emiye:
The real bad news for GEj in the sw is that his supporters are more likely to sit at home on election day than a Buhari supporter.

Random opinion samples gives at least a 3: 1, but i have thinned it down to a 2: 1, that is 2/3 for GMB, and 1/3 for GEJ.

It is roughly 65% for GMB , and 35% for GEj, , GEJ's strength will come from Ekiti ( the least number of PVC holders in sw state) and Ondo state.

kokoA:
Nonsense Analysis.. Presidential election has nothing to do with political parties. So are you trying to tell me GEJ will win states like Bauchi, Kaduna, Gombe, etc that have PDP government and strong PDP presence at national and state assemblies? The people will choose who to vote. The word on the lips of the yorubas now is "CHANGE" and there is nothing GEJ can do about it.. Which right thinking yoruba person will vote a government that has offered them nothing over a party that has given them a vice presidential slot? Those parties you mentioned may win in some seats in the national and state assemblies but nobody would vote GEJ because SDP, LP or Accord say so.

barcanista:
There is something called self-deception. The problem with APC is that the party isn't sincere to itself. Your comment is a typical example of self-deception.

Ngwakwe:
The unfortunate insinuation that GEJ will lose the region is from vocal minority and PVC-less Southwest social critics who have taken the media sessions to accuse their fathers, traditional authorities, religious leaders, OPC and Afanifere, of moral bankruptcy, accepting bribe and sell out.

The attitude of these sects makes me to wonder if they know the implications of their statements and the possibility of other nationalites concluding that Southwesterners are by extension what they accused their elders and traditional authorities of exhibiting.

For me I have learnt to ignore these minors and their frustrations. I can't imagine Ngwakwe disrespecting and abusing my elders because of political differences.

From every indication, Jonathan has Southwest in his bags for 2015 presidential elections - Fact

slimmy05:
Its next week Saturday, you don't need to pour your undue frustration on GEJ for your personal failures. I know the Yoruba's are cowards and backstabbers, they say this and do otherwise. I am 100% sure they would all vote GEJ. I am more interested in Lagos and Rivers election cos I know GEJ will be re-elected.

integralng:
Thank you very sincerely.I was on the road campaigning when I was typing it...I could not swallow the fallacies in the OP's comment...So I had to put in something.I reiterate my thanks for your kind gesture in helping with the paragraphing...

Missy89:

Your welcome. As you can see, Most of the so called experts on how the Yorubas will vote avoided your post totally. When facts are presented, Junk and half baked Isi ewu analysis will be shredded to bits.

I feel sorry for Jonathan if he is pinning his hopes on the OPC. Any armed illiterate OPC miscreant that tries to interfere with the voting process will be severely dealt with.

Enough said

barcanista:
You APC are very funny. You seem to believe things according to your emotions. Amosun is more popular than Jonathan? Bros, Amosun is even grasping for popularity. Buhari is not even talked about in Ogun State by majority of electorates

slimmy05:
Go wan.k at her pics

Rilwayne001:


Of course, what do you expect from igbos and Niger deltans?

Some of the both are tribal bigotz notall tho. There are lots of igbos on facebook that have decided to vote GMB.

Just go to any proGEJ page read any of their propaganda against APC/Gmb, you will see how some igbos rain curse on PDP/GEJ.

Fact is, people are much more enlightened now unlike before.

ilugunboy:


Why are you lying carelessly like this??
Below is a FB page of a very prominent Ogun state indigene about GEJ visit to Awujale....just like in Ogun state, many of these PDP leaders in various states in SW are mostly deceiving GEJ.

The Oba pointedly told him that before any discussion at all he should first reimburse Amosun for the cost of mobalufon bridge done by Amosun across the Expressway....a bridge the Ijebus see as a life and time saver which no previous admin ever thought of doing until Amosun did it.

Never and never you put popularity contest of Amosun and GEJ on the same page in Ogun state.

Tell me a strong grassroot mobilizer working for GEJ in Ogun Central presently now...even Caterpillar (bankole dad) prefers Amosun to continue.

In Ogun Central...Buhari will win...Ogun East...Buhari will win as their son is on the ticket ( Kashamu can barely do nothing ) and in Ogun West...GNI factor is completely negligible as the people don't really connect with him since the see his coming as the return of OGD...

All in all....APC will coast home comfortably in Ogun states in both the governorship and Presidential..

ba7man:
I had a conversation with a lady whose boss was part of those that recieved the dollar rain from GEJ.

He settled them an mandated them to go campaign on GEJ's behalf.

She really complained a lot on the hostility she received......and she isn't even going to vote GEJ in the first place.

ilugunboy:


I think the dollarisation of the whole electioneering campaign is even getting people more insane about the motive of PDP in SW..

Bayswater:


What's consolatory here? That you people have been able to brainwash some of my people and subsequently sold a bad product to them?

