently predict the outcome of the election. Unlike in the two previous predictions where only the two front runners were seriously considered, I have expanded this year's to four to include Obi's LP and Kwankwaso's NNPP, not because they have a chance of winning it but to massage the ego of supporters of LP's candidate and also to recognize the significant presence of Kwankwaso in some northern states.

This year's projection takes the following factors into consideration:

1. Political Structure: If there is any group of people that hates to hear this term, it is supporters of LP/Obi. Unfortunately for them, no one can win a state or national election without political structure. It is political structure that ensures that you are represented in places that matter. It is structure that makes you have a polling agent in every polling unit across the country. While APC and PDP can boast of this very important factor, LP and NNPP cannot.

2. State Dominance (number of states presently governed by a party): This is closely related to structure but it is much more. A party has a very good chance of wining the presidential election in the state it controls. Even when such party does not win it, it will have a strong showing in the election there. As of today, APC controls 21 of the 36 states of the federation while PDP controls 14 and APGA has 1. This will surely have a significant influence in the presidential election.

3. Strength/Unity of Opposition: Anyone who has followed politics long enough will easily understand that wrestling power from a ruling party at state or federal level requires a strong and united opposition. It was the absence of united opposition that made PDP rule for 16 years despite all their failings of those years. The opposition could not dislodge PDP until they came together to form what is now known as APC which is the ruling party of today. I strongly believe that for APC to lose this election or any future one nationally, it would require all of today's major opposition parties to fuse into one led by credible and trust-worthy leaders in the mould of Buhari (hate him as much as you like, most Nigerians still trust him) and Tinubu (despite your dislike of him, he remains a master strategist). Sadly for the opposition, they have become more fractionalized/fragmented like never before, now splitting their votes of 2019 into LP, NNPP and PDP. Even within PDP, they are further split into G5 that is doing everything possible to frustrate Atiku. It has always been an impossible mission for a fractionalized opposition to dislodges the ruling party, anywhere in the world.

4. Pulse of the Nation: Apart from those who are registered members of PDP and those who are very bitter about the prospect of Tinubu's presidency, majority of Nigerians are in agreement that the presidency should return to the southern part of the country after Buhari's eight years. This is the only sensible thing to do to keep Nigeria one and it is the major reason that the APC governors of northern extraction stood by BAT during the primaries in deference to Ahmed Lawan who was said to have been promoted by some cabal.

5. Strategic Campaining and Political Alignment/Realignment: We have seen how the parties have faired so far with their campaigns. It is self delusion for anyone to think that attendance at campaigns does not count for much in the election. A party that struggles to fill a 5,000 capcity venue cannot expect the same electoral outcome as one that fills 50,000 capacity venues effortlessly in most states of the country, especially in the north where the bulk of the votes are situated. To think otherwise is foolery and delusion. It is APC that has pulled most crowds at their rallies, followed by PDP. It is APC that has held meetings with strategic unions, organizations, captains of industries, etc, than any other party. All of this will not count for nothing during the election.

6. The G5 Factor: Like I stated earlier, the G5 led by Wike of Rivers is a faction in PDP. While I do not believe that their alliance with any of the other candidtaes (outside Atiku) will have a significance impact on the election, remaining neutral or uncommited to Atiku's candidacy boosts Tinubu's chances even more and gives more votes to Obi and possibly Kwankwaso.

NOTE 1: For 2023, I have added 5% to 2019's voters turnout across all states of the federation except the SE region and Lagos where I have added 10% to reflect the social media buzz and enthusiasm of our brothers/sisters from across the River Niger.

Note 2: This prediction/analysis may later be updated if there are major developments that can have significant effects on the election.

you don't understand anything called CHANGE.

Softmirror:
THAT TELLS YOU WHY AFTER PETER OBI LEFT THE ANAMBRA STATE GOVERNMENT HOUSE, HE LEFT WITH HIS VISION AND WISDOM, BECAUSE EVERYTHING WAS ABOUT HIMSELF.
No
BUT,

ASIWAJU BOLA AHMED TINUBU'S WISDOM AND VISION IS STILL ALIVE TODAY PROPELLING LAGOS TO GREATER HEIGHTS COURTESY OF WELL STRUCTURED, NOT SELF CENTERED, FORMIDABLE, FUNTIONAL TEAM. A CHAIN LINE OF SUCCESSFUL SUCCESSORS AFTER SUCCESSORS. WHICH IS THE ONLY WAY TO BUILDING A NATION.

vision of looting Lagos dried abi?

HomoSapiien:


30% will be a good thing. I’m sure, Atiku will not get up to 25 in Lagos in retrospect.

De play oo just de play. Tinubu will not get up to 15% in adamawa.

UnfairLife7:
JAGABAN is the incoming president of the federal republic of Nigeria


I honestly feel for Obi seriously

The show of shame of his campaign and the bad name he gave Psquare the upcoming artists performing in an empty field in PH is so embarrassing

I honestly feel for him on a more serious note

I sincerely wish he will not giveup just like his boss Atiku in contesting again after the election

Joke apart, I honestly feel for him

I feel for you already, we are aware of all these but it won't work, our vote is our power. My PVC is for Obi.

LeoDeKing:
The great Jagaban is perfecting his strategy while obipigs are still on social media celebrating obasanjo's endorsement and busy insulting everyone who doesn't support pandora Obituary.

I have never been more certain of any candidate's electoral victory than I have for the Asiwaju of Africa.

Obituarists will curse and cry blood till 2027 when Tinubu will recharge their wailing.

you are the one that will cry and beg as usual but be rest assured that obi is your next president after buhari.

hakeem4:
The incoming president of federal republic of Nigeria 2023

for your dream

Throwback:
I said it many times last year, that Obi's campaign would be over by December.

