emerged01:
Number 8 is the reason southern region is suppose to support Tinubu. Decentralization of power will really help the southern region. That is the one reason I'm supporting Tinubu.

Theivenubu is not a Southerner.
He is a westerner.
Southerners are Yoruba Christians ss/se

NaijaCowFarm:


Thank you. These are obvious facts, so I stick to my guns.

OBVIOUS FACTS? BUT CERTAINLY YOU ARE NOT GOD ALMIGHTY! CLAIM SENSE NA.

Sure, you are entitled to your opinion. My opinion is let Nigerians decide who they want as their President.

You have some valid points however I don't expect Atiku to win any state in the South here. South belongs to Obidient and Tinubu. Common man, who is in their right senses as a Southerner who vote for another Fulani man after the torment Buhari used herdsmen to raid on us. Even when we told him the way forward, he still did not agree. Are you telling me an average Ibo, yoruba, Edo, bayelsan and the likes will willingly vote another Fulani man? This is where I don't get you, except you have concluded we in the south here are fools and will continue to be so. Or do you expect Atiku to use Iron hands on Fulani herdsmen or Bandits or BokoHaram? Sometimes I just weep for my southern brothers and sisters like you who prefer to remain slaves to this Fulani people. How in God's name and equity should any Northerner wants to vie for president after Buhari has ruled for 8 solid years. It is still beyond my understanding. Worst of it is for a Southerner to campaign for them despite the suffering they waylay on us . I know I will vote for Obidient because he is simply the best candidate amongst all. Insecurity is at the highest point in this country and majority is caused by hausas and their Fulani counterpart and you expect Atiku, another Fulani man to fight them with iron hands, I can't stop laughing at the foolishness of my southern brothers.
Therefore I don't expect Atiku to even win a single state in Southern Nigeria despite I know some coconut head here will still vote him.
Tinubu is noth different from Buhari, he will be going from one medical check up to the other. That is why Obi is the best candidate nation wide, but if the northerners that wants to remain backward forever will not vote him, shouldn't we the Southerner do.

Beverlyjean:
APC lost the election the moment they elected Tinubu...instead of Osibanjo... Osibanjo wud have been a home run

No party will defeat APC for now from this coming election. Tinubu is your next president. For real. .. Muslim tickets or Christian tickets. It is Tinubu. I will vote Obi though... but APC has all the strategies.

PaChukwudi44:

The new electoral act is one of the major reasons the APC will lose.Rigging has been reduced by almost 100%.

So pdp does not rig?

I believe PDP are playing serious game here by allowing kwankwanso and Peter Obi to deflect to other parties at the end of the day all votes from Labour party and NNPP will all be given to PDP just to knock APC out of Aso rock, that is why LP and NNPP has refused to name their running mate up till now and it will be automatic disqualification to both party aspirant.
But the truth is if such is the case Nigerians youth are not fools you can expect us to seek for change by supporting either LP or NNPP aside from APC or PDP at the end you decided to join forces together with PDP just because you want to take the lower back from APC and think the Nigerian youth will also yield to that same opinion it is not done.

So for Peter Obi and Kwankwanso I will advice them to stick to their integrity and produce their running mate asap.

The APC government at the federal level is an embarrassment to governance. That should be enough reason to shun them but here we play politics of ethnicity and that's why we are where we are. Apologies to VP Osinbajo.

I view this APP presidential nominee as an insult on the collective intellect of all Nigerians and more so the insistence on a muslim /muslim ticket. It just tells me onething, they are not ready to unite this country.

NaijaCowFarm:
I present to you 10 reasons why the APC will be kicked out of Aso Rock in 2023

1.Presidential flag bearer: Of the two contenders, Atiku and Tinubu, only Atiku has a national appeal. Atiku is popular in the North, SE, SS, NC, and SW. With 11 million votes in 2019, Atiku would be polling over 22 million in 2023

2. Buhari not on the ballot: With Buhari out of APC ballot, the core North would not be motivated as they were in 2015 and 2019. This time, NE, NW, and NC will be fully Atikulated. The North will rather prefer 16 years of an uninterrupted rule than 8 years of Buhari's disappointing rule, it is common sense. The North wants to know that Atiku would achieve what Buhari failed to do in 8 years.

3. APC's Muslim-Muslim Ticket: This is a no-brainer. Christians in Northern Nigeria are well over 70 million, from Southern Kaduna to Bauchi, Bornu, Taraba, Niger, Nassarawa, Plateau, Benue, and even up to Jigawa. It is funny that APC could not find one, just one of them worthy to be VP candidate. It is unfortunate. Then down South, even SW Christians are against the Muslim-Muslim ticket. We all know that Ondo, Ekiti, and Lagos are predominantly Christians. The Christians see Tinubu's obsession on the Muslim-Muslim ticket as an affront.