That the APC demons have gained some ground which would now make the real grassroots players do more real work and get more votes for GEJ?

That you guys have played your cards too soon?

That we are able to see the lies you have sold to the younger and naive generation by rewriting history?

That the trusted old players are now out to make sure the younger ones do not board APC's one chance bus?

So tell me, what is consolatory in the above?

ba7man:
meanwhile, the nation is in the midst of hardship.

GEJ is not intelligent at all. Its now an open fact.

I look at his supporters in reality and see that they're all like him, hence, the support.

OrlandoOwoh:
As I always say, go to any newspaper stand in the South West. The argument you hear from the men there is an indication that Jonathan will most likely lose in the geo-political zone. Even on our campuses among youths and students, the story is the same.

dein77:



What an unfortunate sweeping comment coming from supposedly susuper - intelligent Albert Einstein! Till death, I will favour humility over intelligence.

The zenith of knowledge and intelligence is modesty in one's assessment of their abilities and limitations.

So, next time, do not try to present yourself s someone that's ssmarter than all the millions of people supporting GEJ.

Good morning.

dein77:



What an unfortunate sweeping comment coming from supposedly susuper - intelligent Albert Einstein! Till death, I will favour humility over intelligence.

The zenith of knowledge and intelligence is modesty in one's assessment of their abilities and limitations.

So, next time, do not try to present yourself s someone that's ssmarter than all the millions of people supporting GEJ.

Good morning.

Descartes:
So you are among those that sample opinions of people at Newspaper's stand?

ba7man:
You might call it "Humility" but to me.......I see all the classic signs of "Lack of Confidence".


I mean, its so bad GEJ doesn't mind emptying the Federation account in his bid to buy approval.

slimmy05:
and in your mind, after rejecting the blood sucking general 3 times, we would accept him the 3rd time? Don't sound like a clown. You are free to take all the money from campaign cos that's all you'll ever get. Get busy and make something meaningful with your life rather than run around like lost cat.

integralng:
I hardly reply comments from loosely trained brat like you...If I decide to spend my whole day campaigning for whom I love,there is no harm there.It is my funeral.I did the same for him in 2011 when doing so was not that popular in Lagos here.I used my personal funds to do more than 100 campaign T-shirts,souvenirs etc for GMB in 2011.More than 1000 friends of mine on facebook started supporting GMB for this election because of my long-standing support for the man.I feel more relaxed campaigning this time than in 2011.I conducted a mock presidential poll on my facebook on the 14 Feb 2015 and I received 100% affirmation for GMB.This is a pointer to how the election will go considering the background of array of friends I have on facebook.What I do is not for any pecuniary gains but for the overall interest of this country.I want a country where my children will be secured...By God's grace I can eke out a living for myself...Since 2006,I have been running my independent company.And I thank God for his blessings.What I need from federal govt are basic:security, constant electricity and viable economy.That is all...

dein77:


Lack of confidence? Does that give enough grounds to your myopic view that all the ssupporters of GEJ are unintelligent?

We have our reasons for supporting. U don't expect everyone to clap for you when you make such childish comments about millions of people on a Tuesday morning!

Missy89:


Your welcome. As you can see, Most of the so called experts on how the Yorubas will vote avoided your post totally. When facts are presented, Junk and half baked Isi ewu analysis will be shredded to bits.

I feel sorry for Jonathan if he is pinning his hopes on the OPC. Any armed illiterate OPC miscreant that tries to interfere with the voting process will be severely dealt with.

Enough said

MichaelSokoto:

U sound angry bro!
Relax, it's only now till March 28th, kachiko?

dein77:


Lack of confidence? Does that give enough grounds to your myopic view that all the ssupporters of GEJ are unintelligent?

We have our reasons for supporting. U don't expect everyone to clap for you when you make such childish comments about millions of people on a Tuesday morning!

barcanista:
You APC are very funny. You seem to believe things according to your emotions. Amosun is more popular than Jonathan? Bros, Amosun is even grasping for popularity. Buhari is not even talked about in Ogun State by majority of electorates

ilugunboy:


I think the dollarisation of the whole electioneering campaign is even getting people more insane about the motive of PDP in SW..

ilugunboy:


Why are you lying carelessly like this??
Below is a FB post of a very prominent Ogun state indigene about GEJ visit to Awujale....just like in Ogun state, many of these PDP leaders in various states in SW are mostly deceiving GEJ.

The Oba pointedly told him that before any discussion at all he should first reimburse Amosun for the cost of mobalufon bridge done by Amosun across the Expressway....a bridge the Ijebus see as a life and time saver which no previous admin ever thought of doing until Amosun did it.

Never and never you put popularity contest of Amosun and GEJ on the same page in Ogun state.

