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****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** - Politics (3) - Nairaland

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TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis / 2023 Election: Analysis On Major People Set To Work For Tinubu In Key States / State By State 2019 Presidential Election Analysis (2) (3) (4)

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Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Desperado14: 3:58pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:

Point of correction.
They do care. You think the SW like what Tinubu is doing?. We are liberals but not foolish, hence we the Yoruba Christians won't support a Muslim/Muslim ticket.

Yoruba Christian wont support a Muslim Muslim Ticket. But you think the SE and SS will at the expense of a Christian-Muslim ticket with one of their own on the Presidential ticket undecided. Atiku a Fulani man will not make any significant inroads in the NC,SE or SS. Guaranteeeeed!

4 Likes

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:00pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


His party is not as strong as apc,not as rich, doesnt have as much human personnel.there are many states pdp is very weak. Look at the men following tinubu and compare them to atiku
.
You need to check your facts.
Atiku has ×2 what Tinubu has. Atiku is just a conservative person. And because he doesn't make noise with his money doesn't mean he can't buy Tinubu 10 times over.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:02pm On Jul 09, 2022
Desperado14:


Yoruba Christian wont support a Muslim Muslim Ticket. But you think the SE and SS will at the expense of a Christian-Muslim ticket with one of their own on the Presidential ticket undecided. Atiku a Fulani man will not make any significant inroads in the NC,SE or SS. Guaranteeeeed!
Yes it won't be significant, but it will be enough to win the elections

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Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Obagreatdatoye(m): 4:05pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:
.
It won't work for 2 reasons.
1. There is political apathy in the SE. alot of individuals are not interested in Nigeria talkless of peter obi, that is why Atiku picked is running mate from the SS and not SE.
2. There is disunity among the upper class in the south east who thinks peter obi is just wasting his time. And some people will look at Anambra as a case study of what he has done. And alot of people don't like the few things he did there. At least Tinubu did somethings in Lagos and southwest which made him very very influential. But none has been reflected by obi. Hence. "A house that is divided can never stand"
Obi is now a national project....Tinubu is not loved in SW....he is only loved by the Agberos in SW because he's their Grand patron. To even make it worst he's flying a muslim - Muslim ticket...what a damning audacity ....His disgrace will be heard in the highest heaven....As God liveth and his spirit alive.

1 Like

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Desperado14: 4:05pm On Jul 09, 2022
Ddokie:


Tinubu is definitely getting more votes in the NE/NW. He will take a reasonable chunk from what you gave to Atiku and Kwankwaso.

Obi will do better than the 1% you gave him in the NE/NW. He may be able to do 10% or more. Especially considering OBJs decision to galvanize support for PO among the old generals and the old school leaders of thought there. They also have a reasonable size of educated youths who may lean towards a datti.

Obi will do about 90% in the east, and if discussions with Wike, as well as the inroads made into Akwaibom, Cross, and Bayelsa, are positive, maybe 60% in the SS region. Edo and Delta are the only very likely ones for Obi at the moment.

Still very early to call. But you have done well.

Yes my assumptions were merely based on previous voting patterns and regional tribal sentiment. But yes its still way too early to call.
Thank you for the compliment sir.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:06pm On Jul 09, 2022
Obagreatdatoye:

Obi is now a national project....Tinubu is not loved in SW....he is only loved by the Agberos in SW because he's their Grand patron. To even make it worst he's flying a muslim - Muslim ticket...what a damning ardacity ....His disgrace will be heard in the highest heaven....As God liveth and his spirit alive.
Amen.
God bless you.

2 Likes

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Desperado14: 4:07pm On Jul 09, 2022
Obagreatdatoye:

Obi is now a national project....Tinubu is not loved in SW....he is only loved by the Agberos in SW because he's their Grand patron. To even make it worst he's flying a muslim - Muslim ticket...what a damning ardacity ....His disgrace will be heard in the highest heaven....As God liveth and his spirit alive.

Comments have been civil and analytical so far. So abeg you keep it that way.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by garfield1: 4:08pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:
.
You need to check your facts.
Atiku has ×2 what Tinubu has. Atiku is just a conservative person. And because he doesn't make noise with his money doesn't mean he can't buy Tinubu 10 times over.

Oga,money and influence does not hide.. We all know atiku's companies.tinubu too has company.apart from that,he has the entire lagos and osun treasury at his disposal.atiku can't have that.a lot of people in apc are ready to donate to tinubu.only okowa will help atiku...pdp is divided,apc is united...
Look at the friends tinubu has all over nigeria.even in Adamawa, tinubu has a lot of friends.who does atiku have in lagos? Tinubu controls sw politically.atiku struggles to control Adamawa... Look at how atiku struggled to win wike...
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by garfield1: 4:09pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:

So they like Tinubu abi?.

