Stats: 3,189,438 members, 7,937,342 topics. Date: Sunday, 01 September 2024 at 09:22 PM |
Nairaland Forum / Nameo's Profile / Nameo's Posts
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) ... (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) (of 92 pages)
![]() |
MikeofAfrica: Oh!! You people should keep shut with all these "structure" talk abeg. Didnt Buhari win the NW and NE twice massively WITHOUT structure? Maybe you are completely unaware of the changing dynamics of this election, most of which favour Obi(especially) and Kwankwaso 1 Like |
![]() |
kingthreat: Aiit....bye |
![]() |
Abfinest007: I saw that too. Even the positioning of the body whilst shaking. It is like a Gov welcoming a sitting President. The kind block votes wey Obi go receive from SE ehn.... Eyes have not seen 36 Likes 4 Shares |
![]() |
kingthreat: I asked you a question, how is that bitterness? |
![]() |
kingthreat: Did you just say Peter Obi did not attract forwign investments to Anambra as a Gov(cos that is the only thing you said against him in your long tirade)? 1 Like |
![]() |
amc: Are you a Northern? Cos i suspect that this is one of the reasons a lot of northerners have not ooened up to Obi- issue of "trust". Something that Obi and his Team need to intelligently attend to |
![]() |
tunjijones: Peter Obi actually cut cost massively in Anambra. And it seems that that is his personal character even way before he became Gov. This is not surprising as that is how i am personally: i hate superflous and unnecessary spending. I agree that Nigeria is in deep straits sha. 1 Like |
![]() |
seunmsg: Bwahahahahaha...... |
![]() |
tunjijones: You are right that things will really be difficult in 2023 regardless of who becomes President. But what we need most now is for Confidence and a complete course correction to happen i Nigeria and its economy. That, and serious cost cutting, is the only hope for Nigeria at this point. And Peter Obi seem to be the only of the 4 Big Presidential candidates that is close to providing this But you are right. Even with him, it will be very difficult. The situation is so bleeping terrible 4 Likes 2 Shares |
![]() |
dmostcheerful: We have to get it right in 2023 or we are completely finished. Personally, i have activated plans to japa if 2023 brings more of same. It is now about survival 1 Like 1 Share |
![]() |
To simply explain this: All the money made by Nigeria is used to pay INTERESTS (i.e service the debts but not actually pay the debt). So every other money spent by Govt for capital and recurrent expenditure (e.g paying of salaries) has to be BORROWED. The loans therefore kept growing, the actual debts keep growing whilst the interests to be paid on such debts also increases. We are in deep shiit in this country!!! 41 Likes 3 Shares |
![]() |
TakeNigeriaBack: You are waiting for who plzz? Who are you and who are you waiting for? |
![]() |
TakeNigeriaBack: Thr APC started it. Made a religious choice, after alot of warning not to do so. You cannot expect people not to react as they see fit |
![]() |
Kingkum: Plus Okpeazu of Abia Big failure!!! |
![]() |
Simeonjoe1: You have lost hope abi? I will not blame you. But some of us xannot afford to. At least for now |
![]() |
nameo:. |
![]() |
Eddygourdo: Yea... a lot of work @Anambrason @senatordave @helinues @onatisi @redsun @seunmsg 1 Like |
![]() |
Engage guys For or against, after reading through |
![]() |
The Peter Obi movement is not just online. It is HUGE offline. Real huge. I dont know where you are in Nigeria, but in the SE, SS, parts of SW(esp Lagos) and parts of the NC/NE("Middle belt" ), Obi movement is huge and more importantly, growing. As to the factors currently operating and likely to affect next year's election: 1. Huge interest shown by the Youths (and Young people), a demographic that is not only by far the largest in the country, but one that is usuallly uninterested in previous elections, have now been woken up and would vote in massive numbers this time around. They are also the demographic with the greatest passion, needed to power a movement. 2. The higher interest of the south compared to the north, except perhaps Kano and environs(Kwankwaso effect). 3. The fact that as it stands, Peter Obi is the only candidate amongst the big four that is assured of a regional block vote(Southeast). None of the others can get a regional block vote. As a matter of fact, the upper north(where Kwankawso and ATiku comes from) will be shared by at least three of the candidates whilst the Southwest(where Tinubu comes from) will be shared by 3 of the candidates also. No body has ever won elections in Nigeria without a regional block vote behind him. 4. The Momemtum of the election is with Obi(and to some extent, Kwankwaso) whilst the 2 other older parties have issues with regional and religious balancing - they have issuesi n their parties currently. Momentum, if it continues to the day of the elections, have always been crucial to winning elections. 5. The organic nature of some of the campaigns(esp Obi and Kwankwaso), making the campaigns very unpredictable as people would be doing much of the work themselves as the "spirit leads", without direct inducement from the candidates. We have already started seeing it with the printing of campaign materials and billboards, raising of funds, man-to-man "preaching" of preferred candidates, political parades organised by random people, etc. that one sees only with the Obi and (again to some extent, Kwankwaso) movements. 