A40:
Lagos and FCT numbers especially show that we have been overrating Atiku all this time. He's actually the one that should have moved aside for Obi.

Niggas are not waiting 1am to vote for Atiku Abubakar. Voter apathy is the likelier outcome

He wanted a free ride to Aso Rock on the back of energized Obi supporters. No wonder PDP minions spent more time facing Obi instead of their useless candidate. Won't be shocked if he decamped back to APC again. E no too get shame

AdisaOwala:


Haba

Na fight already?

afrodoc2:


You keep looking at it the wrong way.

In a straight fight between Atiku and Tinubu who would have won each of these states?

Anambra
Enugu
Imo
Abia
Ebonyi
Delta
Edo
Rivers
Bayelsa


Tell me which ones Tinubu would have won and which ones Atiku would have won,

Oasis003:




Kinda unlikely.

Nostradamus1:
Are they through with Ekiti collation? Is this the final result by the REC.

GloriousGbola:


i think ibime put it best

atiku is a lazy obj era politician who expects his dollars to the his politicking for him.

wike should never have been his vice [man is radioactive] , but if Atiku had been actively on ground in pdp politics these past 6 years, he could have managed wike much better than this.

BlueRayDick:


I'm not even disturbed one bit. I see whatsapp status of people wey still beg me money for their basic needs as at last week gas lighting and celebrating the violence/intimidation in Lagos yesterday. I just dey smile.

I smiled cos I know they won't still be better off even with their candidate coasting to victory. The fact that they won't be getting paid for what they are doing is funny.

Oasis003:


25% in the bag for Labour Party.

A40:
APC are quite strategic I give them that. I was wondering and quietly hoping Benue people would differentiate between President and Governor and split them but e be like them don jumble both elections up. Benue should have been easy win for Obi but now it's closer than it should be

Skimpledawg:

This one pained me mostly. The APC dominated areas just jumbled everything up. Obi was supposed to clear Benue in a landslide

monerozi5590:



My man don't allow politics or whatever to spoil your good deeds or relationship with people just because your opinion don't align with theirs.

Life is unpredictable at times. How do you know that if they had voted for your candidate life will be better for them?

How do you know that if they vote for their candidate life won't be better for them?

Like someone said here, no president will put food on your table directly.. The real work is yourself.

Nostradamus1:
APC wins Bauchi,
Benue,
Borno,
Ekiti, ☑️☑️☑️201,486, PDP-89,554, LP-11397
Jigawa,
Kaduna
, Kastina,
Kano,
Kogi,
Lagos,
Ogun,
Ondo,
Osun,
Oyo,
Zamfara.

LP wins Anambra,
Ebonyi,
Edo,
Enugu,
Imo.

PDP wins Adamawa,
Bayelsa,
Cross River,
Gombe,
Niger,
Sokoto,
Taraba,
Abuja.

Swing States-Akwa Ibom, Delta, Ebonyi, Kebbi, Kwara, Nassawara, Plateau, Rivers, Yobe.


Not all the swing states are "swing states" . There are some states that I can't confirm there winner 8 times out of 10 due to my ignorance of their political make up and patterns

A40:
What this tells me is Atiku is a leech banking on SS/SE votes

Why is he entitled to votes from that geopolitical zone when his standing is shaky in the North? If he cannot win North Central states and deep North states why should the SS and SE back him?

This is the entitlement we're talking about. If he was winning in the North it's a different case but as we speak can you point 5 states in the North that is banker for Atiku?

FBS:

Is there anything like "supposed to" in politics?

Nostradamus1:
PDP structure in South strong.

64k votes and a potential 25 percent for Atiku. You can't beat structure. I doubt if Atiku campaigned in Ekiti. Nobody has said PDP rigged Ekiti so this is structure simply

FBS:

Ah I see. Thanks.

I'm assuming other parties have their own apps as well?

monerozi5590:



My man don't allow politics or whatever to spoil your good deeds or relationship with people just because your opinion don't align with theirs.

Life is unpredictable at times. How do you know that if they had voted for your candidate life will be better for them?

How do you know that if they vote for their candidate life won't be better for them?

Like someone said here, no president will put food on your table directly.. The real work is yourself.

Itsrm:


Even if Obi no win, that one gives me enough joy.

Person go do 8 years as Governor finish still wan go senate again. Haba!!!