They dont but they like apc and they like shettima or el rufai
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by garfield1: 4:10pm On Jul 09, 2022
raumdeuter:


I expect Atiku to win Adamawa and Taraba easily. Have the edge in Gombe

Tinubu wins Borno and Yobe
Bauchi is anyone's free between Atiku Tinubu and Kwankwaso

What edge does atiku have in gombe? The massive votes from yobe borno will give tinubu aggregate victory
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Lexy123O: 4:10pm On Jul 09, 2022
Dey there dey shout we Yoruba Christian . You are not Yoruba I can bet my balls. Just by saying Yoruba Christian gave you away. There’s nothing like Yoruba Christian or Yoruba Muslim , Yoruba is Yoruba. Una eye go clear after the general election.
JoeNL22:

Point of correction.
They do care. You think the SW like what Tinubu is doing?. We are liberals but not foolish, hence we the Yoruba Christians won't support a Muslim/Muslim ticket.

4 Likes

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by maybet081: 4:11pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:
It is 50% accurate. But you are right in some things though.
I will drop my analysis soonest.
You scored Tinubu too low.
If he(Tinubu)picks a Muslim (prominent) one he will definitely score over 17% from my analysis(in the north).
Secondly obi won't get over 90% from the SS & SE, but it is above 40%(at most 42%).
don't bother about your rubbish analysis we have seen it here, agbado urchin.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by garfield1: 4:11pm On Jul 09, 2022
Desperado14:


But do you Agree his margin of victory will be greater if he pick a christian in his region? if he pick a muslim I can he him getting 45% of the vote there.

I dont think so.it won't matter.most yorubas dont care about religion.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by PaChukwudi44(m): 4:11pm On Jul 09, 2022
raumdeuter:


85% for Peter is low. 1million percent will be closer

Tinubu will win Kwara and Kogi easily. And he has the advantage in Niger and Nasarawa
The only state he has chance of winning in the NC is Kwara only because of the indigenous Yoruba population.He will not win in igala dominated Kogi and will stand no chance in Niger and Nassarawa states

1 Like

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:14pm On Jul 09, 2022
raumdeuter:


So who will these Yoruba Christians vote? A Fulani Moslem or Obi?

So Yoruba Christians will hate Tinubu a Yoruba moslem and vote Atiku Kwankwaso who are Fulani moslems or vote Obi?

It's like saying pagans in SE will not vote Obi because of something and go vote for Atiku
I don't know
But definitely not a Muslim Muslim ticket
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Nobody: 4:16pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:
.
It won't work for 2 reasons.
1. There is political apathy in the SE. alot of individuals are not interested in Nigeria talkless of peter obi, that is why Atiku picked is running mate from the SS and not SE.
2. There is disunity among the upper class in the south east who thinks peter obi is just wasting his time. And some people will look at Anambra as a case study of what he has done. And alot of people don't like the few things he did there. At least Tinubu did somethings in Lagos and southwest which made him very very influential. But none has been reflected by obi. Hence. "A house that is divided can never stand"
Lol the way you de analyz like say you dey East
High tension go shock on election day
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:17pm On Jul 09, 2022
maybet081:
don't bother about your rubbish analysis we have seen it here, agbado urchin.
Am not supporting Tinubu am just giving analysis.
Why don't you give yours.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by maybet081: 4:17pm On Jul 09, 2022
Desperado14:


Haffeze

Is this funnier than your own prediction?

[b]As we all know that 2023 general election is just some month from now,these are the things that will happen before,during and after election.

1 Tinubu will pick Northern Muslim vice and it will generate alot of noise on all social media

2 Atiku will pick his vice from south and ohaneze ndigbo will spit fire and later atikulate

3 Peter Obi will choose his vipe from North, probably a Muslim North

4 majority of Yorubas will be rooting for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu

5 minority of Igbo will be rooting for Peter Gregory Obi

6 Majority of Igbo will vote Atiku

7 Simeon ekpa will announce sit at home during campaign and election day

8 some people will die from innocent gun carrying angel unknown gun men

9 ipob sympathizer on Nairaland will blame Tinubu for it,that he's scared of Peter Obi and he's the one sponsor unknown gun men they've been hailing since 1889bc era

10 Tinubu will defeat Atiku(note Peter Obi is not in equation at all because he will come distance 4th behind sowore).

11 cry of rigging will rent social media place for some month

12 some people will come with another conspiracy theory of how Fulani cabal will use supreme Court to deal with Tinubu

13 some people will finally go back to their anthem of Biafra or death.


