garfield1:


Wamakko is in charge

Even Wamakko go vote Atiku. Rest!

I still question where politicians will going his votes from

garfield1:


Wamakko is in charge

Which Wamakko?
The one that said Tambuwal took the greatest mistake of his life by defecting to PDP?
Or the one that said he'll deliver sokoto for Tinubu?
But failed to installed Aliyu who was Tambuwal's deputy...
This LGA,Sabon Birni,is the home of Aliyu's running mate,Hon.Gobir..
Just a little remainder, Tambuwal won here same as Isa LGA in 2019( Isa/ Sabon Birni federal constituency)
And is also the LGA of Sagir Bafarawa,the PDP's candidate running mate ( Isa).
Do you know Wamakko won only his LGA for Aliyu in his senatorial district and lost the rest to Tambuwal?

Apc is finish,... 2023 is coma year for Apc

Aiel123:

Which Wamakko?
The one that said Tambuwal took the greatest mistake of his life by defecting to PDP?
Or the one that said he'll deliver sokoto for Tinubu?
But failed to installed Aliyu who was Tambuwal's deputy...
This LGA,Sabon Birni,is the home of Aliyu's running mate,Hon.Gobir..
Just a little remainder, Tambuwal won here same as Isa LGA in 2019( Isa/ Sabon Birni federal constituency)
And is also the LGA of Sagir Bafarawa,the PDP's candidate running mate ( Isa).
Do you know Wamakko won only his LGA for Aliyu in his senatorial district and lost the rest to Tambuwal?

Wamakko tried for aliyu.they were allegations that the sultan and others begged him to allow wamakko.during the rerun,a lot of votes were cancelled and aliyu won that rerun.compare him to dankwambo who won his reelection heavily against goje's candidate in 2015.there has been a lot of defections from tambuwal LGA and even nearby kebbe LGA.you can't use that to judge.even daura has witnessed defections...sokoto will alwats bw tight for presidential

garfield1:


Wamakko is in charge

Wamakko don't hv d force like him for na

Emi lol kan

Emi lo kan how e b

Defection for 9ja politics na 5&6

lhordspy:
Fake-news man is back. All news no pictures

Peter Obi is tearing up all you guys joint 2019 votes in the south-east and south-south. But you atiku's fanboys are posting fake defection news from the north up and down with concocted fake names..

I read about it today as well, even from another source

https://www.pulse.ng/news/politics/2023-16-apc-ward-executives-defect-to-pdp-in-sokoto/08rw17q

PDP has PDP Governor Tambuwal na

Saao:
The election is between Atiku and Obi

Atiku's voters are in the bag,, which is Obi's custody.

Corridon:
I still ask where Tinubu will get his votes from?

in the north...Borno and Yobe, maybe Katsina. Dat one neva do?

Corridon:
I still ask where Tinubu will get his votes from?

From Lagos state

ufuosman:
Wamakko don't hv d force like him for na

I dont understand u

KARMA!!!
It will still HIT PDP Too

Ok

Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu can never ever become the President Of The Federal Republic Of Nigeria, it's very very very impossible! Even if na juju, dat juju no go fit work. Dem go scam am big time...The more you look, the less you see.

Eriokanmi:
in the north...Borno and Yobe, maybe Katsina. Dat one neva do?

That will be the deciders

Waste of defection

Eriokanmi:
in the north...Borno and Yobe, maybe Katsina. Dat one neva do?

lolz . Na crumbs APC go pick for north .

I told you that no sane northerner will support this useless government and their party

They are tired of masara and wake.

Ewu atachaa abacha mma, eehe, ehehe
If u know u know

Before you start getting excited

1) We all know Tinubu will lose some Northern votes because a) Buhari is no longer on the ballot and b) Atiku is on the ballot.

The questions are

1) Who are Northern APC votes going to and the answer is Atiku not Obi.
2) Are the votes Atiku is picking up from Tinubu in the North enough to make up for the votes he is losing to OBi in the SE and SS? IMHO the answer is no!!!

Finally is sokoto an APC stronghold? The answer is no. In 2019 APC only got 490k votes in sokoto compared to 1.4m in Kano, 1.2m in Katsina, 830k in Borno, 1m in Kaduna, 800k In Bauchi. Considering Somoto is Tambuwal territory losing a ward or 2 is no big deal. Apc even got 120k more votes in Niger than Sokoto…. Despite the 490k votes from sokoto to ApC in 2019, the net contribution (which is what really matters) of sokoto to Buhari’s victory in 2019 was only 130k votes!!! For context Borno’s net vote contribution in 2029 was 790k and katsina was 1m NET votes. Net votes I.e the gap between you and your opponents is what matters!! Even Kebbi’s net vote contribution to APc in 2019 was MORE than twice that of Sokoto. Sokoto (130k net) only contributed about 3% to Buhari’s net margin of victory (over 4m votes) in 2019 So don’t over dramatize things.

I have said it many times. Those who understand the importance of net victory/loss and truly understand election mathematics know that this election will be won in states where you control 70% and above of the votes. Most states, the votes will be shared with inconsequential net gains or losses that will cancel each other out. It is states like Borno where Asiwaju will get 90% of 1m votes for example that will determine the results of the election not states where the difference between winner and loser is 150k or less votes. If you are sharing votes, you are not in the race, if you don’t have states that will give you 500k plus net votes, you are not in the race. I have said it many times but people don’t understand, you can lose 7 states and make it up with 1 state where you control 90% of the votes!!!! 50% of the gap between Buhari and Atiku came from just 3 states katsina, Borno and Kebbi. I have not mentioned Kano with contributed another 25% because Kano is up in the air. When you start hearing of defections in Borno, katsina Yobe or Kebbi, let us know until then no shaking!!!! Because unless you can eat into the APC domination in those states, it is mathematically impossible for the divided votes of the opponents of to catch the APC.

Headlines sells but everything in its proper context!! If and When people start to defect in Katsina and Borno let us know