4. Tinubu's ill-health: It is a known fact that Tinubu is sick, and very sick. After Buhari's 8 years characterize by absenteesm and bed-ridden affairs, no sensible Nigerian wants a repeat of that. We see that Tinubu cannot hold a microphone to speak, He only uses a standing microphone because his hands are shaking violently. He cannot hold a paper to read, he is sick and not good enough to be president.

5. Electronic transmission of results: This is where PDP killed APC. We all saw how APC fell woefully in Anambra as the BVA ruined their rigging plan. Prior to the elections, the APC candidate was parading over 250,000 members. In the election, APC came a distant third to APGA and PDP. This will repeat in 2023. People will collect APC money and vote PDP or LP (that is if Obi is contesting, but I doubt)

6. APC and Buhari's failure: It is on record that the APC led Nigeria into two consecutive economic recessions, wiped out the middle class, and created the highest amount of poverty in Nigeria's history such that the average family in Nigeria has been reduced to beggars. This is against their promised "CHANGE" and eldorado they promised Nigerians in 2014/15

7. Siddon look chieftains: In case you have not noticed, most chieftains of the APC did not want Tinubu as the party's flagbearer. Even Buhari has not shown that level of enthusiasm you would expect from an outgoing president eager to hand over to a successor in the same party. Up North, the slogan is from baba to kaka? Some of the APC leaders are already looking to jump ship, but as usual, will wait to see how the campaign will go.

8. Tinubu's antecedents: The North does not trust Tinubu. Forget all the photo razzmatazz with Gandulje and Shettima. They know Tinubu to be a tribal leader, who will not only destabilize the power balance. but will create a Yoruba cabal. Also, the Yoruba Muslims are not accepted as Muslims, moreso parading a Christian pastor as a wife, is a BIG NO1

9. Insecurity: What is the APC going to tell people who are under the scourge of bandits, kidnappers, Boko Haram, ISWAP, etc? Will they tell them that PDP is the cause as they did in 2014? Will APC tell the people paying daily taxes to bandits that they are going to rescue them after the elections? What will APC tell Nigerians that they inherited over 5000 Megawatts of electricity, but now only generate 99 megawatts? What will APC tell Nigerians, that they took over when Dollar was N186, but now N600? Or that Petrol that was N87 is now no longer available or that Diesel that was N150 is now N1500? What will APC and Tinubu campaign with?

10. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso effect: As I write, neither Peter Obi nor Rabiu Kwankwaso, who are presidential flag bearers of the Labour Party (LP) and New Nigeria People Party (NNPP) have presented their running mates, 24 hours before the deadline. I believe that these two are not going to contest the presidency. Kwankwaso left PDP because of Wike's overbearing influence on the party's structure, more particularly how Secondus, a trusted ally was removed by Wike's high-handedness. The same applies to Peter Obi. Most analysts do not understand why Atiku did not accept Wike, it is to assure all those aggrieved members that he is a neutral candidate, who is out to reconcile all parties. So, I see Kwankwaso and Obi re-alligning with Atiku to chase APC out of Aso rock.

You really tried with this your analysis

I can only see 2 issues; Tinubu's health and the VP slot. Other than that all should go smoothly...We must not forget that Atiku's ticket is as weak as a sea weed. So, if Tinubu's health remains ok and he picks the right VP, sky is the limit... Buhari will continue to be irrelevant as the year winds down.

If APC doesn't used electoral fraud like the PDP did in 2015, the PDP looks poised to takeover power from them.

But then again Nigerians are short brained people. Once you wave 10,000 on their faces, it can make them forget 8 years of suffering.

spiritedtete:


No party will defeat APC for now from this coming election. Tinubu is your next president. For real. .. Muslim tickets or Christian tickets. It is Tinubu. I will vote Obi though... but APC has all the strategies.

pls spit it out.......how can people even think of voting anyone in APC after all the hunger,killings, insecurity and even corruptions in this their 8yrs regime ......I no even knw wetin b Nigeria's problem .......seriously I don't knw

Chai Buhari has reduced APC to nothing...

NaughtyBrainiac:
Poor Analysis!



The Northern Elites are aware of this and will do anything to ensure the power shift is maintained to allow them continue to enjoy the benefits of one Nigeria.

Story Story.
If PDP wins, IPOB, etc will stop their agitation because PDP has always been their party and
they will see themselves as included in Government.
On the other hand, I guess the Oduduwa republic will then start their own agitation after the APC loss.

