OP am highly disappointed in people of your kind that have no love for this dying country... We have experienced the worst government in recent time and you are still campaigning for the WORST@BAT... Am not for anybody but for a sound and devoted Nigeria that have the love of masses at heart. TINUBU is a No No No, He has pockets Lagos and he will do same at federal level that will be disastrous .. Peter Obi, Fashola, Osinbajo are good market... Party does not matter but youth should go for better candidates.
The way some reason and talks get as e be, everybody kept talking structure...structure,sure we had pple who have governed this country that has no structure but was just fortunate,wah structure does obj have bfor he was called upon to be a president,wat structure does late Musa Yaradua have,what structure does Jonathan have bfor he was choosen to become VP and suddenly was choosen to be president,pls maybe someone shuld state it out.....!!!
RALPHOW: Your head is full of WISDOM And no governor will RISK his seat for another politicians. When GMB insisted on VP for a Osinbajo, its collective agreement of all Nigeria leaders.
Most of the governor's are outgoing governor's so which seat are they risking again?
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
All this your epistles is needless.... Politics is a game of luck as for me both of them should retired in peace and let Nigeria breath fresh air.Anything APC is catastrophe party of bloodthirsty Muslims fanatic headed by Buhari
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
This point got my attention. What political structure dis GEJ have to win 2011 elections? Secondly, even your almighty Tinubu himself cannot win VGC.
No one else could have prompted him out for this challenge, not even an audible voice from
If the audible voice of God can't propel a man to dare the impossible, then such a man is as good as dead. There is actually no wisdom in this particular line of statement you made above, don't put God in the level of man.
Aufbauh: Seriously I don't know why people can't decode that Prof. Yemi Osinbajo was the 'closet candidate' of PMB.
The gut & courage of Osinbajo to openly challenge his erstwhile benefactor can only be motivated by a mortal superior power backing, who is Mr. President. No one else could have prompted him out for this challenge, not even an audible voice from God. This is why Osinbajo shouldn't be underrated in this contest.
It is also important to note that the political dynamics of 2023 will be entirely different from 2019. This time around PMB will be interested in who succeeds him. He has already shown that through the election of the APC national executives.
The Nigeria leadership factor shouldn't be wished away. We've already concluded that all Nigeria politicians are the same so, PMB may equally be tempted to play god. That means that PMB to a large extent he'll play pertinent role in who emerges. We should not also forget that he will still remain the president after the primaries for couple of months, so it'll be extremely difficult for governors especially from the north to go against his wish.
Again much is always said about political structure but we shouldn't forget that 'structure' can be built, inherited and bought.
Conclusively this is politics and anything can happen to change the balance of power. One meeting of like minds with Mr President can send BAT to oblivion.
"Absolute power does not only corrupt but attract the corruptible"- Frank Herbert
Don't mind the OP and his likes. They keep shouting political structure upandan.. Which political structure does Yaradua had when he was chosen by OBJ? All the popular candidates then where either asked to step down willingly or face EFCC, those that refused were disgraced at the primaries. When oshiomole choosed obaseki against the party's wish, nobody knew obaseki then, all the popular people with gigantic structures in Edo state then were forced to step down. Those that refused were disgraced at the primaries. Una never see anything
Maybe Tinubu is good in SW, but the FEAR of majority of Nigerians is the corrupt character of Mr Tinubu. God forbid, such a man will finally pocket Nigeria Treasury and resources in his private possession.
Osinbajo's structures are the people. Nigerian people. Those are the people that called him to declare. He didn't just do it and this is because of his selfless service.
'''Of course, these are glaring reasons why Tinubu will not only floor Osinbanjo but trounce him patapata (or kpatakpata)
1. Tinubu's wife has been Senator for eight years and still going for the third term now;
2. The incumbent Commissioner for Women Affair in Lagos State, Mrs Lola Akande, a former member of the Lagos State House of Assembly, is Tinubu's sister-in-law;
3. Hon. Sunkanmi, the current member of Lagos House of Assembly representing Ikeja, is Tinubu's nephew. He actually succeeded Mrs Lola Akande;
4. Sade Tinubu-Ojo, the Iyaloja General of Lagos and Nigeria, is Tinubu's daughter;
5. Her husband, Mr Oja, was a member, House of Representatives, representing Ekiti State;
6. Seyi Tinubu, one of Tinubu's children, was appointed as the emergency financial consultant to all parastatals and local governments in Lagos State.