Tell me a strong grassroot mobilizer working for GEJ in Ogun Central presently now...even Caterpillar (bankole dad) prefers Amosun to continue.

In Ogun Central...Buhari will win...Ogun East...Buhari will win as their son is on the ticket ( Kashamu can barely do nothing ) and in Ogun West...GNI factor is completely negligible as the people don't really connect with him since the see his coming as the return of OGD...

All in all....APC will coast home comfortably in Ogun states in both the governorship and Presidential elections.

I will advise you to stop discussing the politics of the SW....doing so will only keep exposing the level of your ignorance about the undercurrent of politics of the region.

integralng:
Let me begin by saying:'Yoruba won't vote for Jonathan' is not a phrase,it is a statement.You don't call a group of words that has verbs such as 'will'(won't) and 'vote' a phrase.Anyway,that was on a light note.In view of the factors you have stated ,I am of the conviction that the next presidential election will tilt towards the candidate of the APC General Muhammadu Buhari.The mushroom political parties such as the SDP and the LP don't have the structures to call out their supporters to give bloc votes to GEJ.Besides Gbenga Kaka who is a former deputy Governor of Ogun,two other senators won the senatorial elections not on the basis of their political structure or popularity but on the strength of the party the A CN then.Although Segun Osoba is a strong factor in Ogun State,you must be aware of the fact that he is not standing any election and his party does not have a candidate in the presidential election.Most of the sympathisers of the SDP in Ogun State may not have much interest in any election except the local election which is the gubernatorial election.You should also take note that the Vice Presidential candidate of the APC Professor Yemi Osinbanjo is an indigene of Ogun State and an in-law to the late late sage Chief Obafemi Awolowo.So a non-party member/neutral indigene of Ogun State will find voting for the APC/GMB more rewarding than throwing their weight to GEJ/Sambo who are foreigners.Concerning your assertion that GEJ will benefit adequately from the Akala/Makinde/Ladoja,please do note that these three people draw their supporters from the PDP so they may not be able to command more votes in this year's election than they did in 2011 when they asked all their supporters to vote for GEJ.It should also be mentioned that during the 2011 presidential election,Akala was still the governor of Oyo State that time so it was very easy for the PDP to mobilise supports for GEJ.But today,Akala,who you claim has a strong support base in Ogbomosho,will need to contend with Soun of Ogbomosho's factor whose son is the House of Representatives candidate of the APC.Soun is a strong/influential traditional ruler in that part of the state.Putting the foregoing into consideration,it is not illogical to posit that the Akala's factor in Ogbomosho may be wittled down in the presidential election.What will happen in Ogbomosho may play out in Oyo town where Alaafin of Oyo holds sway.Alaafin is a strong Oba in Oyo State and he delivered all the four local governments in Oyo Town to the A CN in 2011.This time around,one of his sons is the House of Representatives candidate of the APC in Oyo.On Seyi Makinde,I will not waste my time putting forward any argument to counter your sentiment because nobody knows him.He is a paper- weight politician.In response to your assertion that the PDP is united in Ondo,I want to say that is far from the truth.There is a sharp division in the PDP in the state.The old PDP members led by Oluwole Oke are not on the same page with the New PDP led by Mimiko.The Oluwole Oke's group has accused the Mimiko's group of sidelining them in the presidential campaign hence their resolve to prove a point that they were the ones that actually gave GEJ massive votes in 2011 and not Mimiko.They are ready to sit on the fence in the presidential election. Finally,your mentioning of the one fathom Justice Group(as one of the reasons GEJ will win in Lagos)is very laughable.Who is the leader of that group and what are the positions he has held before?In case you don't know:PDP died in Lagos State in 2011 when like of Demola Seriki(a Minister under Yaradua),Femi Pedro,Hon Salau(a political juggernault from Epe),Dr Wale Ahmed(PDP Publicity Secretary in Lagos),Lanre Rasak dumped the Umbrella for the A CN.Do you mean Bode George(who is the leader of the PDP and godfather of Jimi Agbaje) that has never won any election in his polling unit since 1999 will be the one that will mobilise for GEJ?Or Ogunlewe who since leaving the AD(the platform on which he was voted as a senator in 1999) and pitching his tent with the PDP has never delivered his Ikorodu local government to the PDP before?Or Musiliu Obanikoro who the last election he won was in 2003 (on the platform of the Tinubu's Alliance for Democracy?).I am waiting...patiently...

[size=14pt] . . . . . . . . . .has any other person noticed how the so called SW political analyst has tactically avoided this post . . . . . . . . . . . I have always said it, that boy lacks depth[/size]

mrmetoo1:


The guy totally made me weak with that statement that GEJ is more popular than Amosun in Ogun State, is that a joke?? GEJ has done nothing for them meanwhile Amosun is literally transforming the state and someone will type that garbage