Now it has happened as predicted.

Only IPOB are left to support him and they cannot pull crowd outside Igboland that they have terrorised and subjugated.

Tinubu is now facing Atiku squarely, likewise Atiku is also facing Tinubu squarely.

I trust that Nigerians would vote a Nigerian over a Camerounian.

Vote wisely, abi suffer no dey tire you?

it is a shame that you think everybody supporting Obi is Ipob or igbo, look the kind of shock you people will get eh , everyone knows that tinubu cannot win this election take it to the bank. I am from kogi and my vote and that of my family is Obi.

Aareakinwunmi:
Yul might never be happy again in this life

na lie that may of a woman is forming

CalabarPikin:
After what happens yesterday, I know the media will always come up with things like this.
Believe it or not, that guy Messi is humble, but one thing people fail to understand about the quiet people is that they're limit to what they can take... you don't push them to the extreme and expect them to be quiet.....I'm in this category, I can tell you that. Amongst my family, peers and classmates, I seem to the the most quiet among them all....but if e sup, guys are always scared of my wrath. To be quiet or humble no mean say you mumu
The Dutch started a war they couldn't finish


�️ | Van Der Vaart : "This Messi can be stopped"

�️ | Marco Van Basten : "Messi isn’t a leader, he doesn’t have personality. Playing with Messi means 10 vs 11."

�️ | Louis Van Gaal : "I think Argentina are afraid of us. We will stop Messi."

�️ | Noppert : "Every shot by Messi will be stopped"

They spoke at the interview, but Messi gave them the answer on the pitch and made his haters swallow their own words.

The Dutch deserve it

messi fan can defend the indefensible.

duro4chang:
All I know is that Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria. Akanbi Omo olodo ide is the best man for the job.Jagaban is the one who the country needs now.
He is not like the deranged man in this picture.

which country? You guys don't even know the what is about to happen, keep depend on the structure that the people have rejected.

Cyberterror:


Sure. Landslide victory for that matter.

if you check very well most worker will be force to attend the rally.

HomoSapiien:
Tinubu too wise mehn. He first of all allow Atiku and Obidense to start their show of shame in the name of campaign. Watching them in 3D while making obidients talk about him everyday. They did not ask about Obi manifesto again, instead they focused on Tinubu asif Tinubu is the manifesto of Obi's plan for the nation.

Now they have made Tinubu so popular that he trends every minutes on twitter and news concerning him gets the highest views on nairaland.

nobody gives a Bleep about Atiku or his campaign again. even Obi's campaign with pure water and eggroll sellers dominating his campaign is not gaining a single attention.

Today the mother of all campaign starts and everyone wants to see it

Obidients will have heart attack today oh

check those people you are supporting, they are the same set of people we the masses are tired of. Go and rest.

asanausana91:
Obi is just a small boy when it comes to politics.

and tinubu is a big boy when it comes to politics for your mind? When tinubu is busy talking to the elite that has lost control over the masses, Obi on the other hand is talking to people, tinubu failure will force him to his early grave.

Dsalvo:


You people are so immature and childish. Tinubu is your next President. Simply accept that as fact.

you are the immature here, you believe that nothing can change in life but you kept growing big, Nigerians needed change in 2015 and it happened , now Nigerians again want change and you are here saying rubbish, wake up bro. You like it or not Obi will rule you.

shortIGBOman:


I dey Benin right now. Nobody knows Peter Obi here, except few IGBO People.

are you sure in Benin? Do you know benin? Please say what you know nobody will kill you.. benin City is totally obidient.

Jones4190:
Atiku is confused.
tinubu will be the first presidential candidate to get over 20 millions votes in Nigerian

you are free to dream

lhordspy:
Ordinary mere APC walk in ogun yesterday kom plenty pass some people presidential rally even with their PANDORA presidential candidate in attendance. Chaii

Rally kom dey like birthday party.



My advice: Obi should pull out now before he disgrace himself.

this are paid people

asanausana91:
Even my local government chairman election get crowd pass this rubbish. Go and see crowd in PDP rally in Maiduguri, then you know the meaning of multitudes.

e d pain am

trutharena:


Haha lol.

I thought some people said Borno is for Atiku.

Borno and Yobe is on lockdown for Jagaban as we currently speak.

keep dreaming, this people are paid to do what there are doing. Don't forget your principal will be going to adamawa later and he will be serve with what his people are doing. God forbid Batin

LegendHero:
It seems Peter Obi already infested Okupe with the disease of lies because how can a man just lie on national TV that Nassarawa governor was the reason for the labor party low turnout?

If anything at all, they should even commend the governor for not allowing their shame to show too much because normally if they had use the stadium, it would have been worse judging from the fact that only few people came to the campaign.

your sense is very far from you, look for it before animal eat it.

lhordspy:
Stupid flat-headed emeka trying very hard to create dis-unity. Tinubu is sweeping the whole of SW, NW, NE and NC.

Know this and be at peace in life.

for dreams? Keep worshipping a failure, tinubu has only Lagos to control but outside Lagos he is a failure, Atiku stand a better chance than him.

LeoDeKing:
Watch how same unstable clowns screaming that Tinubu should try same rallies in other states outside SW now make a very sharp U-turn to start polluting social media with some inaudible grunt like some wild monkeys.

From today's movement in Lagos, the untamed zombidiots have changed from "peter Obi will get 87% Lagos votes" to "Nigerians are not ready for freedom". Some of them have started renting the air with "na japa sure pass" as if anyone is holding them from japaing.

While at that, others were screaming endlessly saying "dem want chop Amoda dollars". Somehow already rehearsing the post election songs.

Atiku will be disgraced in February, peter Obi doesn't exist.

your tinubu will not come second in this election maybe a distance third or fourth... Your eye go clear on election day.