Mynd44:
The presidential and Federal parliamentary elections have come and gone and the winners known. But the gubernatorial and state paliamentary elections comes up on April 11. Jimi Agbaje of the PDP will be contesting against Akinwunmi Ambode in Lagos and even though a lot of people think he will win, feelers from the Lagos PDP itself has shown that they are not even confident of him winning because

1. Obanikoro has lost interest in all these. He was supporting Agbaje cos he felt that GEJ will win and he keeps a ministerial post. With GEJ going out, what's the point? Agbaje need Obanikoro's political structure but Obanikoro ain't ready to spend money to get it running as he gains nothing.

2. The OPC and Afenifere as you now know are as useless as a voter without a voter's card. They are even more useless than that as a voter without a PVC can convince folks (online or offline) but no one wants to hear them speak.

3. Bode George (Boy George) has no reason to be involved in this election. Nothing to gain from a state. He will likely use the funds with him as "Retirement bonus"

4. Segun Adewale (Aeroland) has spent almost as much as Agbaje and he still lost. He is licking his wounds right now as he had sold off his houses in Aguda to finance his senatorial bid. He lost, he ain't supporting no one.

5. Alimosho is the local government with the highest number of votes...then Lagos Island then Surulere. These three are APC places. Alimosho gave Buhari +88,000 votes against GEJ's +44,000. The PDP can't win there. They can't win Lagos Island as HRH Oba Rilwan Akinolu prefers Ambode.

5. The market women all over Lagos are headed by Tinubu's daughter. Forget that side

6. A huge majority of Lagosians are happy with Fashola and what he has done. They are also happy with the APC even though you love to deny it.

7. With GMB winning the presidential polls, politicians are drawing their allegiance and they want to move and before then, they will want to show the APC that they are worth it so they will work extra hard.

8. Lagosians want to see a Lagos where Abuja and Alausa are on the same platform

9. The campaign of Ambode has just started. With massive plans coming up before the elections, they intend to leave no stones unturned and campaign harder in places where the APC lost in the Presidential.

11. JK is not OK. He is Just Kidding. (I had to throw that in

okotv:
calm down Bro. Ambode will win but give PDP hope now especially supporters like barcanista.

Mologi:
he should withdraw from the election now.

because he might B crushed....shior what concerns me
with lagos goverment...


sai...AMBODE

Firefire:
Mind game. Try more.

Power belongs only to God.

CHANGE is possible everywhere.

The people will decide.

beejayphako:
Lol, well said. I see amode winning cos if GEJ had won, that would have helped Agbaje's bid.. goodluck to them both as lagos no be my state, am more concerned about Oyo and Kwara

First of all, let me state this: I am not a
card carrying member of pdp neither am i
a member of any political party. My
interest in Lagos politics is that I am a
Nigerian citizen based in Lagos who is
aware of Lagos political history. Now to
the subject at hand.
On the surface, many people would think
pdp is finished in Lagos due to the fact
that despite the effort of president jona
to win the state, he failed and also that
lahos since 1999 has always belonged to
apc (then AD) however a closef look at
what happened shows that as far as the
gubernatorial race is concerned, it can still
go either way for the following reasons:
1) The main reason president jona lost
was because of the under performance of
his administration. Nothong more nothing
less. If he had performed well, he would
have likely won lagos. Lagosians have
proven again that they are very intelligent
and are politically aware.
2) A closer look at the results shows that
the margin between apc and pdp is not
wide. Based on this, since the election
has been rated one of the best Nigeria
has ever had, it stands to reason that pdp
stands a good chance if only they put the
defeat behind them and work harder on
winning the forthcoming elections.
3) The number of those who voted is
quite low compared to the number of
people who collected PVCs wbich means
there are a lot of Lagosians who are
either undecided or are not motivated
enough to vote during the last elections.
If jimi can work on getting these people
to vote for him he would win this
election.
4) The truth is lot of people are getting
frustrated by Tinubu stranglehood on
alausa. The LCC debacle, the use of ABC
to continue to loot the treasury of lagos
and the fact that everyone knows that
Tinubu is trying to pay back Ambode for
his loyalty with the office of governor and
not that Ambode is competent on his own
right coupled with the fact that lagosians
are aware that Ambode wasn't even
fashola's choice, and fashola is highly
respected in lagos, makes lagosians more
sympathetic to Jimi than Ambode.
However Jimi has a onerous task of
converting sympathy into votes and what i
would sugest as a political observer is:
1) Articulate your plans cle"ing us
to read your manifesto is not enough. Let
us know in exact words what would make
you different from the current
administration.
2) Study the last elections and look at
areas where the turnout is low vis a vis
the number of PVCs collected and get
your message across to those people.
Like i said earlier, it was a lot of lagosians
are not motivated enough to vote so get
your ideas acriss to these people and
motivate them to vote for you.
Finally, it takes someone with balls to
press on but i think Jimi has got what it
takes to win. Eko o ni baje

