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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria (19301 Views)
2023 Presidential Election Results From Northern Nigeria / Bukar Ibrahim To Buhari: Don't Expect Votes From Yobe, Adamawa, Four Others / Osun: INEC Removed 4,387 Votes From Our Ballots – PDP (2) (3) (4)
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The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Omicron007: 7:45pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
Let me categorically say that I will never subscribe to the notion that the North holds the aces in the presidentia[/b]l elections pack of cards in Nigeria. 212 Likes 20 Shares
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Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by SpatialKing(m): 7:47pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
You are right 146 Likes 5 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Omicron007: 7:51pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
SpatialKing: It is crystal clear. 117 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by leksite120(m): 7:52pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
Your calculation is one-sided. The same way North need just a region in South to win is the same way southern votes cannot secure a win without at least two regions from the North. See it like this, if someone has the whole South votes and another person has the whole north votes, the northern person would win. Infact if someone has the whole South without having NW and NE support, he'll still not win. Forget south, SW is the only vote power in south. The whole votes SE gave Atiku which is like 90% vote in the last election is just something a state like Kano can cover for one party, so imagine that. 90 Likes 13 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Oghene1st: 8:02pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
I always tell people that if the South is United, the core North will be a slave to the South forever. If you check the voting pattern, Plateau and Taraba always lean towards Southern Candidates. Also likely is Benue, Kogi and Kwara because these ones don't consider themselves Northerners. Once the South is United for a candidate, the above mentioned northern states will tilt towards Southern Candidate come 2023. But since the South is divided, the South East and South South (Christian dominated parts in the South) have upper hand in wooing Christian dominated Northern state of Taraba, Plateau and Benue for Obi by religious campaign while Kogi and Kwara will definitely go for Tinubu. Then, Obi, Tinubu and Atiku can share the votes in core North. Obi should use Christian base campaign in the core North so that Christian voters in Adamawa, Nasarawa, Bauchi, Gombe, Kebbi, Yobe, Kaduna, etc can vote Obi while Tinubu uses Muslim/Muslim ticket to steal those Muslims in Muslim dominated states in North like Katsina, Borno, Yobe, Jigawa, Kano, Sokoto, Niger, etc. The truth is, I am one of those southerners that don't see the north as threat to us. History is there. We are talking about civilian admin, not military. Buhari couldn't have won without South West in 2015 and 2019. South should start seeing themselves as kingmakers in this country, because we are. As it stands, Atiku is the 3rd force. 101 Likes 10 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by 3ple9iner: 8:14pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
calculate the number of voters in the North and that in the South, you would get your answer. A candidate can get 1m+ in the north and his closest rival could get 800k+ or 1m too. In the south only few states can vote of this. Also in the North, there is usually no voter apathy like in the south, though I believe it would change in this election. 24 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Obidient4life2: 8:28pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
Omicron007: 100% factos 34 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Obidient4life2: 8:29pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
In 2011 Jonathan won Buhari with 11 million votes while Buhari won Jonathan with just 2 million votes. In election every region has a say. 43 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Abdu81: 9:19pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
We understand this, is very clear. 9 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Abdu81: 9:21pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
3ple9iner:this election is going to change alot of things, especially views, when you remove the north central states how many core north states remains. 43 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by 3ple9iner: 9:34pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
Abdu81:Yes I know, in this election, the North Central would play a role of decider. My thoughts though. 18 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by mrvitalis(m): 9:36pm On Jul 31, 2022 |
3ple9iner:Lol that's with manual accreditation that they manipulate ...check Northern votes 80% are manual accreditation ..while south is less than 20% ...now no more manual accreditation ...so don't expect miracle vote from the north 61 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Starcrest1: 7:39am On Aug 01, 2022 |
This analysis is on point. But let me add something, You could see how northerners voted Buhari always even though he changes party like water, parties without structure. This is for the structure people. Secondly this time around, three people that will share the northern votes are Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso, so I wonder how they will be banking on the bulk votes there. Obi is winning this unless two people steps down from the three I mentioned above. 77 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Authoreety: 7:49am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Oj |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by adebolabrown: 7:49am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Interesting read, let's watch and see. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by kolafolabi(m): 7:49am On Aug 01, 2022 |
You joined a bus in 2015, the driver took you to 1984. In 2019, you refused to come down from the bus and the driver took you to 1960. Now the driver is tired but want his conductor to continue driving? You still no wan come down abi? Where do you think the conductor is going? 67 Likes 5 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Loldorable: 7:49am On Aug 01, 2022 |
B |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by SultanOfPuna: 7:50am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Ok |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by sotall(m): 7:50am On Aug 01, 2022 |
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Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Akwamkpuruamu: 7:50am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Hmmm |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by anonimi: 7:51am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Omicron007: This is the bottom-line of the ofege analysis to make the fraudulent scammer president next year, as Thiefnuibu made Bubu in 2015 with his own fake sainthood that has been revealed to be the worst corrupt administration since 1960 ![]() 3 Likes 1 Share
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Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by barbstee(m): 7:51am On Aug 01, 2022 |
No one region can make the presidency by themselves and this is what the Easterners seems not to understand you can't keep hating people and expect them to turn around and support you during election. It doesn't work that way. That said there is no doubt in the fact that the North has the number and the needed unity for elections unlike the south BAT 2023 16 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Nsonaso(m): 7:51am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Ha |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by BleedTears: 7:52am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Hello |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Akwamkpuruamu: 7:53am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120: Not true. GEJ never had NE and NW votes, yet he won 16 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by anonimi: 7:53am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Samuhas: Or great packaging to make fraudlent Obi saint for looting our treasury as Bubu is doingrecklessly after Thiefnuibu packaging seven years ago ![]() fyneguy: 2 Likes 2 Shares
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Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by BleedTears: 7:53am On Aug 01, 2022 |
mrvitalis:Time will tell. |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Jerrydox(m): 7:54am On Aug 01, 2022 |
This post was initially written by Itodo Pope on his Facebook page. You posted it here without acknowledging the writer. 8 Likes |
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