6. The narrative of the elections so far is with Obi and his supporters. The obedients have for example almost completely taken over the online(Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Youtube, even Tittok, etc) media and even offline(Obi is perhaps the most talked about candidate, even from other parties, currently). This has been very frustrtaing to the older parties as they know very well how the narrative is crucial to winning elections(the main reason for the attack on the character of "Obedients" by the old parties). That was one of the things used effectively by APC in 2015. 7. The fact the country is truly messed up and people are just TIRED of the old(current) system, to the point of been a Life-and-death situation/decision for them. From terrible lived insecurity, personally biting economy(inflation, exchange rate, poverty rate, unemployment rate, debt levels etc), terrible infrastructure esp Power, a dead education and health system(e.g 6 months running ASUU strike in an election year), badly managed diversity by the ruling elites, unimaginable corruption, etc etc. This is perhaps the greatest hindrance to both the APC (especially) and PDP. 8. The general sentiment that power should shift to the south. A sentiment even shared by a lot of persons in the north, talkess of the south. It is generally felt that power should move back to the south after spending 8 years in the north. 9. The Muslim-Muslim ticket of the ruling party, which would be very fatal to APC in the Middle belt(parts of NC/NE) as well as most parts of the south, which trust me will be harnessed to effect by some of the political parties. This is very huge as Christains are very angry, esp northern Chrristains. When you see most northern APC members openly complain, it is not just that they feel slighted themselves, it is also that there is the real fear that they will not only lose the Presidential elections but may also lose in other down-the-ballot positions(Governoships, NA, SHA, etc) as their people would not vote for any thing APC due to the Muslim-muslim tciket. And may I repeat that this is very real in those populations, as christains are currently massively mobilizing. And with the nature of the next Presidential elections(SE been reserved for one candidate, and SW, NE, NW, SS very competive), anybody who can win the NC(generally) and most parts of the "Middle belt" may very likely win the elections. This would clearly be in favour of Atiku and Obi, with Obi in prime position if he can make allainces and harness these votes, been the only Christain candidate amongst the big four. 10. The new electoral law, with the use of BVAS and the automatic upload of results from the PU, and the fact that election management has been improving markedly as evidenced in the last Osun election, is a huge burst to the new parties/candidates. This is cos a lot more people will have greater confidence that their votes will count. Also, there is a far lesser chance of election manipulation as was the case previously. 11. Arising partly from point 10 above, and the general greater interest shown by a large majority of people in the next election(as evidenced for instance by the ongoing and unprecedented PVC registration and collection), the voter turnout in 2023 is expected to be much higher than say 2019(where just about 30% of registered voters actually voted). This is crucial as not only does the majority of registered voters refuse to vote in previous elections, but that 30% minority is the main reason the "structure" of the old political parties work: these 30% are mostly members of the political parties; the family, friends, villagers etc of the candidates, and a few others who are mobilized by the deployment of money or sentiments by these old politicians. Thsi time around as more people vote, the effect of this minority voters("structure" ![]() old voters that normally dont vote) are likely to vote the newer candidates/parties. 12. Peter Obi is the candidate with the CHARACTER and the MESSAGE, and people are very receptive to the possibility of change. 13. The elections is still 7 months ago even after the choosing of candidates, unlike what is obtained previously. As they say, a day is a lifetime in politics, talkless of 7 months. I do not kid myself. There is a lot of work to be done by Obi and the campaign. There are 2 main factors militating against his candidature and they are considerable(I will talk about these later), but I believe he has a path to victory next year. The current factors, momentum and NEED favours this. Personally, i have chosen to vote for him cos i really want the "old system" to be changed. And i believe that from the Big 4, he is the one to most likely make that happen. 2 Likes |
![]() |