Mynd44:

You know where you get it wrong? You only change when the status quo is a disaster.

The only change needed in Lagos is the alignment of Alausa and Aso rock.

Texcoco:
That was what they said about Fayemi.....And we all saw what happened,Meanwhile enjoy this nugget from rioger

Tayeni:
although i will like to see apc win in lagos, but i can see Nigeria going back to the dark days of being a one party state....i wanted PDP to lose some...but wouldnt want them to experience a drastic drop in fortune as they are bound to experience in the nearest future frm the look of things....i fear they wont be strong enough to keep APC on their toe and frm being complascent.

Mynd44:

That's what you people said about GEJ but here we are 15,426,921 votes later

Texcoco:
...Apples and Oranges, chap....Apples and Oranges. State election different from Presidential election.

suwailad:


Lagos for Ambode is not a debate. we dont need to talk about it because Jimi knows he has no backing anymore
Remember Bode goerge has hinted on his exile, so who would vote a poster boy for an ex convict who wants to jettison the country?

Or would you rather vote Ambode of the Governing Party? and looking at the increasing popularity and relevance of Bola Tinubu?

Another thing you should note is the Igbo people are licking their wounds, they have failed to have a shot at the senate presidency, from speculations for now, so they will not want to make the same mistake by voting pdp and then loosing woefully which will leave them hanging and hopeless. 85% lagosians are voting APC, theres no long shot about it.

Texcoco:
You can stop blowing hot air in the guise of speaking for 10 million people who have been extorted to the very inch of their lives by thieffnubu's mafia.You thought Lagos would go landslide for APC,didnt you?After all the noisemaking, PDP lost by the narrowest of margins of all states lost to APC.Now,there is balance btw the the two yoruba men...Lagosians including Non-indigens and non-yorubas will make their choice.

demelza:
Agbaje still has the support of the ibos who make up over 60% of the population.
These owners of Lagos will make sure they leave their businesses and mansions and come vote him into Alausa.

Texcoco:
You can stop blowing hot air in the guise of speaking for 10 million people who have been extorted to the very inch of their lives by thieffnubu's mafia.You thought Lagos would go landslide for APC,didnt you?After all the noisemaking, PDP lost by the narrowest of margins of all states lost to APC.Now,there is balance btw the the two yoruba men...Lagosians including Non-indigens and non-yorubas will make their choice.

Texcoco:
You can stop blowing hot air in the guise of speaking for 10 million people who have been extorted to the very inch of their lives by thieffnubu's mafia.You thought Lagos would go landslide for APC,didnt you?After all the noisemaking, PDP lost by the narrowest of margins of all states lost to APC.Now,there is balance btw the the two yoruba men...Lagosians including Non-indigens and non-yorubas will make their choice.

NewNigeriaMind:


The best non indigenes in Lagos can do for pdp has been done during the presidential elections. The greatest motivation to vote was Jonathan and he is gone, that is Lagos non indigenes at their best and Apc still won.

Come governorship election, with no money to throw about now that Abuja is gone, what do you think will happen.

In fact, the noise you all make on this forum about non indignene number in Lagos should end with this elections. we have seen the best you all can do and we still won. For the next millennia the governance of this state will be determined by the omo onile...the Yorubas.

Texcoco:
It was better for APC Lagos had Jona won because those who swung/gave PDP federal seats filled by non yorubas won't have bothered with governorship as it happened in 2011.As it is now, APC will suffer the backlash off protest votes or let's say vicious votes from non-indegenes coupled with the split votes of the yorubaa btw the two men...the narrowest of margin this time around will swing to Jimi Agbaje.