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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria (19450 Views)
2023 Presidential Election Results From Northern Nigeria / Bukar Ibrahim To Buhari: Don't Expect Votes From Yobe, Adamawa, Four Others / Osun: INEC Removed 4,387 Votes From Our Ballots – PDP (2) (3) (4)
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Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by BluntCrazeMan: 7:55am On Aug 01, 2022 |
After 2023,, All these political calculations that pay so much attention to the Northerners (especially the Northern Muslims) would drastically change. 9 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by viralinfo: 7:56am On Aug 01, 2022 |
True words...your analysis are correct if not for south west buhari won't have win 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by philkay(m): 8:00am On Aug 01, 2022 |
He's totally not right. The North hold an Ace to win any election in Nigeria because of the following reasons 1. They have more number of voters than the south 2. The North is united unlike the south, hardly you will hear north west, north central or north east. You will only hear it went they are distribute our national resources 3. The south is not united, South west will never want to support, The Igbo, while will the south south support the South East 4. It will be very easy for the north who is united to get the presidential candidate, and give either the south west, south east or south south vice presidential slot. 5. The southerner doesn't vote like the Northerner. 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by BluntCrazeMan: 8:00am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Oghene1st:How can Atiku Who is already the main opposition, come down to be the Third Force?? 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by emexc11(m): 8:01am On Aug 01, 2022 |
On point mrvitalis: |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by baita42104: 8:04am On Aug 01, 2022 |
PLS GO AND LEARN THE MEANING AND FORMULER FOR SIMPLE MAJORITY 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Stakeholders(m): 8:05am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Starcrest1: If you look at it very well, you will noticed that Atiku stronghold is South South and Southeast which Peter Obi is the leading aspirant in the zone. To me if Atiku and Obi did not come together it is a straight win for Tinubu. Talk about religious factor almost all the zone that Buhari clear in previous election are dominated by Muslims meaning they can still retain some support base. If it continues like that PDP and Obi might share what PDP used to get in that Zone. 6 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by barbstee(m): 8:06am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Starcrest1: The only way Obi can beat kwakwaso to 3rd position is if the Christians decide to give him bulk of their votes may not take him beyond 3rd though 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by moscobabs(m): 8:07am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Starcrest1: If 3 people are sharing Northern votes does it mean only Obi owns Southern vote? 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by APCnaPDP: 8:07am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Oghene1st: You are not correct. North Carries the bulk of votes in Nigeria and would need only one region in the south to win. If Atiku for instance, wins NE and NW, he will need only SS or SE to win. 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by CSTRR: 8:07am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120:You must be high on akamu. You forget to tell them that Lagos State is almost 60% of the votes in the entire South West. I'm in Lagos. Come and convince me to vote for Tinubu. 15 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by ozowarac: 8:08am On Aug 01, 2022 |
You are still saying the same Nonsense he wants to correct . leksite120: 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Backpedal: 8:09am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120:You don't know what u are saying |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by CSTRR: 8:10am On Aug 01, 2022 |
APCnaPDP:yes, that is true. And that is the same for the South too. If the entire south vote for a single candidate, he would only need to win a single northern region to win. Buhari always won the NW with a landslide and yet he never became president. Winning the NW and NE does not guarantee presidency. And also, the reason why the north is United is because the South is not United. The south is the economic powerhouse. A United south will quickly get the middle belt falling in line. Everybody likes to join the progressive team. 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by jumper524(m): 8:11am On Aug 01, 2022 |
SpatialKing:oga the op is using elections conducted during obasanjo as yardstick. That one na election dem dey do then? Look at the clear picture from inec server. You'll see states with the highest number of registered voters. The op even had the guts to call northerners riffraffs. Ba wahala. 6 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by thinkmoney(m): 8:11am On Aug 01, 2022 |
[quote author=Omicron007 post=115258506][/quote] You are intelligent. please let's become friends in real life. Please. It's a myth that the north are significantly more than us. Even that term north is mischievous. There are actually many diverse tribes in those region, probably more than we have in the south here. What have been making the difference and making it look like they decide who becomes president is that they take electioneering activities like a religious duty. They stand up and show up at elections. I hypothesise that more than 90% of people that can vote show up, while just about 40% show up here in the south. From some indices now, I am having strong grounds to think that Christians might even be in the majority in this country. Further more, the 20+ million number of voters in the northwest also comprises significant people of igbo ethnicity. Igbos that live outside of southeast are more really than igbos that live in the southeast Southerners, people of central Nigeria and Christian's generally should become really aware politically and get responsible politically. We should start taking elections as what it is really, a matter of prestige and survival. It still pains me really, when I at this age, speak with some fellow southerners and I hear them say they are not so much interested in politics that what matters to them is their business. I say to them though that politics is more importantly than business, power more important than money. It's when u have peace and security that u can engage in business. 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by CSTRR: 8:13am On Aug 01, 2022 |
A president that wins the entire south and wins the North Central will win the election. Even if the opposition wins the NW and NE together. 4 will always win against 2, no matter the combination. 11 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by jumper524(m): 8:13am On Aug 01, 2022 |