onatisi: The Peter Obi movement is not just online. It is HUGE offline. Real huge. I dont know where you are in Nigeria, but in the SE, SS, parts of SW(esp Lagos) and parts of the NC/NE("Middle belt" ), Obi movement is huge and more importantly, growing. As to the factors currently operating and likely to affect next year's election: 1. Huge interest shown by the Youths (and Young people), a demographic that is not only by far the largest in the country, but one that is usuallly uninterested in previous elections, have now been woken up and would vote in massive numbers this time around. They are also the demographic with the greatest passion, needed to power a movement. 2. The higher interest of the south compared to the north, except perhaps Kano and environs(Kwankwaso effect). 3. The fact that as it stands, Peter Obi is the only candidate amongst the big four that is assured of a regional block vote(Southeast). None of the others can get a regional block vote. As a matter of fact, the upper north(where Kwankawso and ATiku comes from) will be shared by at least three of the candidates whilst the Southwest(where Tinubu comes from) will be shared by 3 of the candidates also. No body has ever won elections in Nigeria without a regional block vote behind him. 4. The Momemtum of the election is with Obi(and to some extent, Kwankwaso) whilst the 2 other older parties have issues with regional and religious balancing - they have issuesi n their parties currently. Momentum, if it continues to the day of the elections, have always been crucial to winning elections. 5. The organic nature of some of the campaigns(esp Obi and Kwankwaso), making the campaigns very unpredictable as people would be doing much of the work themselves as the "spirit leads", without direct inducement from the candidates. We have already started seeing it with the printing of campaign materials and billboards, raising of funds, man-to-man "preaching" of preferred candidates, political parades organised by random people, etc. that one sees only with the Obi and (again to some extent, Kwankwaso) movements. 6. The narrative of the elections so far is with Obi and his supporters. The obedients have for example almost completely taken over the online(Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Youtube, even Tittok, etc) media and even offline(Obi is perhaps the most talked about candidate, even from other parties, currently). This has been very frustrtaing to the older parties as they know very well how the narrative is crucial to winning elections(the main reason for the attack on the character of "Obedients" by the old parties). That was one of the things used effectively by APC in 2015. 7. The fact the country is truly messed up and people are just TIRED of the old(current) system, to the point of been a Life-and-death situation/decision for them. From terrible lived insecurity, personally biting economy(inflation, exchange rate, poverty rate, unemployment rate, debt levels etc), terrible infrastructure esp Power, a dead education and health system(e.g 6 months running ASUU strike in an election year), badly managed diversity by the ruling elites, unimaginable corruption, etc etc. This is perhaps the greatest hindrance to both the APC (especially) and PDP. 8. The general sentiment that power should shift to the south. A sentiment even shared by a lot of persons in the north, talkess of the south. It is generally felt that power should move back to the south after spending 8 years in the north. 9. The Muslim-Muslim ticket of the ruling party, which would be very fatal to APC in the Middle belt(parts of NC/NE) as well as most parts of the south, which trust me will be harnessed to effect by some of the political parties. This is very huge as Christains are very angry, esp northern Chrristains. When you see most northern APC members openly complain, it is not just that they feel slighted themselves, it is also that there is the real fear that they will not only lose the Presidential elections but may also lose in other down-the-ballot positions(Governoships, NA, SHA, etc) as their people would not vote for any thing APC due to the Muslim-muslim tciket. And may I repeat that this is very real in those populations, as christains are currently massively mobilizing. And with the nature of the next Presidential elections(SE been reserved for one candidate, and SW, NE, NW, SS very competive), anybody who can win the NC(generally) and most parts of the "Middle belt" may very likely win the elections. This would clearly be in favour of Atiku and Obi, with Obi in prime position if he can make allainces and harness these votes, been the only Christain candidate amongst the big four. 10. The new electoral law, with the use of BVAS and the automatic upload of results from the PU, and the fact that election management has been improving markedly as evidenced in the last Osun election, is a huge burst to the new parties/candidates. This is cos a lot more people will have greater confidence that their votes will count. Also, there is a far lesser chance of election manipulation as was the case previously. 11. Arising partly from point 10 above, and the general greater interest shown by a large majority of people in the next election(as evidenced for instance by the ongoing and unprecedented PVC registration and collection), the voter turnout in 2023 is expected to be much higher than say 2019(where just about 30% of registered voters actually voted). This is crucial as not only does the majority of registered voters refuse to vote in previous elections, but that 30% minority is the main reason the "structure" of the old political parties work: these 30% are mostly members of the political parties; the family, friends, villagers etc of the candidates, and a few others who are mobilized by the deployment of money or sentiments by these old politicians. Thsi time around as more people vote, the effect of this minority voters("structure" ![]() old voters that normally dont vote) are likely to vote the newer candidates/parties. 