This thread is not for troll please.[/b]
and at the end all yoruba Muslims will poo on their body after eating cassava and agbado while returning to iragbiji with a failed drug lord, whose original name is yekini but changed to one criminal bola, to mourn their end.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:19pm On Jul 09, 2022
Lexy123O:
Dey there dey shout we Yoruba Christian . You are not Yoruba I can bet my balls. Just by saying Yoruba Christian gave you away. There’s nothing like Yoruba Christian or Yoruba Muslim , Yoruba is Yoruba. Una eye go clear after the general election.
I am a yoruba Christian.
I don't need to lie about it or rather need to prove it to anyone.
Am not in support of Tinubu or Atiku am just giving analysis of how the elections might turn out come 2023.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:20pm On Jul 09, 2022
Hizzy:

Lol the way you de analyz like say you dey East
High tension go shock on election day
Lol.....I won't be though. Let's just watch and see
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Desperado14: 4:22pm On Jul 09, 2022
JoeNL22:

I am a yoruba Christian.
I don't need to lie about it or rather need to prove it to anyone.
Am not in support of Tinubu or Atiku am just giving analysis of how the elections might turn out come 2023.

Joel who are you supporting out of curiosity?
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:23pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


They dont but they like apc and they like shettima or el rufai
Bro.....those people(the North) are loyal to themselves and to themselves only. I wonder how they will see Atiku and kwankwanso and vote Tinubu instead. Maybe (Tinubu 's camp) think this is 1993. They should wake up, this 2023!
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:24pm On Jul 09, 2022
Desperado14:


Joel who are you supporting out of curiosity?
Peter obi
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:27pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


Oga,money and influence does not hide.. We all know atiku's companies.tinubu too has company.apart from that,he has the entire lagos and osun treasury at his disposal.atiku can't have that.a lot of people in apc are ready to donate to tinubu.only okowa will help atiku...pdp is divided,apc is united...
Look at the friends tinubu has all over nigeria.even in Adamawa, tinubu has a lot of friends.who does atiku have in lagos? Tinubu controls sw politically.atiku struggles to control Adamawa... Look at how atiku struggled to win wike...
.
Bro......I pity you. You are judging a book by its cover.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Olaoluwa122: 4:28pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


Oga,money and influence does not hide.. We all know atiku's companies.tinubu too has company.apart from that,he has the entire lagos and osun treasury at his disposal.atiku can't have that.a lot of people in apc are ready to donate to tinubu.only okowa will help atiku...pdp is divided,apc is united...
Look at the friends tinubu has all over nigeria.even in Adamawa, tinubu has a lot of friends.who does atiku have in lagos? Tinubu controls sw politically.atiku struggles to control Adamawa... Look at how atiku struggled to win wike...
You are always biased man...Atiku has the best chance in this election...
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Olaoluwa122: 4:29pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


What edge does atiku have in gombe? The massive votes from yobe borno will give tinubu aggregate victory
Atiku should win by 30% in the place...Senator Aliero just decamp to P.D.P. Maybe I should remind you undecided
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:29pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


Yes
Really?. We are talking about the pre 2015 elections ooo.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by JoeNL22(m): 4:31pm On Jul 09, 2022
Olaoluwa122:
You are always biased man...Atiku has the best chance in this election...
Thank you very much for been objective.
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Olaoluwa122: 4:31pm On Jul 09, 2022
Obagreatdatoye:

Obi is now a national project....Tinubu is not loved in SW....he is only loved by the Agberos in SW because he's their Grand patron. To even make it worst he's flying a muslim - Muslim ticket...what a damning ardacity ....His disgrace will be heard in the highest heaven....As God liveth and his spirit alive.
Leave them...The guy arguing with you may have never been to southwest before...Yoruba Christian will not vote for Muslim Muslim ticket...

3 Likes

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Lexy123O: 4:31pm On Jul 09, 2022
You should have said I’m not voting for tinubu . Not that nonsense you said early using “We” . . I’m a Christian and I’m voting tinubu.
JoeNL22:

I am a yoruba Christian.
I don't need to lie about it or rather need to prove it to anyone.
Am not in support of Tinubu or Atiku am just giving analysis of how the elections might turn out come 2023.

1 Like

Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Olaoluwa122: 4:33pm On Jul 09, 2022
garfield1:


I dont think so.it won't matter.most yorubas dont care about religion.
Lmao...That was before the advert of islamization of Nigeria...Yoruba Christians now do care..
Re: ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** by Olaoluwa122: 4:34pm On Jul 09, 2022
Lexy123O:
You should have said I’m not voting for tinubu . Not that nonsense you said early using “We” . . I’m a Christian and I’m voting tinubu.
Am also a Yoruba Christian,all our family we no dey vote for A.P.C or tinubu and so be it...Tribulations shall not rise again undecided

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