Now we are going to have.
PDP (Northern President) 8 years - Oduduwa republic wants its own country and IPOB will calm down.
then PDP loses and,
APC (Northern President) 8 years - IPOB now wants Biafra and Odudwa republic will calm down.
Then the process will repeat until Yoruba learn to stop calling Igbos wailers and Igbos learn to support
the yorubas and the two can then work together, then the process will stop.

75% on point.

NaijaCowFarm:
I present to you 10 reasons why the APC will be kicked out of Aso Rock in 2023

1.Presidential flag bearer: Of the two contenders, Atiku and Tinubu, only Atiku has a national appeal. Atiku is popular in the North, SE, SS, NC, and SW. With 11 million votes in 2019, Atiku would be polling over 22 million in 2023

2. Buhari not on the ballot: With Buhari out of APC ballot, the core North would not be motivated as they were in 2015 and 2019. This time, NE, NW, and NC will be fully Atikulated. The North will rather prefer 16 years of an uninterrupted rule than 8 years of Buhari's disappointing rule, it is common sense. The North wants to know that Atiku would achieve what Buhari failed to do in 8 years.

3. APC's Muslim-Muslim Ticket: This is a no-brainer. Christians in Northern Nigeria are well over 70 million, from Southern Kaduna to Bauchi, Bornu, Taraba, Niger, Nassarawa, Plateau, Benue, and even up to Jigawa. It is funny that APC could not find one, just one of them worthy to be VP candidate. It is unfortunate. Then down South, even SW Christians are against the Muslim-Muslim ticket. We all know that Ondo, Ekiti, and Lagos are predominantly Christians. The Christians see Tinubu's obsession on the Muslim-Muslim ticket as an affront.

4. Tinubu's ill-health: It is a known fact that Tinubu is sick, and very sick. After Buhari's 8 years characterize by absenteesm and bed-ridden affairs, no sensible Nigerian wants a repeat of that. We see that Tinubu cannot hold a microphone to speak, He only uses a standing microphone because his hands are shaking violently. He cannot hold a paper to read, he is sick and not good enough to be president.

5. Electronic transmission of results: This is where PDP killed APC. We all saw how APC fell woefully in Anambra as the BVA ruined their rigging plan. Prior to the elections, the APC candidate was parading over 250,000 members. In the election, APC came a distant third to APGA and PDP. This will repeat in 2023. People will collect APC money and vote PDP or LP (that is if Obi is contesting, but I doubt)

6. APC and Buhari's failure: It is on record that the APC led Nigeria into two consecutive economic recessions, wiped out the middle class, and created the highest amount of poverty in Nigeria's history such that the average family in Nigeria has been reduced to beggars. This is against their promised "CHANGE" and eldorado they promised Nigerians in 2014/15

7. Siddon look chieftains: In case you have not noticed, most chieftains of the APC did not want Tinubu as the party's flagbearer. Even Buhari has not shown that level of enthusiasm you would expect from an outgoing president eager to hand over to a successor in the same party. Up North, the slogan is from baba to kaka? Some of the APC leaders are already looking to jump ship, but as usual, will wait to see how the campaign will go.

8. Tinubu's antecedents: The North does not trust Tinubu. Forget all the photo razzmatazz with Gandulje and Shettima. They know Tinubu to be a tribal leader, who will not only destabilize the power balance. but will create a Yoruba cabal. Also, the Yoruba Muslims are not accepted as Muslims, moreso parading a Christian pastor as a wife, is a BIG NO1

9. Insecurity: What is the APC going to tell people who are under the scourge of bandits, kidnappers, Boko Haram, ISWAP, etc? Will they tell them that PDP is the cause as they did in 2014? Will APC tell the people paying daily taxes to bandits that they are going to rescue them after the elections? What will APC tell Nigerians that they inherited over 5000 Megawatts of electricity, but now only generate 99 megawatts? What will APC tell Nigerians, that they took over when Dollar was N186, but now N600? Or that Petrol that was N87 is now no longer available or that Diesel that was N150 is now N1500? What will APC and Tinubu campaign with?

10. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso effect: As I write, neither Peter Obi nor Rabiu Kwankwaso, who are presidential flag bearers of the Labour Party (LP) and New Nigeria People Party (NNPP) have presented their running mates, 24 hours before the deadline. I believe that these two are not going to contest the presidency. Kwankwaso left PDP because of Wike's overbearing influence on the party's structure, more particularly how Secondus, a trusted ally was removed by Wike's high-handedness. The same applies to Peter Obi. Most analysts do not understand why Atiku did not accept Wike, it is to assure all those aggrieved members that he is a neutral candidate, who is out to reconcile all parties. So, I see Kwankwaso and Obi re-alligning with Atiku to chase APC out of Aso rock.