CSTRR:electoral results during obasanjo no be election. Check the stats of newly registered voters, the North ain't playing. 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by akwunomy(m): 8:13am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120: So you mean to say that they whole Northern States will give a candidate 24 States needed to win…no one will win either all they northern states and loss all the Southern States will win in an Election…you need 2/3 of the 36 States to win in an election 4 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Ovisko: 8:14am On Aug 01, 2022 |
There's massive rigging and underage voting in the north while in the south you have voters apathy. You will be surprised by the number of votes south will produce in the coming elections. North only has more land mass not population 9 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Nobody: 8:15am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120: I read your comment with an open mind until I got to your last paragraph. That the votes Atiku got from the entire South East were just about tantamount to what Kano state produced, hitherto making the SE region inconsequential, going by your submission. I am from Cross River state but let me relay a certain advise an elder from Plateau state once gave to me: Should you travel to anywhere within the four cardinal points of Nigeria and don't find an Igbo man within a 100 yards of your residential abode owning a small kiosk or doing a roadside business, pack up your bags and leave that location immediately. What some of you fail to understand is that the voting strength of the South East is widely spread across the lengths and breadth of the entire country. Igbos are sojourners. So what you consider to be the voting strength of the South West is quite honestly an influx of other tribes, mostly the Igbos. If the Igbos were to conglomerate in their region during elections as is the case during festive celebrations, I promise you, this nonsense you put up there about the South West being the voting strength of the entire Southern region would make you appear unintelligible. It's largely nauseating the way some of you Nigerians always tend to undermine the relevance of another tribe just to sound politically correct. 23 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by CSTRR: 8:16am On Aug 01, 2022 |
jumper524:Go and check the votes Jonathan got in the South in 2011. That is the true test of the south. Apathy is the problem. People don't care to use their PVC in the south. And recently, the PVC rush is in the south more, according to INEC. So the south will vote a lot this time. Prepare to be surprised. 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by thinkmoney(m): 8:18am On Aug 01, 2022 |
leksite120:If you understand the demography of the country, u will realise that Kano isn't made up of only hausas as the country is now. The term north is misleading, we have northwest which is different from northeast. And we have north central. 4 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by babayinka77(m): 8:18am On Aug 01, 2022 |
[quote author=Omicron007 post=115258506][/quote] Nice analysis..but you forgot some few points. 1. Middle belt is going to favour Asiwaju..Kwara and Kogi are already in the kitty...Nasarawa and Niger are also most likely I can only give Benue and Plateau state to both Atiku and Obi. Benue most likely will go to PDP because of Ortom's influence. 2. Even if Buhari has not performed well in security; his core followers will still preffer him to an Atiku. Infact A dead Buhari has a political value in the North. 3. Atiku is a fulani..core Hausa's might opt for Asiwaju since he is a Muslim. 4. Like it or not, the south West will ensure a massive vote for their own (Regardless of what happened in Osun) people will vote for candidates majorly and not party. 5. Tinubu's V.P candidate is a strong man in the north and will attract many votes for Asiwaju in that space (Especially North east). 6. Truth be told, a Muslim Norther will surely find it difficult to vote for an Ibo christian because of tolerance issues. They prefer a Yoruba Christian..Yorubas are liberal and far more accommodating. Having said all that; Obi's movement is strong and ravaging. A lot of damages could be done to both APC and PDP if they play the right politics and move away from using the Churches as a political tool. Using the churches will further reinforce the fact that Obi is playing religious card and that his government may not favour muslims. We still have some few liberals in the north tho who do not care about religion. A good political strategy could win the election for Peter Obi; But I think Asiwaju is in the lead right now. 2 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Reference(m): 8:19am On Aug 01, 2022 |
What is all this nonsense, jaundiced analysis.... useless demographics that have produced leaders of misfortune from elections that have had no positive impact on the nation in 23 years, just elections for elections sake, musical chairs with the same sordid characters dancing around from party to party. We better wake up and start putting people there who can solve problems and bring ithis country out of the rut it is stuck in or there will be no one to vote in the future. 1 Like |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by Oyindola: 8:19am On Aug 01, 2022 |
[quote author=Omicron007 post=115258506][/quote] I think you did not make a verifiable research. As at 2019 Atiku won Buhari in the Northern States landslide but the results was later rigged. Atiku was unable to win the election because of the change as regarding the CJN office and that is what APC has done again by allocating the CJN to the South West. Mind you come rain come shine am for PETER OBI no matter the result 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by APCnaPDP: 8:19am On Aug 01, 2022 |
CSTRR: If any candidate wins NE and NW, such candidate is very close to becoming president. As it stands, from what I have heard and read, Obi and Atiku will share SE/SS votes and Tinubu will win SW and will do well in NE and NW. Atiku will win NE and NW. |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by CSTRR: 8:21am On Aug 01, 2022 |
APCnaPDP:Go and tell that to Buhari that won all the k' states and NE and still lost three times. 4 will win against 2 anyday. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by babayinka77(m): 8:21am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Buddha3: Don't Abuse any one. We shall put to test all political opinions by 2023. 3 Likes |
Re: The Misconception About Votes From Northern Nigeria by AbuUmmu: 8:23am On Aug 01, 2022 |
Omicron, the whole north need one region of the south to win election while the south need two region with block vote to win. Put ur analysis straight and stop confusing people 1 Like |
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