Ibime:
Atiku should go back to Dubai. Man is too lazy to wheel and deal

Governors win elections in Nigeria. How can you let 5 of your Governors go when you are already at a numerical disadvantage

Well let me not presume till I see North collation results

raumdeuter:


Atiku was PDP strongest choice but he should have retained Obi with a promise to do 4yrs and step down

That combo would have won this election

But whatever village people made him dump Obi and now fought G5 must be really strong

A40:
What this tells me is Atiku is a leech banking on SS/SE votes

Why is he entitled to votes from that geopolitical zone when his standing is shaky in the North? If he cannot win North Central states and deep North states why should the SS and SE back him?

This is the entitlement we're talking about. If he was winning in the North it's a different case but as we speak can you point 5 states in the North that is banker for Atiku?

monerozi5590:


Baba na structure oh. Talking about Benue. Most Benue sons don't like Ortom. Some are even mocking him that he is only governor that support Obi but doesn't pay salaries .


El Rufai being a bigot is debatable sir.. The insecurity in southern Kaduna don tire the guy too. The guy vex put southern Kaduna man in charge of security in Kaduna State. Guess what, the man in charge of security in Kaduna State is being hated by southern Kaduna people. His own people.

GloriousGbola:


hillary clinton was supposed to be the US first female president.

i went to sleep that night and woke up to a trump presidency

Nostradamus1:
From Kogi to Rivers to Anambra and Imo to Enugu, the rigging and bullying is terrible



https://twitter.com/AderonkeW/status/1629521853646503938?t=OGGn_F9qu3l8Re20Mh_2YQ&s=19

BlueRayDick:




Good deeds indeed. You think I do anything because it's a good deed or aligns with some religious beliefs?

Just dey play.

I'm equally affected by bad leadership in the last 8 years. Whatever I do for anybody is out of compassion/pity and nothing more.

Going forward I will be pleading the fifth on such requests. God go help all of us

nihilistjnr:


I was watching Arise live and the Kano CP's comments have been serious taken out of context.

Prior to being questioned, that Arise TV correspondent had noted children running around in the PU and then debated with the guys in the studio whether children should have even been allowed to be around the PUs .

About an hour later, the correspondent asked the KCP about whether children should be around. KCP who obviously doesn't knkw what Arise TV correspondent and Panel were discussing prior, assumes that he means Children have been seen VOTING, and of course he points out that its not for him to determine who gets a PVC, and points to INEC, arguing that if you see any maltina bottle holding PVC, it might be a genetic disorder.

Kano CP and Arise Journalist were talking at cross purposes. They weren't talking about the same thing.

Oasis003:


Officially announced.

afrodoc2:


That is a different argument. What I was addressing is your claim that Obi did not help Tinubu.

Without Obi you and I know that Atiku defeats Tinubu in the SE in a landslide and also wins the SS.

To simplify. Obi took 11 states away from Atiku in the SS and SE.

Even most of Obi’s NC votes are Northern Christian votes that would have gone majorly to Atiku.

Kwankwaso completed the hatchet job by stripping Atiku of his NW PDP votes.

What must have surprised him (like it did many of us) was the strength of the Obi movement. Immediately Obi became a major factor Atiku’s hopes were doomed.

spoiler

A “spoiler” is a candidate who has no chance of winning, but whose candidacy still impacts the outcome of the election.

A spoiler candidate draws votes away from one of the major parties, tipping the balance in favor of the other party.

In the same way, a spoiler party is a party which seems designed to take votes away from one or the other of the major parties, thereby spoiling that party’s chance to win the election.

Supporters of spoiler candidates describe them as idealists seeking to introduce big new ideas; in recent years, left-leaning candidates like Bernie Sanders and Jill Stein have been described as spoiler candidates. But their critics say that their candidacy sometimes harms the very causes they champion, by anding victory to the opposing party.

Critics of the U.S. electoral system have argued that spoiler candidates are inevitable in our system:

The current system does not ensure that the majority rules. Candidates can win elections with less than a majority of the vote. This creates “spoilers” – candidates who cannot win themselves but who get enough votes to throw the election to some other candidate who is favored by a minority. It also “spoils” the better debate and higher voter participation we would have with more attention paid to worthy independent candidacies.

Nostradamus1:
From Kogi to Rivers to Anambra and Imo to Enugu, the rigging and bullying is terrible



https://twitter.com/AderonkeW/status/1629521853646503938?t=OGGn_F9qu3l8Re20Mh_2YQ&s=19