NaijaCowFarm:


Thank you. These are obvious facts, so I stick to my guns.

These are your facts. From the way you see things

booblacain:
Nice write up, but you should use "may" in your title not " will". You never really know what will happen.

very nonsensical reasons... Obi and kwankwanso are no threats... Atiku popular in the North is a lie... Let the op support Atiku in peace and stop writing junks...

An articulated and "atikulated" article, I must say. The analysis is superb!

This is bullshît.

For you to think that our guy Obi is not really running but holding out for atiku de Cameroonian is nothing but a major gross misconduct on your part

Nonsense

garfield1:


So pdp does not rig?

No one will have to rig be it APC, PDP or LP

Cooking up stories for personal gains and not for the good of all.How can you be writing about religion when writing about a southwest person .Christianity and Islam were welcomed and accepted because of the nature and hospitality of Yoruba people.We have our own Gods and ancestors .

NaijaCowFarm:


Thank you. These are obvious facts, so I stick to my guns.

Opinions are just that. But know that you have little,if at all, understanding of what you are talking about, by reading your first point one need not go further.

On Point

Trash infantile warped primary school analysis.

SugarGirl44:


Yeah true, but Osinbajo should have been diplomatic about it, you can't claim to be too clever than your helper suddenly.
He should have taken some yoruba elders to plead with tinubu and make him understand why he's a better choice.
No be everything agidi dey solve.

And you think the desperate Tinubu will agree?

NaijaCowFarm:


Usual deflection ... attack the topic, not the poster.

is the rubbish different from the poster

sweetman2022:
You have some valid points however I don't expect Atiku to win any state in the South here. South belongs to Obidient and Tinubu. Common man, who is in their right senses as a Southerner who vote for another Fulani man after the torment Buhari used herdsmen to raid on us. Even when we told him the way forward, he still did not agree. Are you telling me an average Ibo, yoruba, Edo, bayelsan and the likes will willingly vote another Fulani man? This is where I don't get you, except you have concluded we in the south here are fools and will continue to be so. Or do you expect Atiku to use Iron hands on Fulani herdsmen or Bandits or BokoHaram? Sometimes I just weep for my southern brothers and sisters like you who prefer to remain slaves to this Fulani people. How in God's name and equity should any Northerner wants to vie for president after Buhari has ruled for 8 solid years. It is still beyond my understanding. Worst of it is for a Southerner to campaign for them despite the suffering they waylay on us . I know I will vote for Obidient because he is simply the best candidate amongst all. Insecurity is at the highest point in this country and majority is caused by hausas and their Fulani counterpart and you expect Atiku, another Fulani man to fight them with iron hands, I can't stop laughing at the foolishness of my southern brothers.
Therefore I don't expect Atiku to even win a single state in Southern Nigeria despite I know some coconut head here will still vote him.
Tinubu is noth different from Buhari, he will be going from one medical check up to the other. That is why Obi is the best candidate nation wide, but if the northerners that wants to remain backward forever will not vote him, shouldn't we the Southerner do.

what if obi died before tinubu.
was T. B Joshua not healthy

Great insights.... People should learn to read facts before making so much noise everywhere.

chatinent:
But coming to think of it, is Atiku not as bad as Tinubu in loot?

Why are the only options two popular theives in Nigerian history!


And it's very funny how more emphasis is dependent on what the northern muslims decides. They used to be the minority until they started benefitting from the division of the southern greedy elites.

Funnily enough, the northern Muslims are the minority!


The northern muslim politicians are very self-centered in choice and campaign. They'll rather choose sb who will continue to protect their [evil] deeds against Nigeria and their people, while they go back and deceive the same people...who are mostly unlettered and who only understand na-our-brother-vote-for-am.

The northern muslims understand that the day no representative of theirs is found at the federal level, it will be difficult to climb there anymore. They feel they are born to lead...and to ensure administrative convenience, they ensure there's disunity in the southern politicians.

The south play greedy politics. The north play by religion.

You have finished work bro, so spot on. You hit the nail on the head.

The numbers the North has been brandishing is all farce, with all their underage voters and Niger Republic mercenaries and over voting and the South's high voter apathy. You do the maths

Point #3 is a salient point.

As much as I would love to campaign within my sphere of influence for Tinubu, that Muslim-Muslim ticket is a turn-off for me and its never going to fly in this religiously divided country.

Tinubu's advicers and political strategists should not downplay this very critical issue, because this singular decision could make or mar his chances at the poll.