babyfaceafrica:
Can a divided south win election

South is leaning more towards obi.

Yes na

That same North will still surprise you..they are not divided in anyway cos 24hrs to the election, the Sultan of sokoto will make a pronouncement on whom the North/followers should vote for....so we are in for surprise!

Reader530:
Imams are preaching all over the north that:
1. Tinubu is not a complete Muslim and his vice is Kanuri (minority tribe) amidst Hausa&Fulanis.
2. Voting Kwankwaso is a waste of vote.
Frankly speaking, Tinubu will win Borno and Yobe only in the north.
Kwankwaso will get 45% in Kano, Atiku 40% and Tinubu 12%. Even in Kano, many people agree that Voting Kwankwasiyya is a waste.
Atiku will win north central because most people in searching for Reps and senators in PDP may vote for Atiku.
I am North Eastern OBIdient but lack of structures and support to create awareness to our people reduce the number of our followers.
I am saying nothing but the truth as North stands. Even in Yobe rally for APC that was held at Stadium along Maiduguri road, Damaturu was not full like Buhari's campaign in previous years.
Thanks

Zamfara is for Apc hope you know that

Who told you north is divided?

Off your mic

Ennoloa:
1. Tinubu might get up to 50% Total vote from NE & NW [Probablity tho]

Pipe dream cum probability

beejaay:

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

Leave them to keep wallowing in fantasy

If you believe in false narrative that a relatively unknown presidential candidate in the north will win the coming election, you are in for a rude shock. I just hope you guys will not die of hypertension when the results are eventually anounced because you people have failed to be logical and rational.

garfield1:


Yes.tinubu can get 50%,atiku 35% kwankwaso 10%

You wish

Ennoloa:
The North is usually feared due to high turnout and block vote

2011 Ribadu & Buhari divided the North vote with Buhari taking up to 60% but Goodluck won

2023: Atiku, Kwankwanso & Tinubu is going to divide the NE & NW votes.

Two simple questions

Who would win NE & NW total votes with at least 60% this year?

Can a divided NE & NW win the election for anybody this year?

Which Ribadu divide vote? Under political context, you don't categorize it as divided votes

beejaay:


believe whatever make you sleep at night..

hehehe funny he believes atiku and kwankwanso would share 45% nairalanders are comedians.

nony43:






South is leaning more towards obi.

Based on what statistics? Social media? Let's wait till Feb, we will see if you are right

Lol.

Nairaland politics analyst are sitting in the comfort of their Southern apartments and deciding the voting direction of Northerners.

It is such an unbelievably sick joke that the lot of you supporting Tinubu are so confident that the average Northerner is going to brave the sun on election day to overlook an Atiku Abubakar and a Musa Rabiu Kwankwaso, to vote for a Bola Tinubu who is considered a pretentious muslim from the South.

Even the almajiri begging on Northern streets goes to the mosque every friday for prayers and supplications. These people are plainly being told to vote for their brothers up North. Una dey here dey dash Tinubu 50% votes up North.

LMAO!
For the same North wey we dey like this?!

Ennoloa:
The North is usually feared due to high turnout and block vote

2011 Ribadu & Buhari divided the North vote with Buhari taking up to 60% but Goodluck won

2023: Atiku, Kwankwanso & Tinubu is going to divide the NE & NW votes.

Two simple questions

Who would win NE & NW total votes with at least 60% this year?

Can a divided NE & NW win the election for anybody this year?

There is a divided South too.
But is good for democracy.

Reader530:
Imams are preaching all over the north that:
1. Tinubu is not a complete Muslim and his vice is Kanuri (minority tribe) amidst Hausa&Fulanis.
2. Voting Kwankwaso is a waste of vote.
Frankly speaking, Tinubu will win Borno and Yobe only in the north.
Kwankwaso will get 45% in Kano, Atiku 40% and Tinubu 12%. Even in Kano, many people agree that Voting Kwankwasiyya is a waste.
Atiku will win north central because most people in searching for Reps and senators in PDP may vote for Atiku.
I am North Eastern OBIdient but lack of structures and support to create awareness to our people reduce the number of our followers.
I am saying nothing but the truth as North stands. Even in Yobe rally for APC that was held at Stadium along Maiduguri road, Damaturu was not full like Buhari's campaign in previous years.
Thanks

Your recent post on 12th - WAS OBIDIENT.
Today - I AM OBIDIENT.
Who is decieving who?

Kingspin:
There is a divided South too.
But is good for democracy.

95% of SOUTH-SOUTH AND SOUTH-EAST Votes is for Peter Obi.

While 70% of SOUTH-WEST Votes is for Tinubu.

The Other 30% of South-West votes, Peter Obi will claim 20% while Atiku,10%.

So in Reality, PETER OBI is the King of the South!