12. Peter Obi is the candidate with the CHARACTER and the MESSAGE, and people are very receptive to the possibility of change. 13. The elections is still 7 months ago even after the choosing of candidates, unlike what is obtained previously. As they say, a day is a lifetime in politics, talkless of 7 months. I do not kid myself. There is a lot of work to be done by Obi and the campaign. There are 2 main factors militating against his candidature and they are considerable(I will talk about these later), but I believe he has a path to victory next year. The current factors, momentum and NEED favours this. Personally, i have chosen to vote for him cos i really want the "old system" to be changed. And i believe that from the Big 4, he is the one to most likely make that happen. 4 Likes |
![]() |
Is he a Muslim or a Christain?? |
![]() |
Esama: I thought you have been opposing Labour(Obi) here 1 Like |
![]() |
MetaPhysical: After your pretty uselesss and FAILED prediction on Osun, you are still continuing predicting abi. You urchins never learn |
![]() |
BIZNess123: Pre-teens have invaded Nairaland SMDH 1 Like |
![]() |
onatisi: Bros, Peter Obi is in a prime position to win elections next year. He has a path to the Presidency, as does Tinubu and Atiku. So many important current factors are in his favour. And elections is even about 7 months away. Alot of work still needs to be done in that time, and considering the huge extent he and his movement have already gone in less than 2 months as well as those factors i talked, he is likely to do it 1 Like |
![]() |
Elemosho478: And he can never get 40% sef from the north. You are right with the fact that he cant get Block votes from the SW. Nobody would. In fact, only Obi can win a regional block vote for now. Others will not |
![]() |
Lolz.... APC in Niger Delta came to greet him and ask him for support as APC had zoned the Presidency to the south. He thanked them for zoning the Presidency for the south. But said he will not vote them(for presenting Muslim-muslim ticket) and PDP(for not zoning to the south). You guess is as good as mine who he and his infleuntial organization will support in the Presidential elections 1 Like |
![]() |
I think it is now fair to say reading this write up from someone like Babachir and seeing the massive reactions from northern Christains(esp APC members) and other people around the country, that a very significant shift have happened with APC regarding this election. It is clear that this was not just a national error done by a desperate APC but a political error of gagantum scale. APC has lost the Middle belt and one may now ask where it hopes to get the huge votes needed to win the Presidential and other elective positions next year? It cannot be the Upper North(cos Kwankwaso and Atiku will be sharing the votes with him there). It cannot be the SW, cos Obi and Atiku will be sharing votes there with him. And he cant now talk about the SS and SE with this choice!! The calculations upon which this short sighted decision was made can now be seen to be very faulty and ill-thought out. I wish him well |
![]() |
mfm04622: Yea...you may be right I was not referring to that post. |
![]() |
Oluwabusobomi: Plus Lagos. I dont know why some of you "forget" Lagos. Peter Obi will win Lagos. So it is 17 states. That Obi can win. Lets use can for now as these states are open for him. He needs to work towards it. PS: I like that you call Kaduna. I said here some days ago that Obi may win Kaduna narrowly. There is a path for him. It is possible and that state is in play 1 Like |
![]() |
LegendHero: Where and how do you think Tinubu can win next year's election, Bros? Esp, as apparently, he cannot win any bloc votes from any region as it stands and in fact, will likey get block votes against him in at least 2 regions of the country as things presently stand. 3 Likes |
![]() |
I think it is now fair to say reading this write up from someone like Babachir and seeing the massive reactions from northern Christains(esp APC members) and other people around the country, that a very significant shift have happened with APC regarding this election. It is clear that this was not just a national error done by a desperate APC but a political error of gagantum scale. APC has lost the Middle belt and one may now ask where it hopes to get the huge votes needed to win the Presidential and other elective positions next year? It cannot be the Upper North(cos Kwankwaso and Atiku will be sharing the votes with him there). It cannot be the SW, cos Obi and Atiku will be sharing votes there with him. And he cant now talk about the SS and SE with this choice!! The calculations upon which this short sighted decision was made can now be seen to be very faulty and ill-thought out. I wish him well 5 Likes |
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) ... (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) (of 92 pages)
(Go Up)
Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 121 |