7. Akeem Muri-Okunola, who recently was imposed as the Head of Service against all civil service rules, is Tinubu's friend's son. He was Tinubu's Personal Assistant when he was the Governor;
8. The incumbent Commissioner for Establishment, Akinola Benson, was Tinubu's Personal Assistant;
9. The Incumbent Commissioner for Health (a three-term Commissioner), Jide Idris, is Tinubu's Cousin;
10. The incumbent chairman of the Oshodi Local Government, Bolaji Ariyo, was also Tinubu's Personal Assistant;
11. The incumbent Commissioner for Housing (a two-term Commissioner), Gbolahan Lawal, was ADC to Bola Tinubu;
12. OANDO supplies all the fuel being used by the BRT buses in Lagos and Wale Tinubu, the CEO of Oando is Tinubu's younger brother;
13. A pseudo-company called Alpha Beta, collects at lead 10% of the revenues accruing to Lagos State, running into hundreds of billions of Naira in fees in the 15 years for doing practically nothing. The state still pays the Lagos inland Revenue Services (LIRS) another 10% as administrative fees to collect same revenue;
14. The landed property of Lagos State Polytechnic, Ikosi campus, was converted into private property, for the establishment of a television station (TVC), owned by Bola Tinubu
Most of the Obas appointed by in the state are Tinubu boys, some are not even from Lagos state let alone having the birthright for such throne... Don't be surprised, one day MC Oluomo will become Oba of Oshodi...'''
With all these scenario, all Nigerians will massively vote Tinubu...Our President come 2023
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
e no concern me if them like constest from now till tomorrow an peter obi i dey vote
Help2020: stop,just stop. Do you know how much SS AND SE hate BAT? Nairaland is enough evidence you want. By the way is Osinbajo not a Yoruba, why are you selling him for BAT if not for selfish reason?
Is not only South east o We from the South South nor like am one bit. He cant do to Nigeria what he is doin in Lagos.
Mbsuxces: OP am highly disappointed in people of your kind that have no love for this dying country... We have experienced the worst government in recent time and you are still campaigning for the WORST@BAT... Am not for anybody but for a sound and devoted Nigeria that have the love of masses at heart. TINUBU is a No No No, He has pockets Lagos and he will do same at federal level that will be disastrous .. Peter Obi, Fashola, Osinbajo are good market... Party does not matter but youth should go for better candidates.
Everyone knows Tinubu is a no no, but let's discuss reality. PYO has a short time to master the game.
Even your so called Mortal superior power contested and lost woefully three times until he teamed up with the political wizard (BAT) before he eventually won.
Which election had PYO ever contested for in his life? Did he has any political structure? These are parameters that usually play important roles in Nigeria politics, and the most undesirable of the factors working against him is that he served as a vp to a president many considered as the worst in history of democratic governments in Nigeria.
It would have been good for him if he returns to RCCG and seek forgiveness from God for deceiving Nigerians for good 8 years.
If you were Buhari and you listen to this boasting of which he or his lieutenant must have heard, how will you take it?
Look Obasanjo has set the precedence by choosing a northerner of his choice, why expecting anything less from Buhari, after all Tinubu has been choosing the governor of Lagos since he left
tunapawizzy: Osinbajo"s name is what you will have on the ticket as APC candidate. How it will happen? e dey Buhari mind.....only Tinubu loyalists cannot see this
That's what you don't understand. It's difficult for PYO to be on that Ticket without Tinubu's support. How will you do that without both the Senate, Reps, Lagos, Kano, Borno, and Sokoto voting block for primaries.
All these for a man that kept mute while his fellow Yoruba men are killed and maim only to find his voice when election time is close. I wonder how we think in this nation. May Allah choose right for us anyway.
TheRareGem1: Osinbajo's structures are the people. Nigerian people. Those are the people that called him to declare. He didn't just do it and this is because of his selfless service.
Did you forget that he has to go through primary first before facing Nigerians? In consensus every aspirant has to agree and if not it will be thrown open. you can't force consensus on all the aspirant, Otherwise such aspirant will go to court and APC will thrown out completely from participating in the election. I see PDP profiting from these. I did not see Tinubu stepping down for anybody. This is why I said PDP will gain from these if care is not taken.
Bullet01: All these for a man that kept mute while his fellow Yoruba men are killed and maim only to find his voice when election time is close. I wonder how we think in this nation. May Allah choose right for us anyway.
What you are saying now should be directed to Osinbajo. He is the number 2 man in the country, Even when a member of his church was killed public in the North what did he do.