JoeNL22:

Exactly.....if Tinubu can't win the core north by a minimum of 51% to a maximum of 75%. Tinubu can't win the eelections.Tinubu needs to work

Tinubu should spend more money before the 31st January deadline. The street is yet to feel the impact of his bullion vans.

valentineuwakwe:
That same North will still surprise you..they are not divided in anyway cos 24hrs to the election, the Sultan of sokoto will make a pronouncement on whom the North/followers should vote for....so we are in for surprise!

except kwankwaso steps down for atiku or tinubu the north will remain divided in this election.. this is a statement of fact

The SE ,Ss ,Nc is mainly obis.
I can't say of NW and NE

Vinnie2000:


95% of SOUTH-SOUTH AND SOUTH-EAST Votes is for Peter Obi.

While of 70% SOUTH-WEST Votes is for Tinubu.

The Other 30% of South-West votes, Peter Obi will claim 20% while Atiku,10%.

While in Reality, PETER OBI is the King of the South!

true

Buddha3:
Lol.

Nairaland politics analyst are sitting in the comfort of their Southern apartments and deciding the voting direction of Northerners.

It is such an unbelievably sick joke that the lot of you supporting Tinubu are so confident that the average Northerner is going to brave the sun on election day to overlook an Atiku Abubakar and a Musa Rabiu Kwankwaso, to vote for a Bola Tinubu who is considered a pretentious muslim from the South.

Even the almajiri begging on Northern streets goes to the mosque every friday for prayers and supplications. These people are plainly being told to vote for their brothers up North. Una dey here dey dash Tinubu 50% votes up North.

LMAO!
For the same North wey we dey like this?!

lols, I get your point, but you can't outrightly dismiss the effect of APC as a party.. the party sentiment would play a big role

I pity anyone thinking north is divided
Ask Wike what Tambuwaal showed him last minute when he thought north was divided

garfield1:


Even in Adamawa,ribadu is a nobody.he is another Ahmed datti

who knew Osinbajo when Buhari pick him as running mate

Emmy450:
lols, I get your point, but you can't outrightly dismiss the effect of APC as a party.. the party sentiment would play a big role

What are you even saying?

Because you come online and read news contents where 50,000 APC members decamp to PDP in Zamfara, you now begin to attach party sentiments to Northern politics?

Brotherly, the average northerner doesn't give two hoots about party politics. Religion is priority one. Brotherhood and the "born to lead" mentality follows closely. They don't care for whatever el-dorado you promise. They'll easily vote that their Muslim brother before thinking of you. Their loyalty to that course is unmistakable. I live and work amongst these people.

You folks need to start being realistic for once. Why else do you think is the reason Datti Ahmed isn't exactly pulling his resources into campaigning much for Labour Party in the North? He has recognised that the best LP can get is a moderate percentage of votes to constitutionally augment for what is to be gathered in the South and Central.

No Southerner, whether Muslim or Christian can beat a Northern Muslim in an election up North!

asobo1:
Which Ribadu divide vote? Under political context, you don't categorize it as divided votes

You believe he did not divide the votes good, but it affected Buhari

Compare it to the love Kwankwanso have now

Atiku a Father figure in the North

Tinubu a partner to political elite in the North

Don’t you think they divide it into small chunks?

Buddha3:


What are you even saying?

Because you come online and read news contents where 50,000 APC members decamp to PDP in Zamfara, you now begin to attach party sentiments to Northern politics?

Brotherly, the average northerner doesn't give two hoots about party politics. [b]Religion is priority one. Brotherhood and the "born to lead" mentality follows closely. They don't care for whatever el-dorado you promise. They'll easily vote that their Muslim brother before [/b]thinking of you. Their loyalty to that course is unmistakable. I live and work amongst these people.

You folks need to start being realistic for once. Why else do you think is the reason Datti Ahmed isn't exactly pulling his resources into campaigning much for Labour Party in the North? He has recognised that the best LP can get is a moderate percentage of votes to constitutionally augment for what is to be gathered in the South and Central.

No Southerner, whether Muslim or Christian can beat a Northern Muslim in an election up North!

Well Said, Brotherly!

The Main Reason why the Average Northerner do NOT like Tinubu and Atiku.

Both are NOT Hardcore or Staunch Muslims like Buhari.
Only Sultan of Sokoto will make Dem Vote Atiku.

Left for them, They will Give their Votes to PETER OBI or Kwankwanso!

2019 na rigging v but now BVAS and IREV and disappointment from apcfailure Eno go easy

It will be very difficult

With NNPP and PDP doing very well, chances of Obi is very high

Vinnie2000:


Well Said, Brotherly!

The Main Reason why the Average Northerner do NOT like Tinubu and Atiku.

Both are NOT Hardcore or Staunch Muslims like Buhari.
Only Sultan of Sokoto will make Dem Vote Atiku.

Left for them, They will Give their Votes to PETER OBI or Kwankwanso!

Of the four top contenders, Peter Obi stands the least chance in the North West and North East. Let's not lie to ourselves.